Usdjpy 8 Apr updateAs per last usdjpy post, price formed 5 waves down which signal end of a phase.
Price indeed move up and now formed a more bullish outlook.
Maybe mr market is trapping all those bears and going to hunt their stops, as traders thought shorting usdjpy is easy money for risk aversion(Tariffs war).
Anyway, the move up had given a few hundred pips of profit, closed most and running the rest up, "if it works...lol"
USDJPY
Nas100 continuation lower?Good evening traders, I am busy with my market recap and I saw this beautiful idea on nas100/US100 or whatever name your broker uses.
Indices have been pretty bearish from our understanding as we saw price crush, well my thought process when analysing chart is question based, question like did price move above our weekly opening price to give us our manipulation phase in the power of 3, and in this case or in the case of this analysis the answer is yes it moved higher following this week’s open. Today in the 1 hour TF we have a structure shift lower and before we can do anything we need to see price come higher to Atleast the FVG that is marked on the chart, I know ICT teaches deeper about FVG but for me it’s fine for price to completely cover it. Or if maybe the OTE(optimal trade entry) is the method you use to enter trades it’s still fine or even order blocks if maybe you can see any than it’s also completely fine.
Currently price is showing momentum lower and maybe it’ll close prices lower but if we close the daily candle above the midpoint of the weekly gap we can expect price go than trigger the limit.
USD/JPY) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart is for USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe, and it presents a bullish trade setup. Let’s break down the idea
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Key Observations:
1. Current Price:
USD/JPY is trading around 146.281.
2. Overall Bias:
Bullish setup expecting a bounce from demand into a higher target zone.
3. EMA 200:
Price is currently below the 200 EMA (147.942), which usually suggests a bearish trend — but this setup is aiming for a short-term bullish retracement.
4. Demand Zone (Buy Area):
Marked in yellow between 145.822 and slightly above.
Labeled as "FVG orders" (Fair Value Gap), suggesting institutional interest or imbalance fill.
5. Trendline Support:
The price is approaching a rising trendline, adding confluence for a potential bounce.
6. Expected Move:
Price is expected to bounce from the demand zone, form a higher low, and then move up toward the target zone at 148.221.
Two upside targets are drawn:
First Move: ~1.12% (30.6 pips)
Full Target: ~1.76% (256.1 pips)
Mr SMC Trading point
7. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is around 37.66, nearing oversold territory, supporting a bullish reversal idea.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Around 145.822 (fair value gap & trendline support)
Target Zone: 148.221
Stop Loss: Likely just below the demand zone or trendline
Confluence Factors:
Trendline support
RSI nearing oversold
Fair value gap zone
EMA 200 overhead (target acts as resistance)
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Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow
USDJPY Breakdown?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Yen Climbs on Trade Talks, Record SurplusThe Japanese yen climbed toward 147 per dollar on Tuesday, reversing losses as trade uncertainty lifted safe-haven demand. Trump agreed to begin trade talks with Japan after speaking with PM Shigeru Ishiba and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to lead talks covering tariffs, currency, and subsidies. Trump denied delaying tariffs, saying they may stay indefinitely. Domestically, Japan’s current account surplus hit a record high in February, backed by strong exports and lower imports, further supporting the yen.
Key resistance is at 148.70, with further levels at 152.70 and 157.70. Support stands at 145.60, followed by 143.00 and 141.80.
USD/JPY M30 | Falling to overlap supportUSD/JPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 146.62 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 145.71 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 148.09 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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USD/JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart is an analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on a 2-hour timeframe, and it presents a possible bullish scenario. Here’s a breakdown of the idea:
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Key Points of the Analysis:
1. Support Level & Change of Character (ChoCH):
Price found strong support around 144.556.
A ChoCH (Change of Character) is noted, indicating a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish trend.
2. Bullish Reversal Setup:
The price is forming higher lows, suggesting the start of a "New Up Trend".
There's a clear zig-zag bullish projection, suggesting potential long opportunities.
3. Target Zones:
The first target point is in the range of 149.692 – 150.493.
This area is also marked with a resistance zone, making it a logical TP (Take Profit) level.
4. Risk/Reward Ratio:
The risk is around -3.75% (-564.8 pips), and the reward is around +3.94% (+569.2 pips), suggesting a 1:1.05 R/R ratio.
5. RSI Indicator (Below):
RSI is showing a bullish divergence (price made lower lows while RSI made higher lows).
This divergence supports the idea of a possible bullish reversal.
6. 200 EMA:
The 200 EMA is at 148.767, acting as a dynamic resistance. Price may react around that level before hitting the final target zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion:
This analysis suggests a potential long trade setup on USD/JPY based on:
A support zone,
Bullish RSI divergence,
Market structure shift (ChoCH),
And projected movement toward 149.692–150.493.
Idea: Buy near the support zone (~144.556) and target the resistance zone (~150.493) while managing risk carefully.
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Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USDJPY Analysis: Reversal Forecasts Based on Trading MathDear Trader,
Please find attached my analysis of $Subject, which uses mathematical calculations to identify potential reversal times and price levels.
The analysis details projected south and north price targets (horizontal lines on the chart), along with estimated time frames for possible reversals (vertical lines on the chart, accurate to within +/- 1-2 candles). Please note that all times indicated on the chart, including the vertical lines representing potential reversal times, are based on the UTC+4 time zone.
To increase the probability of these analyses, I recommend monitoring the 5-minute and 15-minute charts for the following key reversal candlestick patterns:
Doji’s
Hammer/Inverted Hammer
Double/Triple Bottom/Top
Shooting Star
Morning Star
Hanging Man
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
151.17 145.09
154.26 142.09
160.53 136.19
166.93 130.42
173.45 124.77
180.10 119.25
186.87 113.85
193.77 108.58
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
WHY CADJPY IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED ANALYSIS CAD/JPY is currently trading around 104.200, forming a falling wedge pattern—a technical indicator often suggestive of a potential bullish reversal. Traders are closely monitoring this setup for a breakout, which could potentially propel the pair toward the target price of 107.000, indicating a prospective gain of approximately 300 pips.
Fundamentally, the Canadian dollar's performance is closely tied to global oil prices, given Canada's status as a major oil exporter. Recent stability in oil markets has provided underlying support to the loonie. Conversely, the Japanese yen, traditionally viewed as a safe-haven currency, has experienced fluctuations influenced by shifts in global risk sentiment and the Bank of Japan's monetary policy stance. The divergence in economic indicators and central bank policies between Canada and Japan may contribute to the anticipated bullish momentum in the CAD/JPY pair.
Technical analysis reinforces this outlook. The falling wedge pattern observed on the charts is characterized by converging trendlines sloping downward, indicating diminishing bearish momentum. A decisive breakout above the upper trendline of the wedge, accompanied by increased trading volume, would serve as a confirmation of the bullish reversal. Key resistance levels to monitor include 105.000 and 106.000, with a sustained move above these thresholds enhancing the likelihood of reaching the 107.000 target.
Traders should exercise prudent risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to mitigate potential market volatility. Additionally, staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications from both Canada and Japan will be crucial in navigating this trade effectively. By aligning technical insights with fundamental developments, traders can position themselves to capitalize on the potential bullish breakout in the CAD/JPY pair.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 148.24
1st Support: 145.39
1st Resistance: 150.06
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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Tyree Thomas Jr USD/JPY Bias 4/7/25I believe that U/J will sell to my take profit at the green Fib extension. I will be posting my trade ideas every evening. I use the Fibonacci Retracement tool, the Fibonacci Extension tool, Six EMA's, Market Structure, and the TDIGM in my trading strategy to create my Bias.
USD/JPY(20250408)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
146.92
Support and resistance levels
150.22
148.99
148.18
145.65
144.85
143.61
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 148.18, consider buying, the first target price is 148.99
If the price breaks through 146.92, consider selling, the first target price is 145.65
USDJPY Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The market is trading on 147.18 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 146.37
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USD/JPY(20250407)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
146.32
Support and resistance levels
149.17
148.11
147.41
145.22
144.53
143.46
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 146.32, consider buying, the first target price is 147.41
If the price breaks through 145.22, consider selling, the first target price is 144.53
USDJPY to continue in the downward move?USDJPY - 24h expiry
The rally was sold and the dip bought resulting in mild net gains yesterday.
Selling posted in Asia.
We have a Gap open at 147.02 from 04.04 to 06.04.
The medium term bias remains bearish.
A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 143.68.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
We look to Sell at 147.02 (stop at 148.02)
Our profit targets will be 143.68 and 143.10
Resistance: 147.02 / 148.09 / 150.49
Support: 144.58 / 143.68 / 143.07
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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USDJPY Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 146.391.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 150.489 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USD/JPY BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 146.235
Target Level: 150.962
Stop Loss: 143.090
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal: Order Block & EMA 200 TargetSMC Trading point update
This chart presents a technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. The key insights from this analysis are:
1. Order Block & Potential Reversal
The price has dropped significantly and reached a highlighted order block zone (a key demand area).
A potential inverse head and shoulders pattern is forming, indicating a possible bullish reversal.
2. Expected Bullish Movement
The price is expected to bounce from the order block, creating a bullish structure.
The projected move suggests a retracement toward a resistance zone, which aligns with previous price action.
Mr SMC Trading point
3. Target Zone & EMA 200
The target zone is around 148.946 - 149.178, aligning with the 200 EMA, a significant resistance level.
4. RSI Indicator
The RSI is currently low (~38.93), indicating potential for a reversal as the market may be oversold.
Conclusion
The chart suggests a bullish retracement after the recent drop, targeting the resistance zone near the 200 EMA. However, confirmation is needed (e.g., bullish price action, volume increase) before taking a trade. Keep an eye on fundamental news that may impact USD/JPY volatility.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
DeGRAM | USDJPY decline from the channel boundaryUSDJPY is in a descending channel below the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel and has already broken the lower trend line.
We expect the decline to continue after consolidation under the 50% retracement level.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 7, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) began the week positively, as US President Donald Trump's extensive retaliatory tariffs heighten the risk of a global economic slowdown and continue to support traditional safe-haven assets. Concerns that the tightening of reciprocal tariffs by the US could negatively impact the Japanese economy have led investors to reduce their expectations of a faster increase in the discount rate by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). This has led to a positive impact on the yen, with the USD/JPY pair rebounding and returning to a six-month low during the Asian session. This level is below the psychological 145.00 mark reached on Friday.
Nevertheless, signs of rising inflation in Japan keep the door open for a further BoJ interest rate hike in 2025. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions are expected to limit any significant depreciation in the yen. The US Dollar (USD) is attempting to capitalise on Friday's positive movement amid bets on more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing, fuelled by fears of a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy. This, along with a further sharp decline in US Treasury yields, should provide a tailwind for the low-yielding Yen and halt any meaningful recovery movement in the USD/JPY pair.
Trade recommendation: BUY 147.000, SL 145.800, TP 148.150
USDJPY H4 | Falling from the 61.8% FiboBased on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 148.24, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 145.40, a support level.
The stop loss is set at 150.18, an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.