USDJPY
USDJPY Skyrockets Beyond All Targets – Massive Breakout CompleteTechnical Analysis:
USDJPY on the 15-minute time frame executed a long trade with an entry at 149.604. Backed by strong bullish momentum, it swiftly met all target points.
The pair rallied significantly with the Risological Dotted Trendline providing upward support throughout the trade, indicating that the trend was well-supported and poised for further gains.
Key Levels:
Entry: 149.604
Stop Loss (SL): 149.342
Target 1 (TP1): 149.926 ✅
Target 2 (TP2): 150.449 ✅
Target 3 (TP3): 150.971 ✅
Target 4 (TP4): 151.294 ✅
Observations:
The strong uptrend was consistent, with price respecting the 200 EMA (Risological Dotted Trendline) as dynamic support.Volume surged as the price hit TP3, accelerating the move towards TP4.
All targets were cleanly hit, confirming the strength of this breakout.
USDJPY's breakout showcases the power of technical alignment. The bullish trend held firmly above the Risological dotted trend line, driving the price to hit all targets in this well-timed trade. The pair remains bullish, and future setups should be monitored for additional opportunities.
Yen slides as IMF cuts Japan’s growth estimateThe Japanese yen has posted sharp losses on Wednesday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 152.67, up 1.06% at the time of writing. The yen is down 2.1% this week and has plunged 6.3% in October.
The International Monetary Fund slashed its 2024 growth forecast for Japan to just 0.3%, down sharply from the 0.7% forecast in June. This is the lowest estimate since 2020, during the Covid-19 pandemic which severely impacted the economy. The IMF highlighted the “fading of a one-off boost” in tourism and disruptions in auto supply chains. Japan’s economy grew 1.7% in 2023, aided by a strong increase in tourism.
The IMF said it expects the economy to rebound in 2025 and expand 1.1% as private consumption and wage growth improve, assuming that the Bank of Japan continues to raise rates “toward a neutral setting of about 1.5%.”
The BoJ raised interest rates out of negative territory in July to the current rate of 0.25%. The markets are expecting further hikes but the central bank has been very cautious and wants to see evidence of sustainable inflation at 2% before making additional hikes. This has made the BoJ an outlier among major central banks, most of which are in a rate-cutting cycle in response to falling inflation. Japan releases Tokyo Core CPI, a key inflation indicator, on Thursday. The indicator is expected to ease to 1.7% in September, down from 2% in August.
The BoJ meets on Oct. 30-31, right after a general election on Oct. 27. The Bank will likely maintain policy settings but the markets will be keeping a close eye on the quarterly projections for inflation and growth.
USD/JPY has pushed above several resistance lines today and the next resistance line is 153.19
150.93 and 150.66 are providing support
BoC Rates Decision Pending22nd October
DXY: Currently at 104.30, expecting further upside, needs to break 104.45 to trade up to 104.80.
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6015 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6635 SL 20 TP 65
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2950 SL 40 TP 130 (Hesitation at 1.2880)
EURUSD: Sell 1.0760 SL 30 TP 80
USDJPY: Buy 152.70 SL 30 TP 130 (hesitation at 61.8% 153.30)
USDCHF: Buy 0.8710 SL 15 TP 40
USDCAD: Buy 1.3860 SL 20 TP 60 or (counter trend) Sell 1.3920 or 1.3820 (need to hear hawkish BoC)
Gold: Buy on retracement, or scalp up to 2760 and 2768
The yen is losing strength due to the strong dollar.
The dollar continues to strengthen as a result of the robust US economy. Conversely, the yen's value is deteriorating due to uncertainty surrounding the BoJ's interest rate policy and the dovish stance of committee members. Last week's release of US September retail sales and unemployment claims data reaffirmed US’ strong spending power and solid job market conditions, eliminating any possibility of a 50bp cut. Fed Director Christopher Waller stressed the importance of exercising caution regarding additional rate cuts as the US economy continues to perform at a satisfactory level without any recession concerns.
USDJPY rose sharply to 152.30 following a rebound at EMA78. The price sustains an uptrend within the ascending channel, indicating a bullish momentum. If USDJPY breaches the channel’s upper bound and the resistance at 153.70, the price may gain upward momentum toward 157.00. Conversely, if USDJPY breaks the support at 151.00, the price may fall further to 148.50, where both EMAs coincide.
US bond bloodbath powers USD/JPY above key levelHigher US Treasury yields has propelled USD/JPY through the 200DMA and 151.95, the latter an important technical level corresponding with prior episodes of Bank of Japan intervention.
If it manages to hold above 151.95, traders could consider buying the break with a tight stop either below it or the 200DMA for protection. There's little visible resistance evident until above 155, and even then it's minor. 155.40 is one potential target.
Given yield differentials between the US and Japan, you could argue USD/JPY should be higher based on where it traded earlier this year when spreads sat at similar levels.
GBP/USD: Is the Dollar Weakness Back?After a brief two-day recovery, GBP/USD reversed course on Monday, losing 0.5% and continuing to show signs of weakness on Tuesday morning, trading slightly below the 1.3000 level. Market sentiment was cautious at the beginning of the week due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which bolstered demand for the US Dollar as a safe haven. The US economic calendar features the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for October, though it is not expected to significantly impact the market. Additionally, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will deliver a speech at the Bloomberg Global Regulatory Forum in New York, but without expected comments on monetary policy, the event could have a minimal effect on the pound.
The next important data releases for GBP/USD will be on Thursday, with the preliminary PMI Manufacturing and Services Index data for the UK and the US, which could provide further direction for the pair. It is also worth noting that on Tuesday, the market closed the day with a doji candle, opening up a potential bullish opportunity. We will see if today, during the London session, the market provides a clear confirmation to go long.
Happy trading, and have a great day!
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 152.59
1st Support: 150.36
1st Resistance: 154.71
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USDJPY ready to solve H&S
🚨 USD/JPY Technical Outlook 🚨
- Price nearing a key resistance at **152.00** 📊
- Possible rejection could send the pair lower to:
- **145.54** 📉
- **139.71** 📉
- **131.98** 🛑 (Major support)
Multiple bearish signals on indicators 📉—reversal might be ahead! Watch closely for potential short setups.
#forex #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #forextrading #tradingview #bearish #forexsignals
USD/JPY Technical Outlook - Multiple bearish signals on indicato🚨 USD/JPY Technical Outlook 🚨
- Price nearing a key resistance at 152.00 📊
- Possible rejection could send the pair lower to:
- 145.54 📉
- 139.71 📉
- 131.98 🛑 (Major support)
Multiple bearish signals on indicators 📉—reversal might be ahead! Watch closely for potential short setups.
#forex #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #forextrading #tradingview #bearish #forexsignals
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USD/JPY Weekly Chart Analysis:
- The pair is currently at a critical level near 152.00.
- Key resistance at 152.00 could lead to a rejection, with downside targets at:
- 145.54 (first target)
- 139.71 (second target)
- 131.98 (long-term support)
- Indicators show multiple bearish signals, suggesting potential reversals.
Stay cautious of volatility around these levels.
#forex #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #trading #forexsignals
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USDJPY - 4hrs ( buy Trade Target Range 240 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name : USD/JPY
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Long ) Break Out Done
Type : Mid Term Swing
———————————
Bullish Break
151.000 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible range Lvn
- Pattern Break
- Daily / weekly high
- Fibo Golden
Bearish Reversal
153.850 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level / D
- Visible Range Hvn
- Fibo Golden
- Year High Area
- Choch / Inner
USD/JPY Broke D Res Area , Be Reay To Buy It And Get 200 Pips !We have a very good Daily closure above our daily res , so we have a very good chance to buy this pair with retest to this broken res area and targeting 200 pips .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: (READ DESCRIPTION)USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Expected
Pivot Point: 150.45
The pivot point at 150.45 serves as a key level of support for USD/JPY. As long as the price holds above this level, bullish momentum is anticipated.
Our Preference: Long Positions
Recommended Trade:
Long positions are favored as long as the price stays above the 150.45 pivot point. This sets up the potential for upward movement toward resistance levels.
Target Levels for Upside Movement:
First Target: 151.10
This is the immediate resistance level where traders may take profits or evaluate a continuation of the bullish momentum.
Second Target: 151.60
If the first target is surpassed, the pair could extend its gains toward the 151.60 level, signaling further bullish movement.
Alternative Scenario: Downside Risks
If the price falls below 150.45:
Bearish Outlook:
First Target: 150.10
Second Target: 149.70
These levels represent potential support zones in case of a bearish reversal.
Technical Insights:
RSI Indicator:
The RSI is mixed but leans bullish, suggesting the potential for further upside if momentum builds. Traders should keep an eye on this indicator for confirmation of a stronger move.
Levels discussed on 22nd October Livestream22nd October
DXY: retracing, testing 103.80 support level, needs to stay above 103.60, to continue uptrend to 104.20.
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6015 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Stays below 0.67, Sell 0.6680 SL 20 TP 60
GBPUSD: Retracing, Look to test and reject trendline, Sell 1.3025 SL 20 TP 50
EURUSD: Look for reaction at 1.0780 support level or 1.0870 resistance level
USDJPY: Buy 151.15 SL 40 TP 65
USDCHF: Sell 0.8630 SL 10 TP 20
USDCAD: Buy 1.3860 SL 20 TP 60
Gold: Look for retracement possibly to 2715, buy on dip, for 2750 target
USDJPY Will Go Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 150.710.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 148.225 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EUR/USD: Watch for the Rebound!EUR/USD began the week on a bearish note, hitting 12-week lows near 1.0800 as the US dollar remains strong, supported by solid economic fundamentals and rising US yields. Key support levels are at 1.0811 and 1.0775, while major resistance is seen at 1.0930 and 1.1040. The macroeconomic backdrop favors the dollar, with the Fed remaining cautious on rate cuts, and the ECB, despite a recent rate cut, facing weak growth and declining inflation. A drop below 1.0800 could accelerate losses, while a recovery above 1.0875 would be the first positive signal.
USD/JPY Breakout: Potential Long Opportunity at New SupportIn the 1-hour time frame, USD/JPY has broken through resistance and is now forming a new support zone, marked in green. My idea is that if the price pulls back to this new support zone, buyers could step in again, pushing the price higher. This could present a good opportunity to enter a long position as the market may rebound from this level.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 22, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) appreciated against its US counterpart during Tuesday's Asian session, partially recovering from the previous day's decline to its lowest level since late July. The recent verbal intervention from the Japanese authorities, coupled with a slight deterioration in global risk sentiment, have been instrumental in providing support to the safe-haven yen. However, the potential for gains for the yen is constrained by uncertainty surrounding the timing and pace of further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
Meanwhile, concerns over the possibility of a widening budget deficit following the US presidential election on 5 November and bets on a less aggressive easing policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have pushed US Treasury yields to their highest levels in almost three months. This could result in significant appreciation of the Japanese Yen being contained. In addition, the underlying bullish tone on the US Dollar (USD) supports the prospects of some dip-buying in the USD/JPY pair.
Trade recommendation: Trading predominantly Buy orders from the current price level.
USDJPYUSDJPY price is near the resistance zone 151.01-151.54. If the price cannot break through the 151.54 level, it is expected that the price will have a chance to go down in the short term. Consider selling the red zone.
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USD, yields surge on Fed pushback, Trump rebound After just one day of retracing on Friday, the USD bull regained momentum on Monday thanks to Fed members continuing to push back on aggressive easing. Markets are also pricing in a Trump win with some polls suggesting he is ahead in three key states and some bookies even touting for him to win. In the current climate, USD/JPY could be at 152 before we know it.
MS