USDCHF Long Term selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDCHF DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDCHF analysis 👆
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Usdchfanalysis
USDCHF: The US dollar rose on unemployment claims data, mixed The USD DXY index rose 0.30% to 103.90 as recent economic data and the Federal Reserve's minutes presented a complex scenario for investors to navigate. The increase came after the number of initial jobless claims was announced at 209,000, lower than expected. Despite this positive sign, investors are also considering a sharp decline in durable goods orders in October, down 5.4%.
The latest minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) show persistent concerns about inflation, suggesting that these concerns will influence future policy decisions. This led to a rise in U.S. Treasury yields across a range of maturities as investors digested mixed economic data. Looking ahead, market participants do not expect an interest rate hike in November. Instead, there are speculations that interest rates could be cut as early as March or May next year. This sentiment is reflected in the DXY technical analysis. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained unchanged near oversold conditions, which could indicate a resurgence of buying pressure. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bar is still moving sideways in the red zone, indicating near-term bearish momentum.
Despite these mixed signals, the USD remains below the 20-day and 100-day SMAs (simple moving averages), but remains above the key 200-day SMA support. This position suggests that long-term bullish sentiment against the dollar may still exist despite the current bearish trend.
The dollar continues to assert its dominance in global finance, playing a central role in foreign exchange markets with a daily trading volume of more than $6.6 trillion, based on last year's data. This dominance highlights the currency's far-reaching influence and its resilience in the face of economic instability and changes in monetary policy.
USDCHF: Weak US CPI weighs heavily on the dollarAs anticipation that the Federal Reserve would terminate the monetary tightening cycle increased due to slowing U.S. inflation, the U.S. dollar made a slight recovery in early European trading on Wednesday.
The Dollar Index, which measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of six other currencies, increased by 0.1% to 104.057 at 03:05 ET (08:05 GMT), not far from a two-month low on Friday. In three, 103.98.
Tuesday saw a significant decline in the value of the US dollar after statistics revealed that US consumer prices were unchanged in October but increased 3.2% year over year, less than anticipated, following a 3.7% increase in September.
The most important factor in determining whether the Fed will continue to tighten policy is stable inflation, particularly when inflation increased more than
USDCHF - Potential short ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: As I expected in my previous analysis price delivered bearish move. Now I wait for a retracement price to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.90000.
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USDCHF → Trades near 0.8870FX:USDCHF lost more than 100 pips in the previous session, due to the downbeat US inflation data. The USD/CHF pair extends the losses, trading near 0.8870 during the European session on Wednesday.
A decisive break below the latter could push the USD/CHF pair to reach the support region near 0.8800 psychological level lined up with September’s low at 0.8795.
The technical indicators for the USD/CHF pair reveal a bearish outlook. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) below the 50 level indicates downward pressure, signaling a bearish momentum and reflecting a weaker market sentiment.
On the upside, the psychological level at 0.8900 appears as the immediate resistance, followed by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 0.8922. A firm break above the level could inspire the USD/CHF pair to explore the next resistance around the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.8986.
Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line, although below the centerline, is positioned above the signal line. This suggests a somewhat tepid momentum in the USD/CHF pair, indicating a less pronounced bearish sentiment.
USDCHF → Bears regain controlThe FX:USDCHF plunged sharply on Tuesday, more than 1.40%, with the pair dropping to new two-month lows of 0.8879 after hitting a daily high of 0.9027, sponsored by soft US economic data. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 0.8883, down 0.07% as Wednesday’s Asian session begins.
The daily chart portrays the pair with a bearish bias. The USD/CHF drop below the 200-day moving average (DMA) at 0.8994 accelerated the downtrend, which witnessed a break of the latest cycle low seen on October 24 at 0.8887. Downside risks remain if USD/CHF tumbles toward the August 30 swing low of 0.8745, ahead of testing the 0.8700.
For a bullish resumption, USD/CHF buyers must reclaim 0.8900 to remain hopeful of lifting prices toward the 200-DMA at 0.8993, ahead of the 0.9000 figure. A breach of the latter, the next resistance will be the November 13 high at 0.9052.
USDCHF - Bearish price action ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a short position. I expect bearish price action from here as price almost filled the imbalance and rejected from that zone. My target is sell side liquidity around 0.89500.
