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USDJPY

USDJPYKey Levels: Support Levels: 147.710 – First support zone (potential buy area). 147.230 – Stronger support level where price may react if it continues downward. Resistance Levels: 149.500 – Key resistance level if the price reverses bullish. Trade Setup: A short position is anticipated with entry after a pullback towards a minor FVG. Take Profit: Near 147.710 or deeper at 147.230. Stop Loss: Likely above the broken trendline or at a key resistance zone (149.500). A long position could be considered at 147.710 or 147.230 if price shows bullish signals.
Long
by Tdawly_Official
USD/CAD: Rebound Above 1.4265 or Imminent Drop?📊 Market Context The USD/CAD exchange rate has shown recent volatility with a significant surge followed by a retracement phase. The market is reacting to expectations regarding decisions from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada (BoC), as well as fluctuations in oil prices, a key factor for the Canadian dollar. 🔍 Technical Analysis The chart analysis highlights the following key levels: Main Resistance: 1.4521 → Located in the upper zone of the chart, this level could act as a barrier to further bullish movements. Key Supports: 1.4333 - 1.4265 - 1.4239 → These levels have previously acted as bounce points and could provide a base for price recovery. Market Structure: The price reacted with a strong green candle after testing the lower support area, followed by a correction phase. Bullish Momentum: If the price holds above 1.4265, it could attempt another push towards 1.4521. 📌 Potential Bullish Scenario: If the price remains above 1.4265, we could see another push towards 1.45 and beyond. 📌 Bearish Scenario: A break below 1.4239 could trigger a sharper decline towards the 1.41 - 1.40 range. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis Federal Reserve: The Fed is assessing the impact of its monetary policies, with markets speculating on a potential rate cut by mid-year. Bank of Canada: The BoC maintains a cautious approach, monitoring inflation and the labor market. Oil Prices: The CAD is correlated with oil prices, so an increase in crude oil could strengthen the Canadian dollar and push USD/CAD lower. 🎯 Conclusion Main Bias: Bullish above 1.4265, targeting 1.45. Trend Invalidation: Below 1.4239, a potential downward correction could occur.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) attracted buyers for the second consecutive day and strengthened to a new one-week high against its US counterpart during the Asian session on Thursday. Expectations that strong wage growth could boost consumer spending and contribute to higher inflation give the Bank of Japan (BoJ) room to raise interest rates further. This has led to a recent sharp narrowing of the rate differential between Japan and other countries, which continues to support the low-yielding yen. In addition, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade policy and its impact on the global economy, as well as geopolitical risks and the political crisis in Turkey, are contributing to inflows into the Yen. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, is struggling to gain meaningful momentum amid increased economic uncertainty amid US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs. This, in turn, is weighing on the USD/JPY pair and contributing to the intraday decline. However, interest rate differentials, the Bank of Japan's loose monetary policy, the trade balance differential and global market sentiment put pressure on the Japanese yen. The further direction of the USD/JPY pair lies on the upside. Trading recommendation: BUY 148.400, SL 147.600, TP 150.100
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
$JPINTR -Japan's Interest Rates (March/2025)ECONOMICS:JPINTR March/2025 source: Bank of Japan -The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its key short-term interest rate at around 0.5% during its March meeting, maintaining it at its highest level since 2008 and in line with market expectations. The unanimous decision followed the central bank’s third rate hike in January and came before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s rate announcement. The board took a cautious stance, focusing on assessing the impact of rising global economic risks on Japan’s fragile recovery. The BoJ pointed to ongoing uncertainties in the domestic economic outlook amid higher U.S. tariffs and headwinds from overseas conditions. While the Japanese economy had recovered moderately, some weaknesses remained. Private consumption continued to grow, helped by wage hikes, even as cost pressures persisted. However, exports and industrial output were mostly flat. Inflation ranged between 3.0% and 3.5% yearly, driven by higher service prices. Inflation expectations increased moderately, with underlying CPI projected to rise gradually.
ECONOMICS:JPINTR
by Mr_J__fx
USDJPY bearish trend continuation below 150.60The USDJPY currency pair remains bearish, following the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action shows resistance at the 150.60 level, which marks the current intraday swing high. Key Levels: Resistance: The critical resistance level to watch is 150.60. A rally to this level followed by a bearish rejection could signal further downside momentum. Support: On the downside, key support levels are positioned at 148.15, 147.00, and 146.30, marking potential bearish targets over the longer term. Bullish Scenario: If the pair breaks above the 150.60 resistance and achieves a daily close above it, the bearish outlook would be invalidated. This would open the door for further rallies, with resistance levels at 151.46 and 152.36 acting as possible targets. Conclusion: The bearish sentiment remains strong as long as 150.60 holds as resistance. Traders should be cautious of rallies and look for bearish rejections near this level. A confirmed breakout above 150.60 would signal a potential trend reversal, favoring further upside. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
2
USDJPY Trading strategyThe USDJPY is currently at a critical level, with the price fluctuating around 149.00. The resistance level above is at 150.00, and if broken through, it may further test 151.00. The support level below is at 148.50, and if it falls below, it may drop to 148.00. Recently, the market has been focusing on the monetary policy trends of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The strengthening of the US dollar and the weakness of the Japanese yen may push USDJPY higher. USDJPY Trading strategy: buy@148.50-149.00 tp:150.00-150.50-151.00 Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear. For those who are seeking professional guidance in trading trend analysis, strategy formulation, and risk management, please click below to get the daily strategy updates.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
USDJPY EA MAN UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Key Observations: Resistance Level: The price is testing a key resistance zone around 150.026, where selling pressure could emerge. EMA Confluence: The price is currently above both the 30 EMA (149.639, red) and 200 EMA (149.339, blue), indicating an overall bullish trend. Projected Bearish Move: A rejection from the resistance zone could lead to a pullback towards the 149.117 support level, aligning with the potential short-term bearish scenario. If price fails to break above the resistance and starts forming lower highs, a move towards the target point at 149.117 could unfold.
Short
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
USDJPY Tests Cup and Handle Formation Ahead of FOMCUSDJPY has formed a cup-and-handle pattern just below the 150 level. Today, the Bank of Japan kept interest rates steady at 0.50%. Wage negotiations so far indicate a 5.46% wage increase, which Governor Ueda described as "somewhat strong." Combined with rising food prices, the risk of further inflation has increased. Japan's inflation has remained above 2% since early 2022, and there’s no sign of that trend reversing anytime soon. In light of these factors, the BOJ is likely to consider a rate hike in May. However, today’s market focus will shift to the FOMC. The Fed is expected to raise its inflation and unemployment forecasts while lowering its growth forecast due to the anticipated effects of new U.S. trade policies. These stagflationary pressures are likely to keep the Fed’s rates elevated for an extended period. If the dot plot shows only one rate cut this year (instead of two as projected in December), the dollar index may begin to recover. The 150 level remains a key resistance for USDJPY. A confirmed breakout of the cup-and-handle pattern has the potential to push the pair towards the 153 level over the medium term. However, given the underlying fundamentals favoring BOJ rate hikes, any upward movement will likely be slower and more choppy, unless of course FOMC goes full hawkish. On the downside, if the Fed is less hawkish than expected, 149 (and sliglty below)becomes the critical support to watch. A break below 149 would invalidate the bullish pattern and shift momentum to the downside for USDJPY.
by ftdsystem
2
Analysis of USD/JPY Chart**Analysis of USD/JPY Chart** **Chart Pattern & Market Structure** - The chart identifies a **triangle chart pattern**, which often signals a potential breakout. - Price has been consolidating within this structure and recently **broke above the pattern**, indicating possible bullish momentum. **Key Technical Levels** - **Resistance Zone (~149.8 - 150.0):** Price is testing this area, which previously acted as a supply zone. A breakout above could open doors for higher levels. - **Support Zone (~148.5 - 149.0):** If price retraces, this area could act as a strong demand zone. - **EMA50 (~149.2):** Currently acting as a dynamic support, maintaining the bullish structure. **Potential Price Movement** - The chart suggests a possible pullback toward **support** before continuing higher toward the next resistance zone (~151.5 - 152.0). - If price breaks below the **support zone**, the uptrend could weaken, leading to a bearish scenario. **Trading Considerations** - A **successful breakout above resistance** (~150) could push price towards **152.0**. - A **rejection at resistance** might bring price back to **support (~148.5 - 149.0)** before another bullish attempt. - Traders should watch for **confirmation signals** (candlestick patterns, volume spikes) before entering trades.
Long
by elitetrader9090
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 149.44 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 150.97 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 147.54 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Japanese Yen Hits Two-Week Low Before BoJ MeetingThe yen fell past 149.5 per dollar, a two-week low, ahead of the BoJ's policy decision. The central bank is expected to hold rates at 0.5% on Wednesday while assessing U.S. policy impacts. Despite a pause, rate hikes are anticipated later this year as rising wages and inflation support policy normalization. Major firms agreed to wage hikes for the third straight year, increasing consumer spending and inflation. Key resistance is at 150.30, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00. 
by ChartMage