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Usdcnhbreakout

Does Fed raise rates to weaken China yuan? USDCNHI wanted to take a moment to share some exciting news with you all about the USDCNH (US dollar and Chinese yuan) currency pair. As many of you may know, the Chinese economy has been showing signs of weakness lately, directly impacting the yuan's value. The Federal Reserve has also raised interest rates, weakening the yuan against the US dollar. But what does this mean for us as forex traders? It means there is an excellent opportunity to long the USDCNH and potentially make some serious profits. So, I encourage you to take advantage of this situation and consider going long on the USDCNH. With the yuan's continued weakness and the Fed's interest rate hikes, there's a good chance this currency pair will continue to rise. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make some serious gains. Start trading the USDCNH today and take advantage of the current market conditions.
Long
by bryandowningqln
USD/CNH: Bullish pennant pattern formed – Yuan to fall to 7.20?The US dollar-Chinese yuan pair ( USD/CNH ) has been trading on a bullish pennant pattern since April of this year, and is currently testing the critical 7.00 threshold, which corresponds to the close of July 2020 and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (2022 lows to May 2020 highs). Following the PBoC's decision to reduce Chinese domestic banks' forex reserve requirement ratio by 200 basis points to 6% beginning September 15, the 7.00 mark level may face some selling pressure from the bears. This policy action could in fact free up dollars to be converted into Chinese yuan to sustain the economic slowdown caused by the reinstatement of Covid-19 restrictions. The USD/CNH pullback may find support at 6.89 (1 September lows) or 6.85 (61.8% Fibonacci level). But if 7.00 is broken, then 7.20 might be next. This target (7.20) represents the height of the flagpole when added to the breakout point and will complete the Fibonacci retracement to the highs of May 2020. Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
by Capitalcom
USDCNH | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsAfter been stopped out of the bearish expectation on my last speculation on this pair (see link below for reference purposes); the price found bullish potentials as it broke out of descending channel to find a new high. Despite the new digital yuan tendency of increasing the international usage of China’s national fiat, I am of the opinion that the positive momentum noticed during the Breakout of Bullish rectangle (CNY6.45000 and CNY6.50000 range) on the 27th of July 2021 is a bullish sign and has the potential of extending to the CNY6.5500 level and beyond in the next couple of weeks. Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Channel Observation: i. CNY6.5000 level which has been a significant zone that resisted price action in the last 3 months was finally broken with a bullish engulfing candle and I suppose this event reveals a bullish momentum building up behind the scenes. ii. Bullish Rectangle: In the last 40days, the price has been moving between horizontal support and resistance levels (CNY6.45000 and CnY6.50000), a feat indicating there has been no trend. iii. The Breakout of the rectangle on the 27th of July is presently considered a false one considering the two bearish engulfing candles that followed it. iv. Despite the bearish run following the breakout, price is still contained within the rectangle hereby fortifying hopes of a second breakout. v. Above Key level @ CNY6.46000 remains a comfortable zone for selling the Chinese Yuan in the coming week with possibilities of the second breakout of CNY6.495000 welcoming an opportunity to add a position. vi. I have also noticed that since finding a bottom @ CNY6.35000, there is the appearance of an Ascending channel where price formed two positive sloping trend lines drawn above and below a price series (resistance and support levels) detailing an uptrend in price. vii. It is also worthy to note that, the Key level @ CNY6.46000 is a significant level for bullish momentum as it has a memory for buying power as far back as 2016 (see weekly chart below). viii. A further Breakdown/Retest of CNY6.53000 might welcome addition to the existing position... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 800 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 7 to 15days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
USDCNH | Perspective for the new weekThe prospects for further downside in USD/CNH remain a dominant subject amongst market makers as China is rolling out a digital yuan that will make her the world's second-largest economy the first country to create its own digital currency; I see a Reversal setup building up with structural tendencies that might drive the Greenback to higher highs in the coming week(s). Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern Observation: i. Since mid-February 2021; the price of the Dollar has risen as it continues to find Higher highs until a successful Breakout of Key level happened early in March 2021. ii. It is obvious that the Y6.54000/6.50000 that has been a strong Supply zone for close to 3 months was finally hijacked by buyers in March 2021 with a successful Breakout. iii. Following the Breakout, the price found a niche around Y6.48000 which appeared to be a new Demand zone for Bullish expectation. iv. Taking a long term perspective view on the weekly chart; I see price action transition into a Corrective phase after the Impulsive Bearish move that began mid-last year in the coming week(s) hence my Bullish bias. v. With my Key level marked @ Y6.49000, I shall be looking forward to buying opportunity above this level to join the potential rally. Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 1,800 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:6 Potential Duration: 15 to 25days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
USDCNH | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upWe saw the price decline and move over 1,000pips in our direction since my last publication before the rally began during last week trading session (see link below for reference purposes). Despite the general perception that the USD is on the verge of a rally due to the sudden & rapid rise that appears to be running ahead of itself during last week trading session, I am of the opinion that we are at a juncture in the market where the structure/pattern is "screaming" risk of further decline for the Greenback in the coming week(s). Even though there is room for a possible rally into the major Supply area @ Y6.5100 area, my bias still remains Bearish! Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Harmonic Pattern (AB = CD) | Breakdown | Supply & Demand Observation: i. Since the beginning of the year (2021), Buyers have found it difficult to break the Y6.51000 barrier thereby leaving clues of strong selling pressure at this zone. ii. Continuous rejection of the Y6.51000 area followed by a complete Breakdown of Key level (Y6.4600/6.4400) at the beginning of the month (Feb 2021) is a sign emphasizing the strength of sellers. iii. I am of the opinion that the rally that began on the 15th Feb 2021 is a Correction of the Impulse leg AB (expressed on the chart). iv. Last week trading session saw price close at Y6.4600 area - exactly 61.8% retracement of AB with the possibility of extending into the Major Supply zone @ 78.6% retracement (appearing to be a rejection of key level) before the decline begins. v. The setup evolving at this juncture might transpose into ABCD pattern parameters explained below; a. Leg A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is currently hovering at 61.8% (with a possible 78.6% in the future) Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move. vi. It is hereby required that we become patient and wait for a strong Reversal pattern on lower time frames for confirmations... Best of luck and Trade consciously! :) Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 1,000 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3 Potential Duration: 7 to 14 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
6
USD/CNH Can Plummet FurtherThis has been plummeting for the best part of a year. It recently broke another support and is now retesting it as resistance. If we see MACD turn lower and EMA's do not cross higher then this should continue down to the next supports. Keep in mind this has been oversold on RSI since September so don't be too overconfident as there is always the chance of a correction. I have marked out 3 levels where to expect support so these can be the targets. TP 1 - 6.38367 TP 2 - 6.31515 TP 3 - 6.23602 Once this turns SL can be added just above the resistance.
Short
by olly48
USD/CNH Time for Big CorrectionWorth keeping an eye on this. Looking on monthly and weekly timeframes this has plummeted hugely, at some point there will be a correction. It has levelled off recently so there may be an opportunity now. To enter this I would like to see the price rise above the most recent resistance marked with the blue rectangle, if the price then holds here as a support a long can be entered with SL just below support and a TP at 0.382 Fibonacci which is around 6.67000. This also aligns with a support area in Feb/March/April 2019.
Long
by olly48