USDJPY Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 154.516.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 152.426 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDJPY
Yen Strengthens Past 152 as BOJ Signals Possible 2025 Rate HikeThe yen strengthened past 152 per dollar, an eight-week high after BOJ board member Naoki Tamura suggested raising rates to 1% in late 2025. Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato warned of rising inflation, while strong wage data reinforced expectations of continued BOJ tightening. Real wages rose for a second month in December, with nominal wage growth hitting a 30-year high due to winter bonuses. The BOJ, which raised rates in January, remains open to further hikes. A weaker US dollar and lower Treasury yields, driven by mixed US data and easing trade war fears, also supported the yen.
The key resistance level appears to be 153.85, with a break above it potentially targeting 154.90 and 156.00. On the downside, 151.90 is the first major support, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the price moves lower.
USDJPY Good selling oportunity!Hey guys,
Based on the chart, price is identified in a descending channel and currently it reached to the top side of the mentioned channel.
Also a rejection on 15min candle is happened that can be a confirmation to our scenario.
So Based on this, I can be a valuable area for opening a sale position with reasonable risk/reward ratio (1/6).
I will update the position soon. 😊
Good luck & Have Fun!
Levels discussed on Livestream 5th Feb 20255th Feb 2025
DXY: Trading lower, needs to break 107.50 to retest 107 round number support level.
NZDUSD: Wait and look for reaction at 0.57 resistance area
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6280 SL 25 TP 80 (hesitation at 0.6325)
GBPUSD: Buy 1.2530 SL 30 TP 80
EURUSD: Sell 1.0440 SL 30 TP 100
USDJPY: Looking for reaction at current support level. Buy 154.10 or Sell 152.30 (SL 40 TP 120)
EURJPY: Buy 160.10 SL 60 TP 120
GBPJPY: Nothing for now
USDCHF: Downside to 0.8980, no H1 setup
USDCAD: Sell 1.4280 SL 40 TP 150
XAUUSD: Hit my TP at 2865, could retrace to 2841 before trading higher again to maybe 2900
USDJPY H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart, the price is testing our buy entry level at 152.158, a pullback support. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bullish setup.
Our take profit is set at 153.750, a pullback resistance
The stop loss is placed at 150.604, below the previous swing low, allowing room for price fluctuations while keeping the bullish outlook valid.
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SHORT | USD/JPY Yen
FX:USDJPY
USD/JPY Technical Analysis (Daily Chart)
Trend Structure:
The chart shows a trend shift from bullish to bearish.
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) previously indicated an uptrend.
However, recent Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) confirm a bearish structure.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support (Target Price 1): 151.316 – This level is being tested.
Major Support (Target Price 2): 149.592 – 150.000 – If 151.316 breaks, the price may drop further towards this zone.
Moving Averages:
Price has broken below both moving averages.
Trendline Break:
The rising trendline has been broken, confirming a bearish breakout.
Trade Outlook: 🔴 Bearish Bias – No Buy Signal
If 151.316 support breaks, expect a move towards 149.592 – 150.000.
Strong resistance above 153.000, meaning any bounce could be a shorting opportunity.
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 151.91
1st Support: 151.04
1st Resistance: 153.74
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Potential rebound from support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 151.88
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 150.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 153.24
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USDJPY - SHORT - 02/02/25On the daily timeframe, USDJPY is still on a retracement. This idea is based off of looking to continue with this trend and reach the daily tf FVG marked.
On the 30min, price has been reaching higher towards a 30min Order Block. This order block meets the criteria: 1.Swept Liquidity 2. Break of Structure 3. Prescence of Structural Liquidity.
The target being the previous structural low, with hopes of price continuing further down.
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDJPY?
The USDJPY pair has broken its upward trendline and is now trading below a key resistance zone. A pullback to the broken level is expected before the price continues its downward move towards the identified target zone.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Japanese Yen Surges on Wage DataThe Japanese yen strengthened past 154 per dollar on Wednesday, its highest in seven weeks, as strong wage and services data fueled expectations of a more aggressive Bank of Japan policy. Japan’s real wages rose for a second month in December, with nominal wage growth hitting a nearly 30-year high due to winter bonuses. The January services PMI was revised up to 53 from 52.7.
In January, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates and signaled openness to further hikes if economic and inflation trends align. Externally, the yen gained as the US dollar weakened after Washington delayed tariffs on Mexico and Canada, while trade tensions with China eased.
Key resistance stands at 155.90, with potential targets at 158.70 and 160.00. Support is at 153.00, followed by 151.90 and 149.20.
$GOOGL Stocks Sink on Alphabet Earnings; Gold Hits AllTime High Stocks Sink on Alphabet Earnings; Gold Hits All-Time High 📉✨
1/9
Global stocks dipped after Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) missed earnings expectations, putting pressure on Wall Street futures. Investors are now questioning tech's growth outlook. 📉 Could this signal a broader tech revaluation?
2/9
Alphabet’s earnings disappointment impacted sentiment across markets, while some European stocks showed resilience. Novo Nordisk delivered positive earnings, highlighting sector-specific strength. 🏢📊
3/9
Currency Moves: The USD/JPY pair saw notable movement as the yen strengthened. Japan’s wage data came in higher than expected, fueling speculation of another rate hike. 💴 Could this be a turning point for the yen's momentum?
4/9
The dollar weakened against major currencies, driven by Japan’s wage growth data and broader market uncertainty. Currency traders, take note: further BOJ tightening may continue shifting capital flows. 📉
5/9
Gold Surge: The precious metal hit a record high today. A weaker dollar and heightened geopolitical risks are driving investors toward safe-haven assets like gold. 🚀 Will this trend hold if market volatility persists?
6/9
Political surprise: President Trump made unexpected remarks about potential U.S. involvement in Gaza for economic development. Despite the shock value, markets largely shrugged off the news. 🗞️ Investors kept their eyes on the numbers instead.
7/9
Market Insights:
Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ): Missed earnings shook tech stocks.
USD/JPY: Yen gains signal a potential shift in forex markets.
Gold: Safe-haven demand pushes prices to new highs.
8/9
Investors may need to reassess their tech positions in light of Alphabet’s performance. Meanwhile, forex traders could find opportunities in USD/JPY movements, and gold investors are riding a bullish wave. 🧭
9/9
What's your market outlook after today's moves? Vote now! 🗳️
Tech will rebound soon 📈
Volatility will dominate 🔄
Gold remains king of 2025 ✨
Will USDJPY continue its decline amid hawkish tones from BoJ?Macro:
- The yen reached a multi-week high due to more hawkish expectations from the BoJ. Japan's December real Wage rose in the second month, driven by winter bonuses.
- The Japan Service PMI was revised to 53. In addition, the BoJ signalled that it would be willing to raise interest rates when conditions met.
Technical:
- USDJPY dropped below both EMAs after breaking the ascending trendline, indicating strong bearish momentum.
- If USDJPY continues to decline, the price may retest the support at 152.00.
- Meanwhile, USDJPY may correct to retest its EMA21 area before resuming its downward movement.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 5, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is attracting fresh buyers after data released during Wednesday's Asian session showed a rise in real wages in Japan, confirming bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again. This is significantly at odds with expectations that the Federal Reserve (BoJ) will cut borrowing costs twice before the end of this year. As a result, the narrowing rate differential between Japan and the U.S. will support yen yields.
In addition, the weakening U.S. dollar (USD) led the USD/JPY pair to fall to mid 153.0, or the lowest level since December 18, in the last hour. Meanwhile, investors remain concerned that Japan could also be targeted by US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs. This, along with a risk-on sentiment, could deter traders from making new bullish bets on the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop supports the outlook for further yen strength.
The Japanese yen hit a one-month high against the US dollar amid expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike. Expectations of further narrowing of the rate differential between Japan and the US also support the yen.
Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
USD/JPY: Dips below 154 have been short livedThis is a quick and simple setup based around the assumption that support will continue to hold for USD/JPY.
The market found support at a high-volume node (HVN) last week. And each time the market has either tested or traded beneath the 154 handle, it has been accompanied by heavier volumes and a subsequent move higher. This suggests bears have been burned trying to short at the cycle lows and then forced to capitulate.
Given we're in the Asian session with no top-tier calendar events, and for now at least Trump's tariff headlines are in the rear-view mirror, we're looking for another bounce from / false break of the 154 handle.
As this is simply a mean-reversion setup, we're not looking for a home run.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
GBP/AUD: The Impact of Tariffs on MarketsThe GBP/AUD exchange rate showed mixed movements from January 27 to February 4, 2025, closing at 1.99489 on February 4 with a decline of approximately 0.42% compared to the previous session. Despite a modest rally on February 3, with an increase of about 0.58%, the subsequent downturn signals prevailing bearish sentiment. This fluctuation highlights a cautious market environment influenced by several key factors. A technical report dated February 4 highlighted a symmetrical triangle pattern where, despite a bullish crossover of the 9-period moving average above the 14-period moving average, the price remains confined between a resistance level around 2.0050. This range-bound behavior reflects traders' hesitation as they await a decisive breakout to confirm the next directional trend. Additionally, geopolitical factors have significantly impacted volatility. The announcement of new U.S. tariffs by President Trump temporarily pushed GBP/AUD above 2.012. However, this rally was short-lived, with the rate retracting shortly after due to market adjustments, demonstrating the pair's sensitivity to external economic policies. Furthermore, risk-off flows have contributed to intermittent strength in GBP/AUD, but the overall sentiment remains mixed. Technical indicators and the persistent narrow trading range indicate ongoing uncertainty, applying continuous downward pressure on the pair.
USDJPY Is Nearing An Important SupportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 153.900 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 153.900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAU/USD : First LONG,then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 1-hour gold chart, we can see that gold has now reached the $2808 - $2818 supply zone and is currently trading around $2810.
Given the liquidity gap created by the price surge from $2772 to $2811, I expect a price correction soon, but likely after one more bullish wave. If gold stabilizes above $2808, it could push higher towards the next targets at $2812, $2817.2, and $2820.
This analysis will be updated soon!
USD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
USD/JPY is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 154.530.
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USD/JPY Analysis by zForex Research TeamYen Falls Below 155 as U.S. Tariff Suspension Eases Safe-Haven Demand
The Japanese yen fell below 155 per dollar on Tuesday as the suspension of U.S. tariffs on Mexico and Canada reduced safe-haven demand. On Monday, Trump agreed to pause the tariffs for a month after talks with both nations. Optimism is also rising over a possible U.S.-China deal to prevent the 10% tariffs set for today. In Japan, investors await Wednesday’s wage data, which could impact the BOJ’s policy outlook. The central bank raised rates in January and signaled readiness for further hikes if economic conditions support it.
The key resistance level appears to be 155.90, with a break above it potentially targeting 158.70 and 160.00. On the downside, 153.80 is the first major support, followed by 151.90 and 149.20 if the price moves lower.