USDJPY
USD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
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The BB upper band is nearby so USD-JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 152.850.
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USDJPY H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 155.700, which is a pullback resistance and a 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Our take profit will be at 153.72, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be at 15.65, above 161.8% Fibo extension
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EUR/USD slips to 7-month low on weak eurozone confidence dataThe euro can’t seem to find its footing. EUR/USD is down for a third straight trading day and has declined 0.38% on Wednesday, trading at 1.0608 at the time of writing. Earlier today, the euro dropped as low as 1.0606, its lowest level since April 15.
The US dollar rose after Donald Trump’s decisive election win, and the dollar is getting a boost as the Republicans are likely to win the House of Representatives. This would give the Republicans control of the House and the Senate and would make it easier for Trump to push through his agenda.
The eurozone ZEW economic sentiment index fell in November to 12.5, down sharply from 20.1 in October and well short of the market estimate of 20.5. It was a similar story for the German ZEW release, which fell from 13.1 to 7.4, shy of the consensus of 13. Investors and analysts are pessimistic about the economic outlook for two reasons. First, the Trump victory could signal new tariffs on European products and even trigger a trade war, the last thing the weak eurozone economy can afford. The second concern is the collapse of the German government coalition, with a snap election called for Feb. 23.
The European Central Bank meets next month and has signaled another reduction. ECB Governing Council member Olli Rehn said on Tuesday that a December cut is likely. The markets have priced in a reduction of 35 basis points in December, suggesting that traders are split on whether the ECB will opt for a cut of 25 or 50 basis points. There are differing opinions among the Governing Council members and we’re likely to see these opposing views aired in the coming weeks.
EUR/USD tested support at 1.0614 earlier Below, there is support at 1.0572
There is resistance at 1.0671 and 1.0713
Levels discussed during livestream 12th November12th November
DXY: Could consolidate/retrace slightly, but for continuation higher to 106.10, beyond that, could retest resistance of 106.45
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5950 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.65 SL 25 TP 100
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2785 SL 30 TP 100
EURUSD: Sell 1.0590 SL 40 TP 140
USDJPY: Buy 154.90 SL 35 TP 110
USDCHF: Buy 0.8845 SL 30 TP 75
USDCAD: Buy 1.40 SL 40 TP 140
Gold: Breaking 2600, below 2585 could trade down to 2570 and 2550
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 12, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) managed to strengthen slightly against its US counterpart in Tuesday's Asian session, but looks like it could weaken further. Japan's fragile minority government is expected to make it difficult for the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to tighten monetary policy. Moreover, the BoJ's summary of opinions from its October meeting showed that policymakers were divided on whether to raise interest rates again. This, along with fears of President-elect Donald Trump's tariffs returning, is putting pressure on the Japanese yen.
Trump's policies and corporate tax cuts should put upward pressure on inflation, which could limit the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to ease policy. This, in turn, supports rising US Treasury yields and confirms a negative outlook for the low-yielding JPY in the near term. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, maintains the positive trend that followed Trump's victory in the US presidential election and suggests that the path of least resistance for the USD/JPY pair remains to the upside.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Weekly FOREX Forecast: BUY USD vs EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHf JPYThis is an outlook for the week of Nov 4 - 8th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF and JPY.
The USD is strong and showing no signs of weakness. This video analyses which of the major pairs are the best markets to look for the best setups for the week ahead.
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USDJPY Will Go Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 153.692.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 157.722 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Levels discussed on 11th November Livestream11th November
DXY: Consolidating along 105, look for break out above 105.15 to reach high of 105.45
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5955 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6565 SL 25 TP 50
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2830 SL 30 TP 80
EURUSD: Sell 1.0660 SL 25 TP 50
USDJPY: Buy 153.80 SL 40 TP 80
USDCHF: Buy 0.8790 SL 25 TP 80
USDCAD: Do Nothing
Gold: Could range between 2660 and 2644
USD/JPY: Should We Continue to "Buy" Following the Trend?Today, USD/JPY continued its remarkable rally, reaching 153.63 with a 0.67% increase on the day. This is an important step as the USD regains strength, while the JPY weakens due to political instability in Japan.
Notably, the bullish trend remains intact with two stable EMAs below the candlestick chart, reinforcing the bullish momentum of this currency pair. Personally, Ben, recommends continuing to prioritize the "buy" strategy following the current trend.
What do you think about the future of USD/JPY? Will the price continue to rise or is there a possibility of a bearish reversal? Share your thoughts and trading strategies!
USDJPY UPDATEFrom the weekly chart, the price has reached the 61.5 Fibonacci retracement level and made a rejection at the price of 145.470 before dropping again to the level of 152.134 on the 1-hour time frame. Therefore, I am waiting for any possibility of a rejection as shown in the chart before deciding to continue selling USD/JPY
Potential bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 150.82
1st Support: 149.39
1st Resistance: 154.79
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USDJPY Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)