USDCHF expecting a short liquidationUSDCHF gives me bullish vibe. I see a possibile short liquidation in the next days, considering that most of the retail are short. Looking at the chart, USDCHF is trying to bounce back up from main daily trendline. I think we can see a possible 200/250 pips rally to the upside before looking for a reversal pattern. Risk reward is not one of my best, but i am entering for a swing trade that i am confident to hold and i expect to go with stops at break even before the end of this week
Usdchfidea
USD/CHF Showing Amazing Bearish P.A , Short Setup Soon !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USD/CHF Bullish Robbery plan to make moneyMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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Perfect setup, bad luck USDCHFI posted this setup some days ago and i was monitoring this pair. I placed a sell limit order at 0.9230, and unfortunately entry wasn't trigger for some pips. I will look for a new entry short as soon as i will find an opportunity, even if i expect 0.92 to be touched again in the coming weeks.
USDCHF Short Trade Setup A #short trade opportunity recently presented itself on the #dollarswissy (#USDCHF) #trading chart 📉.
This is indicated by the #bearish harami candlestick 🕯️ pattern just below the 0.91593 horizontal resistance level.
This indicates a rejection of the same level, with potential price move in the downward ⬇️ direction (#sell).
Sufficient downward momentum should see price dumping towards the 0.90000 psychological level and possibly testing the strength of the 0.89955 horizontal support level.
As always, please apply appropriate risk management.
Happy trading!
#majorpair
USDCHF Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe USD/CHF currency pair has exhibited bullish tendencies on the higher time frame. Currently, we are witnessing a significant retracement as price has encountered resistance. In the accompanying video, we explore a potential trading opportunity, contingent upon the development of favorable price action. We identify key support and resistance levels, along with an optimal entry point based on a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. The discussion encompasses chart patterns, price action analysis, and a particular form of price behavior that, if advantageous, would warrant market entry. As a disclaimer, the information provided is solely for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading carries inherent risks, and it is imperative to implement sound risk management practices at all times.
USDCHF - Look for a sell ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 1H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block.
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USD/CHF +50 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry Valid After D Closure !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USDCHF Sell idea (Reversal trade)Confluences for the sell bias
Monthly timeframe - Downtrend
Weekly timeframe - Downtrend
Daily timeframe - Uptrend
Daily and 4H bearish divergence
4H Bearish engulfing
RSI Overbought
Double top
Price below Moving average
Since we have 2/3 timeframe as downtrend we are looking for sells plus all the other confluences.
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USD/CHF Rejected From Strong Res , Correct Time To Sell Now ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USDCHF - Long after filling the imbalance ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fulfill the imbalance lower and then rejects from bullish order block + institutional mid figure 0.90500.
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USDCHF - A Godsend In addition to my longer-term swing trade (if not already a position trade) in the form of a USDCHF long with a profit target of +760 pips, seen here
I am also entering a "shorter-term" USDCHF long trade here at 0.83600, with a target of 0.87100.
Thus a good +340 pips would be possible here.
The probability that the weakness of the USDCHF will also come to an end by the end of the year tomorrow at the latest is exorbitantly high and the CRV at these levels is more palatable than ever.
Otherwise, the fundamental reasons remain the same as in the longer-term trade above.
-> The SNB will no longer be happy with the current levels of the CHF as soon as it returns from its skiing holiday in the Swiss Alps.
FX Wars Episode 5 - The (USD) Empire strikes back!I go long the USD vs CHF here from 0.843.
I give the trade a high probability of 80% to be a winner, lets see!
Once upon a time in an FX universe far, far away...
The (supposedly) evil US(D) empire was pushed to the brink of defeat by the CHF rebellion, but "something" suddenly happened...
...life stirred into the USD again and it was sent back to fulfil its task (the bondage of all other currencies).
What that "something" was I will unravel after the (profitable) end of this trade.
USD facts:
- The market is pricing in almost 7 rate cuts for 2024
-> this is diametrically opposed to the expectations of the FED members, who expect a total of 3 rate cuts for 2024
- Is the market once again too euphoric here and is frontrunning itself with possible rate cut fantasies?
-> I would like to leave this question open for now, as I also expect more than 3 interest rate cuts by the FED in 2024
But the fact is: market expectations can only be fulfilled if either
A) there is a recession in the USA and or
B) inflation permanently falls below the 2% mark
CHF view:
The SNB is currently on Christmas holiday and is probably letting loose while skiing in the Swiss mountains followed by apres-ski party hits.
But as soon as the party is over and the hangover is felt all the harder in the new year, the Swiss National Bank will have a heart attack when it looks at the value of the franc.
-> It is now more "overvalued" than it was during the corona crisis, when the SNB had to intervene to actively weaken the CHF
- Now these are completely different circumstances under which the SNB has to operate and yet it can be anything but satisfied with the strength of the franc...
More on this later in the comments...
USDCHF Long ViewCentral banks have had their say for Q1 and there were arguably two surprises, both from central banks that have deployed negative interest rates in the recent past. The Bank of Japan decided to exit negative rates and the Swiss National Bank (SNB), in a surprise decision, voted to cut their benchmark interest rate – the first of the major central banks to do so.
Lower inflation forecasts for Switzerland and meagre growth lay the foundation for further easing to come from the often-unpredictable SNB before Chairman Thomas Jordan steps down in September. In contrast, The Fed requires more confidence that recent hotter-than-expected inflation is headed towards the 2% target on a consistent basis while growth and the labour market remain resilient – supporting the dollar.
CONTRASTING FUNDAMENTALS PRESENT AN OPPORTUNITY FOR USD/CHF IN Q2
Now that the SNB has pulled the trigger and cut rates, this allows other central banks to consider the doing the same. However, being the first mover, the Swiss Franc opened itself up to currency depreciation due to a worsening of interest rate differentials. For other nations still experiencing stubborn inflation, this would have been a concern but given the franc’s undesirable appreciation and Switzerland’s impressively low CPI (1.2% in February) – the decision to cut actually makes sense for the EU member state.
USDCHF - Confluence for a long ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. I have a point of interest where there are confluence arguments for a long position, this one is if price fills the imbalance lower and rejects from S/R zone + FIBO 0.5 level + institutional big figure 0.89000.
Fundamental news: Next week on Friday we have NFP and Unemployment Rate in USA, news with high impact on USD. As well, on Thursday we have monthly CPI on CHF.
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USDCHF SHORT 650 PIPS READ DESCRIPTIONThe analysis for USD/CHF indicates that the currency pair is currently at a major resistance and supply zone, ranging from 0.90117 to 0.89700. This zone has attracted significant attention from big players and institutions, who have been actively entering short orders in bulk. The latest data reveals that there were 29,160 short entries and 11,000 long entries from big players and institutions. This results in an overall net short position of 57% and a net long position of 14%. Over the last three months, the total net position of shorts has been 79%, while longs accounted for 21% of the market sentiment.
In our trade strategy, we set a 40-pip stop loss to manage potential losses. With a target of 657.8 pips and a profit potential of 7.33%, the risk-to-reward ratio stands at a favorable 7.43. This indicates that the potential reward significantly outweighs the risk. Additionally, we have set four target prices to secure profits at various levels, providing flexibility in managing the trade and locking in gains as the price moves in our favor.
It's essential to always manage risk diligently in trading. Traders should adhere to their risk management strategies, including setting stop losses, controlling position sizes, and diversifying portfolios, to protect their capital from significant losses. By prioritizing risk management, traders aim to ensure the longevity of their trading endeavors and navigate market uncertainties effectively.
In summary, the analysis suggests a bearish outlook for USD/CHF, supported by the presence of a major resistance and supply zone and favorable institutional sentiment. By implementing a well-defined trading strategy and managing risk effectively, traders aim to capitalize on potential price movements while safeguarding their investments.
USDCHF Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaUSDCHF shows a daily bullish bias after clearing significant structural resistance. Watch for exhaustion as it tests the next major resistance zone. My video demonstrates a potential long setup using a Fibonacci retracement. This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be taken as direct trading advice.
USDCHF
In the 4-hour timeframe, USD/CHF is displaying a bullish trend, characterized by an ascending channel and an ABC Elliott wave pattern. An optimal selling opportunity arises as the price touches the resistance trendline of the ascending channel, accompanied by bearish price action. Traders may consider initiating short positions at this juncture, anticipating a potential reversal from the channel's resistance line.
USDCHF - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. I wait price to continue the retracement and my point of interest for a long is if price rejects from trendline + S/R level + institutional big figure 0.89000.
Fundamental news: Next week on Thursday we have news on USD, will be released quarterly GDP, which has high impact on currency.
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