usdjpy what next?After a corrective move within a rising channel, USDJPY has broken structure and is now forming a potential bearish flag pattern. The pair recently broke below the main ascending channel and is currently retesting it from below—signaling a possible continuation to the downside.
📌 Key Observations:
Major ascending channel violated
Retest forming a minor bear flag
Price struggling to reclaim previous support turned resistance
Potential drop toward the 141.000 – 139.000 zone
The bearish momentum may resume if price rejects current levels and breaks the minor flag to the downside. Confirmation on lower timeframes (e.g., H1 or M15) would strengthen the setup.
#USDJPY #ForexAnalysis #BearishFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoney
USDJPY
USDCHF H4 I Bearish DropBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 144.30, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 142.61, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 145.49, a pullback resistance.
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Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 143.72
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 38.2% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 144.40
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 142.86
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Yen rally ends, markets eyes Fed rate decision and BoJ minutesCurrently, the market sentiment is rather complex. On the one hand, some traders are betting on the restart of negotiations by the US side, believing that policy uncertainty will be alleviated with the convening of the meeting. On the other hand, from the perspective of the capital market, the market's concern about the medium - to - long - term depreciation trend of the US dollar is increasing. In particular, the " $2.5 trillion capital withdrawal" view proposed by the Eurizon SLJ report, if realized, will substantially suppress the US dollar.
In the short term, if the USD/JPY exchange rate fails to hold above the 145.5 level, the rebound may come to an end, and the price may test the two key support levels of 143.00 and 141.650. Especially if the Fed's policy language continues to be dovish, the exchange rate may decline further.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Yen rally ends, markets eyes Fed rate decision and BoJ minutesThe Japanese yen is in negative territory on Wednesday, after a three-day rally which saw it gain 2% against the US dollar. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.29, up 0.61% on the day.
The Bank of Japan releases the minutes of its March meeting on Thursday. At the meeting, the BoJ held the key policy rate at 0.5% in a unanimous vote. Members cautioned that there was uncertainty over tariffs, which the US was expected to announce in April.
Since then, the financial markets have see-sawed in response to President Trump's erratic tariff policy. Japan's export-reliant economy could be hit hard, but Tokyo is already negotiating with the US and hopes to carve out an agreement to cancel or at least mitigate the impact of the tariffs.
The Bank of Japan is walking a tightrope, as it wants to continue to normalize policy and raise rates, but is worried about the uncertainty over the tariffs and the real possibility of a global trade war. Bank policymakers are taking a wait-and-see stance, hoping that US trade policy will become more clear.
The Federal Reserve is virtually certain to maintain rates at today's FOMC meeting. There's little doubt about the decision but investors will be all ears as to the amount of pushback from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, after President Trump has repeatedly pushed him to lower rates.
The markets have priced in a 30% chance of a cut in June, compared to a 63% likelihood just one week ago, according to CME's Fedwatch Tool. We can expect the pricing of a June cut to continue to swing, as the tariff saga continues.
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Gold climbed higher, but very swiftly rejected our 0.365% zone, melting back down 740 PIPS. Should see a continuation to the downside.
But as I said yesterday, if we see a breach of $3,465 then we'll create an alternate analysis which'll show Gold leading towards a new ATH, creating a 'redistribution phase' at higher prices.
USDJPY INTRADAY bearish below 145.60The USDJPY pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 145.60, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 145.60 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 141.00, with further potential declines to 139.50 and 138.40 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 145.60 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 147.90 resistance, with a potential extension to 149.00 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDJPY sentiment remains bearish, with the 145.60 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
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USD/JPY) Bullish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 2-hour timeframe, and it presents a bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements and the idea behind the analysis:
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1. Ascending Channel Formation
The price is trading within an ascending channel, suggesting a controlled uptrend.
Higher highs and higher lows confirm the trend structure.
2. Key Support and Fair Value Gap (FVG)
There’s a well-identified support level where price has bounced before (highlighted in yellow).
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone is marked slightly above the support level, which could act as a short-term demand area.
Price is currently pulling back into this zone, potentially setting up a buying opportunity.
3. EMA 200 Support
The 200 EMA (~143.78) is acting as dynamic support just below the current price.
If price drops further, this level may offer strong technical support.
4. RSI Momentum
RSI is above 50 (currently 56.37), supporting the bullish trend and showing room for continued upside.
5. Target Point
The chart anticipates a bounce off the support/FVG zone and a rally toward the upper boundary of the channel, targeting 147.153.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of the Idea:
This is a bullish continuation setup within an uptrend channel. The analyst expects a potential long entry around the FVG/support zone, with a target at the channel top (147.15). Confluence from the EMA 200, RSI, and previous structure supports this bullish bias.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USDJPY and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 143.63, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 141.81, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 145.49, an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Japanese Yen Pairs: A Short Guide on Relative StrengthIndicators are a popular choice among many traders, and they certainly have their place in my own toolkit. But sometimes it is best to simply look the price to gauge strength. And doing so, it can help us scenario plan for future events. After I take a quick look at Japanese yen pairs, I wrap up on my preferred setup.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at Forex.com and City Index
USDJPY Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Buy SetupUSDJPY Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Buy Setup
Price tapped into key support around 142.29 and rejected strongly with a bullish engulfing on the 1H chart. This level has held as strong demand multiple times.
