Levels discussed on livestream 17th September 17th September
DXY: Ranging between 100.60 and 100.90
NZDUSD: Buy 0.6220 SL 25 TP 50 (Hesitation at 0.6245)
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6740 SL 20 TP 40
GBPUSD: Look for test and reject of resistance area, Sell 1.32 SL 30 TP 80 (COUNTER TREND)
EURUSD: Buy 1.1145 SL 20 TP 55
USDJPY: (IHS) Buy 141.55 SL 60 TP 180
Trend Following: Sell 140.10 SL 30 TP 70
USDCHF: Sell 0.8420 SL 30 TP 45
USDCAD: Ranging 1.3565 and 1.36
Gold: Currently at 2584, could trade higher to 2600
USDJPY
USD/JPY- Correction Phase with Potential TargetsThe main trend for USD/JPY is down, but the price is currently in a correction. We expect the secondary trend to continue. In the H1 timeframe, the wave structure suggests a higher high is likely.
Target areas:
T1: 141.64
T2: 142.28
H4 Target: 143.04
Stop Loss: 140.30
USDJPY H4 | Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 140.36, which is an overlap support close to the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 141.41, which is an overlap resistance level close to the 50% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 139.60, which is a swing low support level.
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USDJPY - no sign of turning around at the moment💵USDJPY ANALYSIS 💸
- The Yen is still recovering very strongly since the USD/JPY pair fell to its lowest level in nearly 40 years at 141.95.
- The recovery is mainly supported by many interventions of the Japanese Government. Especially the support from the narrowing of the interest rate gap between Japan and the United States.
- The market is expecting the Fed to cut interest rates on Wednesday, while the BOJ will likely keep the current interest rate unchanged.
📌 TECHNICAL
- On the daily candlestick chart of USDJPY (D1), the downtrend from the price channel (a) continues and the pressure from Ema21 acts as the main resistance.
- USD/JPY has shown little reaction to the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level for now, which could be considered as the nearest technical support.
- Once USD/JPY is sold below 139.420, it will have a more bearish outlook towards 137.046 in the short term, which is the price point of the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level.
- As long as USD/JPY remains within the price channel (a) and below the 21-day EMA, the bearish bias will remain dominant, and the notable technical points for the bearish trend are listed below.
✔️ Support: 139.420 – 137.046
✔️ Resistance: 141.531 – 142.380
EUR/USD Rally: Weak Fed, Cautious ECBThe EUR/USD pair broke above the 1.1100 level due to weakness in the US dollar, driven by expectations of a rate cut by the Fed. The Dollar Index (DXY) is declining, while US and German yields have dropped. The ECB, on the other hand, has shown caution regarding future rate cuts, supporting the euro. Key resistance levels for EUR/USD are 1.1137, 1.1155, 1.1201, and 1.1275. Support lies at 1.1071, with further levels at 1.1030 and 1.1001. The RSI is near 67, suggesting a potential overbought area, but the bullish trend remains intact as long as the price stays above the 200-day moving average. If the dollar continues to weaken, EUR/USD could target 1.1155 and beyond. Conversely, a break below 1.1071 could indicate a correction toward 1.1030 and 1.1001.
USD /JPY "GOPHER" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish SideHola ola My Dear,
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This is our master plan to Heist USD /JPY "GOPHER" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
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USDJPY Technical Analysis 16/09/2024The USDJPY is giving bullish signals across different timeframes. Prices have dropped to the demand zone on the weekly chart.
At this point, the trend is no longer your friend because it has entered the "Trend Exhaustion" phase.
There is a broad RSI bullish divergence on the daily chart, supporting a potential rise.
On the 4-hour chart, a Stochastic bullish crossover has formed in the oversold zone.
Prices are likely to consolidate until the release of this week’s core retail sales report, but we are at a favorable level to begin gradual buying.
USDJPY / Bearish trend toward 138.470USDJPY Analyze
The overall trend remains bearish as long as the price stays below 141.020, with downside targets at 138.470 and potentially 137.450.
A corrective move toward the pivot line at 141.028 is possible before the bearish trend resumes. However, if the price stabilizes above 142.100 with a 4-hour candle close, a bullish move of 141.030 extends toward 143.680.
In general, if the CPI is released as expected around 2.5%, this would support a bearish trend for USD/JPY.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 140.230
Resistance Levels: 141.02, 142.10, 142.55
Support Levels: 138.470, 137.440, 136.500
Expected Range: 141.020 - 138.460
Trend: Bearish while below 141.03
previous idea:
UJ SELL idea update - STILL LOWER POSSIBLE Weekly Wave + SMC In this extension of the original UJ Sell idea with Targets below, we back out to a weekly and look at a possible Running Flat (for Wave Traders) - we go over symmetry in the markets and aggressive corrections on weekly.
Doc will show analysis for confluence and how we have targets still lower. Maybe don't 'buy the bottom yet'!!
Finally a good example of lower timeframe trendline failure and how to avoid 'getting COOKED'
Your trend is heading into a higher TF "BLOCKER" - its like a small car driving up to and then sitting on a train track.. you will get CRUSHED.
Like and Boost this idea if you get anything from it and want me to do more of these!
Happy Trading
-- Doc
Levels discussed on Livestream 16th September 16th September
DXY: Look to trade slightly lower to 100.55 support, should stay below 101 to maintain bearish
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6150 SL 15 TP 75 (Hesitation at 0.6110)
AUDUSD: Sell 0.67 SL 30 TP 60
GBPUSD: Buy 1.32 SL 20 TP 60
EURUSD: Buy 1.1145 SL 20 TP 55
USDJPY: Sell 139 SL 50 TP 100
USDCHF: Sell 0.8430 SL 40 TP 80 (Hesitation at 0.84)
USDCAD: Sell 1.3560 SL 20 TP 70
Gold: Needs to stay above 2570 to climb and test 2600 ATH round number resistance level
Forex Portfolio Selection Using Currency Strength Index (CSI)Hello Traders,
Today, I’ll share my portfolio selection approach in forex trading. This method helps identify the best forex pairs to trade based on their relative strength.
The simplest and most effective strategy is to use the Currency Strength Index (CSI), combining the H4, Daily (D1), and Weekly (W1) cumulative strength. By analyzing this data, we can identify the strongest and weakest currencies at any given time.
Once we have this information, the next step is to pair the strongest currencies with the weakest. Here are today’s portfolio selections:
BUY Pairs: GBPUSD, GBPCAD, GBPNZD
SELL Pairs: USDJPY, CADJPY, NZDJPY, USDCHF, CADCHF, NZDCHF
The key benefits of this portfolio selection process are:
A focused view on the most profitable currency pairs
An objective approach to trading decisions
Clear direction on which way to trade (buy or sell)
Like, comment by letting me know what you think and follow me for more trading education.
Happy trading!
USDJPY Long - But Don't Long Too EarlyBased on the prior price action, people are desperate to finally see some green candles. Psychologic wise they might think "it can't get even lower, it needs to reverse now". However, especially USDJPY is one of those pairs who tend to be a brutal liquidity seeker. Based on the news events this week, I believe there is a nice chance that we see a bounce, but from lower levels people are anticipating right now. We need to shift sentiment and lurk them into the wrong direction before we can have that up movement.
USD/JPY Analysis: The Rate Falls Below 140 Yen per DollarUSD/JPY Analysis: The Rate Falls Below 140 Yen per Dollar
Despite today's public holiday in Japan, yen buyers remain active.
As shown on the USD/JPY chart, today's candle low has dropped below the psychological level of 140 yen per dollar. The last time this exchange rate was seen was on 28 July 2023.
On 11 August, when analysing the USD/JPY chart, we:
→ drew a descending channel (shown in red);
→ plotted a resistance line (shown in orange);
→ predicted the possibility of a bearish attack on the 140 yen per dollar level.
Current market sentiment is influenced by:
→ comments from Bank of Japan representative Junko Nakagawa, who stated last week that interest rates will continue to rise if economic and inflation forecasts align with expectations;
→ expectations of a rate cut from the Federal Reserve. A shift towards monetary easing now seems almost inevitable, with the main question being whether the rate will be reduced by 25 or 50 basis points.
The technical analysis of the USD/JPY chart shows that the median of the descending channel acts as resistance (as indicated by the arrow). This suggests that bears remain in control. It's likely that these market sentiments will persist until Wednesday (21:00 GMT+3), when the Federal Reserve announces its decision – undoubtedly the key event of the week.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDJPY - BREAKING STRAIGHT CHANNEL - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
overall , under downward pressure , until trading below straight channel
Currently, prices are trading below the straight trend channel, indicating downward pressure. As long as prices remain below this channel, a decline is expected, potentially reaching 138.810. If prices fall further, they may approach 137.306.
Conversely, if prices break above the 142.232 level, it could signal a reversal in trend, leading to a rise. In this scenario, prices might reach 144.401 and, if the upward momentum continues, could potentially rise to 147.179.
UPWARD TARGET : 144.401 , 147.179.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 138.810 , 137.306.
Bullish reversal?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 138
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 133.39
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 144.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 140.400 zone, USDJPY was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 140.400 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY - Ready For Another 2000pip Trade?Our last analysis for USDJPY resulted in a massive 2000pip trade! We are now getting ready for another 2000pip trade setup.
We anticipate price to move within the fib levels. As to which price exactly is yet to be determined. We can easily use price action to figure out where the reversal point is once we enter our area of interest.
In the meantime, we can look for a risky long trade into our swing zone.
Trade Idea (LONG)
- On lower timeframe, look for reversal price action to indicate change in market direction
- Once confirmed, you can enter longs with stops below the lows
- Target our area of interest = 1000pips
Once we're in our area of interest, we can look for a short setup which will be atleast 2000pips!
What do you guys think?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
See our previous setups below
USD/JPY Bearish Setup: Anticipating Rejection at Resistance Hello traders! Today, I’m taking a closer look at the USD/JPY pair on the 1-hour time frame, where I’m anticipating a potential bearish move.
Here’s my plan:
Resistance Level: a key zone where it has previously reversed. If the price tests this level again, I’ll be watching for a potential rejection.
Reversal Signals: I’ll be paying close attention to bearish candlestick patterns, such as shooting stars or bearish engulfing patterns, to confirm that the resistance is holding and selling pressure is building.
Momentum Check: I’ll also monitor the overall market momentum. If the upward movement starts losing steam near the resistance, this could be an early sign of a potential reversal.
Risk Management Strategy: To manage my risk, I’ll place a stop loss slightly above the resistance level, protecting against a potential breakout.
Bitcoin Zip LineI’ve been tracking the course of bitcoin for the last 5 years. I think we are in for some major volatility soon!
Scenario 1:
The bitcoin price will rally as elections are heating up, and more people are sponsoring bitcoin and other meme coins in this period, in addition the tension in the Middle East . Consequently, the US market seems to have some underlying affect on the price of bitcoin. It is connected to the dollar. De-dollarization is a reality. But, you can’t back out on currency yet, too many people would be affected. People presently and people how will. So I expect the fed to cut rates hard, and quickly, without a doubt saving the economic bubble waiting to pop soon. Leading to a red swan event. No I did not say black. Red swan would be a global market chain reaction.
Bitcoin would break upward toward the resistance area $68,387- 69,000which has been building since November 10th, 2020.
If that occurs bitcoin could fall and complete a long striking falling wedge buying opportunity with a target of $42,000 and a liquidity pool around $37,600. Bitcoin could continue with selling pressure, or the big institutions will buy back bitcoin leading to an all time high price in a parabolic move toward $79,000, $100k, 150k, and $200k. Why so high? In short summary banks, coin IPO’s, Mining Harvests, Ripple, and AI
This would be the greatest buy opportunity for either any retail trader or institutional investors. Maybe even private owned firms, government agencies, and owners of any equity.
Scenario 2: A test of the $68’387-$69,000 area and a breakout to $73,000 could lead the price to $79,000. If this price is reached, bitcoin will either decide to test shaky hands and liquidate. As a matter of fact, new hands coming in, can squeeze toward $90,000 above 100k before deciding a true bullish path. Same rules apply on the buy opportunity. This would be parabolic as well which would make $42,000 the main support zone in a long term situation drawback.
This is just a prediction, good luck ;)