USDJPY Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 143.738.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 144.878.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDJPY
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 23, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to lose ground for the third consecutive session on Monday in trading diluted by holidays. This downward movement could be influenced by growing concerns that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is in no hurry to raise interest rates.
The BoJ kept its interest rate target range of 0.15-0.25% at its meeting on Friday. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda emphasized that the central bank “will continue to adjust the level of monetary policy easing as necessary to achieve our economic and inflation targets.” Ueda recognized that while Japan's economy is showing a moderate recovery, there are still signs of weakness.
The US dollar (USD) continues to rise as Treasury yields recover their losses. However, the dollar could face challenges due to growing expectations of additional rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2024. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in a 50 percent chance of a 50 basis point rate cut to a range of 4.0-4.25 percent by the end of this year.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 144.000, if the level is fixed below consider Sell position, if the level rebounds consider Buy position.
USD-JPY Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY is going up now
And we are seeing a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 143.660 and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further move up
Buy!
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USDJPY H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 145.56, which is a pullback resistance close to a 50% Fibonacci retracement and 161.8% Fibonacci Extension
Our take profit will be at 143.74, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be at 147.20, a swing-high resistance level.
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Gold 1HR Intra-Day Chart 23.09.2024My current bias for the start of the week is that Gold will start dropping towards $2,600 - $2,590.
Price should find support between this zone and buyers will then have enough liquidity to come back into the market. This should then push Gold towards a new ATH of $2,640 - $2,640 where we should see final exhaustion.
USDJPY Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
USDJPY LONG TRADE IDEAUSDJPY Forecast For This Week(23 Sep-27 Sep 24 & NEXT WEEK ALSO)
1. Price Took Support From a Major Level of 140(Psych Level)
2. Consolidation of around 2 Weeks
3. Inverted Head & Shoulder Kind of Setup
4. Breakout above Neckline
5. Favourable Risk Reward to Upside
Buy Above @144 Level SL 143.50-143.40
Target 1 - @ 146.00 Target 2 @ 147.00 & Target 3 @149.00 OANDA:USDJPY
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 23-27 USD EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPYThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast for SEPT 23-27th.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY
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USDJPY Bullish Outlook?Conan, hello everyone!
After a long period of decline, USDJPY has ended the trading day with a gain, currently trading at 143.85.
It can be seen on almost all timeframes that UJ is making significant gains, indicating a very positive outlook for price growth.
With UJ continuing to trade steadily at this high level, it is likely that the 142.80 price level will be retested in the near future, forming a trend line and using it as a strong support level for further increases. The current expected price level is 144.00 and then 147.00.
USDJPY Analysis: Potential Bullish Bias for the Upcoming Week!USDJPY Analysis: Potential Bullish Bias for the Upcoming Week (Sept 23-29, 2024)
As we look ahead to the coming week, USDJPY appears poised for a potential slightly bullish bias. This outlook is based on a confluence of fundamental factors and current market conditions that favor USD strength relative to the Japanese yen. Below is a breakdown of key drivers supporting this outlook, along with insights that could influence price action.
1. Federal Reserve's Hawkish Stance
One of the key drivers for a potential bullish bias in USDJPY next week is the persistent hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve. Although the Fed opted to pause rate hikes in September, policymakers have indicated that they are open to further tightening if inflationary pressures persist. Recent inflation data in the U.S. showed a slight uptick in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), suggesting that the Fed may still consider additional rate hikes in 2024. Higher U.S. interest rates would continue to bolster the U.S. dollar, driving demand for USDJPY as traders seek yield differentials.
2. Bank of Japan's Dovish Policy
In stark contrast to the Fed, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains committed to its ultra-loose monetary policy, including negative interest rates and yield curve control. The BoJ's dovish approach continues to weigh on the Japanese yen, especially in an environment where other major central banks are tightening monetary policy. While some market participants expect the BoJ to consider policy changes in the future, there have been no concrete signals indicating a shift in the near term. This widening policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ is a key factor supporting a bullish outlook for USDJPY.
3. Safe Haven Demand Waning
The yen is traditionally viewed as a safe-haven asset, particularly during periods of global market volatility. However, recent market stability, coupled with optimism surrounding global growth prospects, has reduced demand for the yen as a haven. As risk sentiment improves, investors are more likely to allocate capital into higher-yielding assets, which could further weaken the yen.
Moreover, geopolitical tensions that previously supported yen demand have eased slightly, making USDJPY more likely to drift higher in a low-risk environment.
4. U.S. Treasury Yields Rising
Another factor contributing to the bullish bias in USDJPY is the rise in U.S. Treasury yields. Higher yields on U.S. government bonds make the dollar more attractive to foreign investors, adding upward pressure to USDJPY. The correlation between USDJPY and U.S. Treasury yields is well-documented, and as yields rise, so too does the currency pair. Traders will be closely monitoring U.S. economic data next week, including durable goods orders and GDP figures, to gauge the potential for further yield increases.
5. Technical Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels
From a technical perspective, USDJPY is trading within a well-defined range, but with a slight bullish bias as long as it holds above key support at the 147.50 level. A break above the psychological 150.00 level could open the door to further upside, with resistance seen at 151.50. On the downside, failure to hold above 147.50 could lead to a test of lower levels around 146.00. Momentum indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), are currently neutral but leaning slightly toward overbought territory, suggesting room for further gains before a pullback.
6. U.S. Economic Data Next Week
Next week, market participants will pay close attention to several high-impact economic reports out of the U.S., including the Durable Goods Orders on Tuesday and GDP Growth on Thursday. Positive readings on these metrics could fuel further gains in USDJPY, reinforcing the bullish bias. Conversely, any disappointing data could dampen USD strength and lead to some consolidation in the pair.
Conclusion
Given the combination of hawkish signals from the Fed, the BoJ's ongoing dovish stance, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and waning safe-haven demand, USDJPY appears to have a slightly bullish bias heading into next week. Traders should watch for any shifts in risk sentiment or unexpected economic data that could alter this outlook. The key levels to watch are 147.50 for support and 150.00 for resistance.
Keywords: USDJPY forecast, USDJPY bullish, USDJPY analysis, Bank of Japan policy, Federal Reserve rate hikes, U.S. Treasury yields, Japanese yen, safe-haven demand, forex trading, USDJPY technical analysis, USDJPY key levels, USDJPY next week, trading USDJPY.
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 144.500 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 144.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
#USDJPY 1DAYUSD/JPY 1-Day Chart Analysis:
Buy Opportunity on Trendline Breakout
We are observing the USD/JPY currency pair on the 1-day chart, where a potential buy opportunity is emerging. The price is approaching a key trendline, which has acted as resistance in previous sessions. A breakout above this trendline could signal a shift in momentum and indicate a bullish trend.
Key Points:
1Trendline Resistance: The trendline has been established by connecting recent highs, and a successful breakout would suggest strong buying interest.
2.Confirmation Needed: Traders should look for confirmation, such as a close above the trendline with increased volume, to validate the breakout.
3.Target Levels: Once the breakout is confirmed, potential target levels could be set at recent swing highs or key Fibonacci retracement levels.
4.Risk Management: It’s important to set a stop-loss just below the breakout point to manage risk in case the market reverses.
Overall, if USD/JPY breaks above the trendline with strong momentum, it presents a favorable buy opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on potential upward movement.
USD/JPY higher on the week despite Fed's 50 bps cutDespite the Fed's outsized rate cut in mid-week, the USD/JPY and other yen crosses have rebounded this week.
The yen has been undermined by the ongoing risk-on trade in equities space. Today saw JPY fall further after the BoJ turned out to be more dovish at its rate decision and press conference than expected.
As a result, the USD/JPY is on the verge of potentially forming a bullish engulfing weekly candle, after finding good support from around the key 140.00 level.
This week's bullish price action suggests that the prior selling pressure may be over, allowing the pair to potentially climb back towards the 146.50 resistance level in the week ahead.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
USDJPY: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
USDJPY
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell USDJPY
Entry - 144.35
Stop - 145.37
Take - 143.27
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USD/JPY surges as Bank of Japan stays patThe US dollar has posted sharp gains on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.85, up 0.88% at the time of writing. The yen hit a 14-month high on Monday but the dollar has rebounded and is up 2.1% this week. It’s an unusually quiet Friday with no US events on the calendar.
The Bank of Japan held its rate decision just after the Federal Reserve, but there was little drama at the BoJ meeting. The markets had expected that central bank to maintain rates at “around 0.25%” and the BoJ didn’t provide any clues about future hikes. The rate statement didn’t reveal much, stating that the economy had “recovered moderately” but some weakness remained.
The statement noted concern over “developments in financial and foreign exchange market and their impact on Japan’s economic activity and prices”. Governor Ueda said last month that the BoJ would raise rate if the economy and inflation were in line with the Bank’s projections. If key data, particularly inflation, is stronger than expected in the coming weeks, we could see a rate hike at the October meeting.
With inflation in the US largely under control, the Federal Reserve is keeping a worried eye on the labor market, as job growth as deteriorated quickly. That slide has unnerved financial markets and may have been a key factor in the Fed’s jumbo rate cut of 50 basis points this week. Thursday’s unemployment claims for the period ending Sept. 14 were better than expected, at 219 thousand. This was well below the revised 231 thousand reading a week earlier and beat the market estimate of 230 thousand.
USD/JPY pushed above resistance at 142.41 earlier. The next resistance line is 144.55
There is support at 142.41 and 141.00
USDJPY - at most expensive supporting area, holds or not??#USDJPY.. well guys market just dropped and reached near to his one of the most important supporting area of the year.
that is 141.10
keep close that supporting area because that is only hope for buyers. any kind of weakness below that will be very expensive for buyers and for Japan as well.
one thing is keep in mind that below 141.00 cut n reverse will be a good option on confirmation.
don't be lazy here.
good luck
trade wisely
Friday's Livestream Analysis20th September
DXY: Currently at 100.60 consolidating , should trade lower, to 100.20 and could test 100 round number level.
NZDUSD: Buy 0.6260 SL 20 TP 70
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6840 SL 20 TP 50
GBPUSD: Buy 1.3320 SL 25 TP 115
EURUSD: Sell 1.1190 SL 20 TP 40
USDJPY: Sell 143.30 SL 40 TP 100
USDCHF: Sell 0.8430 SL 20 TP 40
USDCAD: Sell 1.3585 SL 25 TP 50
Gold: Broke above 2600. needs to breach 2610 to get to 2620
USDJPYUSDJPY If the price can stay above the support level at 139.87, it is expected that the price will have a chance to test the 143.70 and 144.83 levels. Consider buying in the red zone.
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USD/JPY Analysis: Support in PlayUSD/JPY is currently trading just above a significant support level.
We could see a potential bounce from here, leading to upward movement.
However, if the price breaks below this support, it might retest the next support level below.
This area is critical, as it could set the stage for the next move. Watch for price action
confirmation to determine the direction.