Fundamental news: Next week on Tuesday will be released monthly and yearly CPI in USA, as well on Wednesday will be released monthly PPI and Retail Sales. News with impact on USD, so pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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Usdchf ShortIf we look at usdchf on weekly time frame we see a bearish trend, and at a current weekly state it is a continuity price movement to the downside we should anticipate. On H4 time frame we exhibit price undergoing shift of market structure to the downside around the premium pricing area, so now we would go down to 15m time frame and oversee a confirmed price action to the downside, we also wanna see SMS on 15m structures.
JPMorgan: In the future, CHF might be "more expensive"JPMorgan: In the future, CHF might be "more expensive"
Although there are obstacles that could hinder the franc's ascent, they don't seem to be halting it as of now. Furthermore, even if the currency has witnessed the largest short-selling bets in the past two years as the surge continues, any increases in Middle East tensions or central bank action might drive up the price of the currency.
Following the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel, Andreas Koenig, head of global currency management at Amundi, changed his position on the franc from negative to neutral, saying that "it would be a mistake to undervalue it in the current situation."
"It was not our intention to escalate the ongoing confrontation
USD/CHF Sell Opportunity - Swing Trade - 0.90000 Key ResistanceI have just taken a sell position on USD/CHF expecting some strong selling pressure over the next coming weeks.
From a technical perspective we can see price has come into 0.90000 level which is a key area of daily / weekly resistance where in the past the market has reacted to favourably.
I am expecting again a strong reaction from this area.
I will not be going into the entry confirmation for this trade.
Stoploss is going to be at the high of the current daily candle.
Targets have been outlined within the screenshot provided.
USDCHF: Fed officials want to continue assessing the yield Several hawkish Fed policymakers spoke on Tuesday, saying that the tightening of financial conditions since July (10-year Treasury yields have risen more than 100 basis points) is likely to affect the economy, although it will take some time to become apparent. It was suggested that it may have a debilitating effect. Is this sustainable?
"We've seen some encouraging progress on inflation, but it remains too high," Dallas Fed President Laurie Logan said at a news conference in Kansas City. The key question for me is whether the fiscal situation we find ourselves in is restrictive enough to raise inflation to 2% in a timely and sustainable manner. ”
Fed Governor Christopher Waller said in a speech in St. Louis that the rate hike was a "shock" to the bond market, but another board member, Michelle Bowman, told the Ohio Bankers Federation that officials said it was too early to know the full story. The effects of this "shock".
Officials last week kept interest rates unchanged for two consecutive days at 5.25-5.5%, the highest level in 22 years. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has suggested that there is no longer a need to raise interest rates, arguing that rising yields will cool the economy.
Since then, yields have fallen slightly as investors remain optimistic that the Fed is done tightening.
USDCHF: 07/11/2023: Looks Bearish
Well, as you can see, the price dropped after sweeping the liquidity and creating a valid order block.
On the other hand, the price broke the previous low and shifted the market structure so now we searching for sell.
There is a breaker block that the price entered into, if the price can break this breaker block we can expect to move higher to the bearish order block, and then with LTF confirmation, we can execute the sell position.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓07/11/2023
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MSS in USDCHF … the trend is bearishAs it is clear from the chart, USDCHF hits a higher high near 0.91 and at Friday we can clearly see a Market Structure Shift from bullish to bearish … the target for the down trend move is 0.888 and there is a 4H FVH above current market price which can make be a good sell setup entry.
USDCHF: The USD fell on hopes that the Fed would stop raising inAs traders reinforced their wagers that the Fed would stop hiking interest rates, the USD index and dollar index futures both dropped 0.5% in Asian trading, prolonging losses from the previous day.
Chairman Jerome Powell adopted a less hawkish posture than markets had anticipated by admitting that monetary conditions had tightened somewhat in recent months, even as the Fed maintained interest rates unchanged as anticipated. That.
Powell does not completely rule out raising interest rates one more time. But the market saw his remarks as a signal that the Fed will no longer be raising interest rates and will probably be cutting them by the middle of 2024.
However, rates are predicted to stay over 5% until at least the end of 2024, even if the Fed decides not to raise rates any further. This implies a constrained upside.
USDCHF: The market waits for the announcement of US government Due to investor demands for compensation for interest rate and geopolitical risks, as well as worries about oversupply as the Fed tightens monetary policy, both the bond and equity markets are volatile.
Because of this, the market will be much more interested in the capital mobilization announcement on November 1st, including details about the scope and duration of the bond bidding.
According to Josh Emanuel, chief investment officer at Wilshire, "the cause of volatility in bond yields is the imbalance between supply and demand in the market today." While some believe that Fed communications are less significant than issues, I believe that both are crucial.