Watching divergence on USD indexUSD index has formed divergence.
Looking at the daily chart, we can see a familiar pattern forming between price and the 10 CCI. This pattern is called regular divergence, which can tell us that a possible reversal could develop.
In today’s analysis, we have run over the divergence pattern we are watching and Friday’s price action, which might give it more substance. From here, we would like to see a new move by sellers that breaks last Friday’s low, and this could confirm that sellers are in control and could look to take price back down to the moving averages.
103 could offer some resistance if reached by sellers, as it was a previous level of consolidation before the last breakout. Focus now will be on sellers and if they can back up Friday’s move with a new push lower.
The US has a bank holiday today, which could also be another factor for short-term volatility.
Good trading
Usdindex
Trading plan and review of Key Levels for major marketsReview of the key levels in the major markets as the US continues to edge lower.
US share market staged a late rally to fend off the bears which has led to a strong Asian market open as traders go bargain hunting. The general trend remains down with the USD, Inflation and Interest Rate Rises in focus.
BITCOIN and ETHEREUM took a beating as BTC spiked below $30k to take out some stops. Crypto enthusiasts will be hoping to see BTC back above the $30K area to fend off more selling pressure.
Markets covered
US - DOW, Nasdaq and SP500
Europe - DAX and FTSE100
Asia - Hang Seng, ASX200 and Nikkei
FX - Dollar Index (USD), EURUSD , GBPUSD , AUDUSD and USDJPY
Commodities - GOLD , Oil and Copper
Crypto - Bitcoin and Ethereum
US DOLLAR INDEX READY FOR A MOVE DOWNUS Dollar index at a huge level of resistance so may give a push down to back the other currencies I'm looking at trading, USD index to push down would give EURUSD a nice upside move! Also a weaker US dollar will back my short bias on USDCAD. Anyone that doesn't use these index's as a reference I think should, it gives a good indication of how that currency is preforming.
BIG DAY FOR THE USD...Will today finally bring some direction to the USD?
The federal reserve is set to cut interest rates by 0.25%, but the language they use will be more important.
If the fed decide to be more aggressive with future rate cuts we may see the USD weaken significantly.
Even if the fed use hawkish comments we are likely to see President Donald Trump try to continue to
devalue the USD. Expect volatility to be high and wait for clear direction.
EURUSD BREAK OR BOUNCE?EURUSD is at a key technical level where technical traders will be looking to short the market.
However, fundamentally we expect the USD to weaken as the USD comes under pressure from President Trump
and the Fed. Price on the 4hr timeframe is currently consolidating and a break of the range will be key to identifying
the sentiment.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: USD STRENGTH TO CONTINUE?In this video update, we take a look at the recent USD strength after the recent FOMC interest rate decision.
The need for the Fed to cut rates has slowed and become less aggressive because of the recent good data.
Fed Chairman Powell continued his hawkish outlook in the press conference which has helped sustain the
USD rally. A close above the highs will be key to see any further upside.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: USDCAD TO 1.2900? USDCAD lined up with our strategy trade at the end of day close. In this video, we discuss the current reasons
for taking the trade, how we can manage the positions and what to do going forward.
If price continues the downtrend we expect to see the key demand zone of 1.2900 tested before the end of the year.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: DXY TO BREAK MONTHLY HIGHS?The USD strength continues despite the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25bps this week.
The key for any break or bounce here will be left in the hands of the fomc press conference. If the FED is aggressive with
the way they want to cut rates then we should see USD weakness. If they feel there is no need to cut rates so aggressively then
a breakout higher is likely. Despite the current strength, the technicals are suggesting a potential reversal could form here.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: EURUSD KEY SUPPLY AND DEMAND ZONES In this video update, we take a look at EURUSD and USD Index to continue looking for the USD weakness.
Price on the USD Index has recently tested 96.00 which could see some buyers step back in short-term into
the previous structure lows. EURUSD has broken higher and is heading towards a key supply zone where we
could see price retrace into the key highs before going long.
FED DOVISH TONE PRICED IN...WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO THE USD?In this video update, we discuss the two scenarios ahead of this meeting and what could
happen if the Fed discuss further cuts in the future or if they downplay the need to cut rates going forward.
Inflationary data suggest a cut is likely but will FED chair Powell want to open the flood gates for the USD bears.
We are not so sure...
VIDEO ANALYSIS: USDCAD BREAKS LONG TERM WEDGEIn this video update, we take a look at USDCAD as the price has broken through longer-term trendline support.
Recently we saw USD weakness come into play and the Canadian Dollar benefitted massively. We expect this
decline to continue and a re-test of 1.3300 will be ideal in order to look for further shorting opportunities.
NZDUSD 0.6700 BY THE END OF THE WEEKIn this video update, we take a look at NZDUSD as we expect the price to test the 0.6700 resistance.
The CoT reports highlighted an increase in long contracts this week showing us the commercials are happy
to buy at these levels. The 4hr timeframe has highlighted a minor demand zone around 0.6600 where the
price could find buyers.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: NZDUSD TRADE UPDATE AND POSSIBLE ADD IN TRADESIn this video update, we are taking a look at NZDUSD as the price is breaking into new highs on the daily
timeframe. Now that price is breaking higher we can look for potential add in trades on the lower timeframes.
We already hold a position on the daily timeframe from the initial bullish engulfing candle. We are expecting
price to test the April highs around 0.6700.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: EURUSD BOUNCES...In this video update, we take a look at EURUSD as price reacts from the key lows yet again.
This is due to a sell-off in the USD as the USD index reacts from the weekly highs. This
current price action suggests we could be forming a double bottom pattern.
If the daily candle does close bullish look for short-term long positions into the trendline resistance.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: USDCHF SHORT UPDATEIn this video update, we take a look at USDCHF as we are anticipating the market to fall further.
The CoT signal remains and we could see further buying of Swiss Francs. USDCHF has retraced to the
61.8 Fib and rejected. This could offer us a short opportunity to the key demand zone.
VIDEO ANALYSIS: USD BREAK OUT PENDINGIn this video update, we take a look at the USD INDEX in order to understand the current situation.
We feel that the USD is holding up at the moment due to the risk-off sentiment in the market.
Technically the price remains in a consolidation pattern and if we see price take out $97.00
we could expect a larger sell-off.