USD/JPY H4 | Downtrend to extend further?USD/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 141.82 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 143.20 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 139.85 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY
USDJPY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategiesUSD/JPY has recently witnessed a notable downtrend from the high of 158.8 📉. (👉signals👉)
Considering the market expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut and the potential continued tightening of monetary policy by the Bank of Japan, USD/JPY is likely to fluctuate and consolidate within the range of 140.00 - 145.00. Due to the recent enhancement of short-term buying power and the CCI indicator being in the oversold area 📉, one can attempt to go long with a light position when the exchange rate approaches the range of 141.650 - 142.00 📈. Set the stop-loss below 141.60, target at 143.30, and if broken through, further target at 144.50 🎯.
Trading Strategy:
buy@141.650 - 142.00
TP:143.30-144.50
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 signals👇
USDJPY Outlook – Bearish Continuation or Bullish Reversal??In this analysis, I'm breaking down the USDJPY structure starting from the 4H to identify the overall market direction (Bearish/Sells), then zooming into the 1H to fine-tune potential trade setups.
On the 4H timeframe, we’re assessing whether the recent bearish momentum is likely to continue or if price action is showing early signs of a bullish reversal. The LOW created at 141.800 level is our first target IF we continue to sell as its creating that LowerLow.
IF price closes bullish above 142.500, I will switch sides and look for potential buys.
On the 1H timeframe, I’m watching for a bullish liquidity sweep below141.888, followed by a clear break of structure to the upside on the 15m or 1H for more confirmation. That would indicate smart money accumulation and a potential shift in market sentiment—giving me confirmation to start looking for long setups.
🚀 Give me a boost and follow for upcoming $niper entries this week! 🦇🔥
CMCMARKETS:USDJPY
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 140.84
1st Support: 137.22
1st Resistance: 144.98
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off major support level?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 140.82
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 137.37
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 144.77
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Weekly FOREX Forecast: Buy EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD vs USDThis is the FOREX outlook for the week of April 21 - 25th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
CAD
CHF
JPY
Not a lot of movement last week, as price traded in a small range. May see more of the same this coming week, as there are no major news events planned. The USD is still weak, and there may be opportunities to buy against it in the EUR, GBP, AID, NZD, CAD, CHF, AND JPY.
Wait for good confirmation before taking valid buy setups!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CHFJPY TECHNICAL AND FUNADEMENTALS DETAILS ANALYSISCHFJPY has just broken out of a long-term descending channel on the daily chart, currently trading near 174.09. This breakout is technically significant, as it marks the end of a prolonged downtrend and suggests the beginning of a potential bullish reversal. The price action shows a clean breakout above the upper channel resistance, followed by a healthy retest—textbook price behavior when momentum shifts to the upside. With this structure flip, we are now positioning for a continuation towards the 182.40 zone, which aligns with a previous key resistance and measured move projection.
This breakout is supported by strong fundamentals. The Swiss Franc remains firm, driven by Switzerland’s resilient economic data and the Swiss National Bank’s cautious monetary stance. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to struggle as the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose policy, despite recent signs of inflation picking up. The yield differential and risk-on sentiment are weighing heavily on JPY, making it an ideal quote currency for this bullish CHF move. Traders are increasingly favoring CHFJPY in the current macro landscape due to this divergence.
What makes this setup even more attractive is the clean technical structure paired with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The stop below the retest area around 171.63 offers tight risk management, while the upside potential toward 182.40 presents a strong 1:3+ R/R swing opportunity. These types of breakouts—especially after extended consolidation—often lead to trend-following momentum plays that institutions favor.
CHFJPY is now on many watchlists across TradingView due to this breakout from a descending channel, which is a highly searched pattern by technical traders. This pair is poised to deliver a profitable swing trade backed by both technical strength and macro alignment. If momentum continues, we could see a strong bullish leg throughout Q2.
GOLDMASTER1| USD/JPY 15MIN ANALYSIS USD/JPY 15M ANALYSIS – SMC PERSPECTIVE
Price is currently trading around 142.108, just above a marked Bullish Order Block. We’ve identified equal lows (EQL), indicating potential liquidity resting below, but price has yet to break structure lower.
The bullish OB zone (141.784 - 141.600) may act as a strong demand area. If price respects this level, a potential bullish move could occur towards the Bearish Order Block near 142.419.
The projected path shows a retracement towards the supply zone (Bearish OB), where we can anticipate a potential reaction or rejection.
TRADE IDEA:
Monitor bullish OB for confirmations (e.g., engulfing candles or FVG on lower timeframe).
Potential TP near 142.300 - 142.419 (before or at Bearish OB).
Bias: Bullish short-term toward bearish OB, then reassess for possible reversal.
GOLDMASTER1---
USD/JPY Dynamics & Investment StrategiesOn Wednesday, the USD/JPY exchange rate kept falling, trading around 141.950 with a drop of about 0.90%. Weakened by the US dollar's continuous decline, it hit a low of 141.645 and then recovered slightly. The yen's appreciation was due to the dollar's weakness, as new US tariff plans caused selling pressure on the dollar. Trump's call to investigate key mineral import tariffs added to investors' anxiety.
The USD/JPY was consolidating around 143.20. A downward break might lead to 141.70, the third wave of decline, while an upward break could trigger a pullback to 145.00, supported by the MACD indicator. It formed a wider consolidation range between 142.46 and 144.07 with a triangular pattern. Breaking above might cause a rally to 145.00, also supported by the Stochastic Oscillator.
The yen's rapid appreciation reflected the dollar's weakness and Japan's manufacturing optimism. However, trade policy uncertainty and technical patterns suggest the exchange rate will remain volatile, with key levels at 141.70 (downside) and 145.00 (upside).
Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
USDJPY – Strong Bounce Incoming from Key Support?Price has tapped into a major support zone that’s held strong since early 2024. With confluence from the Fibonacci 0.618–0.65 retracement overhead, we could see a sharp bullish reversal targeting that region.
🟧 Strong support – historically reactive
📈 Potential bullish reversal in play
📊 Fib confluence at 152 – key reaction area
⏳ Watching for confirmation signs before entry
A clean structure here—could turn into a solid mid-term long setup.
Thoughts? Reversal or continuation lower?
DeGRAM | USDJPY Reached the Lower Channel Boundary📊 Technical Analysis
Descending channel
USD/JPY is trading within a downward channel, recently bouncing off support near 142.00.
Key resistance
The upper boundary near 146 serves as key resistance; a breakout would indicate a trend reversal.
Predictive scenario
Price may retest resistance with potential for further upside if bullish momentum holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
The Fed maintains high rates, while the BoJ remains dovish. The yield gap favors USD strength. Steady US data supports recovery, while global risks may limit JPY demand.
✨ Summary
A bounce from support within the channel aligns with USD-positive fundamentals. Watch 146 for a breakout signal.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
USDCAD and USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 18, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is down to 142.25 in thin trading session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) is declining against the Japanese Yen (JPY) amid concerns over the economic impact of tariffs.
Data released by the Statistics Bureau of Japan on Friday showed that the national consumer price index (CPI) rose 3.6% in March, up from the previous reading of 3.7%. Meanwhile, the national CPI excluding fresh food was 3.2% y/y in March, up from 3.0% previously. The reading was in line with the market consensus.
Finally, the consumer price index excluding fresh food and energy rose 2.9% y/y in March vs. the previous reading of 2.6%. The Japanese Yen remains strong against the US Dollar as an immediate reaction to Japanese inflation data.
However, JPY gains may be limited as Bank of Japan (BoJ) officials signalled a pause in the consideration of interest rate hikes, emphasising the need to monitor uncertainty heightened by US tariff measures.
Economic data from the US on Thursday was mixed. US initial jobless claims fell to their lowest level in two months, signalling a stable labour market. In addition, the Philadelphia Fed index fell short of expectations, a warning shot from the manufacturing sector.
Trade recommendation: SELL 142.05, SL 143.40, TP 139.80
6J1!: Yen Steady as Dollar Recovers: Reversal WatchThe Japanese Yen maintains its strength in relation to the recovering US Dollar. However, recent improvements in global risk sentiment are beginning to weaken the JPY's appeal as a safe-haven currency. At this point, the Yen is positioned within a significant supply zone, where we are closely monitoring for potential reversal opportunities.
According to the latest COT report, retailers are predominantly holding long positions, which adds an interesting dynamic to the current market environment. As we evaluate the situation, our focus is on the possibility of a reversal, especially as the US Dollar shows signs of regaining momentum. This scenario could lead to notable shifts in currency dynamics, and we are keen to see how these factors will unfold in the near term.
✅ Please share your thoughts about 6J1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Dollar-Yen Compression Coil: A Breakout is Brewing🧠 Why This Matters Right Now
USD/JPY has been tightly range-bound for the past 7 sessions, hugging the underside of 154.50, a historically significant resistance level. With U.S. inflation coming in hotter than expected and the Bank of Japan stepping back from policy tightening, this tug-of-war has compressed price action into a tight coil. A volatility eruption is right around the corner.
🔍 Breakdown of the Strategy
This is a volatility compression breakout setup based on the logic that low volatility precedes expansion. The ingredients:
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) for detecting squeeze zones
ADX (14) under 15 to confirm low trend strength
Price range compressing within 0.5%
Entry Logic:
📈 Long: Close above upper Bollinger Band + ADX > 20
📉 Short: Close below lower Bollinger Band + ADX > 20
Stops & Targets:
Stop Loss: Just inside the opposite Bollinger Band
Take Profit: 2× ATR(14)
🚀 Why This Works in Today’s Market
The policy divergence between the U.S. and Japan is creating a classic fundamental standoff, but the price can't stay neutral for long. Volatility is compressed to its limits. When the breakout comes, it's likely to run fast and clean in the direction of the imbalance.
🤖 Automate It with PineScriptAI
With PineScriptAI, you can instantly:
Detect when Bollinger Band width narrows
Monitor ADX thresholds
Set up conditional breakout logic with smart alerts and backtests
Create a dual-trigger script that catches either direction — no need to guess the breakout side.
⚡ From Trend to Code — Instantly
This isn’t just a chart pattern — it’s a recurring market phenomenon. With PineScriptAI, you can adapt this same logic to GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY, or even gold compressions with zero manual tweaking.
🧭 Final Insight FX:USDJPY
When price coils, energy builds. Don’t just watch it break — code it, trade it, and scale it across markets with PineScriptAI.
USD/JPY) demand and supply analysis ); Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
shows a bearish setup for USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown
---
1. Trend Context:
Downtrend: The pair is clearly in a bearish channel, forming lower highs and lower lows.
200 EMA (~146.297) is above price and sloping down — confirms bearish bias.
---
2. Key Zones Identified:
Supply Zone (~144.800–145.200): A strong area of resistance where sellers may re-enter. If price returns here, it’s a potential short setup.
Demand Zone (~142.800–143.100): A possible reaction point where short-term buyers may provide a bounce.
Target Point (~141.168): A projected target if the downtrend continues and demand zone fails.
---
3. Expected Scenarios:
Primary Bearish Move:
Price may react from current levels or from the demand zone.
A pullback to the supply zone is expected before continuation downward.
Then, sell-off toward the target zone around 141.168.
Alternate Play:
Price could bounce between the demand and supply zones a bit more before breaking down.
---
4. Indicators:
RSI (~46.37): Shows room to the downside before oversold, aligning with bearish momentum.
Mild bullish divergence in RSI recently, suggesting potential for a small pullback or bounce.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary of Idea:
This is a sell setup:
Sell entries: Ideal around the supply zone (144.8–145.2).
First target: Demand zone (~143.0)
Final target: 141.168
Invalidation: Break above 146.30 (200 EMA and channel resistance).
pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow,)
USDJPY M15 | Bullish Bounce Based on the M15 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 142.16, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 143.55, a swing high resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 141.62, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EUR/USD at Key Decision Zone – Breakout or Smart Money Trap?🟢 Current Context
Price: 1.13820 USD
Trend: Strong bullish structure, with impulsive moves especially in April.
Main timeframe: Appears to be daily or weekly, with multi-timeframe zones (1W, 1M marked).
🧱 Key Zones
🔴 Supply Zone (1.13000–1.15000)
Well-defined area of historic selling pressure. Price reacted with a temporary drop but bounced right back into it.
🟦 Demand Zone (1.08500–1.10000)
Major order block where the current rally was initiated. Price used this as a base to launch higher.
⚫ Lower Supports
1.03600: Weekly support
1.02838: Monthly support
Broad accumulation zone (grey box) from which this trend began.
📈 Price Structure
Strong breakout above 1.10–1.11 resistance.
Currently pulling back inside the supply zone – the dashed arrows hint at potential liquidity sweeps before a continuation to 1.15+.
🔍 Momentum Indicator (likely RSI/CCI)
Currently elevated, but not yet in extreme overbought. No clear divergence. Momentum favors bulls.
📊 Scenarios
✅ Bullish:
Clean break above 1.14500–1.15000 opens the door to 1.1600 and 1.1800. Wait for a structural retest for safer long entries.
⚠️ Bearish (corrective):
Strong rejection from the supply zone → potential pullback to 1.10–1.0850 (blue zone).
Only below 1.0850 would a deeper bearish structure toward 1.03600 be confirmed.
🧠 Strategic Note
This is a zone of clear smart money activity: liquidity grabs on both ends.
Watch how this weekly candle closes – we’re either validating above 1.13 or setting up a trap for late longs.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 142.87
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 143.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 141.48
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.