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USDJPY

USD/JPY H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend?USD/JPY is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 156.60 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 155.80 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support. Take profit is at 158.54 which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
1
Levels discussed during livestream 10th Jan 202510th January 2025 (Pre NFP) DXY: Consolidating below 109.40 strong nfp: break 109.40 trade up to 110 weak nfp; needs to break 108.80, to trade down to bottom of channel at 108.40 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5570 SL 30 TP 60 (DXY strength) AUDUSD: Look for reaction at 0.62 support area, Sell 0.6255 SL 20 TP 50 (rejection of trendline) GBPUSD: Sell 1.2250 SL 30 TP 60 (DXY strength) EURUSD: Sell 1.0270 SL 25 TP 60 (DXY strength) USDJPY: Sell 157.80 SL 30 TP 120 (DXY weakness MASSIVE Counter Trend) EURJPY: Do Nothing GBPJPY: Buy 195.50 SL 60 TP 250 USDCHF: Buy 0.91430 SL 30 TP 60 USDCAD: Buy 1.4390 SL 20 TP 70 XAUUSD: Continuation higher, break above 2678 to trade up to 2690
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
USD/JPY (UJ) Analysis (Daily Timeframe)The USD/JPY pair has been following a clear market cycle, transitioning from distribution to markdown , followed by accumulation , and now entering a bullish markup phase , showcasing strong bullish momentum. Key Observations: Market Phases: Distribution Phase: The bullish move ended near the 162 level , where sellers gained control, initiating a markdown. Accumulation Phase: After a significant markdown, UJ found a base around the 140 level, forming an accumulation phase with demand coming back into the market. Current Phase: The pair has now broken out of accumulation and is in a bullish move, with a well-defined structure of higher highs and higher lows. EMA Surfing and Momentum: The price is currently surfing upward along the EMAs , showing strong trend-following behavior with EMAs acting as dynamic support. The tightening of the EMAs during the accumulation phase has now expanded , supporting the continuation of the bullish move. Scenarios to Watch: Continuation to Targets: USD/JPY could continue its bullish momentum toward the short-term target near 159 and potentially the medium-term target around 162. This aligns with the ongoing strength in the USD and the current bullish structure . Pullback for Reaccumulation: A potential retracement could act as a reaccumulation phase, gathering liquidity before resuming the uptrend.
Long
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
Weekly FOREX Forecast Jan 13, 2025This is an outlook for the week of Jan 13-17th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD CAD, USDCAD CHF, USDCHF JPY, USDJPY The USD is still strong, so no reason to sell in the near term. With price at Monthly and Weekly Supply levels, we have to proceed with caution in the near term. The bias is still bullish until the market gives us a HTF bearish break of structure. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
USDJPY: Bullish Recovery After Sharp Correction – Short-Term Buy📈 Trade Details: Entry: Current price 157.823 🎯 Take Profit 1: 158.000 🎯 Take Profit 2: 158.275 🎯 Take Profit 3: 158.500 🛡 Stop Loss: 157.500 💡 Analysis: Earlier today, USDJPY experienced a sharp correction after hitting intraday highs. However, the U.S. dollar remains resilient, supported by strong economic data and market sentiment favoring risk-off assets. The correction appears to be a retracement within a larger bullish trend, presenting a buy opportunity as the pair looks poised to recover toward key resistance levels. A break above 158.000 could open the door for further upward movement, targeting 158.275 and 158.500 in the short term. 🚨 Risk Management: Tight stop-loss placement at 157.500 to protect against unexpected reversals. Adjust take-profit levels based on price action and volatility. Let’s aim for profits and disciplined trading today! 💹
Long
by ValchevFinance
3
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 157.90 Why we likeit: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.23% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 158.19 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 157.34 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY showing weaknessThe USD/JPY pair has been fluctuating within a range. Recent data shows the price closing around 157.30, indicating some stability in the short term. Key support levels are around 156.24, while resistance levels are near 158.421. These levels can act as potential entry or exit points. so 156 will be a good level to short wit a red 4h candle closed near. Nver enter after a green candle only after a 4h bearish candle closed bellow 156.24. SCALP target @156.244 SWING Target @153.160
Short
by miketiger
USDJPY – in accumulation phase but undoubtedly bullish .. 13 JanWeekly – Bullish, although it has been consolidating for the past 3 weeks. Daily – same as weekly. Please note that the bears have been unable to push price lower. Price is well above the 200dma. The area around 156.20 was has been tested multiple times and provides solid support (was resistance earlier). H4 – In line with the weekly and daily charts. A pullback to 156.20 and a bullish bounce there would be ideal, however that may not happen. We could see bullish price action even earlier. I will be monitoring PA closely and look for taking an entry whenever I see convincing bullish strength. An obvious target would be the next resistance in the 161.70 region. This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Long
by Trading_Vista
USDCAD Consolidation: Eyeing a Breakout Above Key Resistance USDCAD is currently trading at 1.443, with a target price of 1.490, suggesting a potential gain of over 500 pips. The analysis is based on the support and resistance pattern, indicating that the pair is holding its main resistance level. A breakout above this resistance level is being anticipated. Currently, the pair is in a consolidation phase, where price movements are relatively limited. This phase often signifies market indecision and can precede significant price action. Traders are closely monitoring the breakout potential, as a breach of resistance could signal strong upward momentum. The technical setup suggests bullish sentiment, with the resistance level acting as a critical price point. If the breakout occurs, it may confirm the continuation of the uptrend. However, traders should remain cautious and consider potential reversals if the resistance holds.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
USDJPY Will Collapse! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 158.40 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 157.58 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
USD/JPY: where is my carry trade?Hi everyone, Since my last idea, a lot has changed. My swing target of 150 was reached, and buyers took over in December. Recently, USD/JPY hit a 6-month high of ~158.5. Since that low at 150 in December we saw different major signals from UJ: "When the last buyer died..." buyers volume spike on 19 of December. Healthy accumulation on 4 of December supported the rally, showing more love for the dollar than yen. "Heyyy, I know this thing—order block!" Post-Dec 19, price rose to 158.4 with waning buyer volume and mounting shorts. OB or just noise? Suspicious either way. "Is this still an uptrend?" Price action shows small but consistent higher highs/lows. Volatility indicators hint at rising consolidation. "Dollar supremacy forever?" Yes, dollar is stronger, but corrections happen. Whether at 70 or 175 USD/JPY, dollar will still be stronger. "BoJ wouldn't intervene before 160. Are they bluffing?" May be possible, but I doubt it. The finance minister concern was very high yen depreciation and they mentioned that "we wouldn't let USD/JPY reach 160". But Japan’s MO is more stealth than spectacle I think. Lastly, for my technical analysis lovers, pitchforks . Pitchforks are a more "hipster" way to draw trendlines. Maybe also more mathematical way. They are easy, but advanced pitchfork usage may be tricky. As you see in the chart, we’re stuck between an upper bound and a demand zone. This supports my idea of consolidation, since the demand zone and the upper pitchfork are the current support and resistance. Another one for tech analysis lovers. Elliott Waves . There is a possibility that we are in the so called "elliot correction waves", which is often seen after an uptrend. Leg A was the summer drop, leg B took us to 158.5, and leg C could dip us to 136–146. Probability? No idea, but the range fits the pitchfork, Elliott theory, and interest rate differential. Your guess is as good as mine. Chapter 1: Rising Distribution – Not Your Average Wyckoff The distribution I am talking about is not the Power of Three or AMD distribution concept. For old school lovers, the distribution I mean is based on Wyckoff method. Wyckoff was an analyst who described the difference between trends and ranging markets way before traders had 3 screens with gradient indicators and fancy ways to detect the regime. In his method, there is a thing called "distribution". It is when the institutions are fed up with the uptrend and want to sell an asset. This is also when the "buys" are transferred from institutional hands to our, normal traders, hands. How does it work? FOMO, news and herd instinct. This is where "don't stand in front of an ultra-fast train" fails. Classic Wyckoff distribution : the point where institutions get off the train, and retail traders hop on thinking it’s express to the moon. Rising distributions happen when the crowd still expects an uptrend, but the big players quietly exit. Seems like they have another train plan. At least, that's what the volume delta says. :) Chapter 2: The Macro Mix US is strong. Still solid. Even with inflation and bubbles, USD rides high thanks to its post-WWII economic dominance. This allows US to export their debt until today. Debt, tech booms, and AI surges aside, the system holds. We’ve swapped dot-com booms (2000 DotCom Bubble) for AI hype and NVIDIA super-processors. Just like the early 2000s with software, we’re seeing another leap, but with AI, robotics, and LLMs instead of spreadsheets and PCs. I wont mention any other issues with US economy, you could read that in my previous idea, and Trump tariffs wouldn't help it either, so everything stays the same. Another thing, but not only concentrated on US: wealth gap. Wealth gaps grow, and some of the folks that were living right in the middle, having more than enough, but not too much, are struggling financially now, or became rich and big. But blindly piling into assets isn't the answer. Markets shift, and the rich adapt. If you want more insights about the wealth gap and how it may worsen the recession, check out the amazing videos from "Garys Economics" . A former Citi bank top trader, Gary specializes in forex, especially Yen and Swiss franc. Chapter 3: Yen vs. Dollar Carry Trade The interest rate differential is narrowing. BoJ raised their rates for the first time since the '90s. Japan’s deflationary pressures pushed change . Sure thing Japan has to change something, and they did and will do. Japan is still a tech and automotive powerhouse, but monetary policy is tricky. Wouldn’t a cheaper yen help exports? Its complicated. Dollar and euro is still doing fine, being ones of the leading currencies in the world and also leading in exports. I don't think that matters that much. Now, zoom out of the chart. Historically, USD/JPY was 138–145 at similar USD rates. Add the new yen rate, and voilà: you get my 136–146 range. ----------- Finalizing, USD/JPY is my muse. It is my main trading currency, maybe the only one. The a constant battle between east and west, logic and mystery is truly beautiful. Since Dec 19, it’s been weird for most of us. Currently with AI surging in trading, we see companies fighting to find the alpha in the market. The strategy that will always work, the key to unlocking the market. This goes on for years and didn't start only now. Markets evolve, new players enter, and unexpected events (Black Swans) rewrite everything. Nevertheless, the "holy grail" strategy doesn’t exist (yet). More and more AI models are flexible and need to be improved faster and faster. So should your strategy be, even if you are not an AI. AI or not, adaptability is your true alpha. I’ve also updated my own metrics, ditched outdated ones, and embraced new indicators and models. Learn some coding. Python, R, and Pinescript will be as essential as Excel soon. You could also start with pinescript by editing your indicators/strategies in a way, that your ideas are implemented in it. Never stop learning, even when it feels like the market is gaslighting you. Navigate the markets like an explorer: decode shifting patterns and embrace the unknown future. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making trading decisions.
Short
by akvil3
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 10, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen is weakened by doubts over the likely timing of the next BoJ rate hike. The US Dollar holds near a two-year high and supports USD/JPY ahead of the US NFP report. The Japanese Yen (JPY) is rising in response to comments from Japan's Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa during the Asian session on Friday, although it lacks bullish confidence amid uncertainty over the Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike. Data released today showed that real household spending in Japan fell for a fourth month in November, indicating that the economy is fragile. This gives the BoJ another reason to be cautious about further interest rate hikes, which could continue to undermine the yen. In addition, the yield differential between US and Japanese bond yields has widened significantly over the past month amid the Federal Reserve's (Fed) tightening bias. This could help push down Japanese Yen yields and serve as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair amid a bullish trend for the US Dollar (USD). Meanwhile, traders may prefer to stay on the sidelines and wait for the release of the important US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before making aggressive directional bets on the currency pair. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 158.60, trading mainly with Buy orders
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Markets were in consolidation on 9th Jan 20259th January 2025 DXY: Consolidate between 109 and 109.40, could breakout to 110 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 30 TP 60 AUDUSD: Look for reaction at 0.62, Buy 0.6220 SL 25 TP 50 or Sell 0.6175 SL 20 TP 60 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2260 SL 20 TP 70 EURUSD: Sell 1.0270 SL 25 TP 60 USDJPY: Watching that 158 resistance level EURJPY: Sell 162.40 SL 50 TP 80 GBPJPY: Sell 193.30 SL 50 TP 100 USDCHF: Buy 0.9130 SL 20 TP 50 USDCAD: Buy 1.4415 SL 20 TP 45 XAUUSD: Watch 2672 resistance (61.8%), possible rejection.
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns wit the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 158.31 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 158.77 Why we like it: There is a resistance level at the 100% Fibonacci projection. Take profit: 157.66 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
XAU/USD : And Another Bullish Move Ahead! (READ THE CAPTION)Gold prices have followed an interesting trajectory over the past 24 hours, aligning perfectly with our earlier expectations. After a strong rally, gold hit the critical target of $2656, reaching as high as $2664 before entering the marked supply zone. As anticipated, the supply zone acted as a resistance, triggering a sharp decline to $2642. This movement provided an excellent trading opportunity for those who closely monitored the levels outlined in our previous analysis. Current Market Context At the moment, gold is trading around $2650, navigating within a crucial range. The price action suggests that gold is testing the resilience of buyers and sellers. If it stabilizes above $2644, we could see further bullish momentum, with the potential to hit the following targets: • $2655 – A minor resistance level, which could set the tone for stronger upward momentum. • $2661 – The next key level, signaling continued bullish strength. • $2666 – A level of psychological resistance, marking a significant test for buyers. • $2673 – The ultimate target for this leg of the rally, contingent on sustained demand and favorable conditions. Fundamental Factors Driving Gold Prices Gold's current trajectory has been influenced by a mix of technical setups and fundamental drivers: • U.S. Economic Data: Robust job market data released earlier this week highlights the resilience of the U.S. economy. Job openings rose to 8.09 million in November, reflecting strong economic activity. However, this has bolstered the U.S. dollar and treasury yields, creating headwinds for gold as a non-yielding asset. • Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: Expectations for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have diminished, as recent comments from Fed officials suggest a cautious approach to monetary easing. Fed Governor Lisa Cook emphasized that the Fed may slow down rate cuts due to persistent inflation. • Central Bank Gold Demand: On the bullish side, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) increased its gold reserves for the second consecutive month, a move that reflects sustained demand for the metal from the world’s largest consumer. Central bank purchases, particularly in the context of geopolitical uncertainties, have continued to support gold prices globally. Technical Insights From a technical standpoint: • Support Levels: If gold fails to hold above $2644, we could see a deeper retracement toward $2633 and possibly $2625. These levels represent the nearest support zones where buyers may re-enter the market. • Resistance Levels: On the upside, the supply zone between $2664 and $2673 will be a critical area to watch. A break and sustained close above $2673 could signal the start of a new bullish trend. • Market Sentiment: Despite recent volatility, sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with traders closely watching global economic data and U.S. Federal Reserve updates for further direction. Looking Ahead Key events later this week, including U.S. jobs data and the ADP employment report, will likely have a significant impact on gold's short-term direction. Traders should also keep an eye on movements in the U.S. dollar index (DXY) and treasury yields, as these remain inversely correlated with gold prices. Action Plan: For now, the focus remains on how gold reacts around $2644. If the metal stabilizes above this level, traders can look for opportunities to target $2655, $2661, and beyond. Conversely, a breakdown below $2644 could lead to short-term selling pressure, offering opportunities for a potential retracement trade. Stay tuned for further updates and detailed analysis! Let’s capitalize on these market moves! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
77
#USDJPY 2HUSDJPY (2H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is currently testing a key resistance level, which has previously acted as a barrier to upward movement. Signs of rejection at this level indicate potential selling pressure. Forecast: A sell opportunity is anticipated if the price continues to face rejection from the resistance zone, signaling a possible move downward. Key Levels to Watch: Entry Zone: Near the resistance level after confirmation of rejection. Risk Management: Stop Loss: Placed above the resistance zone or recent swing high to minimize risk. Take Profit: Target the nearest support levels for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: Selling pressure is expected to dominate as long as the price remains below the resistance level, maintaining a bearish outlook.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
Levels discussed on livestream 8th Jan 20258th January 2025 DXY: Consolidating just below 50% (108.70), stronger ADP, DXY break higher, to 109.20 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5620 SL 20 TP 30 AUDUSD: Look for reaction at 0.62 strong round number support GBPUSD: Sell 1.2450 SL 25 TP 80 EURUSD: Sell 1.0320 SL 30 TP 60 USDJPY: Watching that 158 resistance level EURJPY: Sell 162.95 SL 30 TP 60 GBPJPY: Sell 196.50 SL 30 TP 70 USDCHF: Buy 0.9120 SL 20 TP 50 USDCAD: Buy 1.4385 SL 20 TP 50 XAUUSD: Consolidating below 2655, potential break out to upside, to 2672
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai