Usdcnhlong
USDCNH approaching support, potential for a bounce!
USDCNH is expected to drop to 1st support at 10.67524 where it could potentially react off and up to 1st resistance at 10.74484.
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USDCNH (H4): Short-Term PlayUSDCNH
Timeframe: H4
Direction: Short
Confluences for Trade:
- Around Resistance Line of Previous High
- Stochastic Overbought momentum
- Fundamentally, China has seem to be slowing moving towards a psychological level of 7.00.Currently, the previous high proves to provide some resistance and we can take this as a short term opportunity to short USDCNH.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 6.9370 - 6.9550
SL: 6.9670
TP: 6.8736
RR: Approx. 2.11 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and we are not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Yuan USDCNH - Wave 3 of 3 - Motive WaveSince the start of the trade war between the US and China, the Chin. Yuan has already depreciated by 8% against the US dollar. This will make Chinese products cheaper and thus cushion the US tariffs. At the same time, all US products will be 8% more expensive, plus tariffs.
At the same time, US dollar-based loans are becoming more expensive and are likely to worsening the financial situation of a number of Chinese companies and thus lead to market consolidation.
As you can see in the timetable, the pattern is Impulsive and the yuan is inside of the (3) circled 3. The RSI is already in the overvalued area so I expect shortly that wave (3) end and a subsequent correction wave (4) start.
Best Regards
Stefan Bode
P.S. Do not forget to agree.
USDCNY Daily tf analysis.This analysis takes a quick look at the USDCNY on a Daily tf chart. The points noted on the chart are discussed below:
(1) Major bearish trendline in the USDCNY (in color blue) that has been active since ~January 04, 2018 and was successfully tested on July 3, 2017.
(2) This region marks indicates where the USDCNY is expected to find resistance on a breakout above the major trendline. This region is indicated by the price labels as ~ between $6.84 and $6.80.
(3) This is the resistance area that coincides with the major trendline i.e. (1) above. The implication of both is that it indicates stronger resistance than (2) above. (3) is present between ~$6.72 and $6.67.
(4) Support region between ~$6.57 and $6.53 that is expected to provide a bullish momentum upwards in price action. A break below this region is expected to see price reach between ~$6.48 and $6.44 as indicated by (5) in the chart.
(6) This is the MACD with only the MACD line (blue) and signal line (orange) color shown here. Both indicate a bullish bias for the USDCNY. However, price at the trendline (1) and resistance area (2) above do suggest waiting to see what happens at the resistance area before taking further action.