USDCHF H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 0.8876, which is an overlap resistance close to 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.8837, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.8918, which is an overlap esistance level.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCHF H4 | Bearish Drop
USDCHF
USDCHF Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.885.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.878 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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USDCHF 1H Chart: Rebound might halt as Downtrend Trendline near.Current Situation:
The USDCHF is exhibiting a downtrend on the hourly chart. Recently, the pair has rebounded and is now approaching a critical area where the downtrend trendline intersects with the resistance level at 0.88800. This confluence of resistance factors could present a strong selling force, potentially halting the current rebound.
Technical Analysis:
1. Downtrend Trendline
2. Resistance Level 0.88800
Fundamental Analysis:
1. Upcoming US FOMC Meeting: The US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is imminent. While a rate cut is not widely expected, the tone of the speech—whether dovish or hawkish—could significantly impact the USDCHF pair.
2. Market Concerns:
- Dovish Tone: If the FOMC's communication suggests a dovish stance, indicating potential rate cuts in the future, the USD could weaken & cause USDCHF to drop.
- Hawkish Tone: Conversely, if the FOMC adopts a hawkish tone, indicating a preference for maintaining rates, the USD could strengthen.
Conclusion:
Traders should closely monitor the USDCHF as it approaches the critical resistance zone around 0.88800. The combination of the downtrend trendline and the horizontal resistance level presents a significant hurdle for the pair.
Additionally, the upcoming FOMC meeting adds an element of uncertainty, with the potential for market-moving announcements. The prudent approach would be to look for signs of rejection at the resistance zone for potential short positions, while also being prepared for a breakout scenario should the FOMC deliver unexpected news.
USDCHF LooongBased on the previous analysis, there were two possibilities about this currency, either it continues to complete the falling flag pattern, or retest the upper trendline of the channel.
It broke out of a major market zone, i.e 0.886 and retested it. I do anticipate that this price will continue with the bullish momentum.
Entry point at 0.889, SL at 0.8815 and TP at 0.9045
Cup & handle pattern to sink price furtherSince I shorted the top at 0.9 (not published on TV), USDCHF has been on a steady decline. Now we can see a CnH pattern forming, and price is nowhere near the bottom of the megaphone pattern. If price breaks below, we can look to short towards the 0.87 level or the lower bound of the megaphone pattern.
The Swiss central bank plans to cut interest rates
The Swiss central bank has been the first bank to cut interest rates and now, due to inflation control, it is expected that interest rates will be lowered for the consecutive time. As a result, this can weaken the Swiss franc.
From a technical point of view, USDCHF has formed a HEAD & SHOULDERS pattern in the one-hour time frame, and under the condition of maintaining the support of the NECK LINE in the range of 0.8833, it can rise to the 88.6% Fibo resistance at 0.8907.
Buy USD/CHF Triangle BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.8853
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.8895
2nd Resistance – 0.8923
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 0.8790. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
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Thank you.
USD/CHF H4 | Rising into overlap resistanceUSD/CHF is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8917 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.8988 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.802 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCHF Pattern FormationThis price has been forming a falling flag for the past few weeks which IMO it is a strong indicator of a long bullish momentum.
As for the now, the price seems to be at major market zone, at 0.883 - 0.885, hence we are waiting for;
1. If the price breaks out and closes above 0.886, the bullish momentum might continue.
2. If the price fails to break out of that zone, it will continue with the bearish momentum and completing the pattern where the target is 0.857
USDCHF Is Approaching a decent resistanceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring USDCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.88800 zone, USDCHF is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.88800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF - Short from trendline !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from trendline + liquidity zone + institutional big figure 0.89000.
Fundamental news: Next week is full of news for USD, on Wednesday (GMT+3) we have Interest Rate and FOMC and on Friday (GMT+3) we have NFP and Unemployment. News with high impact on currency.
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USDCHF Weekly Analysis and OutlookUSDCHF Weekly Analysis and Outlook
This week, the USDCHF pair has shown a strong downward trajectory, closing in a bearish continuation phase. This downward momentum indicates a negative sentiment among traders, suggesting further potential for decline.
Current Market Overview:
The pair has been steadily moving downwards, supported by unfavorable market conditions and bearish sentiment. As it approaches a key resistance zone, traders should closely monitor the price action. A successful rejection at this resistance would likely confirm the continuation of the bearish trend.
Expectations and Potential Scenarios:
Upon retesting the resistance zone, we anticipate that the USDCHF will continue its downward momentum. This rejection could open the door to lower levels, offering traders potential opportunities to capitalize on the bearish trend.
Primary Expectation: If the resistance holds, the price is likely to sustain its downward movement, potentially targeting lower support levels. This scenario would reinforce the bearish outlook, making it a favorable environment for short positions.
Alternative Scenario: However, if the price breaks through the resistance, a temporary pullback could occur. Traders should be prepared for this scenario, as it might provide opportunities to reassess entry points at higher levels before resuming the downward trend.
Conclusion:
In summary, the USDCHF pair is poised for further downward movement following its recent bearish phase. Traders should watch for a decisive rejection at the resistance zone, which could serve as a catalyst for continued declines. Maintaining awareness of both bearish and corrective scenarios will be crucial for effective trading strategies. Stay updated with market developments and adjust your positions accordingly.
By Piptera Digital Solutions,
Invest Wisely!
USD/CHF BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
USD/CHF pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.892 area.
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USD/CHF Continues to Decline After Reversing at 0.9225The USD/CHF currency pair has been on a steady decline following a significant reversal at the 0.9225 level, where the price started to exhibit bearish behavior. This shift in trend has captured the attention of traders and analysts alike, prompting a deeper examination of the market conditions and potential future movements.
In analyzing the Commitments of Traders (COT) report, it becomes evident that positioning has shifted, suggesting a bearish sentiment among large speculators. This insight, combined with seasonal trends, indicates that the USD/CHF pair may be poised for further declines in the short term. Historical data shows that certain periods of the year tend to favor either bullish or bearish movements in currency pairs, and the current seasonality seems to support a continuation of the bearish trend.
Moreover, our supply and demand analysis reveals critical levels where price reactions are likely. The demand area around 0.8680 stands out as a significant support zone. This level has historically acted as a stronghold, where buying interest could potentially reverse the ongoing downtrend. Should the price breach this level, the next demand area to watch is lower, where further price stabilization could occur.
As we monitor these levels, it is crucial to look for confirming patterns before committing to a trade. Patterns such as double bottoms, bullish engulfing candles, or other reversal signals within these demand zones will be key indicators of a potential trend change. By waiting for these confirmations, we aim to minimize risk and increase the probability of a successful trade.
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USDCHF H4 | Bearish reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.8835, which is a pullback resistance and a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.8761, above 161.8% Fibo extension
The stop loss will be at 0.8902, a pullback resistance level close to 78.6% Fibo retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCHF - 4hrs ( Sell Trade Target Range 180 PIP ) Pair Name : USD/CHF
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
Key Technical / Direction ( Short )
Type : Mid Term Swing
———————————
Bearish Break
0.88850 Area
Bullish Reversal
0.87100 Area
USDCHF - Bearish => Bullish!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per our last analysis, attached on the chart, USDCHF rejected the resistance zone and traded lower.
Currently, USDCHF approaching the lower bound of the red channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a support zone marked in blue.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue support and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDCHF approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich