USD/CHF ReversalTechnical Analysis
Looking for a reversal and to ease into some short term positions for USD/CHF, some great low risk short opportunities have present themselves.
RSI: Holding Over 70 indicating the currency is still being overbought, however have had a sharp declined indicating bears gaining momentum.
MACD: Giving off a valid short signal, as can be seen through the crossing of the MACD line through the Signal line.
Something of note is the massive disparity in the volume indicator; we can see on Thursday May 10th we had a huge spike in volume in USD/CHF and have dropped significantly which suggests less interest in the currency usually associated with 'sell signals', although its not indicative in itself therefore should be utilised with other indicators.
Usdchfforecast
USDCHF SHORT (LONGTERM)Analysis:
I've seen USDCHF show 5 waves down to create an 'A' wave, and then retrace towards the origin of the impulse (B wave)
it has hit the reversal zone at current price.
Hypothesis:
I am looking for latent short orders to kick in at current levels and a bit above.
Price should stall at this reversal area I have identified between the 2 red lines.
Price is projected to go to the 78.6/88.6 Fibonacci numbers of the previous larger timeframe impulsive wave creating the wave 'C'.
Risk Management:
Trade potential 5:1 +
Take off half at 2:1, and move stops to Break even. Let rest ride to Target.
If you are concerned going short against short term bullish momentum.. you can wait for a 1D bearish candle before entry.
PS: If my analysis is to your liking... please like the post & subscribe. Thanks.
USDCHF profit target reached, prepare for a bounceBuy above 0.9264. Stop loss at 0.9199. Take profit at 0.9438.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has dropped perfectly from our selling area to our profit target. We prepare to buy above major support at 0.9264 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support, bullish exit) for a bounce up to at least 0.9438 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major support above 6.5% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
USDCHF H4 Key AreaThe price is sitting within a very important area containing the monthly support / resistance and also a powerful demand / supply zone. At the moment it is pushing to break the monthly pivot along with the 78.60% fib level, I will not be entering until there is a clear break of this blue zone and a show of power to the upside. Possibly then heading back to the 0.98331 resistance price.
USDCHF Bullish BreakoutHere you have the Swiss Franc setting up for another push higher. After breaking the long term down trend line it appears as if it is ready to break above the short term down trend line. The safe trade is to enter the long position once the short term down trend line is broken with a stop below the low established at the 50% fib level that coincides with the backside of the long term trend line.
USDCHF H4 *Short Opportunity*We've got this pair currently rejecting 23.60 Fib level but I believe it will push through this. USDJPY is moving in the same direction and these pairs like to move together, I will be shorting this down to 0.98364 support area. Could see a retrace back to the same fib level but have some US news coming up later where the outlook looks negative, so may not want to retrace and straight fall.
Usdchf view on daily charts We have simply two view on usdchf ,,
Fist it make double bottom and now on neckline and if break neckline then going to up 1.0050 level
2nd its very important resistance level if hold this resistance level this going down to 0.9450 level
Note |: Due to dollar strong we favor its going long ,, its my personal view ,,
Good luck and trade with care
Asad Ullah
USDCHF testing major resistance, remain bearishSell below 0.9734. Stop loss at 0.9756. Take profit at 0.9675.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is now testing major resistance at 0.9734 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) and we expect a strong reaction from this level to drive price down to at least 0.9675 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support, Fibonacci extension).
RSI (34) has broken below our long term ascending support-turned-resistance line signalling that a change in momentum is about to be seen in price. It is also now on pullback resistance.
USDCHF right on selling area, remain bearishSell below 0.9762. Stop loss at 0.9811. Take profit at 0.9641.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is once again right on our selling area. We remain bearish below major resistance at 0.9762 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, bearish divergence) for a drop from this level to at least 0.9641 support (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is seeing strong resistance below our 98% level where multiple reactions had occurred in the past. We also see bearish divergence vs price signalling that a drop is impending.
Correlation analysis: We’re seeing a drop on USDCHF and similarly a bounce on EURUSD which goes in line with its negative correlation with each other.
Dollar's comebackAs what you all have already known, I am a big fan of the Fakey setup as this is a strong signal which follows a strong movement day after.
From yesterday's session. the USDCHF Forex pair has formed a fakey bar by easily erasing the losses made during yesterday's Asian session. For those who do not know, Asian sessions are mostly 'fake' movements. I need not broaden my reasoning for entering this trade as saying it formed a fakey bar is enough.