Usdchfsignal
USD/CHF- Bearish Elliott Wave PatternHere's the daily chart of the USD/CHF. It started to make a bearish Elliott wave from the 23rd of April 2019. There is a symmetrical triangle in the 3rd wave. 4th, 5th and Corrective waves are remaining. 4th will be at 38.2%, 50% , or 61.8% . The trend is moving upside to make a perfect 4th wave. And for that, it has to hit the following targets 0.8990 - 0.9050 - 0.9200 - 0.9400+
But if it starts to make a downward movement instead of an upward. Then, it can be said the failure of the Elliott wave pattern. And in this scenario, the targets will be following 0.8780 - 0.8600 - 0.8400 .
USDCHF| FALLING WEDGE|ANALYSISPRICE ACTION:
• Price action finds first resistance (1), where it reverses direction and goes downwards till
finding first support (2).
• Price action reverse direction from support (2) and goes upwards, till finding the second
resistance (3) which must be lower than the first resistance (1).
• Price action reverse direction from resistance (3) and goes downwards, till finding the
second support (4), which must be lower than the first support (2).
• The pattern is completed when price action reverse direction from (4) and goes upwards till
it breaks the wedge's upper border at point (5).
TRADING THE PATTERN
• Trade entry: after breaking the wedge's upper border at point (5), with an entry after
confirming the breakout.
• Take profit: identified by measuring the vertical distance from the wedge's highest high (1)
to the wedge's lower border, that measurement is then applied from the breakout point
(5).
• Stop loss: the wedge's lowest low (4).
PLEASE LIKE THE IDEA IF YOU FOUND IT USEFUL.
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekIt is over 200pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes) as price respects and completes my Descending channel expectations; The USD/CHF is rose sharply on Friday and climbed to Fr0.89000, thereby hitting it's the highest level since Wednesday. The question now is "Are we at a new Demand zone anticipating a surge?" Well, Let's see as price response to this key zone @ Fr0.88800 in the coming week shall either support or disagree with this bias.
Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish )
Structure: Reversal pattern | Breakout | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. The Bearish run that began in November 2020 appears to have found the bottom to make a new Demand zone.
ii. The spring of a Bullish engulfing candle on Friday do has a piece of underlying information that needs further confirmation to make a decision on this pair.
iii. In this regard, Patience is key as I shall be looking out for a correction into the Demand zone followed by engulfing candles that will support a rally.
iv. It is also appropriate that we do not ignore the strong breakout of the bearish trendline as the price appears not to respect it anymore.
v. A significant breakdown of Fr0.88600 might consider this setup invalid as we continue to look for candles that support a surge from Demand zone.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 140 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 2 to 5 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCHF 100 Pips Swing trade Will it break 100,200 EMA resistanceUSDCHF
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⏳14 Hour chart
🎲 Swing trade
⛳️Bullish entry
—————-❇️——————-
Detailed analysis 💬
1️⃣ 0.90000 Swiss national bank intervention level
2️⃣ 0.90000 Strong trend reversal area
3️⃣ Positive risk sentiment, Vaccine news, Selling off CHF
4️⃣ RSI has reached around 39.00 Oversold condition
5️⃣ MACD about to cross the signal line, histogram is slowly fading towards green
6️⃣ Stochastic reached below 25 Oversold condition
7️⃣ Short term Technical support - Bullish
8️⃣ 50,100,200 EMA cluster resistance for bull
9️⃣ Bollinger bands reached lower side of the band
🔟 Possible swing target-0.91400 (23.6% Fibonacci) Point of control area
#️⃣ Overall long-term trend- Bearish
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Bullish entry #usdchf
Entry price -0.90400
Take profit 01 - 0.90900 (50 Pips)
Take profit 02 - 0.91400 (100 Pips)
🚫 Stop lose 0.90050 ( 35 Pips)
⬆️ 1.11% Growth expected
⤴️ Account growth .39 : 1.11
✅ Risk reward ratio 1 : 2.84
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USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekWith over 100pips running in profit since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes), the US dollar has continued its downtrend against the Swiss franc for the fourth consecutive day. Signs of a further decline in the Greenback continues to be emphatic as price breaks down and retest Fr0.90800 to make new Resistance level for future "sells".
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish )
Structure: Trend Channel | Breakdown| Supply & Demand
Observation: i. Price appears to continue to respect the Downtrend that began in April 2019 as it gets caught in a Descending channel pattern.
ii. Connecting the lower highs and lower lows of price with parallel trendlines support my downward trend bias.
iii. Price making lower low since the beginning of the month points at the sellers' momentum at this juncture as we experienced a significant Breakdown followed by a retest of Fr0.90800 level last week.
iv. For me, Fr0.90800 level shall be my yardstick (new Resistance level) for selling opportunities in the following week(s).
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:5
Potential Duration: 1 to 4 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCHF - Expanding Diagonal PatternThe upcoming pattern is too rare, the analysis may confront error. If the pattern is detected correctly, we should wait for the price to rise to the level of 0.9296 as an initial target.
We will get the confirmation of this pattern, when the price crossing the range of 0.9147.
USDCHF - Expanded Flat pattern in wave 4There are many scenarios for this currency in the daily and weekly charts, but the current pattern in the 240-minute chart is Expanded Flat, which can be extended in the up the range of 0.9275 to 0.9387.
It should be noted, this is a corrective movement of wave 4, after the completion of correction, the downtrend will begin in the last wave
If the price exceeds the range of 08978, this scenario will be violated. In case the price crosses the range of 0.9139, the ascending trend will be confirmed.
USDCHF | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKOur last publication on this pair fetched 247pips profit (see link below for reference purposes); Price action caught within the sandwich of Supply and demand zone (bearish Rectangle) since the Impulse leg that began late April 2020, we continue to see the potential of shorting the USD/CHF pair despite the recent news regarding the COVID-19.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Bearish Rectangle | Supply and Demand | Trend
Observation: i. Within the Supply and Demand zone, it is observed that price continue to find it difficult to test the Supply zone since Sep. 2020.
ii. Hence, justifying recent Lower Lows as the rejection of 0.92000 level on the 2nd & 11th Nov. 2020 (Double Top) points toward the risk of further decline in the coming week(s).
iii. It is also worthy to note that the little Breakdown of 0.90000 in the previous week hints at the strength of the Sellers at this juncture.
iv. Breakdown and retest of 0.90000 in the following week(s) will open a window for me to add volumes to my Sell positions.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 400 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:4
Potential Duration: 10 to 20 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.