USD/CHF Breaks Key Support – Bears Taking Control?The USD/CHF pair has decisively broken below its 200-EMA (0.8887) and key horizontal support (0.8915), signaling a potential shift in momentum toward further downside. After failing to hold above 0.90, sellers have stepped in, dragging price action lower.
🔍 Technical Overview:
✅ Support Break – The loss of 0.8915 puts 0.88 in focus.
✅ 200-EMA Breached – A significant bearish technical development.
✅ RSI at 37.52 – Momentum is weak but not yet oversold.
✅ MACD Bearish – The bearish crossover remains intact, confirming downward pressure.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 0.8915 – Broken support, now resistance; bears defending it strongly.
🔹 0.8800 – Next major support level; a break below could accelerate selling.
🔹 0.9000 – Bullish recovery only valid above this level.
💡 Trading Outlook:
🔻 Bearish case: As long as USD/CHF remains below 0.8915, bears are in control. If 0.88 breaks, it could open the door toward 0.87.
🔺 Bullish case: Buyers need to reclaim 0.8915 and the 200-EMA to shift momentum back in their favor.
With the USD showing weakness, CHF bulls could push further downside. Is this the start of a new downtrend, or will buyers step in at 0.88? 🚨
Usdchf!
USDCHF Trade ideaThe currency pair lost its shine on board-based US dollar selling. It hit an intraday low of 0.88717 and is currently trading around 0.89060. The intraday bias appears to be bearish as long as the resistance 0.9035 holds.
Technical Analysis and Resistance Levels
The pair is trading below the 34-EMA and 55-EMA on the 4-hour chart indicating a bearish trend. The immediate resistance is at 0.8940 any break above targets 0.9000/0.9035/0.9070/0.9100/0.9150/0.9200/0.92250/0.9275/0.9030.
Support Levels and Potential Declines
On the downside, near-term support is around 0.8890, any violation below will drag the pair to 0.8800/0.8720.
Indicators
CCI (50) - Bearish
Directional movement Index - Bearish
Trading Strategy Recommendation
It is good to sell on rallies around 0.8955-57 with a stop-loss at 0.9000 for a TP of 0.8800.
USD/CHF BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
Bullish trend on USD/CHF, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 0.901.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USDCHF H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 0.8987, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 0.8947, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 0.8928, an overlap resistance.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
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Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level that is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8962
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8929
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.9003
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USDCHF - Sell Setup at Key Supply ZoneOANDA:USDCHF has reached a key supply zone, highlighted by strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a resistance level, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms resistance within this zone, we could see further downside movement. A successful rejection could push the pair toward 0.89940, a logical target based on prior price behavior and the current structure.
However, if the price breaks and holds above this resistance, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially leading to further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
USDCHF sideways consolidation The USD/CHF currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by the longer-term uptrend. However, recent intraday price action has been consolidating near the previous breakout zone, signaling a potential buildup before the next directional move.
Bullish Scenario:
The key level to watch is 0.8950, which aligns with the previous consolidation range and the support trendline zone.
A corrective pullback toward 0.8950, followed by a bullish bounce, could reinforce the uptrend.
If buyers regain control, upside targets include 0.9050, followed by 0.9074, with 0.9120 acting as a key longer-term resistance.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed breakdown below 0.8950 on a daily close would weaken the bullish outlook.
This could trigger a deeper retracement toward 0.8913, with further downside potential extending to 0.8860 if selling pressure persists.
A sustained move below 0.8860 could indicate a broader shift in trend, increasing the risk of further declines.
Conclusion:
While the overall trend remains bullish, the ongoing sideways consolidation suggests a potential retest of 0.8950 before the next move. A bounce from this level could reaffirm the uptrend, while a break below 0.8950 would expose further downside risks. Traders should monitor price action around this critical support zone for confirmation of the next trend direction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.9043
1st Support: 0.8906
1st Resistance: 0.9171
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF H1 | Bearish BreakoutBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently testing our sell entry at 0.9016. A bearish breakout from this level could drop toward our take profit, which will be at 0.8973, an overlap support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.9054, which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9052
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.9097
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.9003
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/CHF Wedge Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/CHF pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.9138
2nd Resistance – 0.9221
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USDCHF: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the USDCHF pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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USD/CHF Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Reversal Ahead?Analysis & Description:
The USD/CHF pair is currently testing a **strong resistance zone**, which previously acted as a significant **supply area**. Price has approached this **key level**, and a potential **rejection** could lead to a bearish move.
#### **Key Observations:**
✅ **Resistance Area (Supply Zone):** Price is retesting a previously respected **resistance** zone.
✅ **Bearish Setup:** If the price fails to break above the **0.90607 level**, a **reversal** could take the pair lower toward the **target area**.
✅ **Volume Confirmation:** Increasing volume near resistance indicates potential selling pressure.
### **Trading Plan:**
📉 **Bearish Scenario:**
- A rejection at **resistance** could lead to a move down toward **0.89267**, aligning with previous support.
- **Stop-loss** can be placed above **0.90607** in case of a breakout.
⚠️ **Bullish Risk:**
- If the price **breaks and holds above the resistance**, the bearish setup could be invalid, and further upside may occur.
### **Final Thought:**
USD/CHF is at a **crucial decision point**. Traders should **watch price action closely** for confirmation of either a **breakout or a rejection** before making a move! 🚨📊
General Market Analysis - SMC Point of ViewIn this video I go through an analysis of DXY, EURUSD, USDCHF, OIL, and BTC. I also delve into why I think some short-term manipulation is happening and share my narrative.
I am not fond of giving a long description here when I give my analysis in the video, so please enjoy and share your thoughts.
- R2F Trading
Potential bullish rise?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8976
1st Support: 0.8940
1st Resistance: 0.9049
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Swiss franc dips as Swiss GDP declinesThe Swiss franc is down for a second straight trading day. In the European session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.8980, up 0.38% on the day.
The Swiss economy slowed to 0.2% q/q in the fourth quarter of 2024, down from 0.4% in Q3 and in line with expectations. This was the weakest expansion since Q2 2023. Construction weakened in the fourth quarter but manufacturing and exports rebounded from the previous quarter. Annualized, GDP rose 1.5%, down from 1.9% in Q3, the softest expansion in three quarters.
The weak GDP data supports the case for the Swiss National Bank to lower interest rates. The central bank is in the midst of an easing cycle and showed its aggressive side in December when it chopped rates by 50 basis points, bringing the cash rate to 0.50%.
The SNB only meets on a quarterly basis, magnifying the importance of each meeting. The next meeting is on March 20 and the markets have priced in a 25-bps cut at close to 100%. There are two key factors that Bank policymakers will be looking ahead of a rate decision - inflation levels and the exchange rate. Inflation has fallen by 0.1% for four consecutive months and is putting pressure on the SNB to continue lowering rates. The next inflation report is on March 5 and another soft report would cement a rate cut at next month's meeting. The SNB also uses monetary policy to ensure that the Swiss franc is not too strong, which would hurt the export sector.
The US releases second-estimate GDP for the fourth quarter of 2024 later today. The initial estimate came in at 2.3%, down from 3.2% in the third quarter. The US economy remains strong and inflation has been largely contained. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates this year only once or twice, unless the economic data does not evolve as expected.
USD/CHF is testing resistance at 0.8992. Above, there is resistance at 0.9018
0.8969 and 0.8943 are providing support
USDCHF to continue in the downward move?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Previous support level of 0.8965 broken.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
50 4hour EMA is at 0.8987.
We look to Sell at 0.8987 (stop at 0.9012)
Our profit targets will be 0.8915 and 0.8905
Resistance: 0.8974 / 0.9004 / 0.9020
Support: 0.8950 / 0.8930 / 0.8912
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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USDCHF sideways ahead of US GDP figuresThe USDCHF currency pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation.
The key trading level is at 0.8946, the previous consolidation price range, and the rising support trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 0.8946 level could target the upside resistance at 0.9033 followed by the 0.9050 and 0.9087 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 0.8946 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 0.8913 support level followed by 0.8860.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCHF -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
0.89147 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
The ascending flag taking shape suggests we will soon see another leg higher.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.89115 on 02/25/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.90367, 0.91497, 0.92218 and more heights is expected.
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#USDCHF 4HUSDCHF (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently respecting a channel support, indicating that buyers are holding the price within the upward structure. This suggests that the market may continue its upward movement as long as the support remains intact.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price confirms a bounce from the channel support, signaling potential bullish continuation.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered near the channel support after confirmation of bullish price action.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the channel support to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target key resistance levels based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The channel support suggests that buyers are still active in the market. A strong rejection from this level can provide better confirmation for a buy setup.
USD/CHF H4 | Rising into 61.8% Fibonacci resistanceUSD/CHF is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8995 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.9040 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.8918 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.