USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 143.48, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 145.11 a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 142.22, a swing low support.
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USDJPY
USDJPY Daily TF - June 29th, 2025USDJPY Daily Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Daily - Bearish
I’m looking at the Daily time frame here as this is the only clear picture for price action in terms of trends. The 4hour looks like price action can’t make a decision so we will wait for price action to get closer to some major zones.
Bearish Continuation - Ideally, we want to see price action touch 147.500 again followed by convincing bearish rejection. Look to target lower toward major support levels if this happens.
Aside from this potential setup we don’t have much to look at here on UJ.
USD/JPY "The Ninja Heist" – Bullish Loot Grab!🌟 Hey, Thieves & Market Bandits! 🌟
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🕵️♂️ Heist Strategy:
📈 Entry (Bullish Raid):
The vault’s unlocked! Buy any price—this heist is LIVE!
Pullback lovers: Set buy limits at recent/swing lows for extra loot.
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route):
Thief SL at recent/swing low (4H/Day trade basis).
Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders.
🎯 Target (Profit Escape):
148.700 (or flee earlier if bears ambush!)
⚔️ Scalpers’ Quick Strike:
LONG ONLY! If rich, attack now. If not, join swing traders & rob slowly.
Trailing SL = Your bodyguard! 💰🔒
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USD/JPY "The Ninja" is bullish due to key factors—check:
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📌 Quantitative + Sentiment + Intermarket Analysis
📌 Future Targets & Overall Score (Linkks In the profile!) 🔗🌍
🚨 Trading Alert (News = Danger!):
Avoid new trades during news—volatility kills!
Trailing SL saves profits on running positions.
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USDJPY Poised for Liquidity Grab Ahead of NFP USDJPY is currently undergoing a clear redistribution phase on the 4H chart, having recently broken bullish structure and formed successive lower highs. The first week of July is packed with high-impact economic events from both the US and Japan – most notably speeches from Fed Chair Powell and BOJ Governor Ueda, alongside ADP and Non-Farm Payrolls – all of which could trigger significant volatility and a potential liquidity sweep before a true directional move takes shape.
🎯 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Flow Analysis
✅ A Break of Structure (BOS) has just occurred following a sharp selloff from the 147.8 supply zone – a bearish structure is now clearly established.
⚠️ Change of Character (ChoCH) near the 145.8 level signals potential institutional involvement and short-term redistribution.
💧 Equal Lows (EQL) around 143.0 and 142.2 suggest prime liquidity targets likely to be swept before any genuine bullish intent emerges.
📈 Price is currently retracing toward the 145.85 – 146.00 short-term supply zone, offering a favourable area for short setups if rejection occurs.
🧠 Trade Scenarios (Planned)
🔻 Priority SELL Setups
SELL at 145.851 – 146.000
SL: 146.351
TP1: 145.351 (+50 pips)
TP2: 144.851 (+100 pips)
TP3: 143.851 (+200 pips)
TP4: Open
This is a fresh supply zone formed post-BOS, ideal for potential short entries upon confirmation.
SELL at 147.750 – 147.950
SL: 148.150
TP1: 147.250 (+50 pips)
TP2: 146.750 (+100 pips)
TP3: 145.750 (+200 pips)
TP4: Open
A key higher timeframe supply zone. If price breaks above 146.3 and rallies further, this is where Smart Money may re-enter shorts.
🔺 Potential BUY Setups Post-Liquidity Sweep
BUY at 143.031 – 142.930
SL: 142.731
TP1: 143.531 (+50 pips)
TP2: 144.031 (+100 pips)
TP3: 145.031 (+200 pips)
TP4: Open
This zone aligns with the trendline and EQL – a possible bounce zone if bullish BOS or strong price rejection appears.
BUY at 142.200 – 142.000
SL: 141.800
TP1: 142.700 (+50 pips)
TP2: 143.200 (+100 pips)
TP3: 144.200 (+200 pips)
TP4: Open
A deeper liquidity pool – likely an institutional entry point if price is flushed prior to NFP data.
📅 Key Upcoming Events – USD/JPY Traders Beware
Tuesday (1 July):
🗣️ Speeches from BOJ Gov Ueda and Fed Chair Powell – high-impact catalysts early in the week.
🧾 ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings – insight into the US economy’s momentum.
Wednesday to Thursday (2–3 July):
💼 ADP Employment & Non-Farm Payrolls – major market-moving data to shape USD sentiment.
→ Given the heavy news calendar, it's wise to react to price action at key zones with strong risk management, rather than pre-empt.
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 146.700 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 146.700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAUUSD : Ready for More Upside Before Another Fall ?By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that price initially followed our bullish scenario, climbing 140 pips up to $3336. However, after hitting that level, gold reversed and entered the bearish scenario, dropping below $3300 and eventually finding support around $3255.
This area acted as a strong demand zone, and we’ve since seen a rebound. Currently, gold is trading around $3273, and as long as price holds above the marked demand zone (Bullish Rejection Block), we may expect another bullish move before price potentially targets the liquidity below $3245 and $3203.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Our original sell bias from $3,347 which I posted live for you all, is now running in deep profits! Market is now down & running 810 PIPS in profit in just 2 days.
We have broken structure to the downside, crossing below our previous 'Wave E' low, indicating & acting as stronger confluence that Gold will carry on down towards our $2,800 target. Huge profits en-route for us all in this free channel.
