USD/CHF Drops Below 100 SMA Is More Losses Ahead?FxNews —USD/CHF pulled back from the 38.2% Fibonacci level and flipped below the 100-period SMA. The immediate resistance rests at 0.870; if it holds, the bears will likely extend the downtrend to 0.857.
A close above the 0.870 critical resistance invalidates the USD/CHF bearish strategy.
Usdchfforexsignal
USDCHF: 04/04/2024Dear Traders,
I wanted to provide you with an update on the USDCHF currency pair. As you know, the DXY has been extremely bullish since the beginning of February, and this has caused the USDCHF to rally without any major corrections. This has been supported by both fundamental and technical factors.
However, we are now seeing some strong bearish behavior on the USD, and this is likely to have a significant impact on USD pairs. In particular, we have some major news coming up tomorrow that is likely to affect the USD pairs significantly.
I will keep you updated on the situation as it develops.
good luck and trade safe
#USDCHF: 500+ Pips Upcoming Bearish Move, Let not miss it! FX:USDCHF
Price has changed the character and turned bearish since last few weeks. indicating price to drop further, currently price is making small correction on daily timeframe. However, there is a strong bearish area which in our view price will be heading towards. In our opinion, if you are planning to trade on USDCHF please wait for price to complete it correction and once the behaviour changes you can enter a sell entry accordingly to your plan and analysis. Thanks.
Team Setupsfx_
#USDCHF:600+ Buying Chance, One Not to Miss!Dear Traders,
We are approaching a key level where we can see strong sellers hammering the price to hit 0.8500. That area is likely to be retested once more before the price continue uprising towards 0.9100 area.
For more info, please read the chart carefully. The charts says about future of this pair.
Good luck and trade safe .
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USDCHF BUY TF H4 TP = 0.8959On the H4 chart the trend started on Aug. 06 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 0.8959
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
#USDCHF: 878+ PIPS Swing Buy In Making! Good Luck! Dear Traders,
OANDA:USDCHF
Price has been dropping since we had a change of character, there are many factors that are helping in USDCHF to drop. The mainly the first reason is CHF dominance in the market, CHF has been bullish ever since Gold continued the bullish trend, CHF, AUD and GOLD all of these three are positively correlated. Other fundamental reason is the blooming fear of recession in the US Market, on Friday we saw indices and stocks drop record high similarly to the first announcement of covid lockdown. USD index saw sharp drop due to this and it is likely that price will continue to do that on dxy index.
USD runs back to the downside after brief run higher after PPIThe USD has run back to the downside, after a brief move higher after the higher than expected PPI data:
GBPUSD: The GBPUSD is extending to a new high for the year and new high going back to July 27 when the price hit 1.2995 (just short of 1.3000). The old high and the natural resistance at the 1.3000 to give traders some cause for pause from a technical perspective, with stops on a break to the upside.
USDCHFThe USD/CHF pair is currently in a bearish trend on the 4-hour timeframe, following a descending trendline and the Elliott Wave 12345 pattern. The price has just touched the descending trendline and completed the 4th wave, indicating a potential move towards the 5th wave. Traders may anticipate further downward movement in line with the ongoing bearish trend.
USD/CHF downtrend pauses for breath ahead of SNBThere is quite a bit of uncertainty with today's SNB rate decision, over whether they'll cut or hold. And that has seen the 1--day implied volatility level more than double its 20-day average. The market is clearly in a downtrend on the daily chart, having broken key support on Tuesday.
Prices are now consolidating above the weekly S1 pivot on the hourly chart. If the SNB do cut and spark a rebound on USD/CHF, the preference is to step aside and seek evidence of a swing high. This is because we now know the SNB no longer want a weaker currency, so any upshot today is likely to be temporary. And this scenario would be preferred as it allows for an improved reward to risk ratio.
However, as the decline of the inflation rate rate is slowing, growth was stronger than expected and the SNB do not want a weaker currency, a hold seems more likely. In which case, a move towards 0.88 is on the cards near the high-volume node of the prior uptrend and the lower 1-day implied volatility band.
USDCHF Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe USD/CHF currency pair has exhibited bullish tendencies on the higher time frame. Currently, we are witnessing a significant retracement as price has encountered resistance. In the accompanying video, we explore a potential trading opportunity, contingent upon the development of favorable price action. We identify key support and resistance levels, along with an optimal entry point based on a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. The discussion encompasses chart patterns, price action analysis, and a particular form of price behavior that, if advantageous, would warrant market entry. As a disclaimer, the information provided is solely for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading carries inherent risks, and it is imperative to implement sound risk management practices at all times.
USDCHF Long ViewCentral banks have had their say for Q1 and there were arguably two surprises, both from central banks that have deployed negative interest rates in the recent past. The Bank of Japan decided to exit negative rates and the Swiss National Bank (SNB), in a surprise decision, voted to cut their benchmark interest rate – the first of the major central banks to do so.
Lower inflation forecasts for Switzerland and meagre growth lay the foundation for further easing to come from the often-unpredictable SNB before Chairman Thomas Jordan steps down in September. In contrast, The Fed requires more confidence that recent hotter-than-expected inflation is headed towards the 2% target on a consistent basis while growth and the labour market remain resilient – supporting the dollar.
CONTRASTING FUNDAMENTALS PRESENT AN OPPORTUNITY FOR USD/CHF IN Q2
Now that the SNB has pulled the trigger and cut rates, this allows other central banks to consider the doing the same. However, being the first mover, the Swiss Franc opened itself up to currency depreciation due to a worsening of interest rate differentials. For other nations still experiencing stubborn inflation, this would have been a concern but given the franc’s undesirable appreciation and Switzerland’s impressively low CPI (1.2% in February) – the decision to cut actually makes sense for the EU member state.
USDCHF: USD is calm and trading volume is lowThe dollar traded subdued in early European trading on Monday, with the US holiday keeping trading volume down as traders considered the possibility of an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
At 04:35 ET (09:35 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.1% higher at 102.242, at the start of the holiday. Martin Luther King Jr.
The U.S. producer price index unexpectedly fell in December, according to data released Friday, prompting traders to increase bets that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates as early as this year.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market now indicates a 78% chance that the US central bank will begin easing interest rates in March, compared with a 68% chance a week ago.
The US data calendar is quiet this week, with the main focus on retail sales data due out on Wednesday. This will be closely watched for signs that consumer spending - the main driver of economic growth - remains resilient in the face of rising interest rates.
Retail sales are expected to increase 0.4% in December, after rising 0.3% in November.
Investors will also have the opportunity to hear from several Fed officials, including Fed Governor Christoper Waller as well as Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and San Francisco Fed head Mary Daly.
#USDCHF: Swing trade loading! Patience Pays;)Hello Everyone,
hope you all are having a great weekend, quick update on #usdchf. Price have consolidated for couple of week due to low volume in the market. While Chf have been bullish over USD as chf is considered as one of the safe heaven currency index. In this uncertainty time investors have shown more interest toward chf and jpy, therefore tomorrows data will be crucial for this pair future.
Like and comment if you agree with the idea.
USDCHF - CURRENT SITUATION#USDCHF
- At this point, USDCHF is going down a bit. But with US PMI DATA and LABOR DATA being POSITIVE, USDCHF was BUY until last Friday. And FED UPDATES were very NEGATIVE. Hence, the CHF automatically rose against the USD in the previous days. Anyway, SWISS NATIONAL BANK has come out of NEGATIVE RATES. Anyway, RETAIL SALES POSITIVE came in US.
- Currently, the MARKET is becoming RISK ON and USD is a bit WEAK because of that. Anyway, the FED MEETING is scheduled to be held today. Yesterday US CPI data was NEGATIVE. That's why USD was WEAK yesterday.
- There is definitely a high chance that USDCHF will go UP a bit more and move to the 0.9214 LEVEL. Anyway, the price of USDCHF can go down to 0.8600 LEVEL after the FED EVENT. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.
USDCHF - CURRENT SITUATION#USDCHF
- At this point, USDCHF is going down a bit. But with US PMI DATA and LABOR DATA being POSITIVE, USDCHF was BUY until last Friday. And FED UPDATES were very NEGATIVE. Hence, the CHF automatically rose against the USD in the previous days. Anyway, SWISS NATIONAL BANK has come out of NEGATIVE RATES. Anyway, RETAIL SALES POSITIVE came in US.
- Currently, the MARKET is becoming RISK ON and USD is a bit WEAK because of that. Anyway, the FED MEETING is scheduled to be held today. Yesterday US CPI data was NEGATIVE. That's why USD was WEAK yesterday.
- There is definitely a high possibility that USDCHF will go UP a little more and move to the 0.9462 LEVEL. Anyway, USDCHF price can go down to 0.8860 level after FED EVENT. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.