DeGRAM | USDCHF short from major resistance levelUSDCHF is trading in the ascending channel; it printed a AB=CD pattern and a butterfly pattern.
The market is showing that the bulls are running out of steam, creating a bearish harmonic pattern.
Confluence level: resistance and fibo extension level of 161.80% and equal measured move.
We expect a bearish move from the confluence level.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Usdchfanalysis
USDCHF - Long from support zone ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a long. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from support zone for a potential long.
Fundamental analysis: Next week is NFP week, news with high impact on USD, so pay attention to the results on Friday to validate the analysis.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
SHORT USD/CHF from .8847I'm SHORT this pair from .8847.
USD/CHF has hit the channel shown. This is a recent area of resistance from 13/2/24.
Price has been overbought since yesterday and now it appears the BULLISH momentum of this pair is waning and the signs are that USD/CHF BEARS are jumping on board.
Although the Pivot Point SuperTrend remains BULLISH, the Andean Oscillator shows a rise in the red SELL line and the green BUY line is heading south and looks like it will cross the signal line soon.
Other confirmation of the BEARISH bias is the falling RSI and the MACD is crossing south whilst the signal bars are shortening.
This has to be considered a risk trade as we don't have every indicator confirming the BEARISH momentum but we are just under WR1 resistance having been above it a few hours ago and the other major consideration is US news at 15:00 being the Manufacturing PMI and Revised UoM Comsumer Sentiment.
Hopefully this trade will be in + numbers and we can get a tight STOP on before the release of the data which will no doubt move the market.
USD/CHF bulls eye move to 0.90The daily chart shows a nice bullish trend on the daily chart. A minor retracement has occurred at the cycle highs, although Thursday's bullish hammer found support at the 100-day EMA, 38.2% Fibonacci level and prior swing high.
RSI (2) is confirming the trend and RSI (14) is above 50 to show bullish momentum of the past three weeks.
Given the bullish trend structure and shallow retracement, the bias is for a bullish breakout and for prices to head towards the 0.9 handle, near a volume cluster from an older trend.
🚨USDCHF is Ready to fall🚨🏃♂️ USDCHF is moving in an Ascending Channel and is currently near the 🔴 Resistance zone(0.891 CHF-0.882 CHF )🔴 and 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡. It also managed to break the Uptrend line .
🔔I expect USDCHF to start to decline after entering the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and at least break down to the 🟢 Support zone(0.874 CHF-0.871 CHF )🟢.
U.S.Dollar/Swiss Franc ( USDCHF ) 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
USDCHF - Look for a long opportunity ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a long. I wait price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to react from support zone.
Fundamental news: Next week is full of news with impact on USD and CHF. On Tuesday we will see results monthly CPI on CHF and monthly and yearly CPI on USD. On Thursday we'll have Retail Sales on USD.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Scalp-sell USDCHF then Buy at the OTEPure technical analysis
We think the picture speaks for itself.
Wait for USDCHF create Change of Character in the short red line, wait for the price to pullback to the red line area and set sell position to 0.5 - 0.618 fib zone. In this area, put buy limit order and set take profit at the previous high (fresh minor resistance).
Cancel setup in change of character doesn't happen.
#USDCHFIn the daily time, it is moving in a descending channel, which according to the previous analysis, I expected a drop to the range of 1.618, which has now corrected below this range, which is approximately 2.618 Fibo of the previous wave. Therefore, if I still expect this correction to continue and the current upward correction can strengthen this scenario, we still have to wait for a new floor of this currency pair. If it can conquer the range of 0.88 units and stabilize above it, the downward scenario can end and enter the return phase, which is currently awaiting correction for this currency pair according to the analysis.
USDCHF - Downside to fill the imbalance ✅ Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here price respected perfectly previous analysis, but for now I expect we to see a pullback price to fill the imbalance lower.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
USD/CHF Retreats Amidst Lower US Treasury YieldsUSD/CHF Retreats Amidst Lower US Treasury Yields
The USD/CHF currency pair is currently navigating a complex landscape, marked by a pullback in the US Dollar, potentially fueled by lower US Treasury yields. Despite the initial cheers from hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve officials, the Greenback finds itself facing challenges, with risk aversion sentiment lending some support. Additionally, the Swiss Franc has experienced selling pressure, triggered by concerns raised by Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Thomas Jordan regarding the impact of CHF's strength on inflation and the broader domestic economy.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the forecast remains clear, indicating a possible continuation of the bearish trend. The failure to breach the resistance at 0.8700, coupled with the rejection at the confluence of the Dynamic trendline and the 78.6% Fibonacci level, suggests that the bears might still have the upper hand. Traders are keenly watching for any signs of a new bearish impulse aligning with the established downtrend.
SNB's Inflation Concerns:
The recent selling pressure on the Swiss Franc can be attributed to SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan's expressed worries about the CHF's strength and its potential impact on the SNB's ability to maintain inflation above zero. This concern arises despite some positive economic indicators, such as a slight increase in Swiss consumer prices in December and an improvement in consumer demand in November.
Economic Indicators:
While recent economic indicators paint a mixed picture, with positive signs in consumer prices and demand, Swiss Producer and Import Prices (YoY) witnessed a decline in December, following a similar trend in November. These more moderate figures may temper the SNB's decision-making in the upcoming meeting, as they grapple with the delicate balance of supporting economic recovery while ensuring inflation remains within a stable range.
SNB's Commitment to Monetary Policy:
In the SNB's last policy update in December, the central bank reiterated its commitment to adjusting monetary policy if necessary to maintain inflation within a range consistent with price stability over the medium term. The cautious stance suggests that despite the recent economic fluctuations, the SNB remains vigilant and ready to act to ensure economic stability.
Conclusion:
As the USD/CHF pair faces headwinds from lower US Treasury yields and the SNB's inflation concerns, traders are keeping a close eye on technical indicators and the broader economic landscape. The failure to breach key resistance levels indicates a potential continuation of the bearish trend. However, the SNB's commitment to adjusting monetary policy underscores the uncertainty in the current economic environment. Traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly, considering both technical and fundamental factors shaping the USD/CHF trajectory.
Our preference
Short positions Below 0.88200 with targets at 0.85200 & 0.8400 in extension.
USDCHF: Experts predict a difficult year for the Swiss Franc“The franc is once more overvalued,” stated David Alexander Meier, economist at Julius Baer Group and pinnacle fourth-region FX forecaster in keeping with Bloomberg.
Mr. David expects the franc to fall approximately 4% from modern tiers with the aid of using the quit of the yr while the Swiss National Bank (SNB) stops assisting the foreign money. This is extra than double the common estimate of economists.
His view is primarily based totally at the SNB`s current U-turn, which signaled that it might possibly ease - if now no longer absolutely reverse - the overseas foreign money income that helped the CHF top in 2015 towards the EUR and EUR. USD. Last week, SNB President Thomas Jordan stated the terrible effect of the highly-priced franc on exporters.
The economist expects the SNB, which has the second one-lowest hobby charge amongst G-10 countries, to begin decreasing hobby prices while inflation in Switzerland stabilizes beneath the 2% goal with the aid of using the quit of this yr. He stated the SNB is not likely to preserve shopping for overseas foreign money reserves, an pastime that has stopped considering that the second one region of 2022. That will placed stress at the franc, even extra than the decline in overseas foreign money income.
The franc rose almost 10% towards the U.S. greenback closing yr, the largest benefit the various G-10 and its best-appearing foreign money considering that 2010. However, till January this yr, CHF has slipped in conjunction with G-10 currencies and misplaced approximately 2.5% of its cost amid a more potent dollar way to developing expectancies of the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) easing economic policy. .
USD / CHF BUYSCurrently trending Bullish so ideally I would prefer to look for a long once the 4h closes above structure and blue zone with a retest and higher high close on a smaller time frame.
Alternatively I would look for a position if the 4 h candle pulls back and rejects from the blue or yellow zones with a 1h bullish engulfing close
USDCHF - Short pattern confirmed ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we have the confirmation of SH + BOS + FVG pattern. Price firstly raided buy side liquidity with a stop hunt then broke the structure and reacted from imbalance (FVG). I expect bearish price action to the support zone.
Fundamental news: Next week is full of news in USA. Firstly on Wednesday we have Interest Rate followed by FOMC Conference, then on Friday NFP and Unemployment Rate. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
USDCHF (H4) Reacts negatively to the 0.618 Fibonacci zoneOANDA:USDCHF USDCHF (H4) Reacts negatively to the 0.618 Fibonacci zone of the previous down wave. With a bearish red candle, we can execute the order:
Sell now at 0.86692
SL at 0.86866
TP1 at 0.86541
TP2 at 0.86364
TP3 at 0.86120
Note: capital management 2%
USDCHF TO 0.84000?Is it time for the USDCHF to head lower?
Let's look at this pair from a technical perspective.
To understand the direction of a pair, we have to first look at the higher timeframes. The monthly, weekly and daily timeframe suggest that this is a downtrend.. It's not a matter of where the trend is headed, because obviously, it's a downtrend..
Since we "know" what trend this is and where it could lead, our job is to look for trading opportunities in this direction. Our job is to SELL.
Do we just wake up and sell? Well, no. We all have our entry patterns, so we do well to employ such methods as we look to trade USDCHF.
We can clearly see reacting to the key level around 0.87000. If price does not violate this key area, then we can be "sure" this could be a lower high. If this level does hold, then price is likely to trade lower into 0.84000.