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Usdchfanalysis

USDCHF Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe USD/CHF currency pair has exhibited bullish tendencies on the higher time frame. Currently, we are witnessing a significant retracement as price has encountered resistance. In the accompanying video, we explore a potential trading opportunity, contingent upon the development of favorable price action. We identify key support and resistance levels, along with an optimal entry point based on a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. The discussion encompasses chart patterns, price action analysis, and a particular form of price behavior that, if advantageous, would warrant market entry. As a disclaimer, the information provided is solely for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading carries inherent risks, and it is imperative to implement sound risk management practices at all times.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
1
USDCHF - A Godsend In addition to my longer-term swing trade (if not already a position trade) in the form of a USDCHF long with a profit target of +760 pips, seen here I am also entering a "shorter-term" USDCHF long trade here at 0.83600, with a target of 0.87100. Thus a good +340 pips would be possible here. The probability that the weakness of the USDCHF will also come to an end by the end of the year tomorrow at the latest is exorbitantly high and the CRV at these levels is more palatable than ever. Otherwise, the fundamental reasons remain the same as in the longer-term trade above. -> The SNB will no longer be happy with the current levels of the CHF as soon as it returns from its skiing holiday in the Swiss Alps.
Long
by PrimeTrading
14
FX Wars Episode 5 - The (USD) Empire strikes back!I go long the USD vs CHF here from 0.843. I give the trade a high probability of 80% to be a winner, lets see! Once upon a time in an FX universe far, far away... The (supposedly) evil US(D) empire was pushed to the brink of defeat by the CHF rebellion, but "something" suddenly happened... ...life stirred into the USD again and it was sent back to fulfil its task (the bondage of all other currencies). What that "something" was I will unravel after the (profitable) end of this trade. USD facts: - The market is pricing in almost 7 rate cuts for 2024 -> this is diametrically opposed to the expectations of the FED members, who expect a total of 3 rate cuts for 2024 - Is the market once again too euphoric here and is frontrunning itself with possible rate cut fantasies? -> I would like to leave this question open for now, as I also expect more than 3 interest rate cuts by the FED in 2024 But the fact is: market expectations can only be fulfilled if either A) there is a recession in the USA and or B) inflation permanently falls below the 2% mark CHF view: The SNB is currently on Christmas holiday and is probably letting loose while skiing in the Swiss mountains followed by apres-ski party hits. But as soon as the party is over and the hangover is felt all the harder in the new year, the Swiss National Bank will have a heart attack when it looks at the value of the franc. -> It is now more "overvalued" than it was during the corona crisis, when the SNB had to intervene to actively weaken the CHF - Now these are completely different circumstances under which the SNB has to operate and yet it can be anything but satisfied with the strength of the franc... More on this later in the comments...
Long
by PrimeTrading
2
SHORT USD/CHF from .9040Apround the 13th March the price of USD/CHF broke through the key 200 EMA on the H1 time frame. Around the 20th March, the price returned to the 200 and this acted as solid support. AT the end of last week, we saw the price return to the 200 and make several attempts to break through. Although these BEARISH breaks were successful they were met with determined BULLISH replies and price moved back above the 200 but did not make any further progress north. A look at the charts currently (13:30 9/4/24) sees the price of USD/CHF being squeezed back under the 200 by the 100, 50 and 25 EMA. This is significant. This indicates that USD/CHF are losing the battle to holf the 200 and I~m now in SHORT from .9040. Currently (on H1 time frame) the 25 50 and 100 EMA's are reading .9018/.9021/9016 and I expect/anticipate that we'll see the 25, 50 and 100 EMA's begin to cross over each other (south) and in an hour or two we will see the faster EMA's start attacking the 200 which would be very BEARISH for USD/CHF. Adding to this anlaysis is: a). price is now under the 200 EMA. b). RSI declining c). Fast and slow MACD lines crossing south over the zero line d). Andean Oscillator red SELL line rising as the green BUY line declines. All in all its hard to see where USD/CHF can go other than south from these levels.
Short
by forextraplaces
USD/CHF Consolidation and Potential Sell OpportunityThe USD/CHF currency pair currently shows signs of entering a consolidation phase, indicating a period of price stability and reduced volatility. Traders observing this consolidation pattern may seek potential trading opportunities as the market prepares for its next directional move. Trade Recommendation: Considering the current market conditions, traders may consider a sell position on the USD/CHF pair. This potential trade setup suggests entering a sell position when the price of the pair drops below the 0.89980 levels. Disclaimer: It is important to note that all trading decisions should be made with careful consideration of one's own risk tolerance, financial situation, and trading strategy. This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading foreign exchange (forex) and other financial instruments involves significant risk, and past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Traders should conduct their own thorough analysis and seek advice from qualified financial professionals before making any trading decisions. The author and publisher of this analysis do not accept any liability for any loss or damage resulting from reliance on the information provided herein.
Short
by Maven_Trader24
SEEL STOP USD/CHF from .9032 (price now .9056)The price on USd/CHF hit the WR1 pivot 3 candles ago (H1 time frame) and since thenm we've seen 2 doji candles and the current candle which has 15m to complete looks liek it may well be another doji. Doji candles are NOT reversal candles as some think. They are indecision candles. Its clear that WR1 has seen some sustained BEARISH pressure and there is a battle royal happening around WR1 (.9057) and the BULS and BEARS are striving for domination. The BULLS look like they all to do to hold these levels. We've been in and out of overbought for 13 hours and RSI is currently 72.52. MACD on H1 is moving into negative (slow MA reading lower than fast MA) although currently is stalemate. The Pivot Point SuperTrend is still BULLISH on 15M but we do have a 11 dots of resistance at .9063. Andean Oscillator has seen a drop to flat for the green BUY line although since the drop this line has been climbing. All 3 values on the Andean Oscillator are currently grouped at .00060 (green) .00056 (red) and .00064 (signal line) so we can expect to see these value spread over the next hour or so. If the green BUY line declines and the red SELL line rises, we will have a SHORT opportunity so I have a SELL STOP at .9032 with a STOP above (.9063) and a target of .8939 though much could happen should this trade trigger. No news scheduled until tomorrow so the market will drive the price and I expect this trade to trigger in the next hour or so.
Short
by forextraplaces
USDCHF Long ViewCentral banks have had their say for Q1 and there were arguably two surprises, both from central banks that have deployed negative interest rates in the recent past. The Bank of Japan decided to exit negative rates and the Swiss National Bank (SNB), in a surprise decision, voted to cut their benchmark interest rate – the first of the major central banks to do so. Lower inflation forecasts for Switzerland and meagre growth lay the foundation for further easing to come from the often-unpredictable SNB before Chairman Thomas Jordan steps down in September. In contrast, The Fed requires more confidence that recent hotter-than-expected inflation is headed towards the 2% target on a consistent basis while growth and the labour market remain resilient – supporting the dollar. CONTRASTING FUNDAMENTALS PRESENT AN OPPORTUNITY FOR USD/CHF IN Q2 Now that the SNB has pulled the trigger and cut rates, this allows other central banks to consider the doing the same. However, being the first mover, the Swiss Franc opened itself up to currency depreciation due to a worsening of interest rate differentials. For other nations still experiencing stubborn inflation, this would have been a concern but given the franc’s undesirable appreciation and Switzerland’s impressively low CPI (1.2% in February) – the decision to cut actually makes sense for the EU member state.
Long
by FXBANkthe8055
USDCHF - Confluence for a long ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. I have a point of interest where there are confluence arguments for a long position, this one is if price fills the imbalance lower and rejects from S/R zone + FIBO 0.5 level + institutional big figure 0.89000. Fundamental news: Next week on Friday we have NFP and Unemployment Rate in USA, news with high impact on USD. As well, on Thursday we have monthly CPI on CHF. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Long
by Snick3rSD
4
USDCHF SWING TRADE OF 1O41 PIPS READ DESCRIPTIONBased on the provided analysis, let's elaborate on the potential trade setup for USD/CHF: 1. **Buying Zone**: USD/CHF is currently within a buying zone at the daily timeframe, suggesting a favorable area for long positions. This zone is identified as being around 0.89800, indicating a level where institutions and significant players are heavily accumulating long positions. The profit target (TP) for this trade is set at 0.90200, representing the desired price level for profit-taking. 2. **COT Reports Analysis**: The Commitments of Traders (COT) report indicates a substantial bullish scenario, with 80,000 long positions and 40,000 short positions. This suggests a strong bullish sentiment among institutional traders, reinforcing the potential for upward price movement. 3. **Trader Sentiments**: Trader sentiments show that 62% of traders are holding long positions, while 38% are holding short positions. This sentiment aligns with the bullish bias indicated by the COT reports, further supporting the potential for an upward movement in USD/CHF. 4. **Technical Analysis Indicators**: - Daily Summary: The daily summary shows a predominantly bullish sentiment, with 90 buy signals, 23 neutral signals, and 12 sell signals. - Moving Averages: There are 12 buy signals, 1 sell signal, and 1 neutral signal in the moving averages, indicating a bullish bias. - Oscillators: In the oscillator category, there are 12 buy signals, 3 sell signals, and 2 neutral signals, further reinforcing the bullish sentiment. - Other Technical Indicators (EMA, SMA, RSI, Stochastic, Stochastic RSI, ATR, Intraday Range, CCI, MACD, HMA, Bull Bear Power, VWMA): These indicators all signal buying opportunities, indicating a strong bullish bias. 5. **Trade Parameters**: - Profit Target: The profit target for this trade is set at 1041 pips, which represents an 11.54% profit potential. This suggests a significant profit-taking opportunity. - Multiple Take Profit Levels (TPs): There are 6 TP levels indicated by yellow horizontal lines, providing traders with various opportunities to scale out of their positions as the price progresses towards the profit target. In conclusion, the technical analysis, combined with COT reports and trader sentiments, suggests a strong bullish outlook for USD/CHF. The trade setup presents a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with a clear profit target and multiple take profit levels to capture potential gains along the way. However, traders should remain vigilant and monitor the trade closely, adjusting their positions as per market dynamics and risk management principles.
Long
by MOAZAM1133
USDCHF SHORT 650 PIPS READ DESCRIPTIONThe analysis for USD/CHF indicates that the currency pair is currently at a major resistance and supply zone, ranging from 0.90117 to 0.89700. This zone has attracted significant attention from big players and institutions, who have been actively entering short orders in bulk. The latest data reveals that there were 29,160 short entries and 11,000 long entries from big players and institutions. This results in an overall net short position of 57% and a net long position of 14%. Over the last three months, the total net position of shorts has been 79%, while longs accounted for 21% of the market sentiment. In our trade strategy, we set a 40-pip stop loss to manage potential losses. With a target of 657.8 pips and a profit potential of 7.33%, the risk-to-reward ratio stands at a favorable 7.43. This indicates that the potential reward significantly outweighs the risk. Additionally, we have set four target prices to secure profits at various levels, providing flexibility in managing the trade and locking in gains as the price moves in our favor. It's essential to always manage risk diligently in trading. Traders should adhere to their risk management strategies, including setting stop losses, controlling position sizes, and diversifying portfolios, to protect their capital from significant losses. By prioritizing risk management, traders aim to ensure the longevity of their trading endeavors and navigate market uncertainties effectively. In summary, the analysis suggests a bearish outlook for USD/CHF, supported by the presence of a major resistance and supply zone and favorable institutional sentiment. By implementing a well-defined trading strategy and managing risk effectively, traders aim to capitalize on potential price movements while safeguarding their investments.
Short
by MOAZAM1133
3