USDJPY H1 I Bullish Bounced off Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 142.44, which is a pullback support close to 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 143.92, a multi-swing high resistance close to 38.2% FIbo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 141.59, which is below a swing-low support level.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY
DXY - HIGHER TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Here is the expected DXY path for the incoming weeks. We are working with a complex ABC pattern. We are currently in major wave B ( ZIGZAG Pattern ).
Zigzag pattern ( 5-3-5 ) is made up of 3 waves:
Wave A = 5 waves
Wave B = 3 waves
Wave C = 5 waves
Working with Wave C, we still have subwave 5 in order for major wave B to be completed. What we are looking for now is the completion of subwave 4 around 0.236 and 0.382 Fibonacci levels.
Watching the rejection of the 50 EMA to ride the final leg of wave C.
Will see price will react at the fib levels and update later.
USDJPY, UpdatedHello Traders,
I am sharing my analysis for a short position on USDJPY based on the weekly timeframe. The targets are set at $137 and $129 as shown on the chart. Please note that the price might test the $150 level again, so I will be using a multi-entry method for this swing short position. My stop-loss is set at $151.2 to manage risk.
OANDA:USDJPY
YENOCALYPSE. TO BE CONTINUE...The yen has posted several outsized moves in recent days, appreciating sharply on Thursday and Friday from 38-year lows of 161.96 per dollar, sudden rallies that market participants said had the signs of currency intervention.
Bank of Japan data released on Tuesday suggested Tokyo may have spent 2.14 trillion yen ($13.5 billion) intervening on Friday. Combined with the estimated amount spent on Thursday, Japan is suspected to have bought nearly 6 trillion yen via intervention last week.
In technical terms, USDJPY Fx pair has broken its major Bullish 7-months trend.
What is next? I think retrace is possible.. But just to deliver much more to 152nd ground.
// Mega stocks are in ruins..
USDJPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 143.08
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 144.78
Recommended Stop Loss - 142.08
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Pre Non Farm Market Analysis6th September
DXY: Currently just below 100.90, could consolidate/retrace briefly, looking downside to 100.55 support level (NFP Pending), could bounce from support
NZDUSD: Buy 0.6245 SL 20 TP 50 (DXY Weakness)
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6755 SL 25 TP 65 (DXY Weakness)
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3170 SL 30 TP 80 (DXY Strength)
EURUSD: Buy 1.1145 SL 20 TP 60 (DXY Weakness)
USDJPY: Watch out between 142 and 141 support area, possible bounce!
USDCHF: Look for reaction at 0.8345 key support level.
USDCAD: Stay out (CAD Employment pending)
Gold: Retracing, look for reaction at 2506, possible bounce, if broken, could trade down to 2480
Downside breakdown USDJPY H4. 06.09.2024Downside breakdown USDJPY
Yen broke a reversal pattern and decided to make a breakout to 140. This is a strong support level from which I expect a local rebound on upward correction. On options, this scenario is also confirmed, considering that today is the expiration of monthly options. The margin is also a bit higher, ideally make a false breakdown down and then look for a culmination on a corrective buyback.
Don't miss the great SEE Opportunity in USDJPYThis chart is a USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen) 4-hour timeframe analysis. Let's break it down:
Price Action:
The chart shows a significant downtrend, with the price moving lower over time.
Recent candles indicate selling pressure, particularly in the last few candles as the price pushes down further.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone (Upper Red Lines): Around the 146.500 - 147.500 zone, marked by the red lines. This area was tested multiple times but could not hold, leading to the recent sell-off.
Support Zone (Green Lines): The price is currently testing a support zone around 142.430 - 142.180, where buying may come in to potentially halt the decline.
Potential Buy/Sell Areas:
A highlighted green box around 142.980 - 143.620 appears to represent a zone of interest for a potential trade entry, likely a buy.
The stop loss is slightly below the 142.180 level, while the potential take profit levels might target around 143.620.
Outlook:
If the price holds the support level and bounces back, we might expect a retest of the previous levels near 143.620 or higher.
