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USDJPY

Japanese yen roller-coaster ride continuesThe Japanese yen continues to take investors and traders on a roller-coaster ride. After climbing 1.2% on Wednesday, USD/JPY gave almost all of those gains on Thursday, declining 1.05%. The yen has taken a breather today and is trading at 152.63 in the European session, down 0.19% on the day. Producer prices in Japan climbed 4.2% y/y in January, up from an upwardly revised 3.9% in December and above the market estimate of 4.0%.  PPI accelerated for a fifth consecutive month and posted its highest level since May 2023.  The gain was driven by higher food prices.  Monthly, PPI eased to 0.3%, down from 0.4% in December and in line with the market estimate. The hotter-than-expected PPI report reflects persistent inflationary pressures and follows the core CPI reading for December, which hit 3%, its highest annual level in 16 months.  With inflation moving higher, expectations are growing that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates further in the near term. The Bank has signaled that it will raise rates if wage growth increases and keeps inflation sustainable at the BoJ's 2% target.  In anticipation of higher interest rates, Japan's 10-year bond yields have been rising and are close to a 15-year high. In the US, the PPI release showed little change in January.  PPI rose 0.4% m/m, after an upwardly revised 0.5% gain in December.  This was higher than the market estimate of 0.3%.  Annually, PPI rose 3.5%, after an upwardly revised 3.5% gain in December. The US wraps up the week with the January retail sales report.  The markets are bracing for a contraction, with a market estimate of -0.1%, after the 0.4% gain in December.  Annually, retail sales are expected to dip to 3.7%, after a 3.9% gain in December. USD/JPY is testing support at 152.73.  Below, there is support at 152.29 153.00 and 153.44 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
USDJPY downtrend continues capped by resistance at 155.50 The USDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 155.50, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 155.50 level could target the downside support at 152.76 followed by 151.50 and 150.90 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 155.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 156.00 resistance level followed by 156.74 and 157.70. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Yen Rallies as Trump Delays TariffsThe Japanese yen traded around 153 per dollar on Friday, following a 1% gain in the previous session. The yen strengthened as the dollar retreated sharply after President Trump delayed reciprocal tariffs, easing concerns over escalating trade tensions. The latest US PPI report also hinted that core PCE inflation, the Fed’s key metric due later this month, could come in lower than expected. Japan’s Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa stated that Japan would respond appropriately to any US reciprocal tariffs, while the Bank of Japan’s hawkish stance continued to support the yen. Although uncertainty remains about a potential rate hike in March, the central bank is widely expected to introduce further increases later this year. Technically, 154.90 is the key resistance level, with further targets at 156.00 and 157.00. On the downside, 151.90 is the first major support, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the pair moves lower.
by ChartMage
USDJPY M15 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the M15 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 152.70, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 153.27, an overlap resistance. The stop loss is placed at 152.26, below a multi-swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 152.72 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 151.20 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Take profit: 154.64 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group. Update idea Add note VantageMarkets Also on:
Long
by VantageMarkets
USDD/JPY bulls eye 156A hot set of inflation figures from the US alongside risk-on outflows from then yen helped USD/JPY post its best daily gain of the year. While the daily chart shows Wednesday's high stalled at trend resistance, but the strong bullish trend on the 1-hour chart suggests its more likely we'll see an upside break of it than not. The 50-day SMA at 155.22 makes a potential interim target for bulls, a break above which brings the monthly pivot point near the 156 handle into focus. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
Reciprocal tariffs teased, markets react President Donald Trump has just signed a sweeping reciprocal tariff plan. The directive instructs the U.S. to develop new levies on a country-by-country basis but stopped short of implementing any immediate levies. The Dow reached an intraday high after the market realized the reciprocal tariff process could take weeks or months. In forex, the biggest gainers have been the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc, although the British pound is performing well too. Wells Fargo predict that the tariffs could slow economic growth this year, describing them as a “modest stagflationary shock”. A study from the Peterson Institute estimates that existing import tariffs on Chinese, Mexican, and Canadian goods already cost the average American household over $1,200 annually, with reciprocal tariffs likely adding to that burden.
by BlackBull_Markets
Daily Market Outlook: BTC & Forex Setups (#3) | CPI ImpactBefore jumping into today’s analysis, let’s quickly revisit yesterday’s key event – the CPI report. As expected, it triggered a major sell-off in both crypto and stock markets. 📌 BTC Daily – Bulls Still Holding the Line? Despite the heavy selling pressure and low volume, BTC managed to close above the $95K support level yesterday. 📊 Key Observations: Sellers dominated, but buyers are still holding ground within this daily range. No confirmed breakdown below $95K, so yesterday’s short scenario is invalidated. Market remains extremely volatile, making clean trade setups difficult. 📌 Plan: Sitting out of crypto today until we get a clearer structure. 📊 DXY – Time-Based Correction or Breakdown Incoming? The Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a time-based correction and testing a key support at 107.372. 📊 Potential Scenarios: ✅ If support holds, we might see DXY push higher, adding pressure to risk assets. ❌ If it breaks down, expect further declines toward 105.692 and possibly 103.451 (Fib levels). 📌 Bias: Short-term bearish, but cautious due to the overall uptrend. 📉 USD/JPY – Short Setup in Play? USD/JPY has completed its corrective phase within a major downtrend and seems to be resuming its bearish momentum. 📊 Key Trade Setup: 🔹 Short Entry: 153.391 (if triggered) 🔹 Take-Profit Zone: 152.473 support If momentum continues, this could be a clean short opportunity. Final Thoughts & Risk Management ⚠ Market is still choppy—wait for clear confirmations before entering trades. ⚠ FOMO is your worst enemy, risk management is your best friend. 💬 I’m Skeptic, and I’ll see you tomorrow with another market breakdown! 🤍 ⚠ Disclaimer: These trade setups are based on my personal analysis and are not financial advice. If you don’t have a solid risk management plan, these triggers may not be suitable for you. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. 💡
by SkepticWise
1
USDJPY - Trendline reached, watching the FVGThe price has recently reached and reacted to a significant descending trendline that has been acting as resistance since mid-January 2025. The current interaction with this trendline around 154.00 is particularly noteworthy as it coincides with a short-term pullback. Below the current price action, there's a Fair Value Gap (FVG) marked by the orange box approximately at the 153.00 level. This FVG represents an inefficiency in price that often tends to get filled. Should the price pull back to this zone, it could present an interesting long opportunity for traders for several reasons: 1) The FVG zone could act as support, as these areas often attract price action 2) The pullback would allow for a better risk-reward ratio for potential longs 3) The recent upward momentum from the early February lows suggests underlying strength For traders considering long positions, the FVG zone would be the key area to watch for potential entries.
Long
by financialflagship
Yen Below 154, Rate Cut Bets ReducedThe Japanese yen weakened past 154 per dollar, hitting its lowest level in over a week, as strong U.S. inflation data prompted traders to scale back expectations for further Federal Reserve rate cuts. Markets now anticipate just one quarter-point reduction this year. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda provided no clear indication regarding future interest rates, reaffirming the BOJ's commitment to its current policy. However, BOJ board member Naoki Tamura hinted at a possible rate hike in the latter half of fiscal 2025. The key resistance level is at 154.90, with a break above potentially opening the door to 156.00 and 157.00. On the downside, initial support stands at 151.90, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the decline continues.
by ChartMage
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 13, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims USDJPY: The Japanese Yen (JPY) has attracted some buying interest following the release of a stronger-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) in Japan on Thursday, which confirms bets on further rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ).However, the market reaction was short-lived amid concerns over the impact of US President Donald Trump's tariffs on steel and aluminium imports, as well as upcoming retaliatory tariffs. This helped USD/JPY to hold above 154.00 during the Asian session and remain near the weekly high reached the previous day.Meanwhile, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell made it clear that policymakers are in no hurry to cut interest rates, and US consumer inflation data released on Wednesday suggests that the Fed does not have much room to cut rates this year. This has led to an increase in US Treasury yields, resulting in a widening of the yield differential between the US and Japan and a limitation on the upside for the low-yielding Yen.However, the US Dollar (USD) has experienced difficulty attracting buyers, which may potentially discourage traders from making new bullish bets on the USD/JPY pair. Trade recommendation: USDJPY: SELL 154.200, SL 153.500, TP 154.800
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY H1 | Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 154.33, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 153.42, an overlap support level that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 155.07, which is a pullback resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
USDJPY US CPI triggered spikeThe USDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 155.50, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 155.50 level could target the downside support at 152.76 followed by 151.50 and 150.90 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 155.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 156.00 resistance level followed by 156.74 and 157.70. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USD/JPY: Fibonacci Support Sparks a ReboundChart Analysis: USD/JPY finds support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (151.50), leading to a sharp recovery above the 200-day SMA. 1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement Levels Holding: The recent pullback tested key Fibonacci retracement levels, with buyers stepping in at 151.50 (38.2%). Further support levels sit at 149.23 (50%) and 146.95 (61.8%), which remain key downside targets if weakness resumes. 2️⃣ Moving Averages as Key Pivot Points: 50-day SMA (154.97): Price is testing this level after the rebound. 200-day SMA (152.74): Successfully held as dynamic support, confirming broader uptrend remains intact. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators Show Recovery: RSI: 49.69, recovering from oversold conditions but still lacking bullish confirmation. MACD: Bearish momentum is fading, but a crossover signal is yet to emerge. What to Watch: Sustained move above 155.00 could trigger a fresh rally toward December’s highs. A break back below 152.00 would shift focus to deeper Fibonacci support levels. Watch for a MACD crossover as a confirmation of renewed upside momentum. USD/JPY remains at a critical inflection point, with Fibonacci support holding but further strength needed for a bullish confirmation. -MW
by FOREXcom
Scenario on USDJPY 12.2.2025On this chart, this scenario makes the most sense. If I should take a short, the first levels are around the monthly level, which is at the level of 157.503, the next one is around the price of 160, which is above the bulls zone, which could also mean the continuation of the uptrend, and therefore I have two options. If I should take a long, then not earlier than at the price level around the monthly level of 151.875, then below the current sfp on the price 148.806 where the next monthly level is located.
by Sony97
USD/JPY extends rally on hot CPIThe USD/JPY extended its rally following the release of hotter-than-expected US CPI data, which fuelled a surge in bond yields and strengthened the dollar. Headline CPI rose 0.5% month-over-month, surpassing the expected 0.3%, while Core CPI climbed 0.4% versus the 0.3% forecast. On an annual basis, CPI reached 3.0% and Core CPI hit 3.3%, both above expectations. This reinforced market sentiment that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts, pushing US 5- to 10-year yields at least 10 basis points higher. As a result, traders increased their bets on further USD/JPY gains. The market will now focus on the second day of Powell’s testimony, with PPI data and retail sales still to come later in the week. From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY has shown resilience, rebounding from support at 151.00 and breaking above the key 200-day moving average near 152.50/60. The pair has cleared resistance at 153.70-154.00, and if it holds above the 200-day average, it could extend its advance toward the significant 155.00 level. However, a failure to maintain this breakout could see support tested back at 153.70, with further downside levels at 152.50/60 and 151.00. With the bullish momentum reinforced by strong CPI data and higher yields, USD/JPY traders will closely watch price action determine if the uptrend can sustain. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with Forex.com
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY Approaches Demand Zone: A Contrarian Trading OpportunityThe USD/JPY currency pair is currently approaching a demand zone, prompting us to set a buy limit order in anticipation of a potential upward movement. This area is significant as it often indicates a point where buyers are likely to step in, which could lead to a reversal in price direction. At the same time, the 6J1! futures contract has already made contact with the Supply zone. This zone is crucial for our analysis, as it represents levels where selling pressure typically emerges, potentially leading to a decrease in price. We are closely monitoring this situation and are looking for a possible retest of the Supply area. A successful retest could trigger a subsequent drop in prices, aligning with our trading strategy. Interestingly, it’s worth noting that retail traders currently appear to be on the bullish side of the market, favoring an uptrend. This sentiment could create opportunities for us, as our strategy is to look for short positions despite the prevailing optimism in the retail sector. By carefully analyzing market dynamics and positioning ourselves accordingly, we aim to capitalize on potential price corrections when the market reaches key resistance levels. In summary, we are preparing to take action in both the USD/JPY and 6J1! futures markets. We're setting up for a buy in the approaching Demand area while simultaneously positioning ourselves for a short trade should the 6J1! futures retest the Supply zone and exhibit signs of a downturn. This balanced approach takes into account the conflicting trader sentiments and aims to maximize potential profit opportunities. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? Let's see! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the daily USD/JPY chart, we can see that, as expected from the previous analysis, the price continued its downtrend, correcting down to 151. Currently, USD/JPY is trading around 153.620, and I expect it to resume its decline soon from the current zone (153.68 - 155.3). This analysis will be updated as price action develops. The next potential bearish targets are 152.70, 151.70, and 151. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
14
USD/JPY Trade Setups Amid Fed & BoJ Policy ShiftsUS Inflation & Federal Reserve (Fed) Policy: Market consensus anticipates higher month-over-month (M/M) inflation but lower year-over-year (Y/Y) inflation, suggesting that price pressures remain elevated in the short term but may stabilise over the medium term. Given these dynamics, the Fed is expected maintain a cautious stance—balancing inflation control with economic stability. Federal Reserve (Fed) Sentiment: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will likely adopt a neutral stance in upcoming comments, as medium- to long-term tariff implications remain undefined. However, given the Fed’s data-driven approach, markets may interpret any slight tilt towards caution as dovish, leading to near-term USD weakness. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Outlook: The BoJ maintains a medium-term hawkish bias as it looks to raise interest rates to combat domestic inflation gradually. While no immediate policy changes are expected, recent statements from BoJ officials suggest a preference for tightening later in 2024 if inflation remains persistent. Trade Idea Bearish Case Entry: Sell on rejection at 154.000 – 155.000 Stop-Loss: Above 155.500 Take-Profit: 152.000 Risk Management: 1:2 Trade Idea Bullish Case Entry: Buy on retracement to 152.500 – 152.000 Stop-Loss: Below 151.800 Take-Profit: 154.000 Risk Management: 1:2
Short
by Shiven_80eight
USD/JPY Exchange Rate Recovers from Yearly LowUSD/JPY Exchange Rate Recovers from Yearly Low As shown on the USD/JPY chart, today the exchange rate aggressively surged above the 153 yen per US dollar level. This marks a strong recovery from the yearly low of around 151 yen per dollar, set last week. Today's bullish momentum developed following a statement from Japan's Minister of Industry, Yoji Muto, who mentioned that the government had asked the United States to exempt Japan from the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. Can the USD/JPY rise continue? Technical analysis of the USD/JPY chart reveals that key extremes over the last three months form the contours of an upward channel, with: → From a bullish perspective: The exchange rate is rising towards the median, which tends to "attract" the price as demand and supply balance in this region. → From a bearish perspective: The 154 yen per dollar level, which acted as support in February (shown by arrows), may hinder further growth. The future direction of the USD/JPY pair largely depends on a key upcoming news release, which could have a significant impact on the US dollar’s value against other currencies. At 16:30 GMT+3 today, the CPI report will be published, shedding light on the current inflation situation. Be prepared for potential volatility spikes. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2