USD/JPY Strengthens Due to High U.S. Bond YieldsThe technical analysis of USD/JPY on October 23 shows a strong upward trend. Currently, the pair is trading around 152.692 after breaking the 150.489 support level, paving the way for a potential rise to 155.
The EMA 34 and 89 lines provide solid support, while the MACD indicator suggests strong upward momentum. A short-term correction may occur before further gains.
On the news front, USD/JPY is boosted by high U.S. bond yields and expectations that the Fed will maintain stable rates, while the Bank of Japan continues its loose monetary policy.
USDJPY
The yen is losing strength due to the strong dollar.
The dollar continues to strengthen as a result of the robust US economy. Conversely, the yen's value is deteriorating due to uncertainty surrounding the BoJ's interest rate policy and the dovish stance of committee members. Last week's release of US September retail sales and unemployment claims data reaffirmed US’ strong spending power and solid job market conditions, eliminating any possibility of a 50bp cut. Fed Director Christopher Waller stressed the importance of exercising caution regarding additional rate cuts as the US economy continues to perform at a satisfactory level without any recession concerns.
USDJPY rose sharply to 152.30 following a rebound at EMA78. The price sustains an uptrend within the ascending channel, indicating a bullish momentum. If USDJPY breaches the channel’s upper bound and the resistance at 153.70, the price may gain upward momentum toward 157.00. Conversely, if USDJPY breaks the support at 151.00, the price may fall further to 148.50, where both EMAs coincide.
US bond bloodbath powers USD/JPY above key levelHigher US Treasury yields has propelled USD/JPY through the 200DMA and 151.95, the latter an important technical level corresponding with prior episodes of Bank of Japan intervention.
If it manages to hold above 151.95, traders could consider buying the break with a tight stop either below it or the 200DMA for protection. There's little visible resistance evident until above 155, and even then it's minor. 155.40 is one potential target.
Given yield differentials between the US and Japan, you could argue USD/JPY should be higher based on where it traded earlier this year when spreads sat at similar levels.
GBP/USD: Is the Dollar Weakness Back?After a brief two-day recovery, GBP/USD reversed course on Monday, losing 0.5% and continuing to show signs of weakness on Tuesday morning, trading slightly below the 1.3000 level. Market sentiment was cautious at the beginning of the week due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which bolstered demand for the US Dollar as a safe haven. The US economic calendar features the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for October, though it is not expected to significantly impact the market. Additionally, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will deliver a speech at the Bloomberg Global Regulatory Forum in New York, but without expected comments on monetary policy, the event could have a minimal effect on the pound.
The next important data releases for GBP/USD will be on Thursday, with the preliminary PMI Manufacturing and Services Index data for the UK and the US, which could provide further direction for the pair. It is also worth noting that on Tuesday, the market closed the day with a doji candle, opening up a potential bullish opportunity. We will see if today, during the London session, the market provides a clear confirmation to go long.
Happy trading, and have a great day!
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 152.59
1st Support: 150.36
1st Resistance: 154.71
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY ready to solve H&S
🚨 USD/JPY Technical Outlook 🚨
- Price nearing a key resistance at **152.00** 📊
- Possible rejection could send the pair lower to:
- **145.54** 📉
- **139.71** 📉
- **131.98** 🛑 (Major support)
Multiple bearish signals on indicators 📉—reversal might be ahead! Watch closely for potential short setups.
#forex #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #forextrading #tradingview #bearish #forexsignals
USD/JPY Technical Outlook - Multiple bearish signals on indicato🚨 USD/JPY Technical Outlook 🚨
- Price nearing a key resistance at 152.00 📊
- Possible rejection could send the pair lower to:
- 145.54 📉
- 139.71 📉
- 131.98 🛑 (Major support)
Multiple bearish signals on indicators 📉—reversal might be ahead! Watch closely for potential short setups.
#forex #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #forextrading #tradingview #bearish #forexsignals
---
USD/JPY Weekly Chart Analysis:
- The pair is currently at a critical level near 152.00.
- Key resistance at 152.00 could lead to a rejection, with downside targets at:
- 145.54 (first target)
- 139.71 (second target)
- 131.98 (long-term support)
- Indicators show multiple bearish signals, suggesting potential reversals.
Stay cautious of volatility around these levels.
#forex #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #trading #forexsignals
---
USDJPY - 4hrs ( buy Trade Target Range 240 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name : USD/JPY
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
------
spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Long ) Break Out Done
Type : Mid Term Swing
———————————
Bullish Break
151.000 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible range Lvn
- Pattern Break
- Daily / weekly high
- Fibo Golden
Bearish Reversal
153.850 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level / D
- Visible Range Hvn
- Fibo Golden
- Year High Area
- Choch / Inner
USD/JPY Broke D Res Area , Be Reay To Buy It And Get 200 Pips !We have a very good Daily closure above our daily res , so we have a very good chance to buy this pair with retest to this broken res area and targeting 200 pips .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: (READ DESCRIPTION)USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Expected
Pivot Point: 150.45
The pivot point at 150.45 serves as a key level of support for USD/JPY. As long as the price holds above this level, bullish momentum is anticipated.
Our Preference: Long Positions
Recommended Trade:
Long positions are favored as long as the price stays above the 150.45 pivot point. This sets up the potential for upward movement toward resistance levels.
Target Levels for Upside Movement:
First Target: 151.10
This is the immediate resistance level where traders may take profits or evaluate a continuation of the bullish momentum.
Second Target: 151.60
If the first target is surpassed, the pair could extend its gains toward the 151.60 level, signaling further bullish movement.
Alternative Scenario: Downside Risks
If the price falls below 150.45:
Bearish Outlook:
First Target: 150.10
Second Target: 149.70
These levels represent potential support zones in case of a bearish reversal.
Technical Insights:
RSI Indicator:
The RSI is mixed but leans bullish, suggesting the potential for further upside if momentum builds. Traders should keep an eye on this indicator for confirmation of a stronger move.
Levels discussed on 22nd October Livestream22nd October
DXY: retracing, testing 103.80 support level, needs to stay above 103.60, to continue uptrend to 104.20.
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6015 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Stays below 0.67, Sell 0.6680 SL 20 TP 60
GBPUSD: Retracing, Look to test and reject trendline, Sell 1.3025 SL 20 TP 50
EURUSD: Look for reaction at 1.0780 support level or 1.0870 resistance level
USDJPY: Buy 151.15 SL 40 TP 65
USDCHF: Sell 0.8630 SL 10 TP 20
USDCAD: Buy 1.3860 SL 20 TP 60
Gold: Look for retracement possibly to 2715, buy on dip, for 2750 target
USDJPY Will Go Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 150.710.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 148.225 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EUR/USD: Watch for the Rebound!EUR/USD began the week on a bearish note, hitting 12-week lows near 1.0800 as the US dollar remains strong, supported by solid economic fundamentals and rising US yields. Key support levels are at 1.0811 and 1.0775, while major resistance is seen at 1.0930 and 1.1040. The macroeconomic backdrop favors the dollar, with the Fed remaining cautious on rate cuts, and the ECB, despite a recent rate cut, facing weak growth and declining inflation. A drop below 1.0800 could accelerate losses, while a recovery above 1.0875 would be the first positive signal.
USD/JPY Breakout: Potential Long Opportunity at New SupportIn the 1-hour time frame, USD/JPY has broken through resistance and is now forming a new support zone, marked in green. My idea is that if the price pulls back to this new support zone, buyers could step in again, pushing the price higher. This could present a good opportunity to enter a long position as the market may rebound from this level.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 22, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) appreciated against its US counterpart during Tuesday's Asian session, partially recovering from the previous day's decline to its lowest level since late July. The recent verbal intervention from the Japanese authorities, coupled with a slight deterioration in global risk sentiment, have been instrumental in providing support to the safe-haven yen. However, the potential for gains for the yen is constrained by uncertainty surrounding the timing and pace of further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
Meanwhile, concerns over the possibility of a widening budget deficit following the US presidential election on 5 November and bets on a less aggressive easing policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have pushed US Treasury yields to their highest levels in almost three months. This could result in significant appreciation of the Japanese Yen being contained. In addition, the underlying bullish tone on the US Dollar (USD) supports the prospects of some dip-buying in the USD/JPY pair.
Trade recommendation: Trading predominantly Buy orders from the current price level.
USDJPYUSDJPY price is near the resistance zone 151.01-151.54. If the price cannot break through the 151.54 level, it is expected that the price will have a chance to go down in the short term. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
USD, yields surge on Fed pushback, Trump rebound After just one day of retracing on Friday, the USD bull regained momentum on Monday thanks to Fed members continuing to push back on aggressive easing. Markets are also pricing in a Trump win with some polls suggesting he is ahead in three key states and some bookies even touting for him to win. In the current climate, USD/JPY could be at 152 before we know it.
MS
USD/JPY: Japan’s Snap Election Opportunities Japan is holding a snap election this Sunday, triggered by a scandal within the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), despite a general election not being due until late 2025.
The LDP, which has dominated Japanese politics for all but four of the last 65 years, has seen its popularity plummet. In June, its poll numbers hit their lowest point this century.
While some polls predict the party could cling to its majority, bolstered by a fragmented opposition, fresh data from the Nikkei suggests a different outcome. The business daily warns that the LDP may fall short of securing a majority, a result that could lead to political upheaval not seen since 2009.
Pullbacks in USD/JPY have been lessening since early October, and after clearing the 150.00 mark, the next targets for the bulls may be the 200-Day Moving Average and the range between 150.90 and 151.10. Amid a snap election, 152.00 is also a possible target. If the pair experiences another pullback, traders might consider a mid-point of current price action as a potential resistance level.
GOLD SHORT TO $2,540 (1H TF)As you've seen on the update, Gold has or is close to completion of Wave 5 (Wave V) of its bullish structure. Waiting for a minor shift in price action to indicate a bear trend is about to start, but I’m looking to short the market now.
⭕️5 Wave Bullish Move Complete.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
⭕️DXY (Dollar Index) Bullish.