Scenario USDJPYThe graph is just for fun, I lightly drew a possible scenario, but we will see how this situation turns out in the end, the price is currently hovering around the price level of 153.340, which corresponds to a little 0.618 from the last wave before the correction, if the price fails to hold, the correction may be considered sufficient and we can concentrate for shorts !
USDJPY-TRADE
USD JPY Zone Sell Confirm long Target Conversely, in the scenario of sellers regaining control and driving the exchange rate lower, support appears at 149.70 and 148.90 thereafter. Continued losses beyond these thresholds may lead to a pullback towards 147.50 in the near term.
USD/JPY outlook: Extended consolidation above trendline support to precede push towards key barriers
Confirm long Target
USDJPY 4H (Pivot Price:144.69)USDJPY
stabilizing above 144.96 will support rising to touch 145.50 then 146.11 then 146.92
stabilizing under 144.69 will support falling to touch 144.03 and then 143.33
Pivot Price:144.69
Resistance prices: 145.50 & 146.11 & 146.92
Support prices: 144.03 & 143.33 & 142.45
timeframe:4H
USDJPY the condition is closing 4h candle under 141.97stabilizing above 141.97 will support rising to touch 143.02 then 144.69 then 146.62
stabilizing under 141.97 will support falling to touch 140.25 and then 138.83
the condition is closing 4h candle under
141.97
Resistance prices: 143.02 & 144.69 & 146.62
Support prices: 140.25 & 138.83 & 137.55
timeframe:4H
USDJPY Strong Bullish LongUSD/JPY tests new highs as Treasury yields rise. While the market expects that the Fed would stop after an additional 25 bps rate hike in July, BoJ’s ultra-dovish policy puts too much pressure on the Japanese yen.
See also the following related Trading Ideas
USDJPY published apr 2023
USDJPY published may2023
Taking a look at the daily chart, a move above the resistance in the 144.20 – 145.20 range will push USD/JPY towards the next resistance level at 148.35 – 148.75.
Higher Timeframes Showing Lack of Nearby Resistance
From the weekly timeframe, I see the USD/JPY eyeballing a Harmonic Bat pattern’s Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) between ¥149.09 and ¥146.68 (made up of a deep 88.6% Fibonacci retracement ratio , a 1.618% Fibonacci projection and a 200% extension ratio). Given the limited resistance overhead on the weekly chart until the observed PRZ, additional outperformance may be on the table for the currency pair.
Moving down to the daily timeframe, last week retested a recently breached resistance level at ¥141.60 and pencilled in support. You might acknowledge that resistance calls for attention overhead at ¥144.95, with a break north of here unearthing the weekly timeframe’s Harmonic PRZ highlighted above. What is also technically interesting on the daily chart is that just above ¥144.95 resides a pattern profit objective for an ascending triangle pattern (¥137.91/¥129.64) at ¥145.90, which joins up closely with the lower side of the weekly Harmonic PRZ.
H1 Timeframe Working with ¥144 and ¥143
Finally, from the H1 timeframe, we can see that price recently recoiled from ¥143 and is on the verge of approaching resistance from ¥143.90 and the ¥144 psychological handle.
While follow-through upside could be seen, as suggested by the higher timeframes (through a lack of resistance), which may send H1 price above ¥144 and entice breakout buying in the direction of at least daily resistance at ¥144.95, a whipsaw beneath ¥143 could equally still occur. A whipsaw (or stop run) beneath ¥143 might be enough to attract those seeking dip-buying opportunities from H1 support at ¥142.78, targeting a break above ¥144 and continuation moves higher.
Strategy Bullish
Trend
Trend continuation confirmation:Positive
USD/JPY has rallied to fresh highs, fade-n-scalp opportunityBloomberg's article circulated the wires as the Tokyo session opened that reported on President Xi Jinping's and Russian leader Vladimir Putin's plans to attend a Group of 20 summit in the resort island of Bali later this year, Indonesian President Joko Widodo said.
This sent the US dollar higher but has offered an opportunity to fade the news from a seriously good-looking area of resistance on the daily chart.
The following analysis should be taken as a cue for a sell set-up, but traders need to engage only at the right timings.
This could develop in the European open for instance and we will want to see a peak formation place prior to a move into the low-hanging fruit to the downside.
Some pointers - check for bearish structure, double tops for instance and make sure the price has broken the support line.
A sell limit once the trendline is broken and a structure point has been clearly taken out would be the ideal way to engage on a pullback into resistance. the video should give some clues as to how this could be approached for the European day ahead. Bonne chance!
USD vs. YEN - Swing Trading Idea - Uptrend Coming Soon - 30 JulyPEPPERSTONE:USDJPY strong uptrend needed correction. In this moment this correction is healthy. I don't expect USDJPY to continue sharp drop to levels over 130 and 128. DXY corrected over 3% and there are big probability for a range move in one month period ahead.
- By Elliot Waves the price forming A-B-C correction.
- In the end of C-5 corrective wave
- Sharp volatility capitulation
If you have any questions related to this trading idea I will be happy to provide you with answers.
USDJPY 21-EMA SupportUSD/JPY extends range trade above 21-EMA, bias neutral
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes released on Wednesday favored the Fed hawks.
Technical Analysis:
USD/JPY is grinding sideways for the 4th straight session
GMMA indicator shows major trend is bullish, while minor trend has gone neutral
Momentum is in favor of bulls, volatility is low
Bearish RSI divergence keeps scope for more weakness
Bounce off 21-EMA will change near-term dynamics
USDJPY trade idea - wait for long📍 Fundamental bias of USD is Bullish
📍 Bias if JPY is Bearish
📍 Forecast is short
📍 market is risk-off right now so we predicted this pair touch lower price
- Link
We wait for 114.4 strong support to take a long
▫️ Entry: 114.4 area
▫️ TP1: 115.5
🔻 SL:113.57
Apply proper risk, 1% for your position.
USDJPY Broad falling wedge leads to the bullish runUSDJPY
Because of the broad weakness in USD this pair has visit some south extreme and due to the final quarter and year end fixing and selling of USD is also acted as good fundamental factor to short this pair. USDJPY has reached around 102.00 and got some rejection at this level and this level was currently acting as year(2021) low. We can see a series of broad falling wedge pattern in this chart which is a clear sign of bullish trend and we have identified some triangle breakouts too. Interms of
average daily moving of major pairs USDJPY is lagging behind the counterparts Positive risk sentiment will not favor the JPY. Recent vaccine developments and smooth political transition in USA will give a positive hope for the whole economy and the economic figures are much improving in recent months and the number of peoples who are claiming the unemployment benefits has in declining trend. The FED has reiterate the they will not hike the interest rates until the inflation is well
above the 2%. This is average inflation targeting. DXY is also turned positive. More bullish run was expected in USDPY.
Speculative Wave theory, Bullish-Pullback and Buy! USDJPY
Buying is the best in pullback , presently price is on the road of pull-back. HL- 106.9 nearby bottom of this pullback. The price can start to move new impulsive wave upward.
Waves picture on 4hrs chart TF:-
The (C) is target level after pullback at (B)
Don't Forget to FOLLOW and LIKES.
Last updated was:
Easy and Understandable Trade Setup on USDJPY!LH - 106.895 (bearish below this level) and continue T1 106.240 & T2-105.755
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Narrow range for traders on daily chart :
Traders, can trade both side and take profit until no-major change in volume and price.
Up-side breakout above 107.075
Weekly chart:
Falling wave(downtrend) inner side of the parallel channel: