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Usdchfanalysis

USDCHF - Short pattern confirmed ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF. Technical analysis: Here we have the confirmation of SH + BOS + FVG pattern. Price firstly raided buy side liquidity with a stop hunt then broke the structure and reacted from imbalance (FVG). I expect bearish price action to the support zone. Fundamental news: Next week is full of news in USA. Firstly on Wednesday we have Interest Rate followed by FOMC Conference, then on Friday NFP and Unemployment Rate. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
USDCHF TO 0.84000?Is it time for the USDCHF to head lower? Let's look at this pair from a technical perspective. To understand the direction of a pair, we have to first look at the higher timeframes. The monthly, weekly and daily timeframe suggest that this is a downtrend.. It's not a matter of where the trend is headed, because obviously, it's a downtrend.. Since we "know" what trend this is and where it could lead, our job is to look for trading opportunities in this direction. Our job is to SELL. Do we just wake up and sell? Well, no. We all have our entry patterns, so we do well to employ such methods as we look to trade USDCHF. We can clearly see reacting to the key level around 0.87000. If price does not violate this key area, then we can be "sure" this could be a lower high. If this level does hold, then price is likely to trade lower into 0.84000.
Short
by Men_of_The_Markets
Will It Plunge Lower or Rally Back To 0.88 ??In the closing weeks of 2023, this pair experienced a significant sell off, plunging nearly 500 pips and breaking decisively below the September low. Reflecting on my July trade idea post, the market movement matched my expectations, though it did peak slightly higher than anticipated. So, what's next? As I mentioned back in July, following the rise above 0.88, the next downward phase is expected to target the 2015 depeg low. Pinpointing the exact level is somewhat challenging, as different brokers quote slightly varying figures. However, it's likely in the range of 0.80 to 0.83, with 0.83 seeming more probable. This is supported by lower timeframe analysis, where we've seen price repeatedly dip towards this level and then swiftly rebound - a classic sign of seller fatigue and buyers entering the fray. (refer to image below) I anticipate that the pair's next move will be a rebound towards the newly established Weekly SELL zone, which lies between 0.87 and 0.88. Similar to the July movement, this rally might even extend towards 0.89. Given that it's the first week of the year, I'm approaching this pair with extra caution. A swift drop below 0.83, or lower, is not off the table, especially considering the variance in brokers' 2015 depeg low levels. My plan of attack for this pair is wait for a drop back down towards 0.83 and then start build into a position taking signals of my TRFX indicator from the 4hr to 12hr timeframes. Target for this idea will be the Weekly Sell zone @ 0.87 to 0.88. Once there, I'll closely monitor price action to gauge market reaction at this pivotal level. This zone presents a prime opportunity for sellers to re-enter and drive the market down towards the substantial Monthly and Weekly Buy zones ranging between 0.80 - 0.70. Over the next year or so, I expect the pair to descend to these levels. But before that, a short-term rally to the aforementioned levels seems likely, followed by another significant drop, just as I outlined in my July post. Hope you found this interesting, and Happy New Year!
Long
by TheFxAce
17
Data-Driven Based Support Level for FuturesDuring the strengthening of the franc, option traders actively gained 'naked puts' levels. To create a spread strategy, traders can add a long position in the underlying asset, resulting in a breakeven call or a spread when selling an out-of-the-money call in the same series. This allows the trader to enter the market with no risk or even a small profit immediately. Based on this advantage, we expect a surge in buying activity at the current level or slightly lower.
