USDJPY - 4H Sell SetupFX:USDJPY is displaying a clear technical setup for a bearish move. After a significant pullback following a sharp fall, the pair failed to surpass the resistance zone around 149. This area has proven strong as the price action was unable to hold above it, trapping liquidity just above the resistance. The price then rejected this zone with a sharp reversal. Additionally, the second attempt to break through the resistance further confirms the weakness, as liquidity hunting above the resistance has been met with selling pressure. This rejection, combined with the failed breakout, suggests the pair is likely to fall towards the lower targeted support zone, potentially setting up a strong shorting opportunity in the near term.
This aligns with fundamental factors, including expectations of slower rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, Japan faces a cautious stance on raising interest rates, which has kept the yen under pressure. However, recent economic data from Japan, such as rising producer prices and decreased lending activity, suggests a shift may be underway, supporting further yen strength and a potential fall in USDJPY.
Traders should watch for a continuation of this move, as the failed attempts to breach resistance and the liquidity grab signal further downside pressure.
USDJPY
USD/JPY – Breakout of Resistance TrendlineWe have just broken out of the resistance trendline on USD/JPY. If you're currently short, I recommend reducing your position as the price approaches the green zone.
For those without a position, it might be wise to wait for the price to reach this green zone before considering a long entry. However, always wait for confirmation before entering long positions to ensure a higher probability of success.
USD/JPY H4 | Strong bullish uptrendUSD/JPY is trading close to the intersection between an ascending trendline and a pullback support; it could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 149.39 which is a pullback support that intersects with an ascending trendline.
Stop loss is at 148.30 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 150.86 which is a pullback resistance.
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Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 15.10.2024Option 1: Gold has been in a range today. Still expecting price to retrace towards the $2,630 zone, in order to grab weekly liquidity, before moving back up.
Option 2: Gold carries on moving up towards our $2,700 target without any retracement.
What option do you think is more viable?
Bullish momentum to extend?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 78.6% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 149.32
1st Support: 147.24
1st Resistance: 152.02
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USD-JPY Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A strong bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 149.500 which is now a
Support and as we are
Bullish biased a further
Move up is to be expected
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 14, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is unable to capitalize on a modest rise in the Asian session or find support above 149.000 and is pulling back a few pips from the highest level since August 16 reached on Monday. Prices are dipping below 148.500, or a fresh daily low in the last hour, and for the moment appear to have broken the dollar's three-day winning streak, although the fundamental backdrop warrants caution from bearish traders.
Japan's Deputy Finance Minister for International Affairs Atsushi Mimura said that the government will keep an eye on currency movements, including speculative moves, fueling speculation of possible intervention. This, in turn, provides some support for the Japanese Yen (JPY) and attracts sellers to the USD/JPY pair. Meanwhile, the decreasing chances of another interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in 2024 and a more aggressive easing policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed) should continue to serve as a tailwind for the currency pair.
Japan's new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba stunned markets last week by stating that the economy is not ready for further rate hikes. In addition, political uncertainty ahead of the October 27 general election may keep JPY bulls on the sidelines. Meanwhile, good US jobs data for the month released on Friday led investors to further reduce bets on a massive Fed rate cut in November. This helped the US Dollar (USD) maintain its recent strong rise to a seven-week high and should serve as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair.
This in turn suggests that any subsequent decline could still be seen as a buying opportunity, so it is prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before confirming that the uptrend from a week ago has exhausted itself. As for further developments, there are no major economic data releases on Monday that could influence the market. Nevertheless, speeches by influential FOMC members may have an impact on the USD later in the North American session. In addition, geopolitical events should give a short-term impetus to the USD/JPY pair.
Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Buy orders from the current price level.
USDJPY has bullish technical conditionsThe latest economic data suggests the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates again next month, but a larger cut is being underestimated.
Therefore, US bond yields remain stable and the wide spread between Japanese government bond yields and US bond yields continues to support the US Dollar.
On the daily chart, OANDA:USDJPY The uptrend is noticed by the price channel and the nearest support level at 148.113 of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
Temporarily, USD/JPY's upside momentum is limited by the upper channel edge, once USD/JPY breaks above the channel it will continue to trend upward towards the 150.739 levels in the short term, more than 151,866.
Even if the 0.382% Fibonacci level is not enough to support USD/JPY in the short term, it still has other support slightly lower at 147.113 – 146.424.
As long as USD/JPY remains above EMA21 and within price channel, it still has a bullish technical outlook with notable technical points listed below.
Support: 148.113 – 147.112 – 146.424
Resistance: 149,364 – 150,739 – 151,866
USDJPY D1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the daily chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 150.80 - 151.68, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 146.92, which is a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 154.74, an overlap resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY swing trade update. 800 pips done! We sent out our this next analysis exactly a month ago to our members at Fractals Trading Community: "After falling for almost a month, dollar has gained some strength in recent weeks and the Japanese currency intervention is seemingly slowing down, as we have seen some huge bullish moves on other pairs. As seen on chart, the price has hit the weekly 0.618 fib level and the VWAP drawn from the start of the second quarter(March). For our TP levels we target 146.55; 149 and 152. Will update next week." (linked idea)
Setup is currently running with 2 TP levels already hit. Will send a new analysis next week.
This analysis is taught and provided by Fractals Trading.
Trade safely and expect the unexpected,
Mei
USDJPY outlookUSDJPY had a rally upwards and now it seems like it has completed its upward move now we are heading downstairs now i am expecting a downward move starting as it has reached its daily Resistance level and it seems like it will start a rally downards another situation is if it breaks above the resistance it will rally upwards
Long Term Positions Currently In The Gold Fund!Gold Buy Position 1: Running 10,300 PIPS in Profit📈
Gold Buy Position 2: Running 10,200 PIPS in Profit📈
Gold Buy Position 3: Running 10,000 PIPS in Profit📈
Only 3 remaining positions left. The rest of our buy positions have been closed out slowly since I called this move LIVE for you all in 2022.
USDJPY → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone
USDJPY moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level..
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
USDCAD GOING THROUGH THE ROOF (2)Now 's the time !
News CPI for USD today, more impact on currencies than US100
It has followed our large uptrend since 1rst of cotober now ;
it is now looking to push through the purple key level, which is pretty weak and ready to be broken ;
did not break too low tonight, even more ready to blow up
USD/JPY Market Analysis 26/09/2024 After 70 days of constant decline, the USD/JPY pair has finally managed to break the descending trendline and exit the prolonged bearish trend. At the moment, it is still unclear whether this is a long-term trend reversal or just a short-term pullback within the larger downtrend.
The charts clearly show a breakout of the main descending trendline, followed by a flip of the horizontal and diagonal support/resistance levels, which further confirmed the significance of this move. This breakout has been tested and validated at multiple levels — first at the diagonal trendline, and then at the horizontal support level.
One of the key signals for this potential reversal is the bullish divergence on the 4-hour timeframe, which indicated a weakening of the selling pressure and a potential trend change. This signal was further strengthened by the crossover of the Moving Average 7 above the Moving Average 21, which occurred right before the breakout.
After the breakout confirmation, the price managed to reclaim the 0.236 Fibonacci level, but it is now facing a crucial resistance at the MA 200 level, which will determine the next direction. We are currently at a critical juncture — either we break through this level and head towards the 0.382 Fibonacci level, or we retrace and test the horizontal support once more, which now serves as a key support zone.
It remains to be seen whether the price can maintain these levels or if it will revert back into the previous trend. If we see another successful test of the horizontal support, it could indicate further upside potential and a transition into a more stable bullish trend.
Correction USDJPY. H4 11.10.2024 Correction USDJPY 📉
The Japanese yen has reached the local resistance level of 149.40 and after a false breakdown I expect a correction downwards. The correction may go to the 1/2 margin zone 146 or to the strong buyers zone 143-144.50 from which I will also look for a bounce upwards. I believe that the general upward movement is not finished yet and the expected decline will be corrective.
OANDA:USDJPY
Market Analysis: Gold Price Target Additional GainsMarket Analysis: Gold Price Target Additional Gains
Gold price started a fresh increase above the $2,618 resistance level.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a steady increase from the $2,600 zone against the US Dollar.
- It cleared a key bearish trend line with resistance at $2,630 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price found support near the $2,600 zone. The price formed a base and started a fresh increase above the $2,618 level.
The bulls cleared a key bearish trend line with resistance at $2,630 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,670 swing high to the $2,602 low.
The RSI is now well above 60 and the price could aim for more gains. Immediate resistance is near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,670 swing high to the $2,602 low at $2,655.
The next major resistance is near the $2,670 level. An upside break above the $2,670 resistance could send Gold price toward $2,690. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $2,700 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $2,630 zone. If there is a downside break below the $2,630 support, the price might decline further.
In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $2,618 support. The next major support sits at $2,605. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,585 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.