We entered a buy expecting price to break through the descending trendline, with confluence from stochastic oversold and bullish divergence building.
If momentum holds, we anticipate a breakout to 145.43 and beyond as clean traffic lies above.
Classic reversal play — support bounce + trendline breakout in progress.
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 141.80
1st Support: 140.13
1st Resistance: 145.44
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USD-JPY Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY has fallen down
Sharply and the pair is
Locally oversold so after
It hits the horizontal support
Of 141.800 a local bullish
Correction is to be expected
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Analysis of the Latest SignalsRecently, the situation in Ukraine and Russia has remained tense, and the conflict in the Middle East has escalated (such as the confrontation between Israel and the Houthi armed forces in Yemen), prompting funds to flow to traditional safe - haven currencies. However, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained a dovish stance last week and did not clarify the interest - rate - hike path, which limited the upside potential of the yen.
Although inflation in Japan persists and wage growth is strong (the largest increase in 34 years), the BoJ's cautious attitude towards economic recovery has led the market to lower the interest - rate - hike expectations for June and July, putting pressure on the yen.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 142.10
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 141.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 143.78
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD (GOLD) | 4H | SWING TRADING Good morning, my friends,
Gold is currently at the 3355.0 level.
Even if gold makes a correction at this point, my target remains 3461.0.
This is a swing trading model, so there may be delays in reaching my target. However, I am confident that I will reach it eventually.
Once we hit that level, I will share an update for you all.
Dear friends, your likes are always my biggest motivation to keep sharing analyses. That’s why I kindly ask each of my followers to show their support—please don’t hold back on the likes.
I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes. It truly means a lot
USDJPY Retest of Supply Zone Before Bearish ContinuationUSDJPY pair is reacting to key supply around 143.70–144.00 but shows signs of weakness after failing to hold above this level. With renewed risk-off sentiment and escalating global trade tensions—especially involving Japan and the U.S.—this pair may be setting up for a bearish continuation. Here's what both the chart and macro backdrop suggest.
📊 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart)
Key Supply Zone Retested:
The pair retraced into a previously broken structure zone (blue box), rejecting the 143.70–144.00 area multiple times.
Price is now forming lower highs, indicating bearish pressure building beneath resistance.
Bearish Continuation Pattern:
Price action resembles a bear flag, with a minor pullback likely before continuation lower.
A retest of 143.00–143.50 could serve as an ideal sell zone.
Major Support Levels:
142.04–142.02: Immediate support, already tested.
140.16: Key structure low from late April.
138.04: Final measured move target based on Fibonacci extension and prior demand zone.
Bearish Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: 143.00–143.50
Stop: Above 145.35
TP1: 142.00
TP2: 140.15
TP3: 138.00
🌐 Macro Fundamentals
Trump Tariffs Stir Instability:
President Trump is pressing Japan in trade talks with threats of new tariffs, already impacting investor confidence
A 25% tariff on Japanese auto exports has gone into effect, disrupting trade negotiations.
Urgency for a Deal, But No Progress Yet:
Trump says multiple deals are “coming,” but little substance has emerged. Analysts fear economic fallout and potential global recession if tensions continue
JPY Strengthening on Safe-Haven Flows:
With U.S. economic indicators weakening and global uncertainty rising, the yen may benefit from risk aversion.
✅ Summary
USDJPY remains vulnerable to downside continuation from the 143–144 resistance zone. If price breaks below 142.00 again with conviction, expect momentum to build toward 140.15 and potentially 138.00.
USDJPY Forecast: Haven Appetite Back in SightUSDJPY remains above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone at 139, stemming from the uptrend between January 2023 (127.20) and July 2024 (162.00).
However, the pair is currently trading below resistance at 146, steering the trend back toward key support levels at 142 and 139.
A decisive break below 139 could expose new 2025 lows near 138.30 and 134.60, both key Fibonacci levels.
On the upside, a rebound above 146 may open the way to 149 and 151, testing the grounds for a more sustainable uptrend.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD is currently trading around 1.33400 and is displaying a promising bullish setup. The price action is coiling within a symmetrical triangle, which typically signals a potential breakout. A clear bullish structure has already formed following the recent impulse wave, and with the consolidation tightening, we are now closely watching for a breakout to the upside. The expected bullish breakout aligns with the projected target of 1.36000, offering a strong risk-reward opportunity for trend-following traders.
From a fundamental standpoint, the British pound is showing resilience despite broader dollar strength. Recent comments from the Bank of England have maintained a cautious yet firm tone regarding inflation control, hinting at the potential for rates to stay elevated longer than markets previously priced in. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index has seen some pressure amid mixed economic data and increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve may hold rates steady in the upcoming sessions.
Technically, GBPUSD remains well-supported above the 1.32500 level, with buyers defending key horizontal and trendline support areas. The recent compression in price suggests that volatility is about to expand, typically favoring the direction of the initial trend, which in this case remains bullish. Momentum indicators are beginning to curl higher, further supporting a breakout scenario.
In summary, GBPUSD is setting up for a high-probability bullish continuation. A confirmed breakout from the triangle could ignite a fresh rally toward 1.36000, especially if supported by dovish Fed rhetoric and firm UK economic sentiment. This setup is one to watch closely as it aligns both technically and fundamentally, positioning it as a favorable opportunity for medium-term swing trades.