Usdchfsignal
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekWith over 100pips running in profit since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes), the US dollar has continued its downtrend against the Swiss franc for the fourth consecutive day. Signs of a further decline in the Greenback continues to be emphatic as price breaks down and retest Fr0.90800 to make new Resistance level for future "sells".
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish )
Structure: Trend Channel | Breakdown| Supply & Demand
Observation: i. Price appears to continue to respect the Downtrend that began in April 2019 as it gets caught in a Descending channel pattern.
ii. Connecting the lower highs and lower lows of price with parallel trendlines support my downward trend bias.
iii. Price making lower low since the beginning of the month points at the sellers' momentum at this juncture as we experienced a significant Breakdown followed by a retest of Fr0.90800 level last week.
iv. For me, Fr0.90800 level shall be my yardstick (new Resistance level) for selling opportunities in the following week(s).
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:5
Potential Duration: 1 to 4 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCHF - Expanding Diagonal PatternThe upcoming pattern is too rare, the analysis may confront error. If the pattern is detected correctly, we should wait for the price to rise to the level of 0.9296 as an initial target.
We will get the confirmation of this pattern, when the price crossing the range of 0.9147.
USDCHF - Expanded Flat pattern in wave 4There are many scenarios for this currency in the daily and weekly charts, but the current pattern in the 240-minute chart is Expanded Flat, which can be extended in the up the range of 0.9275 to 0.9387.
It should be noted, this is a corrective movement of wave 4, after the completion of correction, the downtrend will begin in the last wave
If the price exceeds the range of 08978, this scenario will be violated. In case the price crosses the range of 0.9139, the ascending trend will be confirmed.
USDCHF | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKOur last publication on this pair fetched 247pips profit (see link below for reference purposes); Price action caught within the sandwich of Supply and demand zone (bearish Rectangle) since the Impulse leg that began late April 2020, we continue to see the potential of shorting the USD/CHF pair despite the recent news regarding the COVID-19.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Bearish Rectangle | Supply and Demand | Trend
Observation: i. Within the Supply and Demand zone, it is observed that price continue to find it difficult to test the Supply zone since Sep. 2020.
ii. Hence, justifying recent Lower Lows as the rejection of 0.92000 level on the 2nd & 11th Nov. 2020 (Double Top) points toward the risk of further decline in the coming week(s).
iii. It is also worthy to note that the little Breakdown of 0.90000 in the previous week hints at the strength of the Sellers at this juncture.
iv. Breakdown and retest of 0.90000 in the following week(s) will open a window for me to add volumes to my Sell positions.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 400 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:4
Potential Duration: 10 to 20 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USD/CHF Wave Analysis
The counter has been in a downtrend since the start of this year.
The price was consolidating in a narrow for the last few months which could be interpreted as wave 4 of Elliott wave.
Now it is on the brink of rendering a bearish breakout.
We expect it to breakdown and complete wave 5.
USD / Chf time to buy, but not now.USD / Chf time to buy, but not now.
What I see from usd / chf at the moment is that the price has broken through to SnD2, at that time there was a bullish movement, then the price returned to point X to retrace.
Usually, when the price breaks the SnD twice, the trend has shifted.
at the moment I see Usd / Chf retrace, its validation is a few pips below X.
if the price continues to fall, the analysis to buy in the green area is definitely invalid.