Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 152.22
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 153.56
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 150.78
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDJPY
USDJPY Channel Up bottomed. Very strong BUY.USDJPY is trading inside a Channel Up and the price is starting to recover from November's bearish wave correction.
It has already crossed above the MA50 (4h) and only the MA200 (4h) remains to confirm the trend shift.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy after the price crosses above the MA200 (4h).
Targets:
1. 162.500 (top of the Channel Up and under the 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is printing a cup into Channel Up pattern, identical to the previous Low of the Channel Up. An additional buy signal.
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USD/JPY Technical Analysis
The price is currently testing the upper boundary of the ascending channel near 152.40, which acts as a critical resistance level. If this resistance holds, the pair may see a retracement towards the midline support around 151.10.
Key Points:
Resistance at 152.40:
This level represents the upper boundary of the channel, and a rejection here could initiate a downward movement.
Support at 151.10:
The midline of the channel serves as the first significant support level if the price starts to decline from the resistance zone.
Technical Indicators:
The price is extended and approaching overbought levels, suggesting the potential for a pullback.
Key moving averages and Ichimoku components indicate the possibility of short-term corrective moves.
Conclusion:
As long as 152.40 resistance remains intact, the price is likely to decline towards the 151.10 support level. Traders should watch for confirmation of rejection at the resistance before taking positions.
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 10.12.2024Gold is in a neutral zone right now, but overall I am bearish. Here is what I am looking for next;
Option 1: If Gold closes above $2,690 then we can see a short term bullish move towards $2,740 before it drops back down again.
Option 2: Gold keeps dropping in its bear trend. Our target is $2,580.
USD/JPY - Bullish Momentum in Action!Following yesterday's shared analysis, USD/JPY has aligned perfectly with the expected bullish scenario:
- 15-Minute Chart Breakdown:
- The structure shifted, transitioning from bearish to bullish as the market began forming higher highs and higher lows .
- After the structure shift, the price entered a reaccumulation phase , consolidating before the next impulse move.
- Indicator Precision:
- The WiseOwl Indicator identified a high-probability entry signal at the right moment, during the reaccumulation phase, allowing us to capitalize on the bullish trend.
- The trade has shown minimal drawdown and is now trending in profits.
- Outlook:
As long as the market respects the bullish structure, we anticipate continued momentum to the upside.
Key Takeaway:
This trade showcases the importance of combining **structure analysis** with precision tools like the WiseOwl Indicator to maximize opportunities in trending markets.
USDJPY - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 350 PIP ) Pair Name :USD/JPY
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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Key Technical / Direction ( Long )
———————————
Bullish Break
150.850 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible range Hvn
- Reversal Fibo Golden
- CHoch Zone
- Liquidity Grap Area
Bearish Reversal
155.000 Area
reasons
- Pattern Retest
- Visible Range hvn
- Week / Day high Break
- Choch Zone
-
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 10, 2024 USDJPYDoubts about the Bank of Japan's ability to keep raising rates proved to be a key factor undermining the yen.
The Japanese yen (JPY) lost ground against its U.S. counterpart for the second straight day on Tuesday and lifted the USD/JPY pair to a one-week high, above the mid 151.000s during Tuesday's Asian session. Uncertainty over how soon the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may raise interest rates again has JPY bulls on the defensive. In addition, the overnight rebound in US Treasury yields from October lows undermines the low-yielding Yen. Furthermore, the US Dollar's post-NFP rebound from near one-month lows, backed by expectations of a less accommodative stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), acts as a tailwind for the currency pair.
That said, the softer tone of risk sentiment, concerns that US President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans could trigger a second wave of global trade wars, and geopolitical tensions help limit deeper losses for the safe-haven yen. Traders may also refrain from aggressive bullish bets on the USD/JPY pair and prefer to wait for the release of the latest US consumer inflation data due on Wednesday. The all-important Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be seen as a fresh signal that the Fed is going to cut rates. This, in turn, will stimulate demand for the dollar and provide meaningful momentum to the currency pair ahead of the central bank's key events next week.
Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Overlap resistance ahead?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 151.83
1st Support: 149.63
1st Resistance: 153.43
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY H4 | Bullish Continuation?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 150.62, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 152.15, a pullback resistance close the 50% Fibo retracement and 161.8% Fibo extension, indicating a strong level of resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 149.47, which is an overlap support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 09.12.2024Gold is in a neutral zone right now, but overall I am bearish. Here is what I am looking for next;
Option 1: Gold keeps dropping in its bear trend. Our target is $2,580. You can see the zig zag move Gold is creating. We saw a break below + retest so should continue now.
Option 2: If Gold moves above $2,690 next week then we can see a mid term bull trend towards $2,740 before it drops back down again.
USDJPY: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the USDJPY pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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USD/JPY H4 | Heading into swing-high resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 151.06 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 152.40 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 149.65 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GOLD GAPHuge trade opportunity tonight with a gap so huge that it got filled right away ;
bulls took their chance, nice job, now it should head back to the original configuration towards 2600s, then 2550s later this month ;
the first week price is always the most important, here anyone could have made a huge trade by simply aiming at filling the gap by selling.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which is an overlap resistance and drop from this level to the pullback support.
Pivot: 151.88
1st Support: 147.20
1st Resistance: 154.70
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Sell USD/JPY Channel BreakoutThe USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. OANDA:USDJPY
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 148.82
2nd Support – 148.18
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R2F Weekly Analysis - 8th December 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
USDJPY Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 150.51 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 150.18
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 06.12.2024Here is what I am looking for next;
Option 1: Gold keeps dropping in its bear trend. Our target is $2,580. You can see the zig zag move Gold is creating. We saw a break below + retest so should continue now.
Option 2: If Gold moves above $2,690 next week then we can see a mid term bull trend towards $2,740 before it drops back down again.
USDJPY: Technical buy opportunity on RSI fractal.USDJPY turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.175, MACD = -0.460, ADX = 31.807) as it crossed under its 1D MA50 and has failed to recover it this week. Yet, this is technically a buy opportunity in disguise as this is the exact same pattern that the price did on the March 24th 2023 Low. After the initial bullish wave start of the long term Channel Up, the price pulled back again and formed that low with the RSI at 37.000. This is the level it is right now as well. We expect the bullish wave to resume the uptrend like it did then. We are again targeting the 1.786 Fibonacci extension, only a bit lower on the R1 level (TP = 161.870).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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