USDHUF - quick update on the price actionHi Everyone!✋🏽
Just a quick update on the USDHUF. Direction is undecided yet, I'd wait for a confirmation in the trigger zones.
ANYWAY, a lot of Qs about the direction of the price. But it doesn't matter. WE JUST REACT!
Trade safe! ⚪️⚫️
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USDHUF
USD/HUF technical analysis: three white soldiers bullish patternUSD/HUF technical analysis
The worst-performing currency today is the Hungarian forint, down by more than 1% on the day against the USD ( USD/HUF ), as Russian gas disruptions fuelled selling pressures on Central Eastern European currencies.
The latest candlesticks analysis provides a strong bullish signal generated by the three white soldiers pattern. This pattern can be identified by the appearance of three green candles in a row, each with a higher open and close than the previous day.
The USD/HUF pair has crossed the 400-mark, returning to 2-week highs after a 7 percent decline from its July 12 high to the end of last week.
The confirmation of the bullish trend and the strong momentum of buyers – the RSI is on the rise – might lead USD/HUF to test the next resistance levels at 406 (July 15 Highs) and then the all-time high of 414 reached on July 12.
Spotlight on the currencies of Ukraine’s neighboursThe USD has lived up to its classification as a safe-haven currency since the beginning of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Other safe-haven currencies, such as the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen, have failed in this respect. Both have lost strength over the past month and a half. The Swiss franc index has fallen 1.2% over this time, while the Japanese yen has plummeted 8.6%.
The physical approximation of Switzerland to the Ukrainian border might explain why the Swiss franc has failed to live up to its safe-haven status. The same reasoning cannot be applied to the yen as Japan has a 5000-mile wide buffer between it and the locale of the conflict. Nevertheless, Switzerland is not the only European country that has been affected by the Ukraine invasion, many of them being direct or close neighbours of Ukraine.
Spotlight on the currencies of Ukraine’s neighbours
The currencies of several close and bordering countries of Ukraine have followed a similar pattern since Russia entered Ukraine for its ‘special military operation’ on 24 February 2022.
The Czech koruna, Polish zloty, and the Hungarian forint each spent the period of 24 February until the 7 March considerably weakening against the US dollar. The US dollar strengthened in a range of 9% to 14% against these pairs. The two weeks before 24 February saw gradual but moderate de-risking in these European currencies, with the US dollar gaining in the range of 2% to 3.5%.
Strangely, significant movement was seen on the bookends of this period, on the 24 February, 6 March, and 7 March. All the stranger for the very sharp reversals that took place on 8 and 9 March. This may have been when it became evident that Russia had botched its invasion. The reversals that occurred were not entirely successful in erasing the losses the currencies made since 24 February. The Czech koruna (USDCZK) has fared the best during this affair so far, weakening by only -3% and followed by the Polish zloty (USDPLN) at -4.9% and the Hungarian forint (USDHUF) at -7.8%.
USDHUF - Wait For The Trigger!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
USDHUF is sitting around a daily resistance in blue so we will be looking for sell setups.
on H4: USDHUF formed a head and shoulders pattern but it is not ready to go yet. Before we sell, we want the bears to prove control again.
Trigger => Waiting for a momentum candle close below the gray neckline to sell.
Until the sell is activated, USDHUF would be overall bullish and can still trade higher.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USDHUF best possible setup for long.Mid to long term trade idea. This pair is in a bullish flag. For the USD to cost only 284 is more than a bargain price to load up on dollars against the forint. Also confluence is the retracement to Fib 0.382 of the bull run that started in 2018. I think there is not a better setup to make some good money. Price however may hit 280 so I wouldn’t place stop loss at that area, but I think 280 is the very bottom if we go there.
USDHUF - Silver MedalAs you might know Hungary is at the 2nd place in Covid vaccination in Europe.
As we reached the magic 50% - rate of the vaccinated people in the population- the USDHUF broke and important level : 290 .
It looks now we printed an intermediate bottom - or at least a DCL - and now as the dollar is coming out of its DCL the USDHUF will rally again.
Indicators:
MACD, TSI crossing over , RSI left the oversold territory.