CME:6SH2024Long
by ClashChartsTeam
USDCHF: USD is calm and trading volume is lowThe dollar traded subdued in early European trading on Monday, with the US holiday keeping trading volume down as traders considered the possibility of an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. At 04:35 ET (09:35 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.1% higher at 102.242, at the start of the holiday. Martin Luther King Jr. The U.S. producer price index unexpectedly fell in December, according to data released Friday, prompting traders to increase bets that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates as early as this year. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market now indicates a 78% chance that the US central bank will begin easing interest rates in March, compared with a 68% chance a week ago. The US data calendar is quiet this week, with the main focus on retail sales data due out on Wednesday. This will be closely watched for signs that consumer spending - the main driver of economic growth - remains resilient in the face of rising interest rates. Retail sales are expected to increase 0.4% in December, after rising 0.3% in November. Investors will also have the opportunity to hear from several Fed officials, including Fed Governor Christoper Waller as well as Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and San Francisco Fed head Mary Daly.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
7 Dimension Analysis For USDCHF 😇 7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: H4, D1 1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish on both time frames 🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS) 🟢 Swing Move: Corrective, indicating a nearly completed sideways move 🟢 Inducement: Liquidity sweep with a long wick candle 🟢 Decisional OB: Mitigated, resistance at CIP with a strong buildup post-breakout, indicating bearish strength in the area 🟢 Traps: Shakeout completed in this area (Arrows) 🟢 Time Frame Confluence: Daily and H4 2️⃣ Pattern 🟢 CHART PATTERNS: Reversal with a triple top observed during this phase, forming a Consolidation Rectangle 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: Notable long wick, Open low/high pattern awaiting confirmation, and an already formed Tower Top 3️⃣ Volume 🟢 Fixed Range: Sell volume predominant in this area 🟢 Low Volume on Breakout: High volume in the purple rectangle area, but without updating Upside move. Expecting a sharp downward move. 4️⃣ Momentum RSI 🟢 Zone: Price in a wide bearish range 🟢 Range Shift: Bearish to sideways shift observed 🟢 Grandfather Father Son: A 6-star selling setup according to this RSI strategy, with an 80% probability 5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands 🟢 Middle Band: No confirmation yet 🟢 Contraction: After an expansion move, the market is now in full contraction mode, making outside-of-the-band closing crucial 🟢 Squeeze Breakout: Anticipated 🟢 Walking on the Band: Awaiting 🟢 Headfake: Two observed 🟢 Band Puncher: Three times observed (For those seeking to learn these concepts in a professional manner, feel free to send me a direct message.) 6️⃣ Strength According to ROC 🟢 Values: CHF 7.19 vs. USD -3.46 7️⃣ Sentiment ☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Done ☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Awaiting 💡 Decision: Sell 🚀 Entry: 0.8474 ✋ Stop Loss: 0.8590 🎯 Take Profit: 0.8133 2nd Exit if Internal Structure changes, also Exit 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 3 🕛 Expected Duration: 15 days SUMMARY: The analysis points toward a bearish sentiment, advocating for a sell decision. The entry is set at 0.8474, with a stop loss at 0.8590, take profit at 0.8133, and a risk-to-reward ratio of 3, expecting completion in approximately 15 days.
Short
by Optimum369
Will USDCHF breakout Tomorrow? (after US Inflation report)Will USDCHF breakout Tomorrow? (after US Inflation report) USDCHF recently surpassed both its 50 and 100-hour moving averages, yet it remains confined within its 2024 trading range. Fluctuations between risk-on and risk-off sentiments keep the pair moving between 0.84635 and 0.85294. Initially, bullish optimism followed comments from Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic, suggesting 2 potential interest rate cuts by the end of 2024. Additional news this week supporting the Swiss franc was the inflation rate in Switzerland rose to 1.7% in December 2023 from 1.4% in the previous month and above forecasts of 1.5%. However, a recent shift towards risk aversion has led investors back to the US Dollar, however without creating a distinct market trend. When will this non-trending market transition into a more trending market? Perhaps at the drop of the US inflation report tomorrow. In the meantime, maintaining a bullish stance depends on the price staying above its elevated 100-hour moving average at 0.85100 and a break of the recent high at 0.8535 could instigate more buying momentum. A drop below this level could shift the bias towards neutrality.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDCHF: Morgan Stanley: Fed will keep interest rates higher for Ellen Zentner, chief U.S. economist at Morgan Stanley, said: "The Fed will cut interest rates this year." But "the Fed can be patient and take its time." Morgan Stanley expects the Fed to cut interest rates for the first time at its June meeting. The Fed will keep interest rates stable for longer than the market expects. But if that happens, there will be more cuts than expected. The first rate cut of 25 basis points will take effect in June. Subsequent rate cuts are expected to occur by 25 basis points at meetings in September, November, and December.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
USDCHF - Look for a short ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H. timeframe perspective, so I am looking for short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to react from institutional big figure 0.85000. Fundamental news: Next week on Friday will be released NFP and Unemployment Rate in USA. News with a lot of impact. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
8
USDCHF - D1\H4USDCHF D1 - Possible completion of the 5th wave structure, which may lead to the beginning of an upward movement to the levels of 0.88790 - 50% of the impulse at W1. H4 - A 3-wave structure has been formed, which can lead to further upward movement, targets which can be seen at 0.86708. It is also worth considering fixation behind the trend line, confirmation of the continuation of the ascending structure. What can you expect? You can consider entering from these levels ~0.85741 with a target of 0.88790 If you use local movement, cancel if the price breaks the minimum of the 2nd wave - 0.85338. If you are considering a long-term forecast, cancel the idea when the minimum of the 1st wave is broken - 0.85078 Long - local Target 0.85854 - 0.86115 - 0.86337 - 0.86708 Long Target 0.86115 - 0.86708 - 0.87908 - 0.88790
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
USDCHF H1, POSSIBLE SHORT from the RESISTANCEHello Traders! This is my perspective for USDCHF H1. I see a strong resistance level, exactly at the same level we can see an Order Block (price 0.87500). I expect a retracement from that level until the new WL (weekly low). Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ______________________________________________________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
Short
by GoodTradeST
4