Usdchfidea
USDCHF Pattern FormationThis price has been forming a falling flag for the past few weeks which IMO it is a strong indicator of a long bullish momentum.
As for the now, the price seems to be at major market zone, at 0.883 - 0.885, hence we are waiting for;
1. If the price breaks out and closes above 0.886, the bullish momentum might continue.
2. If the price fails to break out of that zone, it will continue with the bearish momentum and completing the pattern where the target is 0.857
USDCHF - Short from trendline !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from trendline + liquidity zone + institutional big figure 0.89000.
Fundamental news: Next week is full of news for USD, on Wednesday (GMT+3) we have Interest Rate and FOMC and on Friday (GMT+3) we have NFP and Unemployment. News with high impact on currency.
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USDCHF Weekly Analysis and OutlookUSDCHF Weekly Analysis and Outlook
This week, the USDCHF pair has shown a strong downward trajectory, closing in a bearish continuation phase. This downward momentum indicates a negative sentiment among traders, suggesting further potential for decline.
Current Market Overview:
The pair has been steadily moving downwards, supported by unfavorable market conditions and bearish sentiment. As it approaches a key resistance zone, traders should closely monitor the price action. A successful rejection at this resistance would likely confirm the continuation of the bearish trend.
Expectations and Potential Scenarios:
Upon retesting the resistance zone, we anticipate that the USDCHF will continue its downward momentum. This rejection could open the door to lower levels, offering traders potential opportunities to capitalize on the bearish trend.
Primary Expectation: If the resistance holds, the price is likely to sustain its downward movement, potentially targeting lower support levels. This scenario would reinforce the bearish outlook, making it a favorable environment for short positions.
Alternative Scenario: However, if the price breaks through the resistance, a temporary pullback could occur. Traders should be prepared for this scenario, as it might provide opportunities to reassess entry points at higher levels before resuming the downward trend.
Conclusion:
In summary, the USDCHF pair is poised for further downward movement following its recent bearish phase. Traders should watch for a decisive rejection at the resistance zone, which could serve as a catalyst for continued declines. Maintaining awareness of both bearish and corrective scenarios will be crucial for effective trading strategies. Stay updated with market developments and adjust your positions accordingly.
By Piptera Digital Solutions,
Invest Wisely!
USD/CHF Bearish Gartley Pattern Indicates Potential DowntrendThe USD/CHF currency pair is forming a Bearish Gartley Harmonic Pattern, signaling potential downward movement. This pattern is aligning with a key resistance area, adding further confluence to our bearish outlook.
Key Resistance and Trendline Confluence:
Price action has shown a strong rejection at a key resistance level, which coincides with a downward trendline and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This confluence of technical indicators strengthens our bearish sentiment for the USD/CHF pair.
Entry and Stop Loss:
Given the current market conditions and the formation of the Bearish Gartley Pattern, our entry point is set at 0.89442. To manage risk, a stop loss is placed at 0.89864, slightly above the resistance area to account for potential market fluctuations.
Take Profit Levels:
We have identified three key take profit levels based on historical support areas and Fibonacci extensions:
TP-1: 0.89020
TP-2: 0.88598
TP-3: 0.88176
Analysis Summary:
The alignment of the Bearish Gartley Harmonic Pattern with the key resistance area, trendline, and the 78.6% Fibonacci level provides a high-probability trading opportunity. The rejection at these confluences suggests potential bearish momentum, making this a suitable trade setup with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels.
Traders should monitor the price action closely around these levels to adjust positions as necessary.
USD runs back to the downside after brief run higher after PPIThe USD has run back to the downside, after a brief move higher after the higher than expected PPI data:
GBPUSD: The GBPUSD is extending to a new high for the year and new high going back to July 27 when the price hit 1.2995 (just short of 1.3000). The old high and the natural resistance at the 1.3000 to give traders some cause for pause from a technical perspective, with stops on a break to the upside.
USD/CHF - Bearish Reversal Anticipated from Key Resistance LevelThe USD/CHF currency pair currently exhibits a Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern. This pattern is significant as it is forming at a key resistance area, indicating a potential reversal in price action. The pattern's completion point, identified as Point D, aligns with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, further reinforcing the likelihood of a bearish movement.
Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ):
Point D, also known as the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), is the critical area where we anticipate a reversal from the current uptrend. At this point, the confluence of the Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern and the 61.8% Fibonacci level strengthens the probability of a significant bearish reversal.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit Levels:
To capitalize on the anticipated bearish movement, we recommend entering a short position at 0.90055. To manage risk effectively, a stop loss should be placed at 0.90175, slightly above the PRZ to allow for minor price fluctuations without triggering an early exit.
Take Profit Targets:
We have identified three take profit levels to gradually secure profits as the price moves in the anticipated bearish direction:
TP-1: 0.89935
TP-2: 0.89815
TP-3: 0.89695
These take-profit levels are strategically placed to capture gains at significant price points, providing a structured exit strategy to maximize profitability while managing risk.
Conclusion:
The formation of a Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern at a key resistance area, coupled with the alignment of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, suggests a high probability of a bearish reversal in the USD/CHF currency pair. By entering at 0.90055 with a stop loss at 0.90175 and targeting the specified take-profit levels, traders can effectively benefit from the expected downward movement.
Disclaimer:
This technical analysis report is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Traders are encouraged to conduct their own research and consider their risk tolerance before entering any trades.
USDCHF - Bearish price action !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for short position. I expect bearish price action from here as price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.90000.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Friday (GMT+3) we have NFP and Unemployment Rate in USA, news with high impact on currency.
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USDCHF BULLISH ROBBERY PLAN TO MAKE AND TAKE MONEYMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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USDCHFIntraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the downside for the moment. Rise from 0.8** could have been completed at 0.8**, ahead of 0.** key resistance. Further decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.8** to 0.8** at 0.8**. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8**resistance holds, in case of recovery.
USD/CHF downtrend pauses for breath ahead of SNBThere is quite a bit of uncertainty with today's SNB rate decision, over whether they'll cut or hold. And that has seen the 1--day implied volatility level more than double its 20-day average. The market is clearly in a downtrend on the daily chart, having broken key support on Tuesday.
Prices are now consolidating above the weekly S1 pivot on the hourly chart. If the SNB do cut and spark a rebound on USD/CHF, the preference is to step aside and seek evidence of a swing high. This is because we now know the SNB no longer want a weaker currency, so any upshot today is likely to be temporary. And this scenario would be preferred as it allows for an improved reward to risk ratio.
However, as the decline of the inflation rate rate is slowing, growth was stronger than expected and the SNB do not want a weaker currency, a hold seems more likely. In which case, a move towards 0.88 is on the cards near the high-volume node of the prior uptrend and the lower 1-day implied volatility band.
USDCHF moving higher this week**Monthly Chart**
USDCHF is moving within a range between a high of 0.92450 and a low of 0.83300 levels. Last month candles closed as MC candles around the relatively equal monthly high. The Pair is moving a range since April 2023.
**Weekly Chart**
Last week candle closed as a bearish candle. However, the close of the price at the mid-level of the move which as a strong reaction from the US NFP and Employment change announcements. It has also tested the weekly IPA of March 2024. In line with DXY analysis, we might see USDCHF move higher and break the weekly and monthly high around 0.9200 level.
**Daily Chart**
USDCHF broke the previous daily swing with a few pips and then resumed lower with last Friday's NFP news. If you look at the 4H time frame, the price formed a key reversal before the news and then pushed higher. For this week I will be looking a a retracement to at least 50% of IPA candle that formed with a confirmation as a key reversal pattern to take this pair higher. The next target will be around 0.92000 level and then 0.93000 level.
USDCHF - Short from bearish order block !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for short position. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.90000.
Fundamental news: Next week on Wednesday (GMT+3) we have important news in USA, CPI and Interest Rate. Pay attention to the result in order to validate the analysis.
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USD/CHF Gave Yesterday +60 Pips 0 Drawdown , Did You Enter ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USD/CHF Giving Amazing Bullish P.A,Time To Buy To Get 200 Pips ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USDCHF tm:1hHello traders.
I hope you doing well.
These areas are based on my personal strategy and I will share it with you.
Open a sell position on the supply area or open a buy position on the demand area.
Your entry point, stop loss, and target point are based on money management and the amount of money in your trading account.
But I promise you that by trading in the areas of my trading strategy, you will definitely make a profit, because these areas, although they seem simple, are my experience of 8 years of learning and trading.
I hope you will achieve maximum continuous profit with me by using supply and demand areas.
Good luck traders.
Mohammad Goodarzi