EUR/USD | Sweeps Liquidity and Rebounds – Eyes on 1.16700!By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, the price continued its decline and eventually swept the liquidity below 1.15580. Following that, strong demand kicked in, and the pair is currently trading around 1.15810. If the price can hold above this level, we can expect further bullish movement. The next potential targets are 1.1600, 1.16280, 1.16430, and 1.16700.
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USDJPY
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 29, 2025 EURUSDThe pair is consolidating at 148.500, leaving behind a nearly 1% gain since the start of the week. High Treasury yields (10-year bonds — 4.34%) are supporting demand for the dollar, while the easing of the US-Japan trade conflict is reducing defensive demand for the yen. As part of yesterday's statement by the US Treasury, tariffs on Japanese cars are being reduced to 10%, which improves the outlook for export-oriented corporations, but at the same time reduces investors' need for safe-haven currencies.
Despite inflation of 3.7% y/y and rising food costs, the Bank of Japan is likely to keep its rate at 0.5% following its July 30-31 meeting and only revise its CPI forecasts upward. Former Deputy Governor of the Central Bank Hiroshi Nakaso acknowledges that further increases are only possible after assessing the effect of US tariffs, i.e., not before 2026. This scenario reinforces negative real interest rates and a widening yield differential with the US.
In addition, the inflow of Japanese investment into foreign bonds has resumed amid confidence in a gradual, rather than sharp, normalization of BOJ policy. Taken together, these factors point to the likelihood of a test of 150.00 in the coming days in the absence of verbal intervention by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
Trading recommendation: BUY 148.500, SL 147.900, TP 150.500
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D29 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W31 | D29 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
OANDA:USDJPY
USD-JPY Is Overbought! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the pair
Will soon hit a horizontal
Resistance of 149.200
So after the retest a
Local bearish pullback
Is to be expected
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
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#USDJPY: Swing Buy Almost +2000 Pips! Dear Traders,
The USDJPY currency pair appears to be in an accumulation phase at the moment, as evidenced by the lack of significant price movement throughout the current week. Several factors contribute to this trend.
Firstly, several significant economic events are scheduled for this week, particularly tomorrow and Friday. These developments will have substantial implications for the future trajectory of the USDJPY pair. Consequently, there’s a possibility that the price may experience a decline before initiating a bullish trend. We’ve recently seen a strong bullish candle, which suggests a strong bullish move in the coming weeks. Additionally, the strong USD could continue rising, while the JPY is dropping.
Secondly, there are two primary areas where the price could reverse its course. The extent to which the USD reacts to the economic data will indicate potential reversal zones.
It’s crucial to conduct your own analysis before making any financial decisions. This chart should be used solely for educational purposes and does not guarantee any specific outcome.
Regarding the stop loss, as this is a swing trade, it’s advisable to employ a larger stop loss if the price reaches entry zones. The take profit level can be determined based on your entry type and analysis.
We wish you the best of luck in your trading endeavours and emphasise the importance of trading safely.
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GOLD - SHORT TO $2,880 (UPDATE)Gold 'Sell Trade' running 1,130 PIPS in profit to start the week. I hope you are all taking advantage of this free analysis & profiting from Gold's downside. Amazing move to start the new week, with much more downside expected.
Drop me a message @XTBCAP for Account Management & Investment opportunities✅
XAU/USD | Gold Holding Strong – Watching for Next Bullish Move!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, when the price dropped to around $3357, it faced strong buying pressure and rallied up to $3377. After that, it corrected again, pulling back to $3338 so far, and is currently trading around $3341. If gold manages to hold above $3337, we can expect another bullish move, with potential targets at $3347, $3354, $3364, and $3374.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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EUR/USD | Correction Near Key Demand – Watching for Rebound!By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after the last analysis, the price started a correction and is currently trading around 1.17150. I expect that once it enters the 1.16780–1.17100 zone, we could see a rebound from this key demand area. If the price holds above this zone, the next bullish targets will be 1.17370 as the first target and 1.17730 as the second.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Retest - 148.450
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY Cooking Something – Here's Where I’ll BiteTHE BATTLE OF MY BLUE LINES 📉
The big picture of USDJPY is BUY possible up to 149.35.
I see H1 send me love note to BUY (range) but 15m reject it by forming SELL range.
Conflict? No! This means there is temporary reversal (BEARISH).
Two top BLUE LINES (147.75/85) are where I can SELL my love story. I will first wait H4 to Kiss either of the line. Since 15m SELL range already formed, I ’ll jump in like a love-struck fool (AGGRESSIVE).
TP: Middle BLUE LINE (147.21) = Dating spot for Buyers.
Middle BLUE LINES (147.21, 147.00)
If H4 price come and KISS (touches and leave wick) in either of these, I’m rushing to 15m to catch that BUY breakout.
If H4 price come and CUDDLE (close by body),I’ll cozy up to SELL (after confirmation) and ride it all the way down to 146.42, the Bottom BLUE LINE. 📉
In Bottom BLUE LINE (146.42) = Buyers Chilling Zone
If H4 price come and KISS (touches and leave wick), I’m rushing down to 15m to catch that BUY breakout — love at first touch!
If H4 price come and CUDDLE (close by body), my trading heartbreak season will start!
WISH ME LUCK.!!!
USDJPY: Market of Sellers
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current USDJPY chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY Forming Bullish MomemtumUSDJPY is currently exhibiting strong bullish momentum following a clean breakout from a bullish pennant formation on the 2H timeframe. The market formed higher lows and consolidated within a tight structure, creating compression that has now resolved upward. This breakout indicates continuation of the prior bullish impulse, and price is now targeting the key resistance zone between 148.80 and 149.30. This area previously acted as a strong supply zone, and a clean break above could open the path toward 150.00 psychological levels.
Fundamentally, the US dollar remains supported by expectations of a hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve. Despite mixed economic data recently, the US economy remains resilient, with GDP growth and labor market data showing strength. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan continues to maintain an ultra-loose monetary stance, offering little rate-hike guidance. This divergence in monetary policy keeps the dollar well-bid against the yen. Any further yield differential expansion will continue to support USDJPY to the upside.
From a technical perspective, the structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the 147.65–147.50 breakout support. Momentum is aligning well with the current price action, and volume confirmation on the breakout adds confidence to the bullish scenario. Traders should watch the reaction around the 149.00–149.30 zone carefully, as this is the last major barrier before we potentially see continuation toward multi-month highs.
Overall, the bullish continuation pattern suggests that USDJPY is preparing for another leg higher. With both technical and fundamental factors aligning, this pair remains a key watch for trend-following traders. Patience and precision remain critical here—watch for potential retests and build positions on confirmation.
USDJPY30h Candle confirmed break out!
📢 USDJPY – 30H Breakout Confirmed
Technical Outlook:
Confirmed breakout on the 30H candle, signaling bullish.
Resistance break!
A Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern observed, though the right shoulder is slightly weaker than the left.
For safety, Stop Loss placed below the last Higher Low (HL) to respect market structure.
📍 Key Line:
“Imperfect structures can still produce perfect trades — when aligned with price action and fundamentals.”
🌐 USD Fundamentals Supporting the Bias:
Stronger-than-expected economic data (e.g., recent PMI and labor reports) continues to support USD strength.
Fed's hawkish stance and higher-for-longer rate policy remain favorable for the dollar against low-yielding currencies like JPY.
USDJPY– DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25📊 USDJPY– DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:USDJPY
USDJPY H4 I Bearish Reversal off the 78.6% Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 148.30, which is a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 147.13, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 149.18, a swing-high resistance level.
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Bearish reversal off swing high resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a swing high resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 149.20
1st Support: 146.36
1st Resistance: 151.18
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USDJPY 4Hour TF - July 27th, 2025USDJPY 7/27/2025
USDJPY 4Hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Daily - Bullish
4Hour - Bearish
We’re getting some mixed signals going into this week on UJ but it does look primarily bearish, especially after the move last week.
Currently price action is resting at 147.500 and we’re waiting to see if it will hold as resistance.
Here are two potential ways price action could play out for the week ahead:
Bearish Continuation - This is the most likely based on the context clues of last week. We’re clearly bearish and that lines up with the DXY bias at the moment.
For us to spot a confident short position on UJ we would need to see some bearish conviction coming off our 147.500 zone. We could see this happen after some consolidation or immediately so be cautious and be patient.
Bullish Reversal - This is the only bullish set up I'd be interested in if it plays out. We need to be convinced price action will move higher so I would need to see a significant push above 147.500 resistance with new structure in the form of higher low above. I’d look to target higher toward key levels of resistance if this happens.
Could the price bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 147.06
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 145.83
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit: 148.95
Why we like it:
There is high swing resistance.
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USD/JPY) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling a potential rally toward the 149.191–149.202 resistance zone. Here's the full breakdown
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Technical Analysis – USD/JPY (4H)
1. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Support
Price recently filled a Fair Value Gap (FVG) level (yellow box) and is now pulling back toward it.
The FVG zone is expected to act as a support and potential entry point for buyers (marked by the green upward arrow).
2. Uptrend Structure
Price is moving within an ascending trendline, suggesting bullish market structure.
The current retracement is seen as a higher low setup, aligning with bullish continuation logic.
3. 200 EMA as Support
The 200 EMA at 146.198 is providing dynamic support.
Confluence between the EMA, FVG, and ascending trendline strengthens the bullish bias.
4. Resistance Target Zone
The projected target zone is between 149.191–149.202, which aligns with a previous high and key resistance level.
This zone is highlighted as the final take-profit area.
5. RSI Momentum
RSI is at 57.11, showing positive momentum but not yet overbought — which supports further upside.
RSI remains above 50, maintaining bullish momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Bias: Bullish
Current Price: 147.653
Support Zone (FVG): 146.20–146.92 (approx)
Trendline Support: Uptrend line intact
200 EMA: Acting as dynamic support (146.198)
Resistance Target: 149.191–149.202
RSI: 57.11 – healthy bullish momentum
plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)