Get started

USDJPY

"USDJPY Crashing from Premium FVG | Liquidity Grab Confirmed!"USDJPY Analysis 🧠 | 15M Timeframe Price tapped deep into the Premium Area, perfectly aligning with a high-probability Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block confluence. We witnessed a strong bearish reaction — classic Smart Money move in action. Key Observations: Price surged aggressively into the Premium Zone (~79% retracement area). Immediate bearish reaction from the red Fair Value Gap zone. Liquidity sweep confirmed above the previous Strong High. Discount Area below remains unfilled, offering juicy targets. 🧠 Smart Money Concept Insight: Institutions love to bait breakout traders by pumping into Premium Zones. After collecting stop orders and liquidity above highs, they aggressively reverse, aiming to rebalance into the Discount Area. USDJPY delivered a textbook liquidity grab before the sharp drop! Current Trading Plan: Bearish bias remains intact after the strong reaction. TP1: Mid Discount Area TP2: Weak Low liquidity sweep zone SL (for any new shorts): Above the Strong High Remember: 📚 Premium = Look for Sell Opportunities 📚 Discount = Look for Buy Opportunities Stay laser-focused on Smart Money footprints, not noise. 📉 Emotions out, execution sharp!
Short
by ChartNinjas88
"USDJPY | Smart Money Premium Trap | Mitigation Block Rejection"⚡ USDJPY Analysis – 30M Timeframe | April 30, 2025 📊 Price Action Summary: USDJPY has aggressively tapped into the Premium Zone, aligning perfectly with a Mitigation Block and Fibonacci 61.8% golden pocket. We’re seeing early signs of Smart Money rejection — time to stay sharp! 🧐 🔥 Key Moves: Premium Zone Entry: Price retraced right into the 61.8–70.5% fib region. Mitigation Block respected: A known Smart Money zone where trapped sellers from previous moves get wrecked. Liquidity Build-Up Below: Eyes on the unprotected lows — Smart Money LOVES to grab those. 🧠 What’s Really Going On Behind the Scenes: Retail traders: "It’s bouncing! Let’s go long!" 🟢💸 Smart Money: "Perfect… let’s trap them for liquidity." 🧊📉 This move screams classic Premium Trap — draw them in, then nuke it. ☠️ 🧩 Why This Setup Matters: Mitigation Block + FVG combo = High-probability rejection zone Sellers are likely reloading positions here The Strong High has been established — room to target Weak Lows below 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Entry: Inside or just below the Mitigation Block (confirmation from bearish rejection) Stop Loss: Just above the Strong High (~142.813) Take Profit Zones: TP1: Mid-discount (~141.400) TP2: Weak Low (~139.899) — the real liquidity target 🎯 💬 Pro Tip: "Mitigation blocks are the sniper’s nest for Smart Money. Get in, get out, get paid." 🎯 Watch the reaction closely inside the purple zone. It’s not just a block — it’s a liquidity recycling station. 🚀 Summary: ✅ Price entered Premium ✅ Mitigation Block tested ✅ Liquidity below waiting ✅ High RRR bearish setup aligning 🧘‍♂️ Be patient. Wait for confirmation. Let Smart Money leave the trail — then follow. ✍️ Save this chart and study how Mitigation Blocks get respected over and over. It’s not magic — it’s mechanics. ➡️ Comment "SNEAKY SHORT" if you're watching the block trap unfold! ➡️ Tag a trader who still doesn’t believe in Premium/Discount theory. 😂📉📈
Short
by ChartNinjas88
USDJPY: Bounce on the 17 month Support starting massive rally.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.306, MACD = -0.870, ADX = 40.251) but is on a massive bounce on the S1 Zone, which has been holding since December 25th 2023. That Low last week also approached the 1W MA200. The LH trendline is the Resistance level of this pattern (Descending Triangle) and since the last one hit the 0.786 Fibonacci, we expect this one to hit the 0.618 Fib (TP = 153.500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
Can USD/JPY hold THIS key support after a mixed NFP report? The US dollar traded mixed shortly after the NFP was released, as risk-on sentiment remained the prevailing trend. As index futures rose further, commodity dollars extended their gains against the greenback, while the USD/JPY attempted to find support around the key 144.00 - 144.50 area. This zone was resistance in the past so let's see if the UJ will be able to rebound from here later in the session, and in early next week. NFP comes in stronger, but... The nonfarm payrolls data “beat” forecasts, with a headline print of 177K vs. 138K eyed. But data for March was revised lower to 185K rom 228K. Revisions to prior two months have taken out 58K from initial estimates. Taken together, this is hardly a beat. But the good news was that full-time employment rose sharply. The unemployment rate, meanwhile, was unchanged at 4.2%. On the inflation side of things, average earnings came in slightly lower than expected, rising 0.2% on a month-over-month basis, compared with 0.3% expected. Nothing to get too excited over, but potentially good news as far as inflation is concerned – especially after we saw a slightly weaker Core PCE Price Index in mid-week. NFP was never going to matter much The market’s focus is on trade war and trade negotiations. We were never going to see any wild market reactions, and so it has so far proved. The US dollar initially spiked then quickly returned to pre-NFP levels. Gold fell, and index futures added onto earlier gains. Up next: ISM Services PMI on Monday and FOMC on Thursday. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
USDJPY Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 144.50 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 142.26 My Stop Loss - 145.51 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
XAUUSD DETAILED ANALYSIS TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALS XAUUSD is currently trading around the 3256 level and is clearly respecting a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. The price is now pushing higher from the lower boundary of the channel, suggesting short-term bullish momentum. Based on the current technical structure, I am anticipating a clean breakout above the channel resistance, with the next key target at 3300. The marked purple resistance zone around 3310–3320 also acts as a magnet for price once the breakout is confirmed. On the fundamental side, gold remains supported by ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and speculation around the Fed's next rate decision. With recent U.S. economic data showing mixed signals—strong labor market figures but slowing inflation momentum—the market is pricing in fewer rate hikes, which weakens the USD and favors upside in XAUUSD. Additionally, central bank gold demand remains strong globally, acting as a long-term support for bullion. Traders are currently reacting to a softening dollar index and treasury yields, which further underpins bullish sentiment in gold. A clear break above the upper boundary of this channel, ideally with strong volume confirmation, could set the stage for a swift move to retest the 3300 psychological level. From a risk-reward perspective, the breakout trade setup here aligns well with institutional strategies that favor trend continuation post-consolidation. In summary, XAUUSD is trading inside a clean descending channel, with buyers stepping in aggressively near the support zone. A breakout above the structure could trigger a bullish continuation move toward 3300, backed by strong macro tailwinds and technical confirmation. This setup offers an excellent opportunity for swing traders to capitalize on short-term momentum. Are you also tracking gold fundamentals this week?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
USD/JPY Eyes Breakout After Healthy Wave 4 CorrectionThe USD/JPY pair is currently unfolding a clean impulsive 5-wave structure to the upside. The price action has already completed Waves 1, 2, and 3, and has entered a probable Wave 4 correction. Wave 3 appears extended and tapped into a key Fair Value Gap (FVG), which acted as resistance. Wave 4 is likely to develop as a shallow retracement, possibly forming a bull flag or expanded flat before launching into Wave 5. The ascending channel supports the bullish structure with both Wave 2 and Wave 4 respecting lower bounds. Targets: 144.750 - 144.351 Stoploss: 146.268
by Money_Dictators
1
Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 145.59 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 146.75 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 143.86 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY : Get Ready for another Rally! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price has finally started to rise. So far, it has successfully reached the 143.5 and 144 targets, and extended up to 145.76, delivering a solid 350-pip move. The main analysis remains valid, and I expect the price to hit the next target at 146.2 soon. The total gain from this setup has now exceeded 570 pips, and the key upcoming supply zones are at 146.2, 148.7, and 150. This analysis will be updated accordingly! THE MAIN ANALYSIS : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
1
DeGRAM | USDJPY Keeps the Demand Zone📊 Technical Analysis ● USD/JPY has broken the falling-wedge top and is holding above the 142.20 breakout line; that keeps 144.03 → 147.5 in scope. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● U.S. March retail sales surged 1.4 %, underscoring resilient demand. ✨ Summary A wedge breakout plus firm U.S. data, a hawkish Fed and a dovish BOJ favour more dollar strength; holding above 142.20 keeps USD/JPY on track for $144.03–147.5. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
USDJPY Daily & H4 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaTechnical analysis is on the chart! No description needed! FX:USDJPY ________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
Long
by ForecastCity
17
USDJPY Poised to Retest Broken Trendline After Dovish BOJWe discussed the potential battle between bulls and bears near the trendline in our early April post. USDJPY bears ultimately won that battle, and the 140 target was reached. You can view the earlier post here: Following the breakdown, the 140 level acted as support, and now an upward reaction has begun. At today’s meeting, the BOJ held rates steady at 0.50% as expected, and Governor Ueda delivered a dovish message. The BOJ lowered its core inflation forecast by 0.2% to 2.2% for 2025 and to 1.7% for 2026. The GDP forecast was also revised down from 1.1% to 0.5%. These projections suggest the BOJ lacks full confidence in consistently reaching its 2% inflation target, though it's very close. However, the risk of tariffs complicates the outlook. Tariffs could negatively impact both growth and inflation, and the BOJ will likely hold off on further rate hikes for at least a few meetings to observe early effects. In the context of a more dovish BOJ and the dollar index stabilizing after weeks of declines, USDJPY is staging a positive correction. A retest of the broken trendline appears likely, with potential for the short-term rally to extend toward 148.50. Beyond that point, the market will face a critical decision. If the upward reaction stalls, another medium-term move back toward 140 remains a strong possibility.
by ftdsystem
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 01, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is trading with small losses, hovering around the mid-143.00s after disappointing US economic growth data and weak Japanese economic reports caused a divergence in sentiment between the two currencies. The US economy contracted 0.3 per cent in the first quarter of 2025, the first contraction since 2022, missing growth expectations and highlighting the impact of rising imports and government spending cuts. At the same time, Japan released weaker-than-expected industrial production and retail sales data, limiting the yen's gains even as global risk appetite declined. On the macroeconomic front, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that real GDP contracted 0.3% in Q1, missing the market forecast for a 0.4% increase and slowing sharply from the 2.4% growth in Q4 2024. The contraction was primarily driven by a 41 per cent rise in imports and lower government spending. Meanwhile, core PCE inflation, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, fell to 2.3 per cent year-on-year, in line with expectations and below February's 2.5 per cent. Other data showed a slowdown in job creation, with the ADP report showing just 62,000 new jobs in April against expectations of 108,000. Despite the softer data, personal spending remained flat in March, rising 0.7%, while incomes rose 0.5%. However, market sentiment turned cautious, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling more than 200 points to stagnate around 40,300. In Japan, the yen weakened 0.5% against the dollar as industrial production and retail sales data disappointed, highlighting the fragility of the domestic economy. Trade recommendation: BUY 144.20, SL 144.00, TP 145.00
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
$JPINTR -BoJ Holds Rates but Cuts GDP Growth Outlook (May/2025)ECONOMICS:JPINTR May/2025 source: Bank of Japan -The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its key short-term interest rate at 0.5% during its May meeting, in line with expectations. The unanimous decision came amid growing concerns over the impact of U.S. tariffs. In its quarterly outlook, the BoJ slashed its FY 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5%, from January’s estimate of 1.0%. The growth outlook for FY 2026 was also lowered to 0.7% from the prior forecast of 1.0%.
ECONOMICS:JPINTR
by Mr_J__fx
Technicals USDJPY Key Level (Horizontal Resistance) A horizontal resistance zone around 143.90 has been tested multiple times. Price is currently retesting this zone, marked as an "Entry Zone", suggesting a potential breakout or rejection. 2. Price Structure Prior downtrend bottomed near 140.00, then formed higher lows, showing a potential trend reversal. Current price is approaching the resistance with strong bullish candles, indicating possible momentum buildup. 3. Volume Volume spikes align with swing highs and lows, suggesting these moves were backed by stronger participation. 4. Scenarios Outlined Bullish Path (Black Arrow): Breakout above the entry zone could lead to targets near 147.00–150.00, continuing a bullish reversal. Bearish Path (Red Wave): Rejection at the resistance may cause a drop toward 140.00, forming a ranging or distribution pattern. The Fed (USD) maintains relatively high interest rates, while the BoJ (JPY) continues a dovish stance, creating upward pressure on USD/JPY.
Long
by xxChartWhizxx
XAUUSD/GOLD | 4H | SWING TRADEHey There, Guys, I advise you to just wait for the breakout in gold. This is swing trading. I am just waiting for a breakout; if this breakout is to the downside, the target will be at least 3.215 level. I hope this matches your desired tone. Don't forget to click the like button at the bottom of this post to stay up to date with the latest changes! Dear friends, your likes are always the biggest motivation for me to share my analysis. Therefore, I would like to ask each and every one of my followers; please keep your likes coming. I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes.
FX:XAUUSD
by TraderTilki
Could the price bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 142.39 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 141.95 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 143.13 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
USDJPY INTRADAY downtrend continuationThe USDJPY pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 145.60, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level. In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 145.60 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 141.00, with further potential declines to 139.50 and 138.40 over a longer timeframe. On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 145.60 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 147.90 resistance, with a potential extension to 149.00 levels. Conclusion: Currently, the USDJPY sentiment remains bearish, with the 145.60 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USDJPY 4h Long Setup | Low Risk High Reward Market broke the descending structure with strong bullish impulse followed by higher lows respecting new trendline Price retested the previous resistance now turned support zone with a bullish reaction Entry is taken after confirmation of the retest holding and bullish continuation signs Entry : 142.494 SL : 140.676 TP : 148.270 RR 1 : 3.2 Price action aligned with short-term bullish reversal structure and clear demand zone defense Let price do the work
Long
by wolfchemist
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 141.63 1st Support: 141.00 1st Resistance: 142.75 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets