Will USDCHF breakout Tomorrow? (after US Inflation report)Will USDCHF breakout Tomorrow? (after US Inflation report)
USDCHF recently surpassed both its 50 and 100-hour moving averages, yet it remains confined within its 2024 trading range.
Fluctuations between risk-on and risk-off sentiments keep the pair moving between 0.84635 and 0.85294. Initially, bullish optimism followed comments from Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic, suggesting 2 potential interest rate cuts by the end of 2024. Additional news this week supporting the Swiss franc was the inflation rate in Switzerland rose to 1.7% in December 2023 from 1.4% in the previous month and above forecasts of 1.5%.
However, a recent shift towards risk aversion has led investors back to the US Dollar, however without creating a distinct market trend.
When will this non-trending market transition into a more trending market? Perhaps at the drop of the US inflation report tomorrow.
In the meantime, maintaining a bullish stance depends on the price staying above its elevated 100-hour moving average at 0.85100 and a break of the recent high at 0.8535 could instigate more buying momentum. A drop below this level could shift the bias towards neutrality.
Usdchfprediction
USDCHF: Morgan Stanley: Fed will keep interest rates higher for Ellen Zentner, chief U.S. economist at Morgan Stanley, said:
"The Fed will cut interest rates this year."
But "the Fed can be patient and take its time."
Morgan Stanley expects the Fed to cut interest rates for the first time at its June meeting.
The Fed will keep interest rates stable for longer than the market expects.
But if that happens, there will be more cuts than expected.
The first rate cut of 25 basis points will take effect in June.
Subsequent rate cuts are expected to occur by 25 basis points at meetings in September, November, and December.
#USDCHF: Swing trade loading! Patience Pays;)Hello Everyone,
hope you all are having a great weekend, quick update on #usdchf. Price have consolidated for couple of week due to low volume in the market. While Chf have been bullish over USD as chf is considered as one of the safe heaven currency index. In this uncertainty time investors have shown more interest toward chf and jpy, therefore tomorrows data will be crucial for this pair future.
Like and comment if you agree with the idea.
USDCHF: BoA warns about investors being too optimistic about intA note from Bank of America's strategy department about the Fed follows
The market was ahead of expectations of 5 interest rate cuts next year from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and even more (6) from the European Central Bank. BoA believes that expectations need to be tempered due to:
Core inflation remains high
And inflation risks are higher in early 2024 as the base effects from energy prices fade.
In Europe:
Eurozone deflation at current levels could support interest rate cuts starting in March
USD/CHF Buy
The USDCHF is currently rebounding from the lower low area of the ascending channel. A bullish flag has formed on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling potential upward movement.
📊 Expectations:
We anticipate the pair to re-test key support levels as highlighted in the attached chart.
📉 Trading Strategy:
This trade is based on a combination of technical analysis and candlestick patterns. These are long-term positions, so ensure you have sufficient margin to manage market fluctuations. Utilize proper risk management in line with your account size.
🚦 Trading Rules:
1️⃣ Rule 1: When the market hits Target 1, consider closing some positions or move your STOP LOSS to ENTRY price for safe trading.
2️⃣ Rule 2: After reaching Target 1, avoid placing new trades based on the same signal/alert.
3️⃣ Rule 3: If the market consolidates for more than 2 days, close the trade and patiently wait for the next favorable trading opportunity.
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USDCHF: The USD "struggled" to regain the 103 markIn the first session of the week, the US dollar fell a further 0.18% to $103.23 on expectations that the US Federal Reserve could complete and begin raising interest rates. Onion cuttings will be taken in the first half of next year. At the time, the DXY index was heading for a monthly decline of more than 3%, its biggest decline since November 2022. At the same time, investors are awaiting a series of events and data this week that could determine the future direction of the market. interest rates around the world.
Just a day later, the dollar fell a further 0.47% to $102.73, as investors continued to predict growth in the world's biggest economy would start to slow. Once again, the market is starting to factor in a rate cut in the first half of next year. According to CME's FedWatch tool, U.S. interest rate futures show a 33% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in March 2024.
The U.S. dollar "barely" rose 0.12% to $102.86 on Nov. 30 after newly released data showed the U.S. economy grew faster than originally reported in the third quarter. . Head. According to information from the U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 5.2%, faster than the previously reported 4.9%. This was the largest increase since the fourth quarter of 2021 and exceeded economists' expectations of 5%.
According to reports, US inflation remains moderate, but on the first trading day of December, the DXY index once again reached the 103 level (up 0.75% to 103.51 points). The increase in jobless claims in October and last week shows the labor market is slowing. Accordingly, US inflation, as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE), was flat in October after rising 0.4% in September. Moreover, the PCE index recorded an increase every year. In October it was 3.0%. Meanwhile, the state's new unemployment claims rose by 7,000 last week to 218,000.
USDCHF: USD price dropped sharply after news of private sector eThe dollar fell against a basket of currencies late last week on news of strong U.S. business results in November, while private-sector employment fell on expectations of a slowdown in the coming months. Fourth quarter.
