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Usdchfshort

USDCHF to continue in the downward move?USDCHF - 24h expiry Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. Our short term bias remains negative. Previous support level of 0.8965 broken. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. 50 4hour EMA is at 0.8987. We look to Sell at 0.8987 (stop at 0.9012) Our profit targets will be 0.8915 and 0.8905 Resistance: 0.8974 / 0.9004 / 0.9020 Support: 0.8950 / 0.8930 / 0.8912 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
USDCHF - Sell Opportunity After Support BreakOANDA:USDCHF has broken below a key support zone, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The price may now retest this zone, which previously acted as support and could serve as resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation. If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price is likely to decline further toward the 0.88640 target, which serves as a logical level for this setup. Conversely, a break back above the zone could signal a potential bullish reversal. Traders should watch for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the resistance zone, or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Short
by DanieIM
1
USD/CHF: Avoiding a false dichotomyThe US dollar is in a correction of its uptrend (see EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD etc) Do we really face a linear option of fade or no trade? Actually, it might be a false dichotomy . Going long EUR/USD and GBP/USD (i.e. selling USD) would mean fading the major trend (as per the weekly charts). But going short USD/CHF (i.e. also selling USD) would not be a counter trend trade because USD/CHF is in a trading range. Selling below resistance in a trading range is a high probability setup. We can see the topping process on the daily chart, with 0.90 as the broken neckline. Here the risk is well defined - if the price pops back over 0.90 - the breakdown trade is no longer on but while below 0.90, 0.88 is a natural target as the last major support area and the 30 week moving average. But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request! Drop a comment cheers! Jasper
Short
by jasperlawler
Scenario on USDCHF 13.2.2025In this market we are approaching the vwap level below this level, I would like the sfp below the low if there is no reaction here, then the next valid target for entering the long is the support zone where the previous peak is also located at the price of 0.89215, if I should consider a short position, then the first one is considered around the level of the previous high at the price of 0.91833, the next one is up to the monthly level at the price of 0.92320
by Sony97
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (0.90300) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high or low level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.90700 (swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.89310 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. 🟤Fundamental Analysis - The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has maintained a dovish stance, keeping interest rates negative to curb the Swiss franc's appreciation. - The US Federal Reserve has also maintained a dovish stance, keeping interest rates low to support economic growth. 🔴Macro Analysis - The US economy has shown signs of slowing down, with GDP growth rate decreasing to 2.1% in Q4 2022. - The Swiss economy has also shown signs of slowing down, with GDP growth rate decreasing to 0.9% in Q4 2022. 🟠Sentimental Analysis - Institutional investors have a bearish sentiment towards the USD/CHF pair, with 52% being bearish. - Hedge funds have decreased their long positions, with a net short exposure of 15%. - Retail traders have a bullish sentiment towards the USD/CHF pair, with 55% being bullish. 🟡COT Analysis - The Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that large speculators have increased their short positions, with a net short exposure of 10,000 contracts. - Commercial traders have decreased their long positions, with a net short exposure of 5,000 contracts. 🔵Positioning - The USD/CHF pair is experiencing a decrease in net-long exposure, which could be a sign of a potential trend reversal. - The market positioning is also influenced by the US dollar positioning, which has seen a reduction in net-short exposure against G10 currencies. 🟢Overall Outlook -Based on the analysis, the USD/CHF pair is expected to move in a bearish trend, with a 55% chance of a downtrend and a 35% chance of an uptrend. However, please note that market predictions can be unpredictable and influenced by various factors. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Short
by Thief_Trader
#USDCHF WEEKLYUSDCHF (Weekly Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is trading near a strong resistance level, where selling pressure has historically increased. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has formed in this area, indicating a potential bearish reversal. This pattern suggests that sellers may take control, leading to a possible move lower. Forecast: A sell opportunity is expected as the price faces rejection from resistance and the sell engulfing pattern signals bearish momentum. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Near the resistance level after confirmation of continued bearish pressure. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the resistance or the high of the sell engulfing candlestick. - Take Profit: Target lower support levels for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: The combination of strong resistance and a sell engulfing pattern suggests bearish sentiment. Confirmation of further downside movement strengthens the case for a short position while ensuring alignment with market trends.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
USDCHF - Short after filling the imbalance !!Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill that huge imbalance and then to reject from bearish OB. Fundamental news: On Wednesday (GMT+2) we will see results of Interest Rate in USA, news with high impact on currency. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
#USDCHF WEEKLYUSDCHF (Weekly Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is currently testing two significant resistance levels: the first being the upper boundary of a channel, and the second a key horizontal resistance zone. Additionally, the formation of a sell engulfing candlestick pattern suggests increased selling pressure at these levels. Forecast: A sell opportunity is expected as the price reacts to the dual resistance zones, with bearish momentum likely to push the price lower. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Near the resistance levels or after confirmation of bearish rejection. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the second resistance level or the recent swing high to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: The confluence of the channel resistance, horizontal resistance, and the sell engulfing pattern reflects a bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to dominate the market in the short term. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market momentum.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER