Bullish bouncer off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 143.37
1st Support: 142.71
1st Resistance: 144.50
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USDJPY
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level too ur take profit.
Entry: 143.79
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 144.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 142.79
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 144.200 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 144.200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Trump threatens tariff on Japan as deadline looms, yen dipsThe Japanese yen is negative ground on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.06, up 0.47%.
The US and Japan are racing to reach a trade deal before a deadline of July 9. There are some serious roadblocks to a deal, including the current US tariff of 25% on Japanese cars and opening Japan's agricultural sector, particularly rice. President Trump has insisted that Japan import American-grown rice, but the Japanese government says that is unacceptable.
Japan's Economy Minister Ryosei Akawaza said earlier this week that Japan would not "sacrifice the agricultural sector", while Farm Minister Shinjiro Koizumi said that foreign rice imports would threaten Japan's food security.
It's a shortened week in the US due to the Fourth of July holiday on Friday. The US will release the June employment report on Thursday, with all eyes on nonfarm payrolls.
Nonfarm payrolls eased slightly in May to 137 thousand from 147 thousand and the downward trend is expected to continue, with a consensus of 110 thousand for June. This would mark the weakest pace of job growth since 2020, with the exception of a meltdown in job growth in Oct. 2024.
The Federal Reserve will also be monitoring the nonfarm payroll report. The US labor market has been weakening and the Fed is concerned that the jobs market could show a sharp deterioration. Currently, the most likely date for the next Fed rare cut is September, but a soft NFP reading south of 90 thousand would boost the case for a cut at the July 30 meeting.
The Fed has maintained a wait-and-see stance since Nov. 2024 but that is expected to change in the fourth quarter, where we could see up three rate cuts.
USD/JPY) Back support level Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY pair using a combination of price action, resistance/support levels, and indicators. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind the analysis:
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Chart Breakdown (2H - USD/JPY)
1. Key Zones:
Resistance Level (Yellow Box at Top):
Price has previously been rejected from this zone multiple times.
Recent bearish wicks and aggressive sell-offs are marked by red arrows—showing strong seller interest.
Support Level / Target Point (Bottom Yellow Box):
Price has found strong buying interest around 142.142.
This zone is the anticipated downside target if the bearish scenario plays out.
2. Bearish Bias Justification:
Liquidity Grab / Fakeout (labeled “fug”):
The price briefly broke above the smaller resistance block but quickly reversed.
This "fake breakout" often traps buyers, strengthening the bearish case.
EMA 200 (Blue Line):
Price is currently near or slightly under the 200 EMA (144.553), suggesting a potential rejection area aligning with resistance.
RSI Indicator:
RSI shows divergence and has not confirmed a bullish breakout.
The values (56.77 and 42.82) indicate loss of bullish momentum.
3. Projection (Black Lines):
The black zig-zag lines represent a forecasted drop to the support level.
Suggests a short setup near 144.50–145.00 with targets near 142.14.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near resistance area (144.50–145.00)
Target: 142.142 (support zone)
Invalidation: Strong break above 145.00 and hold
Confirmation: Rejection from resistance with bearish candle pattern
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USD/JPY) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs Japanese Yen) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a clear breakdown of the idea presented:
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Overview of the Setup
Current Price: 144.620
EMA 200 (Blue Line): 144.973 – price is trading below the EMA, indicating bearish momentum.
Resistance Zone: Around 145.000 – 145.500
Support/Target Zone: Around 142.799
RSI Indicator: ~51.11 – neutral zone (not overbought or oversold)
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Interpretation of Chart Structure
1. Resistance Level:
Price tested the resistance zone and sharply rejected it.
This zone has held multiple times historically, making it strong.
2. EMA 200 as Resistance:
Price rejected just under the EMA, further confirming downside pressure.
3. Bearish Flag / Rising Wedge Breakdown:
There is a visible bearish continuation pattern (likely a rising wedge or bear flag).
Price is projected to break down from this pattern, continuing the downtrend.
4. Measured Move Projection:
Previous drop of ~230 pips (-1.5%) is mirrored for the next expected move.
The same size move projects the price to reach the target zone around 142.799.
5. Support/Target Zone:
Marked as the final take-profit zone.
Corresponds with historical demand and likely buyer interest.
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Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Entry Idea: After breakdown confirmation below wedge structure or rejection from resistance zone.
Target: 142.799
Stop-Loss Consideration: Above the resistance zone (~145.500) or just above the recent swing high.
Confirmation: Breakdown of rising wedge + below EMA + repeated resistance rejections.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Key Considerations
Upcoming News Events (Three Icons):
These symbols signal potential USD or JPY volatility, so watch out for data releases that could disrupt the pattern.
RSI Neutral:
RSI is not yet oversold, allowing room for more downside before hitting exhaustion levels.
False Breakouts Possible:
Price may fake a break upward before continuing lower – wait for strong candle confirmation if entering a trade.
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USD/JPY Bearish Breakdown Targets 138 & 132USD/JPY Bearish Breakdown Setup (Daily Chart)
USD/JPY breaks below rising wedge support near 144, signaling potential downside. Price targets are marked at 138.051 (first target) and 132.480 (second target), indicating possible continued weakness if the bearish momentum holds.
DeGRAM | USDJPY correction 📊 Technical Analysis
● Monday's rebound above the 4-month falling trend line was quickly repelled, leaving a “false breakdown” candle; price has returned under the line and is now retesting it as resistance around 144.65.
● The rebound also stopped at the top of the triangle and a small bearish flag formed; the height of the pattern points to the 142.80 support band and the broader channel to 139.90 as continuation.
💡 Fundamental analysis
● Softer U.S. core GDP data drove 2-year Treasury yields to two-week lows, reducing the rate differential that favored the dollar.
Meanwhile, Japanese officials again warned that they “do not rule out any measures” against excessive yen weakening, raising the risk of intervention and discouraging new long USD/JPY positions.
Summary
Short 144.4 - 144.65; break below 143.8 targets 142.8 -> 139.9. Bearish view loses strength with a 4-hour close above 145.30.
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Potential bullish continuation?USD/JPY has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 143.37
1st Support: 142.78
1st Resistance: 144.50
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY H1 I Bearish ReversalBased on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 144.15, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 143.48, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 144.67, an overlap resistance.
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Sintra Signals: Central Banks Stay Cautious The ECB Forum in Sintra brought together the heads of the world’s most influential central banks—Lagarde (ECB), Powell (Fed), Bailey (BOE), Ueda (BOJ), and Rhee (BOK).
Across the board, central banks are remaining cautious and data-driven, with no firm commitments on timing for rate changes.
Fed Chair Powell said the U.S. economy is strong, with inflation manageable despite expected summer upticks. He noted tariffs have delayed potential rate cuts and confirmed the Fed is proceeding meeting by meeting.
BOE’s Bailey highlighted signs of softening in the UK economy and said policy remains restrictive but will ease over time. He sees the path of rates continuing downward.
BOJ’s Ueda noted headline inflation is above 2%. Any hikes will depend on underlying core inflation which remains below target.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 142.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Stop loss: 141.91
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 144.68
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Dollar Index Bearish to $96The DXY has been in a downtrend for a while & that bearish pressure is not over yet. I expect more bearish downside towards the $96 zone, before we can re-analyse the market for any signs of bullish takeover.
⭕️Major Wave 3 Impulse Move Complete.
⭕️Major Wave 4 Corrective Move Complete.
⭕️Minor 4 Waves of Major Wave 5 Complete, With Minor Wave 5 Yet Pending.
USDJPY FXAN & Heikin Ashi exampleIn this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of USDJPY, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
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GBPJPY H4 XABCD Short at Market TP Below Market🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4 hour chart for GBPJPY. Strong gains off the lows recently, however price getting overextended and expecting reversal later at/near PRZ/D.
🔸Speculative XABCD structure defined by point X 199 point A 188 point B 195.20 point C 186.80 point D/PRZ 198.40/80 .
🔸Currently most points validated, point D/PRZ validated as well.
Short sell at market SL over point D/PRZ TP details see chart
🔸Recommended strategy for GJ traders: Short Sell at Market
SL over point D/PRZ TP1 193.30 TP2 191.00 TP3 188.80.
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Critical Channel Watch Begins on the 1-Hour Chart of USDJPY.Hey everyone,
📉 My Latest USDJPY Analysis:
USDJPY is currently moving within a downtrend. If the price breaks below the lower boundary of the parallel channel, our first target level will be 142.910. The most crucial factor here is the downward breakout of that channel—don’t overlook it.
Also, keep a close eye on key economic data releases on the fundamental side, as they could significantly influence your strategy.
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USD/JPY Bearish Flag (30.06.2025)The USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 143.40
2nd Support – 142.86
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USD/JPY at a key support level tested multiple times🔻 USDJPY Sitting at Critical Support – Decision Point Ahead
USDJPY is currently hovering around the 143.60–143.65 zone — a major support level that has held multiple times in the past.
🔍 Price just completed a clean Head & Shoulders breakdown, and this zone marks the neckline retest area. We're now at a make-or-break point:
Break Below 143.60: Confirms bearish continuation, opens downside toward 143.00 → 142.20
Hold Above 143.60: Could lead to a short squeeze back to 144.20–144.50 zone
📊 Volume is rising as we test this key level — suggesting that big players are stepping in.
Trend remains bearish overall with price trading below the EMAs and rejecting trendline resistance.
⚠️ This is not the place to guess — wait for confirmation. A strong candle close below or a fakeout rejection will show the path.
Trade smart. Wait for the market to speak. No bias, just price action. 🧠
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)As expected last week Gold climbed into our 'Supply Zone' of $3,347 & rejected as I said it would on our video analysis. It even managed to close below our 'BOS' zone.
The game plan this week is to keep an eye on market structure for further sells. With every pump up we should be looking at how price can sell off again & how we can join the sell trend to profit off it.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 30, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is attracting some sellers towards 143.85 during the Asian session on Monday. The U.S. dollar (USD) is weakening against the Japanese yen (JPY) amid rising bets for a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut.
The United States (US) and China are close to a deal on tariffs. However, U.S. President Donald Trump abruptly ended trade talks with Canada, adding uncertainty to the market's positive outlook.
In addition, traders are betting that the U.S. central bank will cut rates more frequently and possibly sooner than previously expected. Markets estimate the probability of a quarter-point Fed rate cut at nearly 92.4%, up from 70% a week earlier.
On the data side, the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index rose 2.3% in May, up from 2.2% in April (revised from 2.1%), the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Friday. This value matched market expectations. Meanwhile, the core PCE price index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 2.7% in May, following a 2.6% increase (revised from 2.5%) seen in April.
On the other hand, the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) cautious stance on interest rate hikes could put pressure on the yen and create a tailwind for the pair.
Trade recommendation: SELL 143.50, SL 144.30, TP 142.40
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.61
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 146.11
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 142.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 142.53
1st Support: 140.78
1st Resistance: 146.72
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.