Earlier, Michael Brown, market analyst at Trader S&P Global, recorded the US Composite PMI Production Index on Friday.
Specifically, the value for the month remained unchanged at 50.7, as a slight increase in service sector activity offset the decline in production. Values above 50 indicate private sector expansion. The lack of significant growth in orders led to companies laying off employees, and the survey's employment index fell from 51.3 to 49.7, the first decline since June 2020. During October.
Easing the labor market will help the Fed fight inflation. Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at Rabobank, said the economic data provided further evidence of cyclical weakness in the US.
The U.S. dollar index posted its weakest monthly performance in a year amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will complete its interest rate hike and potentially start cutting rates next year. There is. .
USDCHF Long Term selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDCHF DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDCHF analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (UDCHF market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCHF Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDCHF: The US dollar rose on unemployment claims data, mixed The USD DXY index rose 0.30% to 103.90 as recent economic data and the Federal Reserve's minutes presented a complex scenario for investors to navigate. The increase came after the number of initial jobless claims was announced at 209,000, lower than expected. Despite this positive sign, investors are also considering a sharp decline in durable goods orders in October, down 5.4%.
The latest minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) show persistent concerns about inflation, suggesting that these concerns will influence future policy decisions. This led to a rise in U.S. Treasury yields across a range of maturities as investors digested mixed economic data. Looking ahead, market participants do not expect an interest rate hike in November. Instead, there are speculations that interest rates could be cut as early as March or May next year. This sentiment is reflected in the DXY technical analysis. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained unchanged near oversold conditions, which could indicate a resurgence of buying pressure. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bar is still moving sideways in the red zone, indicating near-term bearish momentum.
Despite these mixed signals, the USD remains below the 20-day and 100-day SMAs (simple moving averages), but remains above the key 200-day SMA support. This position suggests that long-term bullish sentiment against the dollar may still exist despite the current bearish trend.
The dollar continues to assert its dominance in global finance, playing a central role in foreign exchange markets with a daily trading volume of more than $6.6 trillion, based on last year's data. This dominance highlights the currency's far-reaching influence and its resilience in the face of economic instability and changes in monetary policy.
USDCHF: Weak US CPI weighs heavily on the dollarAs anticipation that the Federal Reserve would terminate the monetary tightening cycle increased due to slowing U.S. inflation, the U.S. dollar made a slight recovery in early European trading on Wednesday.
The Dollar Index, which measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of six other currencies, increased by 0.1% to 104.057 at 03:05 ET (08:05 GMT), not far from a two-month low on Friday. In three, 103.98.
Tuesday saw a significant decline in the value of the US dollar after statistics revealed that US consumer prices were unchanged in October but increased 3.2% year over year, less than anticipated, following a 3.7% increase in September.
The most important factor in determining whether the Fed will continue to tighten policy is stable inflation, particularly when inflation increased more than
USDCHF - Potential short ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: As I expected in my previous analysis price delivered bearish move. Now I wait for a retracement price to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.90000.
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USDCHF 31/10Pair : USDCHF ( U.S Dollar / Swiss French )
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Wave and Formed " Double Top " as an Corrective Pattern for Trend Reversal and it has Completed " A " Corrective Wave. It is Rejecting from S / R Level and Fibonacci Level 50.00% to complete its " B " Corrective Wave
Entry Precaution :
Wait until it Complete " b " Corrective Wave and Reject
Swiss Franc Rides High on Investor Flight to Safety?Investor flight to safety might provide a favorable outlook for the Swiss franc this week.
Swiss franc against the USD and GBP might be the most interesting considering the Fed and the Bank of England (BoE) hold their policy meetings this week, where they are both expected to keep rates exactly where they are. These pauses by the Fed and BoE might contrast too sharply with the Swiss National Bank (SNB), whose Vice-Chairman made some hawkish comments over the weekend, pushing back against expectations that the SNB is done with its rate hikes, and cause some rumblings in the USDCHF and GBPCHF.
Investor risk-aversion has already caused the Swiss franc to hit a high not seen since 2015 against the Euro. Euro Area inflation is also due this week, so this pair might also be appropriate to watch this week.
Regarding the Middle East conflict, latest developments have seen Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu deny they would agree to ceasefire, drawing parallels to US retaliation to the terrorist attacks of 9/11. In this way, we might expect drawn out conflict, and the desirability of the Swiss franc rising.
USDCHF Long Term Buying Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDCHF DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDCHF analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (UDCHF market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCHF Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDCHF 10/10 MoveUSDCHF
Description :
Bearish Channel in Long Time Frame as an Corrective Pattern with the Breakout of the Upper Trend Line. It has Formed Bullish Channel and Double Top as an Reversal Pattern to Complete the Retracement
Entry Precautions :
Wait till Rejection from the Demand Zone or Fibonacci Level - 61.80% with Strong Bullish Price Action