Falling towards pullback support?USDJPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 142.400
1st Support: 140.92
1st Resistance: 144.77
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USDJPY
USDJPY BULLISH IDEA🧱 Key Observations
Order Block (OB) Marked (Demand Zone):
A clearly marked bullish order block (OB) zone is highlighted in pink around the 139.883 low.
This zone likely represents institutional buying interest.
It was the origin of a strong bullish move that broke prior structure.
Price Action:
After a series of higher highs and higher lows, price has retraced significantly.
It's approaching the order block area again, potentially for a retest or liquidity grab.
Heikin Ashi Candles:
Recent candles are bearish, showing momentum to the downside.
However, these candles typically lag in reversals, so price may soon shift if it hits the OB zone.
Projected Move:
A large blue upward arrow is drawn, suggesting an anticipated bullish reversal from the OB zone with a potential move back to 148.647 (recent high).
📊 Technical Implication
Bullish Bias if price holds within or just above the OB zone.
Watch for bullish reversal signals (engulfing patterns, divergence, or break of minor structure).
If price breaks below 139.883 decisively, the bullish setup may be invalidated.
📌 Strategy Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Entry Zone: 140.000–139.900 (inside OB)
Stop Loss: Below 139.800
Target: ~148.500
Risk/Reward: Favorable if OB holds
USDJPY Bearish in the short term.The USD/JPY exchange rate extended its recent downward trend during the European session, falling for the third consecutive trading day and marking the sixth decline in the past seven trading days. It hit a two-week low in the 143.45 area during the European morning session. Multiple factors have jointly driven the exchange rate lower, indicating that the sharp pullback from the monthly high of 148.65 reached last Monday may continue to extend. The Japanese yen is supported by market expectations that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will raise interest rates again and has gained additional momentum from the rebound in risk-aversion demand. In the short term, USD/JPY maintains a downward trend, with technical indicators showing that bears are in control. 142.210 will be a key support level; a break below this level could accelerate the decline toward the 139.887 area.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
USD/JPY Dips FurtherUSD/JPY Dips Further
USD/JPY declined below 144.50 and is currently consolidating losses.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below the 146.10 and 144.90 levels.
- There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 144.25 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a steady decline from well above the 146.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below the 145.00 support against the Japanese Yen.
The pair even settled below the 144.50 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a spike below 144.00 and the pair traded as low as 143.72. It is now consolidating losses with a bearish angle. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 146.10 swing high to the 143.42 low at 144.25.
There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 144.25. The first major resistance is near the 144.90 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 146.10 swing high to the 143.42 low.
If there is a close above the 144.90 level and the hourly RSI moves above 50, the pair could rise toward 145.50. The next major resistance is near 146.10, above which the pair could test 147.50 in the coming days.
On the downside, the first major support is near 143.70. The next major support is near the 143.20 level. If there is a close below 143.20, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 142.00 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDJPY TRADE PLAN – MAY 21 BIG BREAKOUT AHEAD?USDJPY TRADE PLAN – MAY 21 | FED HAWKISH BUT YEN STAYS WEAK – BIG BREAKOUT AHEAD?
USDJPY is entering a critical technical zone as the market weighs the Fed’s persistent hawkish stance against Japan’s passive approach to the Yen’s depreciation. After a strong rally, we are seeing a potential exhaustion with key levels in play.
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT:
FED remains hawkish: Officials continue to support higher-for-longer interest rates to tame inflation → USD remains firm.
Bank of Japan silence: No signs of FX intervention or rate policy shift, causing ongoing weakness in JPY.
Risk sentiment neutral: Risk-off flows are muted; USDJPY remains trapped in a wide range – awaiting macro catalysts.
📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H2 CHART):
Price is now correcting within a falling channel.
Price broke below the MA200 and rising trendline, now retesting a key support zone at 143.77.
The current range 141.99 – 144.71 is critical – a breakout from either end may dictate the next medium-term direction.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY:
✅ SCENARIO A – SELL THE RALLY (PRIMARY BIAS):
If price rejects 144.71:
SELL ZONE: 144.70 – 144.71
SL: 145.10
TP: 143.77 → 143.30 → 142.50 → 141.99
→ Key resistance area – price may trigger strong seller interest.
✅ SCENARIO B – SELL ON BREAKDOWN:
If price breaks 143.77 and retests:
SELL ZONE: 143.60 – 143.70 (post-breakdown entry)
SL: 144.10
TP: 142.50 → 142.00 → 141.99
✅ SCENARIO C – SHORT-TERM BUY (LESS FAVORABLE):
If price reacts positively at 141.99 with bullish confirmation:
BUY ZONE: 141.90 – 141.99
SL: 141.50
TP: 142.50 → 143.00 → 143.77
→ Only take this setup if strong reversal signals appear.
🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
Resistance: 144.71 – 145.00 – 148.44
Support: 143.77 – 143.30 – 141.99 – 141.20
📌 FINAL THOUGHTS:
USDJPY remains in a volatile consolidation zone, pressured by a hawkish Fed but lacking JPY strength. Watch for PMI data and Fed comments this week for directional cues. Until then, respect the current range and trade with discipline.
📣 Bias favors SELL from 144.71 unless buyers reclaim full control – trade the reaction, not the prediction!
Bearish Pressure on USDJPY Likely to Continue With Higher YieldsUSDJPY was rejected at the 38.2% retracement level. Rising yields may continue to exert downward pressure until the 140 support level is tested. The true direction for USDJPY will likely become clearer after that test.
Similar to USDJPY, EURJPY has also formed a bearish technical outlook. You can check our earlier post on EURJPY here:
Unless EURUSD rises sharply, the downward pressure on both USDJPY and EURJPY is likely to persist.
USDJPY Tap and Dump – Perfect Lower Timeframe ReversalSmart Money Scalpers, it’s time to eat 🍽️
USDJPY just played into a beautiful supply zone rejection on the 30-minute chart, with clean confluence from structure, trendlines, and OB reaction. Let’s break it down like a pro:
🧠 Market Structure Narrative:
🔻 Strong bearish momentum
🔹 Price created a clear lower low
🔹 Pullback into a premium zone = sniper short entry setup
You’re looking at textbook bearish order flow, with price rejecting hard from the 143.805 zone, which served as a high-risk institutional POI (Point of Interest).
🟥 Supply Zone / OB Zone:
📌 OB Range:
Top: 143.805
Bottom: 143.639
This red zone triggered the last bearish impulse and was just tapped and rejected with precision.
The reaction candle wick shows clear rejection = institutions likely mitigating and initiating shorts.
📐 Trendline Confluence:
You’ve got a perfect descending channel running down with clean touches on both trendlines.
Price bounced off the upper line → trendline + OB = double whammy setup 💥
🎯 Entry Plan:
Entry: 143.512
SL: 143.805 (above OB)
TP: 142.358 (next liquidity pocket)
This gives a juicy RRR of around 3.9–4x, depending on your exact fill.
🎯 Why This Works:
Price reacted to a clear OB
Inside a descending channel
Weak bullish push = no conviction
Favorable RRR = asymmetrical edge
Perfect combo of SMC + structure + execution = sniper-grade entry 🔫
🧠 Key Lesson:
“Let price come to you. Smart Money doesn’t chase — it traps and snaps.”
This is a trap sprung with surgical precision. Execution was key — and you nailed it.
🗣️ If this setup hit your radar too, drop a “🎯” in the comments
📌 Save this — these are the trades that build your bankroll over time.
There is too much uncertainty.The USD/JPY exchange rate lingered near 144.50 during the European session, remaining under pressure. Although the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) found temporary support near 100.10, its overall trend remains uncertain following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating. Market sentiment is currently tilted toward cautious bearishness, with traders concerned about U.S. debt issues and uncertainties in trade policies—sentiments reflected in the dollar’s weakness. Meanwhile, the progress of U.S.-Japan trade negotiations has added to market uncertainty.
