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USDJPY

USDJPY Forecast for NFP Week | Price at a Critical Turning PointIn this video, I’m diving into the USDJPY setup ahead of a high-impact week filled with major economic news like the NFP, ADP Employment, and speeches from the BoJ Governor. We’ll walk through the technical zones I’m watching, discuss potential buyer and seller reactions, and outline the key catalysts that could move the market. 🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of my work. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #USDJPY #ForexForecast #NFPWeek #ForexMentor #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #BoJ #TradeSetups #PriceAction #MarketBreakdown
by darcsherry
2
Japan core inflation hits two-year high, yen gains groundThe yen is higher on Friday. Iin the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.63, down 0.37% on the day. Tokyo core CPI climbed to 3.6% y/y in May, up from 3.4% in April and above the market estimate of 3.5%. This marked the highest level since Jan. 2025. Tokyo core inflation is viewed as the leading indicator of nationwide inflation trends and is closely monitored by the Bank of Japan. Tokyo core CPI, which excludes fresh food, was driven higher due to due higher non-fresh food prices, particularly rice which has soared 93% over the past year. The jump in core CPI bolsters the case for a BoJ rate hike. The markets had anticipated a rate hike in October but today's strong inflation report could accelerate the timing of the next rate hike. At the same time, the uncertainty caused by US trade policy may force the BoJ to delay any rate hikes until the impact of US tariffs on Japan's economy becomes clearer. US President Trump's controversial tariffs have sent the financial markets on wild swings. Now, US courts are weighing in on whether Trump exceeded his authority when he imposed the tariffs. A trade court panel ruled this week that most of the tariffs were illegal but on Thursday, an appeals court granted the Trump administration a temporary pause, keeping the tariffs in effect. The legal fight over the tariffs has just begun and could go all the way to the US Supreme Court. In the meantime, the legal challenge has blown a hole in Trump's tariff policy and is causing even more uncertainty in the financial markets.
by OANDA
1
Could the price bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 143.25 1st Support: 141.80 1st Resistance: 145.97 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??GBPUSD has successfully completed its retest of the 1.34300–1.34500 support zone and is now showing strong signs of resuming its bullish momentum. The recent structure confirms a classic bullish continuation pattern, as price bounced cleanly off a critical support level that previously acted as resistance. This level has now flipped into a solid demand zone, giving buyers confidence to push toward the 1.40000 psychological target. Price action continues to respect the uptrend with higher lows forming since mid-April, suggesting strength and institutional accumulation. From a macroeconomic perspective, the British pound remains fundamentally supported. Recent UK inflation data surprised to the upside, causing the market to delay rate cut expectations from the Bank of England. In contrast, the US dollar is weakening due to rising expectations that the Federal Reserve could initiate rate cuts later this year as inflation cools and labor market data softens. This divergence in policy outlooks between the BoE and the Fed is fueling bullish pressure on GBPUSD, making the 1.40000 level a realistic and high-probability target. Technical confluence also supports this bullish wave. Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low to the high align closely with the support zone at 1.34300, which acted as a perfect retest before the next leg higher. Additionally, the bullish engulfing candles and consistent daily closes above the support level add further confirmation to the upside bias. As long as the pair holds above 1.34300, the structure favors bulls with strong momentum to test and potentially break the 1.38000 intermediate level on the way to 1.40000. GBPUSD remains a high-confidence bullish opportunity, aligning both technically and fundamentally. The recent breakout and retest phase is complete, and the pair now appears poised for a sustained rally. With bullish market sentiment, favorable UK data, and USD softness across the board, this setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio for medium-term swing traders targeting the 1.40000 zone.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
USDJPY H1 I Bullish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 143.27, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 144.85, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss is placed at 142.12, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
USDJPY – Supportive news, price may break resistance soonUSDJPY is supported by positive U.S. economic data, as the PCE index remains elevated—reinforcing expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer. This has boosted bond yields and the USD, driving USDJPY upward. On the H3 technical chart, USDJPY has rebounded from the support zone around 143.680. Both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 lie below the price, reinforcing the recovery momentum. The pair is now expected to approach the 146.000 resistance area—where it intersects with the long-term descending trendline that has rejected price at least twice before. If buying pressure holds and 146.000 is decisively broken, a short-term bullish trend will likely be confirmed. However, another rejection could lead to a retest of the previous support zone. Overall, the current trend slightly favors the buyers.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
USD/JPY takes fresh dip on renewed trade uncertaintyThanks to ongoing trade uncertainty and troubles in the bond market, the USD/JPY looks like is going to end the week on a negative note, after coming down sharply in the last day and a half, which means the weekly gains have more than halved. The US dollar had actually clawed back a bit of ground in early Friday trading after taking a hit the day before. The rebound came despite fresh drama around Donald Trump’s tariff policies, which—unsurprisingly—are once again stirring the pot. A federal appeals court gave the president a temporary lifeline, pausing a ruling that could have derailed much of his economic agenda. The White House team wasted no time doubling down: Trump, they insist, isn’t backing off. Tariffs are sticking around. But the mood got murkier when Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent admitted that US-China trade talks are “a bit stalled.” Then came Trump’s latest post on Truth Social, where he accused China of “totally violating” the trade deal with the US. Markets didn’t take it well. US indices dipped, USD/JPY slid, and even the euro managed to push the dollar back a touch. As well as well as trade uncertainty eyes will turn to incoming US data next week, among them the monthly jobs report on Friday. The US jobs report is always important as it could impact the Fed’s future policy decisions. Traders will want to see whether the trade war uncertainty is negatively impacting the jobs market too, after several macro data, including consumption data in GDP report and consumer sentiment surveys, have come out weaker in recent weeks. JOLTS jobs data and ISM PMIs are also due out earlier in the week. The US dollar has been under pressure in the last three months or so, with the euro performing admirably during this time despite US tariffs. With the US recently losing its final top-tier credit rating at the hands of Moody’s a couple of weeks ago, investors are worried that debt concerns and government spending will push yields even higher and thus they are shorting Treasuries and the dollar, buying foreign currencies, including the euro. This makes the EUR/USD outlook remain fairly resilient around the 1.12-1.15 range. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Short
by FOREXcom
USDJPY: Weekly overviewHello Traders, US news could move this pair dramatically. I've made the white zone no trade because of strong additional zone around 148.225 for the bullish side and a sharp move needed to reach the zone. The zone around 142.892 is more suitable for short trades, regarding the trend and distance from median of the channel. This zone is only suitable for long if the break be strong enough to overpass the median of the channel. The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Short
by AliSignals
Yen Strengthens Beyond 144 on InflationThe Japanese yen rose past 144 per dollar, extending gains after Tokyo’s core inflation beat expectations, increasing the likelihood of a 25 bps BOJ rate hike in July. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said recent forecast adjustments were due to global risks and lower oil prices but reaffirmed the short-term policy stance remains focused on the 2% inflation goal. The yen also gained from safe-haven flows after a U.S. court reinstated Trump’s reciprocal tariffs. Resistance is at 144.50, with further resistance at 145.40 and 146.10. Support levels stand at 143.50, 143.00, and 142.10.
by ChartMage
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 30, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) attracted strong follow-through buying for the second consecutive day on Friday and continued to recover from a two-week low reached the previous day against the US dollar. Global risk sentiment deteriorated after a federal appeals court on Thursday suspended a recent ruling blocking US President Donald Trump's radical tariffs. This is evident from the general weakening of sentiment in the stock markets and is contributing to a recovery in demand for traditional safe-haven assets, including the JPY. Meanwhile, optimistic macroeconomic data from Japan released today, including strong consumer inflation figures in Tokyo, confirm the need for further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (JPY) and provide additional support for the JPY. On the other hand, the US dollar (USD) is consolidating after a sharp reversal yesterday amid concerns about the deterioration of the US financial situation and bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its easing policy. This further contributes to the continued decline of the USD/JPY pair. Trading recommendation: SELL 143.800, SL 144.200, TP 142.900
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY Bullish Pullback Setup – Targeting 145.800 USDJPY has broken out of the previous downtrend structure and is now showing a potential bullish continuation pattern. - The recent impulse move from the demand zone (highlighted in blue) confirms buying interest around 143.600. - The current pullback could offer a buy opportunity, especially if the price retests the 143.600 support zone or forms a higher low. - As long as the price holds above this key support, we expect the pair to continue upward toward the next major resistance at 145.800. USDJPY is forming a clean bullish correction after an impulsive move up. If support at 143.600 holds, the next bullish leg could extend to 145.800. Watch for bullish confirmation near the pullback zone.
Long
by ClearTradingMind
2
USDJPY Faces An Intraday Corrective RecoveryUSDJPY Faces An Intraday Corrective Recovery after a bearish impulse, which can later send the price lower from technical and Elliott wave pespective. USDJPY is sharply bouncing after reaching May lows within the wedge pattern for wave »v« of an impulse, so it can be now trading in a higher degree abc correction, which can recover the price back to 145 – 146 resistance area before bears return. Basic bearish Elliott wave pattern shows that a five-wave impulsive decline indicates for more weakness after a corrective three-wave pause.
Short
by ew-forecast
USDJPY SMC Play | Order Block + Fibo 61.8 = Precision EntryUSDJPY | Confluence Entry in Motion 🚀 A beautifully aligned setup using Smart Money Concepts, with a clear entry mapped out at the OB + Fib 61.8% retracement zone. Price just tapped into the purple zone — now it’s all eyes on bullish momentum confirmation. 📊 1. Market Overview USDJPY has been trending bullish, with a strong impulsive move followed by a retracement — price is now sitting at a key decision zone. The zone is a refined bullish Order Block (purple) aligning perfectly with: ✅ 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ✅ 70.5% golden zone ✅ Strong imbalance below We’re seeing a beautiful reaction candle off this area as price hunts liquidity. 🧠 2. Why This Trade Makes Sense (SMC Breakdown) Here’s the logic: Price broke structure to the upside Pullback into OB + discounted pricing Clean liquidity sweep just beneath the short-term low Room for continuation toward higher timeframe POI (top green zone) This is a textbook SMC + Fibonacci sniper setup. 🎯 3. Entry Zone (Purple Box) 📍 OB Zone: 145.200 – 145.334 🧮 Fib Levels: — 50%: 145.595 — 61.8%: 145.334 — 70.5%: ~145.200 — 100% (SL): 144.836 Your entry's beautifully layered with confluences = 🔥 Risk/Reward. 🚀 4. Target Zones 🟢 TP1: 146.000 🟢 TP2: 146.703 (TOP of the Fibonacci extension, completing the full bullish leg) ⚖️ 5. Risk-Reward Setup ✅ SL: 144.836 ✅ Entry: around 145.334 ✅ TP: 146.703 👉 RRR: Over 1:4 — institutional grade 🔥 🛡️ 6. Trade Management Tips ✅ Wait for bullish engulfing or LTF break of structure for confirmation 🕰️ Drop to M15 for precise sniper confirmation entry 🔄 If it taps again with more imbalance left = re-entry possible 📌 Save this if you love high confluence entries 🔥 Drop “SMC Sniper” in the comments if you're watching this pair 👀 Follow for daily setups just like this — clean, confident, and calculated
Long
by ChartNinjas88
USD/JPY 1H Analysis – Channel Breakout and Buy SignalOverview:** The USD/JPY chart shows a **bullish breakout from a descending channel**, supported by technical indicators like the Ichimoku Cloud and a strong demand zone. This setup suggests a potential bullish reversal and upward momentum. *Key Technical Points:** * **Descending Channel Breakout:** Price action has broken out of a falling channel, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. * **Strong Support Zone:** Around 143.28 – 143.73, the price found significant support, which aligns with a previous demand zone. This area held firm, helping trigger the breakout. * **Ichimoku Cloud:** Price is emerging above the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling a potential start of an uptrend. If the price maintains above the cloud, bullish momentum may strengthen. * **Resistance Levels:** * **First Resistance:** Near 146.00 – a critical area to watch for short-term profit-taking. * **Second Resistance:** Around 148.00 – a more extended target if bullish continuation holds. --- ### **Trading Idea:** **BUY USD/JPY** on successful retest of the breakout or sustained move above the Ichimoku Cloud. * **Entry:** 144.30–144.40 zone * **Target 1:** 146.00 * **Target 2:** 148.00 * **Stop Loss:** Below 143.20 (under the support zone) --- Conclusion:** The chart presents a classic **bullish channel breakout** supported by the Ichimoku indicator and price action at a strong support zone. As long as the price holds above the breakout level and Ichimoku Cloud, the upside targets at 146 and 148 remain valid. Let me know if you want this formatted as a trade plan or journal entry. To ensure you do not miss the upcoming analysis, be sure to follow me! Please leave a remark and a like!
Long
by KingProTrader
2
USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 145.162. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 142.359 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Yen Stabilizes as Risk Sentiment ImprovesThe Japanese Yen edged up from a two-week low on Thursday but lacked strong momentum, as risk appetite improved after a U.S. court blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, reducing demand for safe havens. Concerns over Japan’s rising debt continue to pressure the Yen. Meanwhile, USD/JPY rose for a fourth day, supported by hawkish FOMC minutes, though markets still expect a Fed rate cut. Expectations of a more hawkish Bank of Japan helped limit the Yen’s losses. The key resistance is at $147.10 meanwhile the major support is located at $145.00.
by ChartMage
USDJPY – Rejected at 146.00, downside risk growsUSDJPY reacted strongly at the 146.00 resistance area – a level where price was previously rejected. After a sharp rally, the pair has turned lower and is now heading toward the 144.00 support zone, which aligns with the EMA 34–89 on the H3 chart. The chart shows a small double top pattern forming around the recent highs. If USDJPY continues to struggle below 146.00 and breaks through the 144.00 support, a short-term downtrend may be confirmed, with the next target around 142.50. On the news side: The Japanese Yen is gaining some ground again after the BOJ signaled readiness to adjust its easing policy if inflation consistently exceeds its target. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure as expectations grow that the Fed may keep interest rates steady in the upcoming meeting, due to cooler consumer data. Suggested strategy: Consider selling if bearish signals appear around the 145.80–146.00 area, with a short-term target at 144.00.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
USDCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??USDCAD continues to follow the predicted bearish path, currently trading around 1.38300, and still moving gradually toward our target zone of 1.34300. After a strong bearish impulse from the 1.40391 supply zone, price has consistently formed lower highs, confirming selling pressure and market intent. The recent bounce was shallow, and price is respecting previous resistance levels perfectly, validating the bearish continuation setup. Fundamentally, the Canadian dollar is gaining strength off rising oil prices and improving economic data from Canada, while the US dollar remains under pressure as the market begins pricing in a potential Fed rate cut in the second half of 2025. With softer US economic indicators including lower consumer confidence and slowing GDP growth, the momentum clearly favors CAD in this pair. The divergence in monetary policy outlooks between the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve adds further downside bias to USDCAD. Technically, the structure remains bearish, with a clean breakdown below the 1.3900 psychological level and clear rejection at the 1.40300 resistance zone. Market liquidity appears to be shifting below the current price, and with the pair printing consistent lower highs and lower lows, there's significant space toward our target zone near 1.34128. A rejection from the minor pullback zone between 1.38800–1.39000 could provide another entry opportunity for trend continuation traders. USDCAD remains a high-probability short setup in line with both technical structure and current fundamentals. As long as price stays below the 1.40300 resistance, I expect the bearish trend to continue with increased momentum as we approach summer liquidity shifts. This trade is already deep in profit and aligns with key institutional selling zones, making 1.34300 a realistic and conservative target in the coming weeks.
Short
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery