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USDJPY

Yen Falls Despite Japan’s Manufacturing ReboundThe yen fell past 146 on Monday, its lowest in over five weeks, as the US dollar gained on safe-haven demand after US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites escalated Middle East tensions. Domestically, Japan’s manufacturing sector grew in June for the first time since May 2024, and services expanded for a third straight month, showing economic resilience. The key resistance is at $148.15 meanwhile the major support is located at $146.15.
by ChartMage
USD/JPY Breaks Higher – Bullish Momentum Targets 148.40FX:USDJPY CMCMARKETS:USDJPY USD/JPY continues to climb, extending gains above the key 146.00 breakout level, supported by Fed–BoJ policy divergence and rising geopolitical tensions. Despite Japan’s strong CPI and PMI prints, the BoJ maintains a dovish tone, while tariff concerns continue to cap yen sentiment. The Middle East conflict further fuels demand for the USD as a safe haven. Technically, the pair confirmed a bullish breakout, with price hugging the upper Bollinger Band – a sign of sustained upside pressure. As long as 146.00 holds, bulls may aim for the 148.40 monthly resistance. Key Levels : Resistance : 146.75 / 148.40 Support : 146.00 / 145.25 ⚠️ Momentum favours the upside while above 146.00. Break below may trigger short-term pullback toward 145.25.
Long
by ATFX_Global
Long - the final move up before moving to the downsideMy macro bias for USDJPY is bearish.   However, I opened a long position today. Reasons for a long trade: Weekly chart: 1)  Both MACD and RSI are in the bear territory, however, both MACD and RSI lines are starting to cross and move to the upside.    2)  The price has been moving sideways for weeks, however, weekly candle has been forming higher low since late April (subtle move). 3) There is a major support line at 140.50 area and weekly EMA200 is also sitting right below it.   Although the price has been moving to the downside, it will require strong momentum to pierce through the major support zone that has been holding since July 2023.  Daily chart:  1)  EMA9 > EMA14 > EMA 21 -  bullish trend  2)  Yesterday's daily candle retested EMA 9/14/21 and closed above all of them. 3) MACD has entered the bull zone. 4) RSI has entered the bull zone. 5) There is an unmitigated fair value gap in the Fib 0.618-0.786 area.   (see blue rectangular box in the chart). As I said above, it will take strong momentum for the price to break below the major support line.   It makes sense for the price to retrace to the unmitigated fair value gap area to take out all the liquidity to fuel the momentum to the downside.  My trade setup is below: Entry: 145 Stop/Loss: 144.25  (just under yesterday's candle wick)Target: 147.12  Risk:Rewards  1:1.78
Long
by EbonyFalcon
Potential bullish rise?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 145.00 1st Support: 142.59 1st Resistance: 148.57 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Heading into pullback resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension and also slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 146.77 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 145% Fibonacci extension and also slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 148.54 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 145.31 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USDJPYUSDJPY is currently approaching a major breakout zone as it nears the apex of a symmetrical triangle pattern. The pair has broken above the key horizontal resistance area around 145.80–146.00, which previously acted as a strong supply zone. Price is now challenging the descending trendline resistance. A confirmed breakout and retest of the triangle and resistance zone may open the door for a bullish continuation toward 147.50, and potentially 150.00+, as marked on the chart. However, if the breakout fails, we may see a pullback toward the 145.00–144.80 support region before any further upside. This setup highlights a potential breakout-retest-continuation scenario. Traders should watch for price action confirmation near the trendline for further direction.
by Trader1mran
USDJPY: Ready for Wave 5?USDJPY is showing a strong bullish wave structure, with a clear path toward higher levels based on Elliott Wave Theory. After a successful breakout from a multi-year consolidation, price action appears to be completing a Wave (4) correction thereby setting the stage for a Wave (5) rally. Based on the bullish structure and projected continuation: 1st Target = 157.78 2nd Target = 177.41 Final Target = 209.16 Full wave extension, top of macro channel With support holding above ¥140.00 and a bullish bounce forming, this could mark the Wave C bottom of (4), setting the stage for the next major leg up. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Markets are dynamic and unpredictable.
Long
by Timgucci
USD/JPY Short1. Intervention-fade (always live) Sell Limit 146.00 Stop Loss 146.80 Take-Profit 1 144.50 – if hit, move stop to breakeven Take-Profit 2 143.00 Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled after 5 trading days 2. Break-and-retest (place this only after a daily candle closes below 145.00) Sell Limit 145.20 Stop Loss 146.00 Take-Profit 1 144.00 Take-Profit 2 143.00 Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled within 5 trading days of being placed Rule: the moment one of these orders fills, cancel the other so you never have two USD/JPY shorts open at the same time.
Short
by tradercat2025
Forex and Gold Market Highlights June 21 2025Forex & Gold Market Highlights – June 21, 2025 🕒 Key Events This Week: • 🏦 Fed officials signaling possible rate cuts vs. cautious economic tone • 🌍 Escalating Israel–Iran tensions boosting safe-haven flows • 🏭 Mixed U.S. macro data (retail sales, Philly Fed, housing) shaping Fed expectations ________________________________________ 💶 EUR/USD Nears 1.1520 on Safe-Haven Flows EUR/USD edged up to about 1.1520 amid weakness in the U.S. dollar, driven by global risk-off sentiment. Mixed signals from the Fed kept traders cautious. ________________________________________ 💷 GBP/USD Hovering Around 1.3500 on USD Strength GBP/USD remains near 1.3500, slipping slightly off highs after weaker UK retail data. The pair faces resistance in the 1.3550–1.3600 zone. ________________________________________ 💴 USD/JPY Eyeballing 146 Resistance USD/JPY climbed toward 146.00, driven by risk-averse USD demand and dovish BOJ stance. The pair is testing key retracement resistance near 146.76. ________________________________________ 🥇 Gold Pulls Back but Holds Ground Spot gold slid to around $3,334 3,381 this week, under pressure from a stronger dollar and diminished Fed rate-cut hopes. Still, geopolitical jitters kept it from falling hard. • Weekly drop of ~2.5%, trading in a $3,330–$3,400 range. ________________________________________ 📈 DXY Index Rallies on Risk Aversion The U.S. Dollar Index rose ~0.45%, marking its strongest weekly gain in over a month due to heightened safe-haven flows amid Middle East tensions. ________________________________________ 📌 Market Outlook: • EUR/USD: Mixed bias. May test 1.1550–1.1600 if risk-off continues; downside risk near 1.1400 if U.S. data surprises. • GBP/USD: Expected to stay in the 1.3450–1.3550 range; UK economic data and USD momentum will be key. • USD/JPY: Bullish tilt remains toward 146.76, but any BOJ hints of policy tightening could shake it. • Gold: Pressure from a firm dollar is likely to persist. Watch for geopolitical developments and upcoming Fed signals for reversal clues.
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
19
USDJPY Is Going Down! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 145.574. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 144.101. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Yen Edges Higher as Inflation SurgesThe Japanese yen traded stronger near 145 per dollar, rebounding as Japan’s core inflation rose for the third straight month to 3.7%, its highest since January 2023. The data strengthens expectations that the Bank of Japan may continue policy tightening. Earlier in the week, the BOJ held rates at 0.5% but highlighted how rising wages are being passed on to consumers, keeping inflation elevated. Governor Kazuo Ueda emphasized a data-driven path forward, keeping the door open for more hikes if needed. The key resistance is at $145.30, while the major support is located at $142.50.
by ChartMage
CHFJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISCHFJPY has continued to play out exactly as forecasted, breaking out cleanly from the descending channel on the 3D timeframe and rallying strongly above key structure. Price is currently trading around 178.00, already delivering solid upside from the breakout zone. The bullish breakout was confirmed by consecutive impulsive candles with minimal retracement, a clear sign of institutional strength behind this move. As long as this momentum holds, the next major target is 182.00 – a psychological level and previous structure high, now acting as a magnetic zone for price. On the fundamental side, the Swiss Franc continues to enjoy safe-haven flows as global macro uncertainty persists. The Swiss National Bank has maintained a relatively tight stance, with inflation staying stable and CHF demand picking up. On the flip side, the Japanese Yen remains broadly weak due to ultra-loose monetary policy from the Bank of Japan. BOJ’s reluctance to shift away from yield curve control and negative interest rates makes JPY one of the most attractive funding currencies, driving consistent CHFJPY upside. Technically, this move is supported by a textbook breakout from a falling wedge pattern, which historically has a high probability of bullish continuation. The volume and momentum on the breakout were strong, and we have a clean higher high and higher low structure forming. This confirms the end of the correction phase and a transition into a trending bullish cycle. With the current risk sentiment leaning toward CHF strength and JPY weakness, I’m confident in further upside toward my 182.000 target. I’ll continue to trail stops below 174.00 to lock in profit while giving the trade room to breathe. If price consolidates near 179.50–180.00 with low volume, I may look for re-entry setups on pullbacks. As of now, CHFJPY remains one of the strongest trending pairs on the board, and I’ll stay long as long as the structure holds.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened slightly against the US dollar during Friday's Asian session and moved away from the monthly low reached the day before. Data released by the Japanese government showed that the annual consumer price index (CPI) in May remained well above the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) target of 2%. This confirms market expectations that the BoJ will raise interest rates again and is a key factor driving the moderate growth of the JPY. Meanwhile, ongoing trade uncertainty and further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on investor sentiment, further strengthening the JPY's status as a safe haven. In addition, the moderate decline in the US dollar (USD) is pulling the USD/JPY pair back towards the psychological level of 145.000. However, expectations that the BoJ may keep rates unchanged until the first quarter of 2026, as well as the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish pause earlier this week, may limit the pair's losses. Market participants are paying extra attention to upcoming economic releases from the US, including inflation and labor market data, which could influence the Fed's monetary policy trajectory. If the statistics prove strong, this could strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the yen. However, the continuing weakness in the global economic recovery and high Japanese inflation continue to support expectations of a gradual tightening of BoJ policy, creating an ambiguous outlook for the USD/JPY exchange rate in the short term. Trading recommendation: SELL 145.400, SL 145.700, TP 144.300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/JPY(20250620)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, and the voting ratio showed that internal differences were increasing. Traders expect the bank to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 145.32 Support and resistance levels: 146.35 145.96 145.72 144.93 144.68 144.30 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 145.72, consider buying, and the first target price is 145.96 If the price breaks through 145.32, consider selling, and the first target price is 144.93
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
1
GBPJPY I Expect a Rally from the Buy Zone in the 1H Time FrameDescription: I'm viewing the 195.116–194.845 range on GBPJPY as a strong buy zone. My target is 196.088. Once the trade setup becomes active or the target is reached, I’ll be sharing an update here. Stay tuned! I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses. I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
Long
by TraderTilki
18
USDJPY – Bearish Pressure Builds Amid Fed Dovish ExpectationsFX:USDJPY is trading around the 145.300 mark and showing signs of weakness, as the US dollar comes under pressure from growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates in September. This sentiment is fueled by recent soft US data, including weaker retail sales and industrial production. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is regaining some strength, supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and possible intervention signals from the Bank of Japan. In the short term, I lean toward a corrective pullback scenario while awaiting clearer signals from the Fed.
Short
by Edward_TradingFX
6
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 145.80 1st Support: 144.54 1st Resistance: 146.74 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
USD/JPY) Bearish reversal analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY 3-hour chart suggests a bearish reversal setup, based on smart money concepts (SMC), resistance rejection, and price action structure. Here's a full breakdown: Technical Breakdown – USD/JPY Big Resistance Zone (~145.800–146.300): Price has tapped into a major resistance zone (yellow box) twice (highlighted with red arrows). Both rejections indicate strong seller interest. The latest candle structure shows clear rejection wick, signaling weakness at resistance. --- Bearish Bias Confirmation: Bearish structure forming after the second rejection. Break of the rising trendline could accelerate selling pressure. A measured move projection (-2.58%) aligns the downside target with the support level at ~142.144. --- Support Zone (~141.800–142.400): Marked as the likely target zone. Historically acted as a strong bounce area (visible from late May to early June). Completion of ABC bearish structure aligns here. --- Indicators & Tools: 200 EMA (144.419): Price currently slightly above it — watching for a close below to strengthen bearish view. RSI (14): Shows signs of bearish divergence and cooling off from overbought (was above 70 previously). Volume spike during the rejection suggests institutional selling. Mr SMC Trading point --- Forecast Summary: Bias: Bearish toward 142.144 Entry Idea: Look for confirmation of breakdown below trendline (~145.00) Invalidation: Strong bullish close above 146.300 would break this idea. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
7