USD/JPY Chart Analysis: Bears May Take ControlUSD/JPY Chart Analysis: Bears May Take Control
As shown in today’s USD/JPY chart, the US dollar has gained over 3.6% against the yen since the start of the month. Yesterday, the exchange rate surpassed the peak formed on 16 August around the 149.40 level, marking a 10-week high.
The bullish sentiment towards the US dollar has been influenced by increased market confidence in the Federal Reserve’s patient approach to further monetary easing, as reported by Reuters.
Can the USD/JPY rise continue?
From a technical analysis perspective, bears have a chance to take control, as the rate is nearing a resistance zone formed by:
→ the upper boundary of the descending channel (shown in red);
→ the psychological level of 150 yen per dollar.
Additional arguments supporting the potential for a bearish reversal include:
→ the price decline after briefly exceeding the 16 August peak (a possible false bullish breakout);
→ divergence on the RSI indicator.
The release of the US CPI data today at 15:30 GMT+3 could serve as a catalyst for a bearish move. The resulting price action will provide traders with important insights on whether the market is nearing the end of an intermediate recovery (shown with blue lines) within the descending channel (shown in red).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDJPY
Japanese Stocks Have Room for More Upside?Do Japanese stocks have room for move upside? It has been one of the best-performing markets since COVID.
And what is the key reason for this rally? A falling Yen.
Where is the Yen heading and do the Japanese stocks have room for more upside?
Nikkei (JPY) Futures
Ticker: NIY
Minimum fluctuation:
5.00 index points = ¥2500
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USD/JPY H4 | Potential RSI Bearish DivergenceUSD/JPY is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 149.27 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 151.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 147.17 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Usdjpy signal 149.00
USD/JPY defends 149.00, stalling its retracement from the highest level since mid-August at 149.36. The BoJ rate hikes uncertainty and a generally positive risk tone cap gains for the safe-haven Japanese Yen while traders look to the US CPI data for fresh impetus.
Confirm signal
Could price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 140.43
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 150.90
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 147.15
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/JPY eyes break of 150 and 200-day MA retestThe recovery from 140 has been nothing short of impressive. The daily RSI is confirming the rising prices on the daily chart, and momentum suggests USD/JPY wants to head for the 200-day MA around the 151 handle.
There are some concerns that that inflation could pick up due to the hot NFP report, so we may find that pre-emptive bets prompt a break of the August high to bring 150 into focus. Even if prices retrace lower first, dips are preferred and the bias is for an eventual move to 151.
USDJPY / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE AND FVG / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Action , Prices are currently trading below the supply zone between 148.623 and 149.360 , The next target seems to be the demand zone (A) between 147.164 and 146.062.
Potential Outcomes , If prices reach the demand zone (A) and hold above it, a bullish reversal may occur, potentially pushing prices back toward the supply zone ,If prices break below demand zone (A), they may drop to the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone (B) between 145.321 and 144.268.
Further Movements , If prices stabilize below zone (B), the next targets would be zone (C) around 142.817 and further down to 141.801 , Conversely, if prices stabilize above demand zone (A), it indicates potential upward momentum, aiming back toward supply zone 148.623 to 149.360.
Supply Zone : 148.623 and 149.360.
Demand Zone : 147.164 and 146.062 , 142.817 and 141.801.
FVG :145.321 and 144.268.
The #1 Reason I Was Wrong About AUDJPY Or CHFJPY...AGAIN!!I was wrong about the FX_IDC:AUDJPY
again..because
I was trying to find the right
forex trading system
to not only make money but also
manage my personal stress
-
Listen as of now am using a FREE account
on Tradingview
So most of these trades will
be long-term
trading options.
Until I am able to get a
paid subscription
on trading view.
-
Long-term term trades are
very good for
beginners
because it slows down
the fast pace trading
-
And allows you to learn
more if you
are using proper risk
management
-
This forex trade FX_IDC:CHFJPY sadly
is a 7-month move
at best 3 months.
-
Maybe later on when I upgrade to
trading view essential I might be
able to really develop
a trading system for day trades.
-
Honestly, day trading does have a cost to it
There is no way around it
you have to pay to play in
day trading.
-
Including mid-term trades such
as 3-month holds
or 1 month holds.
This buy signal is a 7-month hold.
This means you have to calculate your risk
management strategy well.
These past few days I have been battling
With my trading systems because
I really wanted to design a
day trading system
But all I can manage right now
are long-term trades.
My hope is that you will continue
to follow and learn from these
long term trades
Now will this reduce my
popularity sadly yes.
But with my long term
trading signals, I think
I will be able to attract the
right type of people
Who have an investing mindset
also its safer to trade
long-term {7 months]
than short-term gains.
So don't feel discouraged if you
are looking for short-term gains.
If that's you then this
recommendation
and my other recommendations
will never suit you
because all my trades
will be now
focussed on me finding the best
Long-term trades.
Using the rocket booster strategy
which has the following 3 steps:
#1-The price should be above the 50 EMA
#2-The price should be above the 200 EMA
#3-The price should be in an uptrend
This is a strategy of trading
and I hope it will
serve you well.
Remember if you
want to learn more
rocket boost this content
Disclaimer: Trading is risky you
will lose money whether you like it or not
please learn risk management
and profit-taking strategies.
:
USDJPY - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 360 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name : USD/JPY
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Long / )
Type : Mid Term Swing
———————————
Bullish Break
148.850 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range lvn
- Channel Break
- Counter Trend Line
- Week High
Bearish Reversal
153.850 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level / D
- Visible Range Hvn
- Fibo Golden
- Year High Area
- Choch / Inner
USDJPY Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 USDJPY is exhibiting a bullish trend on the higher time frames, and I'm closely monitoring for a potential buying opportunity, contingent on key conditions outlined in the video. We’ll cover the crucial price action signals to watch and how to position yourself to capitalize on the next move. Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
Will the revealed labor data continue to support USDJPY?Macro theme:
- The latest Sep NFP, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings have all surpassed market expectations. As a result, the CME FedWatch Tool shows that the 32% probability of a 0.50% rate cut in November has been eliminated, shifting the odds toward a likely rate freeze instead.
- Japan's newly appointed economic minister expressed support for further interest rate hikes as long as they do not destabilize the economy or markets, signalling confidence in the BoJ's approach.
- The yen's outlook remains uncertain, influenced by the robust US labor market and ambiguity surrounding the BoJ's potential rate hikes.
Technical theme:
- USDJPY quickly recovered from the previous downtrend and closed above both EMAs, indicating a solid upward momentum.
- If USDJPY extends its gain to close above 149.25, USDJPY may retest the resistance around 152.00.
- On the contrary, a failure to close above 149.25 may prompt a temporary correction within 147.30-149.25 until an apparent breakout occurs.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
USD/JPY "GOPHER" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Hola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist USD/JPY "GOPHER" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4H timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
USDJPY Set to Surge Higher – Targeting 150.00?Dear traders!
USDJPY is currently maintaining a fairly steady uptrend, hovering around 147.64 despite a slight 0.34% adjustment downwards during the day. In my personal view, this correction is largely due to the pair encountering the upper boundary of the short-term rising channel. However, upon closer inspection, technical factors such as the rising wedge and the EMA 34.89 remain strong, indicating that the appeal of this pair is far from over.
Considering these factors, Ben’s personal opinion is that USDJPY will likely continue its upward momentum, with a potential target around 150.00.
Wishing you all successful and prosperous trading!
GOLD BULLISH TO $2,706 (1H UPDATE)If you lot remember on my last analysis I said I see 2 options for Gold, on how it'll move up towards $2,700. One option was it carries on moving up slowly from CMP towards $2,7000 & the other option was to see a 3 Sub-Wave correction towards$2,600 - $2,590. This'll then be followed by Wave V to the upside.
Right now I am leaning more towards option 2 & waiting for a downside retracement (Wave 4) before buying. This Wave 4 will liquidate all late buyers & trap new sellers, before Gold moves up again.
GOLD BULLISH TO $2,706 (1H UPDATE)Gold has successfully dropped down towards our second POI! Could possibly see price drop a little lower, but overall we are in a good buying zone. I will let price settle in the next day or 2 & allow it to form good market structure, in order for me to buy into.
We've seen a 3 Sub-Wave correction (A,B,C) for Wave IV. Now time for Wave V bull run!
USDJPY Waiting for this perfect sell opportunity.Two weeks ago (September 25, see chart below) we gave a strong multi-month buy signal on the USDJPY pair and it couldn't have had a better timing:
Last week recorded a massive 1W green candle, the strongest one in more than 2 years that almost tested the 1W MA50. Today we will be breaking down this long-term buy opportunity on the lower 1D time-frame.
As you can see, the price is approaching the 1D MA100 (green trend-line)/ 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) Resistance cluster. This is of very high importance as during the previous Channel Up bottom in early 2023, the two formed a Bearish Cross (February 27 2023) and just a few days later the pair topped and was rejected on the 1D MA200.
The result was a pull-back to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. Long-term we remain bullish but on the short-term we will be waiting for this rejection opportunity in order to short and target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at 146.000.
Notice also that the high symmetry on the RSI sequences among the two bottom fractals also indicates that we are just before the 1D MA100/ 200 Bearish Cross took place.
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USD/JPY Under Pressure Below Resistance at $149.066The USD/JPY chart shows the formation of a key trend with the price fluctuating around $147.712, just below the strong resistance level at $149.066. If this resistance fails to break, USD/JPY may reverse and correct towards key support levels at $146.163 or even deeper at $143.432.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines provide stable support, but selling pressure is weighing heavily on the price. A breakout scenario will require strong confirmation from technical factors, while investors should closely monitor key economic news from the U.S., which could cause significant market volatility.
At present, technical factors combined with the short-term downtrend could continue to push the price lower unless a strong breakout from buyers occurs.
USD/JPY soars as rate hike hopes chilledThe yen has stabilized after massive losses last week. In the North American session, the USD/JPY is trading at 148.03 at the time of writing, up 0.45%.
The yen is coming off a spectacularly bad week with a 4.5% decline. This marked the yen’s worst week since 2020, during the covid pandemic. The sharp decline was driven by the political drama in Japan, which included the election of Shigeru Ishiba as the new prime minister. Ishiba has supported the Bank of Japan tightening policy in the past, but he has taken a U-turn on monetary policy since being elected prime minister.
Ishiba may have shifted his stance in order to avoid any divisive issues, such as raising interest rates, ahead of the snap election on October 27. The election will be followed by the next BoJ meeting on October 31, with the BoJ expected to maintain its policy settings.
On Wednesday, Ishiba met with BoJ Governor Ueda and said that Japan did not need to raise rates further. In a speech to parliament on Friday, Ishiba pledged to defeat deflation, a message which signaled a continuation of “Abenomics”, which advocates an accommodative policy. The yen slid 1.1% on Friday as expectations for a rate hike have evaporated.
Ishiba’s dovish stance and comments by BoJ officials that it the Bank will be extremely cautious before raising rates has dashed expectations for a near-term rate hike and made the Japanese currency less attractive to investors.
The US labor market surprised to the upside, as September nonfarm payrolls surged by 254 thousand, up from a revised 159 thousand in August and blowing past the market estimate of 140 thousand. This was the strongest job report in six months. The unemployment rate dipped lower to 4.1%, compared to 4.2% in August and below the market estimate of 4.2%. The markets have raised the odds of a 25-basis point cut at the Fed November meeting to 87%, compared to 65% one week ago.
USD/JPY tested support at 147.89 earlier. Below, there is support at 146.78
There is resistance at 149.86 and 150.97
NEW IDEA FOR USDJPYExamining the trend in the one-hour time frame, it seems that USD/JPY has formed a HEAD&SHOULDERS pattern in addition to crossing the bearish Kumo cloud of the Ichimoku indicator, and now there is a possibility that the price will reach the height of the head of the pattern, provided that it holds and Failure to record any four-hour close candle time below the important support interval in the range of 145.95-146.50 can increase the price up to the 2.41% Fibo range at 153.37.
USDJPY and GBPJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY "GOPHER" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Hallo! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist USD/JPY "GOPHER" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