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USDJPY

USDJPY Will Go Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 148.992. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 147.011 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Usdjpy sell zoneThis is a USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen) 1-hour timeframe technical analysis from FXCM, indicating a sell trade setup with the following details: 1. Resistance Level: Identified around 149.546, marked in yellow. This is the level where price is expected to face selling pressure. 2. Entry Point: Around 148.990, which aligns with a key resistance zone. 3. Target Level: 147.459, representing the expected price drop where traders may take profit. 4. Market Outlook: The analysis suggests a bearish setup, expecting price rejection from the resistance zone and a downward move toward the support level. 5. Price Action Strategy: The price is likely to consolidate near resistance before making a decisive move downward. This setup signals a potential short (sell) opportunity, anticipating that USD/JPY will decline after hitting resistance, making it favorable for sellers.
Long
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
USDJPY Short Idea - 4H ChartThe USDJPY pair is currently facing resistance at a key supply zone near 150.90 - 151.10, aligning with previous structural resistance and a 200 EMA rejection. The price recently made a lower high within a downtrend, indicating further bearish momentum. Trade Setup: 🔹 Entry: Look for bearish confirmation in the 150.90 - 151.10 supply zone. 🔹 Stop Loss: Above 151.20, beyond recent highs to avoid stop hunts. 🔹 Target: The next demand zone around 148.80 - 149.00, a key support area tested previously. The bias remains bearish as long as price stays below the 200 EMA and fails to break the resistance zone. A rejection from this level could lead to a continuation of the current downtrend. 📉 Watch for: Rejection patterns, bearish engulfing candles, or confirmation from lower timeframes before entering a short position. 🔔 Stay patient and manage risk accordingly! 🚀
Short
by SanchoAT
USD/JPY probability assessment of the next price movement:From analyzing the USD/JPY charts across different timeframes, here is a structured probability assessment of the next price movement: Market Structure Overview: Bearish Trend on Higher Timeframes (4H & 1D) The market has been trending downward, breaking previous lows. A clear Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChOCH) suggest bearish control. Discount Zones are marked, showing potential reaction areas. Liquidity & Order Flow Price is currently near a discount zone on the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H). Premium zones are visible on higher timeframes, meaning a retracement could happen before further downside. Key Levels: Resistance Zones: 151.000 - 152.000 Support Zones: 148.000 - 148.350 Equilibrium Levels: Around 150.000 Probability Scenarios: Bearish Continuation (65% Probability) Price is forming lower highs and lower lows. If price fails to break above 150.000 convincingly, a further decline to 148.350 - 148.000 is likely. BOS confirms continued bearish momentum. Bullish Retracement (35% Probability) If price reacts strongly at the discount area, a push toward 150.500 - 151.000 before continuing lower is possible. Confirmation required: A higher low formation and BOS in lower timeframes (15m, 30m). Trading Plan: Short (Sell) Plan - Higher Probability Entry: Around 149.500 - 150.000 (If price shows rejection) Confirmations Needed: Rejection from supply zone + bearish price action (e.g., bearish engulfing) Stop Loss: Above 150.500 Take Profit: 148.350 (1st target), 148.000 (2nd target) Risk-to-Reward: 1:3 Long (Buy) Plan - Lower Probability Entry: 148.350 - 148.000 (If price shows bullish reaction) Confirmations Needed: Strong bullish candles + BOS on lower timeframes Stop Loss: Below 147.800 Take Profit: 150.000 (1st target), 151.000 (2nd target) Risk-to-Reward: 1:3 Final Summary Table Scenario Probability Key Level to Watch SL TP Bearish Continuation 65% 149.500 - 150.000 150.500 148.350 - 148.000 Bullish Retracement 35% 148.350 - 148.000 147.800 150.000 - 151.000 📌 Conclusion: The market remains bearish unless a strong reversal structure forms. Best trade is to wait for a short entry around 149.500 - 150.000 and target 148.350 first. A bullish move is possible but needs confirmation. 🚀 ​
Short
by wizzywise1
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 4, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today: 16:15 EET. JPY - BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda Speaks USDJPY: On Tuesday, the Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened for the second consecutive day, reaching a multi-month high against the US dollar (USD) last week. The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) hawkish policy outlook continues to support the JPY, while concerns over the economic consequences of US President Donald Trump's tariff policy have led to a decrease in investor appetite for risky assets and contributed to the yen's strength. Trump's threats regarding Japan's currency depreciation, as well as the low dynamics of US dollar (USD) prices, are other factors exerting downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair. JPY bulls have not been affected by weak macroeconomic data from Japan, which showed an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate and a drop in corporate capital spending for the first time in three years. This suggests that the yen's value may continue to rise. Trade recommendation: SELL 149.000, SL 149.800, TP 148.200
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/JPY testing THIS key resistance ahead of US dataAfter rising in the last three sessions, the USD/JPY was up again today, testing a key resistance area between 151.00 to 151.35. This is a massive resistance zone, having previously provided support. With Japanese yields on rise again, I wouldn't be surprised if the UJ were to resume lower from here. If so, watch for a possible bounce at 150.00. If 150.00 then gives way decisively, we could see a new low below the double bottom low of 148.65ish. The key risk to this bearish forecast if the upcoming US economic data today and later this week, with ISM Manufacturing PMI up next. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Short
by FOREXcom
USDJPY - Potential upside from here?USD/JPY is currently consolidating within a range after a sharp downtrend from the 159.00 level. The price has established support around 148.50-149.00, forming a clear pattern. We're now waiting for a decisive break above the current consolidation area, which would signal renewed bullish momentum. Once we see this breakout, expect a minor retracement to retest the broken resistance as new support – this will be our key buying opportunity. With the descending trendline already broken and the forecast indicating potential upside to the 154.00 area, traders should focus on buy positions following this retracement, with stops below the support zone.
Long
by financialflagship
EUR/USD Bearish Outlook – Key Levels & Trade Setups📊 Technical Analysis EUR/USD Timeframe: Likely Weekly (1W) Current Price: ~1.0416 📉 Bearish Context: Key Resistance: 1.05290 This zone has been tested multiple times without a breakout, indicating strong selling pressure. It aligns with a liquidity area visible in the red rectangle. Also near the yellow moving average (likely 50 or 100 periods), acting as dynamic resistance. Key Support: 1.02838 Marked in blue as a potential short-term target. A level that previously provided support and may attract buyers again. 📉 Current Scenario: The price has rejected the 1.0529 resistance with a strong bearish candle. A breakdown from the gray zone suggests a potential continuation downward. If selling pressure persists, the 1.02838 target could be reached. 📈 Potential Trading Strategies: 🔻 Short Scenario (Bearish Bias): Entry: Below 1.0430 after confirmation with a daily bearish close. Target 1: 1.02838 Target 2: Below 1.0200 (depending on price action). Stop Loss: Above 1.0500 (to avoid false breakouts). 🔼 Long Scenario (Less Likely Bullish Setup): Entry: Confirmed bounce above 1.02838 with a strong reversal candle. Target: Retest of 1.0529, with a stop below 1.0280. 📌 Final Considerations: The current structure favors a short-term bearish continuation. Key areas (support and resistance) will be crucial for the next move. Watch for macroeconomic data and volatility, as they could impact the trend.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Could the price drop from here?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 151.18 1st Support: 147.17 1st Resistance: 154.79 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
USDJPY analysis week 10Fundamental Analysis The Japanese Yen (JPY) continued to weaken against the US Dollar (USD), pushing the USD/JPY pair above the psychological 150.00 level in late US trading on Friday. Japanese government bond (JGB) yields fell after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s government cut its fiscal 2025 budget plan. However, any meaningful depreciation in the JPY appears to be far off after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) increasingly accepted that it would continue to raise interest rates this year. Furthermore, USD bulls may refrain from placing aggressive bets and opt to wait for the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting path. Technical Analysis USDJPY is heading towards the technical resistance level of 151.200 where sellers are waiting quite a bit. When sellers in this 151,200 price zone cannot push below 150,100, the uptrend will continue to be maintained to the weekly target around 152,200. Note that the weekly support zone of 149,400, if broken, will form a long-term downtrend chain of this currency pair.
by TVS-Trader
1
USDJPY H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 150.04, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 151.15, which is a pullback resistance close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 148.96, which is a multi-swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 151.26 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 152.20 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that is slightly 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 150.05 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY Channel Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/JPY pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 153.90 2nd Resistance – 155.60 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5