USD/JPY H4 | Potential bullish bounceUSD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 155.75 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 154.30 which is a level that sits under an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 158.03 which is a swing-high-resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY
Yen strengthens as Russia rejects Ukraine peace planThe USD/JPY pair is experiencing notable movements, with the yen strengthening against the dollar at 156.72. This yen appreciation is driven by its status as a safe-haven currency amid growing geopolitical tensions and potential instability in Eastern Europe, following Russia's rejection of Trump's Ukraine peace plan. While the robust US dollar, supported by rising Treasury yields, applies external pressure, the yen's appeal is bolstered by the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) recent considerations for a possible rate hike. As the BOJ continues to assess economic data, including wage growth and clarity on future US policies, the potential for such hikes further supports the yen's strength. Traders should monitor BOJ policy announcements and global geopolitical developments, as the yen's safe-haven status might attract more interest, balancing external pressures from US economic factors.
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% and also slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 155.90
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 23.6% and also slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 154.82
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.,2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 157.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Ready to tape read Yen for the last hour of trading?? Hello fellow traders!
Let's observe Yen for the last hour of trading for 2024, that is, 0030 to 0130 New York time . My expectation is that the market will not break pdl , but we could see aggressive selling in the last hour. We've already taken buyside and I'm not expecting it to go above 158.082, which is the 26th Dec '24 high. Short term sellside objectives seem obvious. Do they seem obvious to you?
Not a trading advice.
Enjoy the holidays and wish you all a Happy and Prosperous New Year 2025!!
USDJPY Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 156.700 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 156.700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD/JPY on the Verge of a Breakout: Key Levels to Watch!USD/JPY is encountering resistance at the trendline, previously a support level. The price attempted to break through earlier but faced rejection. Now, it is approaching the resistance level again, showing breakout potential.
We anticipate a possible breakout above the resistance trendline. A key support zone, marked in grey, provides a critical level to watch for pullbacks or reversals. Monitor price action for confirmation.
DYOR, NFA
USD/JPY to continue its upward trendThe USD/JPY pair has moved higher on the one-hour timeframe after breaking the 155.83-156.75 resistance range and is now consolidating above this range.
The next technical targets include the 158.95 level (1.272 Fibonacci level) and the 161.76 level (1.618 Fibonacci level). The moving averages and the Ichimoku cloud support the continuation of the uptrend.
The key support range of 155.83-156.75 plays an important role in maintaining the uptrend, and a break of this level could change the trend.
Demand for the US dollar appears to continue to support this move.
BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone,BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone, where selling pressure could emerge. If this level holds, the downside target remains at 86,000, which aligns with a significant support level. Keep an eye on price action and momentum indicators for confirmation before entering a position.
Entry Position:
- **Sell Entry:** Around 98,900–99,100 (to account for potential resistance zone fluctuations).
Stop Loss:
- **Stop Loss:** 99,600 (above the resistance zone to manage risk).
Target:
- **Take Profit:** 86,000 (key support zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
- Ensure the risk-to-reward ratio is at least 1:2 to maintain a favorable trading setup. Adjust your position size accordingly.
Keep monitoring for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish divergence, or a breakdown of intraday support).
USDJPY BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisUSDJPY is moving in an UP trend channel.
The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance line, which now acts as support.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
USD/JPY Analysis: Pair Reaches 5-Month HighUSD/JPY Analysis: Pair Reaches 5-Month High
The Japanese yen remains under pressure, trading near a five-month low against the US dollar. This trend is primarily driven by differences in monetary policy approaches.
On one side, the Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance, signalling a gradual slowing of monetary easing in 2025.
On the other, the Bank of Japan continues its cautious approach to policy tightening, as confirmed by a Reuters report published today. Although Japan’s Finance Minister issued warnings this week about potential market interventions, these statements have had little immediate impact.
According to technical analysis of the USD/JPY chart, the pair is trending within a well-defined upward channel (marked in blue) with the following notable developments:
→ In September, the psychological level of 140 yen per dollar served as strong support for bulls, while in December, this shifted to 150 yen per dollar (as indicated by arrows).
→ Since September, price movements have established a steeper upward channel (highlighted in purple).
→ The pair has now reached the median line of the longer-term blue channel, suggesting a potential for more stable trading. This stability may also be supported by reduced trading activity during the holiday season.
The current price action mirrors the conditions seen in summer 2024, when the pair steadily rose toward the critical level of 160 yen per dollar. As we enter early 2025, bulls may once again test this key threshold, seeking to push the pair higher.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
USD/JPY – Just One Step Away from a Drop!Dear Traders,
After a notable rally late last week, USD/JPY appears to have lost its momentum. Observations suggest that Wave 5 has completed, paving the way for a potential corrective decline, which aligns perfectly with the classic wave structure.
We can now anticipate a downward correction, likely targeting the 155.95 zone initially. Following this, we might see further bearish consolidation below this level, aiming for the liquidity area around 152.85, a region that buyers have yet to revisit, and is currently taking shape.
Remember, this is just the starting point of our analysis journey. We will provide regular updates so you can stay informed and adjust your strategies accordingly. Stick to the plan and trade carefully!
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 27, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is losing stability near 157.750 during the early Asian session on Friday, following the release of Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data.The Japanese yen (JPY) rose after the data was released. Trading volumes are likely to be low ahead of the New Year holiday next week.
The Statistics Bureau of Japan released data on Friday showing that Tokyo's core CPI rose to 3.0% y/y in December from 2.6% in November, while Tokyo's consumer price index excluding fresh food and energy was 2.4% y/y in December from 2.2% previously. The reading is likely to encourage the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to continue raising the interest rate in January.
Last week, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that the central bank anticipates the Japanese economy will move closer to meeting the BoJ's 2 per cent inflation target sustainably next year. Ueda added that the timing and pace of adjustments in the degree of monetary accommodation will depend on future developments in economic activity and prices, as well as financial conditions.
Regarding the US dollar, the anticipation of a reduced number of rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may offer near-term support.The Fed reduced interest rates by a quarter point at its December meeting and has revised its forecast for 2025, predicting just two rate cuts, down from an initial estimate of four.
Trade recommendation: We follow the level of 158.000, if it is fixed above we consider Buy positions, if it bounces back we consider Sell positions.
USDJPY Is Approaching The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 156 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 156 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY H1 I Bullish Bounce off ?Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 157.32, which is an overlap support that closes to the 38.2% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 158.07, which is a swing high resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 156.68, which is a pullback support close to the 61.8% Fibo resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 157.85
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 154.68
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY H1 I Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 157.32, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 156.68, a pullback support level close to the 50% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 157.92, which is a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/JPY Soars Above Resistance: Next Stop 160?USD/JPY Trade Analysis:
Breakout Confirmed: USD/JPY has broken above the descending trendline and is holding above the 152-155 support zone.
Targets:
Short-Term: 161.00 (previous high).
Long-Term: Potential for new highs if momentum continues.
Stop Loss: Below 152.00 to protect against invalidation.
Entry: Ideal entry near 155-157 on a retest of the breakout zone.
Summary: USD/JPY shows bullish momentum with a breakout. Look for a retest for a better entry, targeting 161 with proper risk management.
DYOR, NFA
Japan's corporate service inflation rises, yen steadyThe Japanese yen is showing little movement on Christmas Day. Japanese markets are open but with most global markets closed for the holiday, the currency markets will be very quiet today. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 157.29, up 0.08% on the day.
Japanese inflation indicators have been heading higher and the upswing was repeated on Wednesday as Japan's corporate service price index (CSPI) climbed 3.0% in November. This marked a second straight month that CSPI has accelerated, after a 2.9% gain in October.
CSPI measures the price that companies charge each other for services and is a leading indicator of service-sector inflation, which is closely watched by the Bank of Japan. The rise in CSPI supports the case that wages are rising and businesses are passing higher costs to consumers. This increase in demand-driven inflation is exactly what the BoJ wants to see before raising interest rates.
The BoJ has hinted that further rate hikes are coming but hasn't provided any hints about the timing. There were some expectations of a rate hike at last week's meeting but the central bank stayed on the sidelines and Governor Ueda sounded dovish, saying that inflation was increasing "at a moderate rate" and the BoJ could take its time raising rates.
Is Ueda throwing up a smoke screen to keep speculators away when the BoJ is in fact planning a rate hike in the next month or two? Perhaps. Inflation has been trending higher and the yen is falling fast, plunging 9.5% since Oct. 1. The yen pushed past the symbolic 160 level in July and could do so again. If the BoJ is genuinely concerned with the rapid descent of the yen, it will have to consider a rate hike or take more extreme action and intervene in the currency markets to prop up the ailing yen.
There is resistance at 157.41 and 157.66
USD/JPY tested support at 157.15 and 156.90 earlier. Below, there is support at 156.64
USD/JPY calm as BoJ Core CPI risesThe Japanese yen is showing limited movement on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 157.33, up 0.11% on the day at the time of writing.
The yen is having a dreadful time as it continues to lose ground against the strong US dollar. Since Oct. 1, the yen has plunged 9.5% and the yen's woes could force the Bank of Japan to intervene on the currency markets in order to prop up the ailing currency.
The BoJ Core CPI index, which is closely watched by the central bank, rose to 1.7% y/y in November, up from 1.5% in October and above the market estimate or 1.5%. This release follows last week's national headline inflation release, which jumped to 2.9% in November from 2.3% in October. This was the highest level since October 2023. The gain was driven by sharp increases in food and electricity prices. Notably, core CPI, which excludes food, rose from 2.6% to 2.7% and core-core CPI, which excludes food and energy, climbed from 2.3% to 2.4%.
Any way you cut it, inflation is moving higher and that has raised expectations that the Bank of Japan will raise rates in early 2025. The BoJ held rates at last week's meeting and BOJ Governor Ueda said that since underlying inflation was only increasing "at a moderate pace", the BoJ could take its time in raising rates. However, with inflation rising and the yen pushing closer to the 160 level, the BoJ could respond with a rate hike as early as January.
The BoJ is also concerned with the incoming Trump administration, which has pledged to slap tariffs on US trading partners. Bank policy makers will be nervously watching if Trump moves ahead with tariffs or is his bark worse than his bite. The BoJ meets next on Jan.24, a day after Trump is sworn into office.
There is resistance at 157.51 and 157.86
156.93 and 156.58 are the next support levels