Technical Outlook:
Short-Term: If the pair stabilizes above the 143.74 support level and rebounds above 145, it may challenge the 146.19 resistance level in the near term. A decisive breakout above 146.19 could trigger a new upward trend, targeting 147.95 and 148.64.
Long-Term: A genuine confirmation of a bullish regime would require breaking above the 150 psychological level, which hinges on fundamental catalysts such as the Federal Reserve delaying rate cuts or the Bank of Japan shifting to a more accommodative stance.
Key Drivers to Monitor:
U.S. Treasury yield dynamics and Fed policy expectations.
Developments in U.S.-Japan trade talks and risk sentiment shifts.
Volatility in global equity markets and safe-haven flows.
Market participants are advised to exercise caution amid heightened uncertainty, with tight stop-losses recommended for directional trades.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
USDJPY - New Impulse Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising broadening wedge pattern marked in blue and it is currently hovering around the lower bound of it.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong structure and support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDJPY is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📈The bullish impulse will begin after a break above the last minor high and upper red trendline.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY - Long Done, Soon Short!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈As per our last USDJPY analysis, it rejected the orange support zone and has been trading higher.
What's next? As USDJPY approaches the upper blue trendline, we will be looking for shorts.
🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and green supply zone.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDJPY retests the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
Meanwhile, USDJPY would remain bullish medium-term and a bullish continuation towards the red circle is expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY Outlook: Weekly Bearish Bias Despite Temporary RebalanceGreetings Traders,
It's the start of a new trading week, and our focus is on the Gopher — CAPITALCOM:USDJPY .
Weekly Overview: Temporary Rebalance, Bearish Tone Intact
On the weekly chart, USDJPY pushed higher to rebalance a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 149.30 and 148.26. Following this, price was swiftly rejected, forming a shooting star candlestick — a classic sign of potential bearish continuation.
However, for this bearish outlook to remain valid, 146.250 must hold as resistance. A sustained break above this level could invalidate the current bias and signal the possibility of further upside.
Daily Chart: Downside Pressure Builds
Looking at the daily timeframe, we see a sequence of down-close candles, indicating consistent selling pressure. I expect price to continue pushing lower, targeting the FVG below, with a potential sweep of sell-side liquidity resting under recent lows.
Trading Plan: Bearish Setup
Unless disrupted by high-impact fundamentals, I’ll be favouring short positions this week. My planned setup is as follows:
Entry: On confirmation within the 145.63 zone
Stop Loss: Above 145.97
Target Zones: Around 144.430
I’ll monitor price reaction closely at key levels to manage the trade accordingly.
Short USD/JPYShort USD/JPY – policy-divergence finally tilting in the yen’s favor as BoJ hawks talk rates higher and U-S data cool.
• BoJ hawks signaling further 2025 hikes while Fed easing bets build → policy-divergence flips JPY-positive.
• Break & close below 38.2 % retracement and 200-SMA (H4) turns momentum south; hourly / daily RSI roll-over.
• Geopolitics easing removes safe-haven bid for USD, but not for JPY (BoJ still seen hiking).
• Bearish trigger deepens if 144.30 confluence (200-SMA H4 + 50 % Fib) gives way → air-pocket into 141s.
USDJPY:Is it a beginning of major bullish trend? Read CaptionThe price of USDJPY has shown a mixed volume, making it difficult to determine the trend. However, if we analyse the data, we can see that USD is gaining strength in the coming time. This could be due to the strong news coming in this week, which may divert the USDJPY towards the 150 price region. There are four potential targets that price could hit and surpass. Please use this analysis solely for educational purposes, as it does not provide any guarantees.
Good luck and trade safely.
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EURAUD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURAUD is currently presenting a textbook bullish setup with a well-defined falling wedge formation on the daily chart. After a strong impulsive rally in April, price has been consolidating within this wedge, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows—typical of a corrective pattern. Now, with price testing the upper trendline of the wedge, we are positioned for a potential breakout, supported by increasing bullish momentum and clean structure. With the current price around 1.75, the next leg higher toward the 1.85 resistance zone is well on the radar.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining strength on the back of improving Eurozone macro data, with recent PMI figures showing resilience and inflation staying moderately sticky—making the ECB cautious about aggressive rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar continues to face headwinds amid declining commodity prices and weakening consumer sentiment. The Reserve Bank of Australia remains relatively dovish, especially as wage growth plateaus and inflation expectations cool. This EURAUD divergence sets the stage for a broader move in favor of the euro.
Technically, the breakout from this wedge structure would signify the continuation of the prior bullish trend, and given the size of the previous impulsive move, a breakout target of 1.85 is both conservative and well-aligned with market structure. The bullish divergence forming on oscillators such as RSI and MACD also confirms the slowing momentum in the downward move. A clean break and close above 1.7550 would be the trigger point for long positions, with invalidation below 1.7220.
This is a high-probability breakout setup with strong confluence across technical and fundamental indicators. With euro strength coming into play and AUD fundamentals remaining weak, I’m favoring the long side here. A move toward 1.85 is well-supported, and a break above the wedge could trigger significant upside in the coming sessions. This is a setup worth watching closely.
USDJPY Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 144.56 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 145.11
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Yen Steadies on US Credit DowngradeThe Japanese yen held firm near 144 per dollar, marking its fourth straight session of gains, bolstered by a weaker US dollar in the wake of Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating. The move, prompted by fiscal concerns and rising deficits, dented dollar confidence globally.
Despite this, Japan’s own economic data weighed on sentiment, with GDP shrinking by 0.2% in Q1, its first contraction in a year and worse than anticipated. Investors are also closely watching the upcoming Japanese trade data with concerns about the impact of potential new US tariffs. A third round of US-Japan trade talks is set to begin in Washington by the end of the week, led by Japan’s chief negotiator Ryosei Akazawa.
USD/JPY faces immediate resistance at 148.60, with higher levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Key support is seen at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
Hanzo / USDJPY 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🔥 USD/JPY – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break Out : 144.550
👌Bearish After Break Out : 144.050
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
USDJPY H4 | Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 143.84, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1146.73, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 142.35, an overlap support.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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USD/ JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of 4-hour for USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs Japanese Yen). Here's the breakdown of the idea
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1. Bullish Structure
The market is moving within a rising channel, indicating a bullish trend.
Higher highs and higher lows support the uptrend.
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2. Key Zones
Support Zone (Demand Area): Around the 144.500–145.000 level, price has reacted positively here multiple times — it's marked as a strong support level.
Resistance Zone: Around 148.000 — this level is marked as an obstacle before reaching the final target point.
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3. Indicators & Confluence
EMA 200: Price is currently testing just above/below the EMA 200 — a key dynamic support/resistance level.
RSI: Showing a bullish divergence or a potential recovery from oversold zone (both RSI lines are turning upward).
MACD-style Oscillator (Custom): Showing signs of a bullish crossover, confirming upward momentum.
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4. Projection & Target
The expected move is a bounce from support, followed by:
A retest of resistance around 148.
A continuation to the target zone at 150.864 — marked as the final target point.
The potential move is approximately +592 pips (4.19%).
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion
This is a bullish continuation setup, expecting price to maintain above the support zone and ride the trendline and channel toward 150.864. The confluence of RSI, structure, and EMA adds strength to the idea.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Could the price bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and also lslightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.03
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 143.07
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 145.86
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Hanzo / USDJPY 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🔥 USD/JPY – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break Out : 145.150
👌Bearish After Break Out : 144.650
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🔤 Smart Money Confirmation Acquired:
Structure break aligned with order block integrity.➗ Both bullish and bearish models validated. Tactical options open.
🔥Multi-Timeframe Confluence:🩸
Higher timeframe levels intersect — prime territory for sniper scalps in either direction.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
USDJPY Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 144.899.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 146.054 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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