However, a further decline towards the 140.990 region seems possible if the support breaks.
This chart suggests that a trader may be looking to buy at the current support level, expecting a reversal. However, caution is required as further bearish movement is possible if support fails to hold.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting of the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 143.62
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 144.94
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 141.75
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Yen extends gains on solid wage growth, consumer spending nextThe Japanese yen has posted gains on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.27 at the time of writing, down 0.33% on the day. The yen continues to pummel the US dollar and is up 1.9% this week. Since July 1, the yen has surged a massive 10.7%.
Average cash earnings in Japan rose 3.6% y/y in July, down from 4.5% in June, which was the highest since January 1997. Still, this beat the market estimate of 3.1%. Wages are a key factor as to how soon the Bank of Japan could raise interest rates.
Inflation has been moving higher but the BoJ wants to see increased wage growth as well in order to achieve the Bank’s target of sustainable inflation at 2%. Japanese firms agreed to a huge wage increase of 5.1% for 2024 and this is being reflected in solid wage growth.
Japan’s economy is showing signs of recovery and consumers are opening their wallets. Household spending will be released early Friday and is expected to rebound with a gain of 1.2% y/y in July, following a 1.4% decline in June.
In the US, all eyes are on Friday’s employment report, specifically nonfarm payrolls. After a lower-than-expected gain of 114 thousand in July, the markets expect a gain of 160 thousand in August. The weak July numbers triggered a meltdown in the financial markets and investors remain uneasy.
The Federal Reserve is poised to deliver a milestone rate cut on Sept. 18. The likelihood of a 25 bps cut stands at 61% and a 50 bps cut at 39%, according to CME’s FedWatch and these odds could change after the US employment report.
USD/JPY has pushed below support at 143.57 and tested support at 142.91 earlier
There is resistance at 144.10 and 144.76
JPY Currency Index 4H Analysis: Potential Consolidation and Key The chart shows the JPY Currency Index on a 4-hour timeframe, where the market is currently trading around the 766.9 level. Based on the price action, there appears to be a clear formation of potential consolidation after a sharp move upward.
Key Observations:
Uptrend Momentum: The index previously experienced a strong uptrend, pushing the price to the 794.1 level, as indicated by the steep price increase.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: The area around 740 acts as a significant support zone, where price is likely to test if the index continues its correction phase.
Resistance: The zone around 780 is a key resistance level that the index needs to break to continue its upward momentum.
EMA Crossover: The moving averages show bullish momentum, though some consolidation and pullback are expected before further upward movement.
Potential Consolidation: The projected pattern on the chart suggests the possibility of a sideways consolidation between 740 and 780 before any significant breakout. This could lead to a pullback toward the 740 support level before another bullish push towards the resistance at 780.
RSI Indicator: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows mixed signals with both bull and bear indications, suggesting that while the market has had strong bullish pressure, the current overbought condition might result in short-term corrections.
Expected Price Movement:
The chart outlines a potential scenario where the price consolidates within the 740-780 range. A break above the 780 resistance could lead to a new bullish wave, possibly revisiting the previous high near 794. However, if the price breaks below the 740 support, a deeper retracement is possible.
This setup presents a potential range-bound trade for short-term traders, with clear breakouts or breakdowns providing potential trade signals.
Levels discussed on livestream 5th September 5th September
DXY: Currently at 101.25, needs to break 50% retracement level, to trade down to 100.90 (ADP Pending)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6165 SL 20 TP 60 (if DXY recovery)
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6685 SL 20 TP 45 (if DXY recovery)
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3080 SL 25 TP 100
EURUSD: Buy 1.1105 SL 20 TP 55
USDJPY: Sell 143.20 SL 40 TP 120
USDCHF: Sell 0.8450 SL 20 TP 40
USDCAD: Sell 1.35 SL 20 TP 55
Gold: At 61.8%, if broken, above 2508 could trade up to 2520
USD/JPY H1 | Potential bearish reversalUSD/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 143.86 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 144.57 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 143.18 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.