USDCHF TRADE IDEA: SHORT | SELL (18/02)Price has been breaking down ever since. There were clear sweeps and breaks leading to price seeking to stay bearish.
RR: 4.91
N.B.: This is not financial advice. Trade safely and with caution.
Usdchfanalysis
Usdchfwaiting on a nice trade idea to start attacking on a position , we will move somewhere either up or down waiting on the higher timeframes to show us..
USDCHF Uptrend continuation, The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25USDCHF currency pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term The prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation towards the rising support trendline zone.
The key trading level is at 0.8980 level, the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 0.8980 level could target the upside resistance at 0.9050 (20 Day Moving Average) followed by the 0.9100 and 0.9220 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 0.8980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 0.8930 support level followed by 0.8860.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USD/CHF: Avoiding a false dichotomyThe US dollar is in a correction of its uptrend (see EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD etc)
Do we really face a linear option of fade or no trade?
Actually, it might be a false dichotomy .
Going long EUR/USD and GBP/USD (i.e. selling USD) would mean fading the major trend (as per the weekly charts).
But going short USD/CHF (i.e. also selling USD) would not be a counter trend trade because USD/CHF is in a trading range. Selling below resistance in a trading range is a high probability setup.
We can see the topping process on the daily chart, with 0.90 as the broken neckline.
Here the risk is well defined - if the price pops back over 0.90 - the breakdown trade is no longer on but while below 0.90, 0.88 is a natural target as the last major support area and the 30 week moving average.
But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Drop a comment
cheers!
Jasper
USD/CHF Prepares to Break Key Upward ChannelUSD/CHF has dropped more than 1.7% over the past two trading sessions as the U.S. dollar continues to weaken. So far, selling pressure on the U.S. currency remains strong, following disappointing retail sales data, which showed a -0.9% decline compared to the expected -0.2%. This has fueled concerns about a potential economic slowdown in the U.S.
Meanwhile, the Swiss franc, known as a safe-haven asset , has benefited from mixed economic data and the reciprocal tariffs policy announced by the Trump administration. This has kept demand for the franc stable and reinforced a strong bearish bias on USD/CHF.
Breakout of the Upward Channel
Since September 2024, the pair had maintained a solid upward channel, reaching a high of 0.92013. However, selling pressure has intensified, pushing price action below the lower boundary of the channel, which aligns with the 50-period simple moving average (SMA).
If pressure continues to build, the uptrend that has held for months could fade, giving way to a stronger downtrend—especially if price breaks the support zone where it is currently struggling.
MACD Indicator
The MACD line and the signal line both show a strong downward slope, approaching the neutral 0 level. The MACD histogram has also been consolidating near this level, indicating that the moving average trend is turning neutral.
As long as the histogram remains close to zero, it will be difficult for a new trend to emerge in the short term.
TRIX Indicator
The TRIX indicator supports the bearish scenario, as it has started declining sharply and is now approaching the 0 neutral line.
If the TRIX crosses below zero, it would confirm bearish dominance, reinforcing the selling momentum in USD/CHF.
Key Levels to Watch:
0.91746 – Resistance:
A critical level for bullish movements, marking a potential recovery zone for the previous upward channel.
If price rebounds to this level, it could invalidate the bearish trend and restore short-term buying momentum.
0.89978 – Key Support:
The current support level aligns with recent lows from previous sessions, the Ichimoku Cloud barrier zone, and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, highlighting its significance as a key barrier for sellers.
A break below this level would accelerate bearish momentum, confirming the end of the previous uptrend.
0.88930 – Major Support:
A long-term support level, corresponding to neutral price zones from November 2024 and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If the bearish move extends to this point, it could signal the formation of a more significant downtrend in USD/CHF on the daily chart.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.90800 (swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.89000(or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🔴Fundamental Analysis
US Economic Trends: The US economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace in 2025, driven by consumer spending and business investment.
Swiss Economic Trends: The Swiss economy is expected to grow at a slower pace in 2025, driven by exports and investment .
Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, while the Swiss National Bank is expected to maintain a negative interest rate policy.
Trade Policies: The US-Switzerland trade relationship is expected to remain stable, with no major changes in trade policies anticipated.
⚫Macro Economics
Global GDP Growth: The World Bank forecasts global GDP growth to accelerate to 3.4% in 2025, up from 3.2% in 2024 .
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, driven by increasing demand and supply chain disruptions.
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, supporting currency markets.
Unemployment Rate: The global unemployment rate is expected to decline to 5.4% in 2025, driven by job growth in emerging markets.
🔵COT Data
Net Long Positions: Institutional traders have reduced their net long positions in USD/CHF to 35%
COT Ratio: The COT ratio has fallen to 1.6, indicating a bearish trend
Open Interest: Open interest in USD/CHF futures has decreased by 8% over the past month, indicating declining investor interest
🟢Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 40% bullish, 60% bearish
Retail Sentiment: 35% bullish, 65% bearish
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bearish, with a sentiment score of -30
🟡Technical Analysis
Moving Averages: 50-period SMA: 0.9104, 200-period SMA: 0.9034.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 4-hour chart: 38.21, daily chart: 34.14.
Bollinger Bands: 4-hour chart: 0.90200 (lower band), 0.9124 (upper band).
🟠Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for USD/CHF is bearish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected decline in US interest rates, slower Swiss economic growth, and bearish market sentiment are all supporting the bearish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential upside risks, including changes in global trade policies and unexpected economic data releases.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Scenario on USDCHF 13.2.2025In this market we are approaching the vwap level below this level, I would like the sfp below the low if there is no reaction here, then the next valid target for entering the long is the support zone where the previous peak is also located at the price of 0.89215, if I should consider a short position, then the first one is considered around the level of the previous high at the price of 0.91833, the next one is up to the monthly level at the price of 0.92320
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (0.90300) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high or low level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.90700 (swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.89310 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🟤Fundamental Analysis
- The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has maintained a dovish stance, keeping interest rates negative to curb the Swiss franc's appreciation.
- The US Federal Reserve has also maintained a dovish stance, keeping interest rates low to support economic growth.
🔴Macro Analysis
- The US economy has shown signs of slowing down, with GDP growth rate decreasing to 2.1% in Q4 2022.
- The Swiss economy has also shown signs of slowing down, with GDP growth rate decreasing to 0.9% in Q4 2022.
🟠Sentimental Analysis
- Institutional investors have a bearish sentiment towards the USD/CHF pair, with 52% being bearish.
- Hedge funds have decreased their long positions, with a net short exposure of 15%.
- Retail traders have a bullish sentiment towards the USD/CHF pair, with 55% being bullish.
🟡COT Analysis
- The Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that large speculators have increased their short positions, with a net short exposure of 10,000 contracts.
- Commercial traders have decreased their long positions, with a net short exposure of 5,000 contracts.
🔵Positioning
- The USD/CHF pair is experiencing a decrease in net-long exposure, which could be a sign of a potential trend reversal.
- The market positioning is also influenced by the US dollar positioning, which has seen a reduction in net-short exposure against G10 currencies.
🟢Overall Outlook
-Based on the analysis, the USD/CHF pair is expected to move in a bearish trend, with a 55% chance of a downtrend and a 35% chance of an uptrend. However, please note that market predictions can be unpredictable and influenced by various factors.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
USD/CHF "The Swissie" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "The Swissie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 0.91200
Sell Entry below 0.90300
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Target 🎯: -Bullish Robbers TP 0.92400 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 0.89400 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The USD/CHF "The Swissie" Forex market is currently experiencing a neutral trend, with a slight bias towards bullishness., driven by several key factors.
💨Fundamental Outlook:
- Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions will impact USD/CHF. A rate hike could strengthen the dollar.
- Swiss National Bank (SNB): The SNB's monetary policy decisions will influence the Swiss franc's value. A dovish stance could weaken the franc.
- Global Economic Conditions: The ongoing global economic uncertainty and trade tensions could impact USD/CHF
💨Macro Outlook:
- US Economy: The US economy is expected to continue growing, albeit at a slower pace. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions will play a crucial role in shaping the economy.
- Swiss Economy: The Swiss economy is expected to remain stable, with low inflation and a strong labor market. The Swiss National Bank's (SNB) monetary policy decisions will influence the economy.
- Global Economy: The global economy is facing uncertainty due to trade tensions, geopolitical risks, and the COVID-19 pandemic. This could impact USD/CHF.
- Commodity Prices: Commodity prices, particularly oil prices, could influence USD/CHF.
💨Sentimental Outlook:
- Institutional Investors: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
- Retail Traders: 52% bullish, 48% bearish
- Hedge Funds: 58% bullish, 42% bearish
- Large Banks: 60% bullish, 40% bearish
💨Market Sentiment: The market sentiment is slightly bullish, with a majority of investors expecting USD/CHF to rise.
💨COT Data:
Current COT Data (as of January 24, 2024):
- Non-Commercial Traders (Speculators): Net long 53,129 contracts (previous week: net long 49,351 contracts)
- Commercial Traders: Net short 45,678 contracts (previous week: net short 42,191 contracts)
Upcoming COT Data (expected release on February 2, 2024):
- Expected Change: Speculators may increase their net long positions, while commercial traders may reduce their net short positions.
💨Upcoming Events:
- Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: Expected to impact USD/CHF
- SNB Monetary Policy Decision: Will influence the Swiss franc's value
- Global Economic Data Releases: Will provide insights into the global economic outlook
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
UsdChf sell Insight Maybe not today maybe it is going to be the coming week. I'll be patiently waiting for price to come to my point of interest at 0.91062 to short this pair.
I select that zone due to wanting to sell at the Premium zone. I might get tagged or not doesn't matter.
Kindly boost of you find this insightful 🫴
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Takes HitMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Takes Hit
USD/CHF declined and now struggling below the 0.9120 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF declined below the 0.9160 and 0.9120 support levels.
- There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from well above the 0.9180 zone. The US Dollar dropped below the 0.9160 support to move into a negative zone against the Swiss Franc.
The bears pushed the pair below the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.9075. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 0.9040 level. A low was formed near 0.9039 and the pair is now consolidating losses.
On the upside, the pair could face resistance near the 0.9075 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.9196 swing high to the 0.9039 low. The next major resistance is near the 0.9120 level.
The 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.9196 swing high to the 0.9039 low is also near 0.9120, above which the pair could test the 0.9160 zone.
If there is a clear break above the 0.9160 resistance zone, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could even surpass 0.9200.
On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is 0.9040. The first major support is near the 0.9020 level. The next major support is near 0.9000. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward the 0.8880 level in the coming days.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDCHF Updatethis pair has formed and ascending channel on a higher timeframe
and formed also a double top
so now we're waiting for this pair to hit the down trendline of the channel so we can look or a long position on a lower timeframe
once the channel is broken and the candle lose below the last touch we will enter a short position also targeting take profit on 0.76 fib retracement
Follow for more
#USDCHF WEEKLYUSDCHF (Weekly Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is trading near a strong resistance level, where selling pressure has historically increased. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has formed in this area, indicating a potential bearish reversal. This pattern suggests that sellers may take control, leading to a possible move lower.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected as the price faces rejection from resistance and the sell engulfing pattern signals bearish momentum.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the resistance level after confirmation of continued bearish pressure.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the resistance or the high of the sell engulfing candlestick.
- Take Profit: Target lower support levels for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The combination of strong resistance and a sell engulfing pattern suggests bearish sentiment. Confirmation of further downside movement strengthens the case for a short position while ensuring alignment with market trends.
USDCHF short biasI'll be anticipating to short usdChf from 0.91643 taking the Old New York high 0.91611
I didn't see the sell opportunity that happens today to I'm anticipating a pull back to my point of interest then I ride it down.
A believe it's going to be a bearish week.
Please share if you find this insightful 🫴
USDCHF - Bullish continuation !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I expect price to continue bullish price action after filling the gap and rejecting from support zone + institutional big figure 0.91000.
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USDCHF - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
0.89147 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 0.89147 is broken.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.89645 on 01/27/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.91497, 0.92218, 0.94400 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
0.85510
0.86286
0.87474
0.88195
0.89147
0.90367
0.91497
0.92218
0.94400
0.96000
0.99200
1.01453
__________________________________________
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ForecastCity Support Team
USDCHF - Short after filling the imbalance !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill that huge imbalance and then to reject from bearish OB.
Fundamental news: On Wednesday (GMT+2) we will see results of Interest Rate in USA, news with high impact on currency.
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USDCHF TRADE IDEA: SHORT | SELL (28/01)Price had a huge swept and then broke downwards. This was worth looking into.
RR: 2.25
N.B.: This is not financial advice. Trade safely and with caution.
USDCHF - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
0.86129 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
__________________________________________
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. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 BOOST button,
. . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
🙏 Your Support is appreciated!
Let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
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USDCHF TRADE IDEA : LONG | BUY (23/01/25)Price has already tapped in. I’d look for a clear entry before entering. However this is clear - price did not break aggressively on the way down - rather up.
I’m expecting a buy with ≈ RR: 2.5
N.B.: This is not financial advice. Trade safely and with caution.
USDCHF H4 Projection!Price breaks the trend line and closes below. Now, the price retests the trendline and pushes down sharply with an FVG (fair value gap). We expect the rice to mitigate the FVG and then decline further. So initiate short positions partially near the supply and FVG zone after finding a bearish price action structure.
ALERT! USDCHF Ready to Plummet!
ALERT! USDCHF Ready to Plummet!
Extreme Order Block detected!
Entry point confirmed!
#USDCHF WEEKLYUSDCHF (Weekly Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently testing two significant resistance levels: the first being the upper boundary of a channel, and the second a key horizontal resistance zone. Additionally, the formation of a sell engulfing candlestick pattern suggests increased selling pressure at these levels.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected as the price reacts to the dual resistance zones, with bearish momentum likely to push the price lower.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the resistance levels or after confirmation of bearish rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the second resistance level or the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The confluence of the channel resistance, horizontal resistance, and the sell engulfing pattern reflects a bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to dominate the market in the short term. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market momentum.
