Usdchfidea
USD runs back to the downside after brief run higher after PPIThe USD has run back to the downside, after a brief move higher after the higher than expected PPI data:
GBPUSD: The GBPUSD is extending to a new high for the year and new high going back to July 27 when the price hit 1.2995 (just short of 1.3000). The old high and the natural resistance at the 1.3000 to give traders some cause for pause from a technical perspective, with stops on a break to the upside.
USD/CHF - Bearish Reversal Anticipated from Key Resistance LevelThe USD/CHF currency pair currently exhibits a Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern. This pattern is significant as it is forming at a key resistance area, indicating a potential reversal in price action. The pattern's completion point, identified as Point D, aligns with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, further reinforcing the likelihood of a bearish movement.
Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ):
Point D, also known as the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), is the critical area where we anticipate a reversal from the current uptrend. At this point, the confluence of the Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern and the 61.8% Fibonacci level strengthens the probability of a significant bearish reversal.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit Levels:
To capitalize on the anticipated bearish movement, we recommend entering a short position at 0.90055. To manage risk effectively, a stop loss should be placed at 0.90175, slightly above the PRZ to allow for minor price fluctuations without triggering an early exit.
Take Profit Targets:
We have identified three take profit levels to gradually secure profits as the price moves in the anticipated bearish direction:
TP-1: 0.89935
TP-2: 0.89815
TP-3: 0.89695
These take-profit levels are strategically placed to capture gains at significant price points, providing a structured exit strategy to maximize profitability while managing risk.
Conclusion:
The formation of a Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern at a key resistance area, coupled with the alignment of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, suggests a high probability of a bearish reversal in the USD/CHF currency pair. By entering at 0.90055 with a stop loss at 0.90175 and targeting the specified take-profit levels, traders can effectively benefit from the expected downward movement.
Disclaimer:
This technical analysis report is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Traders are encouraged to conduct their own research and consider their risk tolerance before entering any trades.
USDCHF - Bearish price action !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for short position. I expect bearish price action from here as price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.90000.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Friday (GMT+3) we have NFP and Unemployment Rate in USA, news with high impact on currency.
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USDCHFIntraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the downside for the moment. Rise from 0.8** could have been completed at 0.8**, ahead of 0.** key resistance. Further decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.8** to 0.8** at 0.8**. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8**resistance holds, in case of recovery.
USD/CHF downtrend pauses for breath ahead of SNBThere is quite a bit of uncertainty with today's SNB rate decision, over whether they'll cut or hold. And that has seen the 1--day implied volatility level more than double its 20-day average. The market is clearly in a downtrend on the daily chart, having broken key support on Tuesday.
Prices are now consolidating above the weekly S1 pivot on the hourly chart. If the SNB do cut and spark a rebound on USD/CHF, the preference is to step aside and seek evidence of a swing high. This is because we now know the SNB no longer want a weaker currency, so any upshot today is likely to be temporary. And this scenario would be preferred as it allows for an improved reward to risk ratio.
However, as the decline of the inflation rate rate is slowing, growth was stronger than expected and the SNB do not want a weaker currency, a hold seems more likely. In which case, a move towards 0.88 is on the cards near the high-volume node of the prior uptrend and the lower 1-day implied volatility band.
USDCHF moving higher this week**Monthly Chart**
USDCHF is moving within a range between a high of 0.92450 and a low of 0.83300 levels. Last month candles closed as MC candles around the relatively equal monthly high. The Pair is moving a range since April 2023.
**Weekly Chart**
Last week candle closed as a bearish candle. However, the close of the price at the mid-level of the move which as a strong reaction from the US NFP and Employment change announcements. It has also tested the weekly IPA of March 2024. In line with DXY analysis, we might see USDCHF move higher and break the weekly and monthly high around 0.9200 level.
**Daily Chart**
USDCHF broke the previous daily swing with a few pips and then resumed lower with last Friday's NFP news. If you look at the 4H time frame, the price formed a key reversal before the news and then pushed higher. For this week I will be looking a a retracement to at least 50% of IPA candle that formed with a confirmation as a key reversal pattern to take this pair higher. The next target will be around 0.92000 level and then 0.93000 level.
USDCHF - Short from bearish order block !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for short position. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.90000.
Fundamental news: Next week on Wednesday (GMT+3) we have important news in USA, CPI and Interest Rate. Pay attention to the result in order to validate the analysis.
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USD/CHF Gave Yesterday +60 Pips 0 Drawdown , Did You Enter ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USD/CHF Giving Amazing Bullish P.A,Time To Buy To Get 200 Pips ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USDCHF tm:1hHello traders.
I hope you doing well.
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USDCHF WEEKLY ANALYSISHello, traders here is a setup of USDCHF as you can see the price has been in a bullish form for the past weeks and now it has reached a zone of resistance that has been tested multiple times in the past and the price started showing rejection signs from the resistance zone as you can see there are two bearish engulfments candle sticks and that is a sign that price can go down in any moment.
USDCHF Short Trade Setup A #short trade opportunity recently presented itself on the #dollarswissy (#USDCHF) #trading chart 📉.
This is indicated by the #bearish engulfing candlestick 🕯️ pattern just below the 0.91081 horizontal resistance level.
This indicates a rejection of the same level, with potential price move in the downward 👇 ⬇️ direction (#sell).
Sufficient downward momentum should see price dumping towards the 0.90000 psychological level and possibly testing the strength of the 0.89955 horizontal support level.
As always, please apply appropriate risk management.
Happy trading!
#majorpair
USDCHF - Downside move ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are still in a bearish market structure as price did not break previous high, so I expect we can see bearish price action after price rejected from liquidity zone + institutional big figure 0.91000. My target is imbalance filled + order block.
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USDCHF DAILY SETUPHello, traders here is a setup of USDCHF as you can see the price have created a bearish flag pattern (rising wedge pattern) and has already broken it and if you look closely the price created a head and shoulders pattern inside the flag pattern. This give's more indication that the price is likely to go down under these circumstances.