GOLD - SELL TO $3,288 (1H VIEW)Still looking for a move lower into the $2,787 - $3,276 zone, to take out the June low, like I mentioned to you all a few days ago.
Tomorrow is Friday so be careful as price action could be choppy & use strict risk management.
⭕️Imbalance Left Below $3,300 Psychological Number.
⭕️Either Wave 2 or Wave C Not Complete of Major Impulse Move Down.
⭕️Sellers Holding Below Resistance Zone.
TP: $3,288
USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 144.558.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 143.239 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on USD/JPY, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 143.964.
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USDJPY and USDCAD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off te pivot and could drop t the 1st support.
Pivot: 144.67
1st Support: 143.07
1st Resistance: 145.89
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Can PCE data rescue the dollar? JPY, EUR, GBP setup in playThe latest U.S. PCE report is set for release at 8:30am EDT, with both headline and core inflation expected at 0.1% month-on-month.
As the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, today’s figures could influence interest rate expectations. A stronger print may reduce the case for a July rate cut, while a softer result could add pressure on the U.S. dollar.
The dollar has already weakened this week amid speculation over central bank independence (trump is reportedly considering nominating Fed chair Jerome Powell’s successor earlier than normal in order to undermine the current chair).
Pairs to watch include, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY with symmetrical triangle formations suggesting breakout potential in either direction for all once the data hits.
Is USDJPY in a Downtrend?USDJPY is supported by the trendline and the price is facing the resistance zone of 144.500. If the candle cannot close above this resistance zone, the sellers can push the price to break the trendline and head towards the support zone of 142.700. This support zone plays an important role in shaping the trend if broken the downtrend can be extended and no support zone can be strong enough to push the price of the pair until 140.300.
There is still a high possibility of a reaction so the BUY strategy at the support zone of 142.700 is still ready
On the other hand, if the candle closes above the resistance zone of 144.500, the uptrend is still maintained and heading towards this week's peak around 147.500. Pay attention to the price reaction at 146.000.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.61
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 146.11
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 142.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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Yen rises sharply, Tokyo Core CPI nextThe Japanese yen has posted strong gains on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.14, down 0.55% on the day. Earlier, USD/JPY fell as low as 143.75, its lowest level since June 13.
Tokyo Core CPI, a leading indicator of nationwide inflation trends, will be released early Thursday. Tokyo Core CPI hit 3.6% in May, its highest level in over two years. The market estimate for June stands at 3.3%.
The Bank of Japan has signaled that more rate hikes are on the way, provided that inflation continues to move towards the BoJ's level of a sustainable 2%. However, trade talks between the US and Japan have hit a snag, with Japan saying it can't accept US tariffs of 25% on automobiles. The clock is ticking, as US reciprocal tariffs will take effect on July 9 without a deal.
The markets are eyeing a possible rate hike in July, which would be the first rate hike since January. The BoJ meets next on July 31, and if the two sides can reach a trade deal before then, it could cement a rate hike at that meeting. Even if the BoJ maintains rates at the upcoming meeting, investors will be keen to see the new inflation and growth forecasts.
The BOJ's summary of opinions from the June meeting, released Wednesday, didn't provide much insight into the BoJ's rate path. Board members were divided over whether to raise rates in a period of economic uncertainty over the impact of US tariffs on Japan's economy.
There is support at 144.59 and 143.93
145.27 and 145.93 are the next resistance lines
USDJPY – Uptrend Still Intact, But Waiting for a BounceUSDJPY is currently pulling back toward the key support zone at 142.244 after being rejected from the 148.000 resistance area. This recent drop reflects strong selling pressure from the dense FVG zones near Resistance 2.
However, the overall structure remains bullish, with a series of higher highs and higher lows still intact. The current support zone is crucial—if it holds, USDJPY could rebound toward 145.800 and potentially retest the 148.000 level.
On the news front:
– A fragile ceasefire between Iran and Israel has improved global risk sentiment, reducing demand for USD as a safe haven.
– The Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged and signaled caution in reducing bond purchases—supporting the yen, but not enough to reverse the dollar's edge.
– The wide interest rate differential still favors the USD.
Strategy: Watch for bullish confirmation at 142.244. If buyers step in clearly, it may present a long opportunity in line with the dominant uptrend.
USDJPY: Bullish Forecast & Bullish Scenario
The recent price action on the USDJPY pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
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USD/JPY) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 3-hour timeframe, highlighting a breakdown from trendline resistance and projecting a move toward a significant downside target.
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Technical Breakdown
1. Trendline Rejection
Price sharply rejected from the descending resistance trendline near 148.00 (red arrow), forming a potential lower high.
This suggests continuation of the broader downtrend structure.
2. Break Below EMA 200
Price has broken below the 200 EMA (144.752), signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
EMA is likely to act as dynamic resistance if price attempts a pullback.
3. Bearish Projection
The chart outlines a measured move downward toward the target point at 139.955, implying a drop of over 5.36% (approximately 770 pips).
The projected path shows lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish structure.
4. RSI Confirmation
RSI (14) is currently at 29.98, indicating oversold conditions, but this often supports strong momentum in trending markets—suggesting a possible continuation lower after minor retracements.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion / Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Entry: After trendline rejection and EMA 200 break (~144.75)
Target: 139.955
Invalidation: Break above 148.00 resistance trendline
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USDJPYCurrent Price Action:
The USD/JPY pair is trading at 144.414, down -0.842 (-0.588%).
The price is hovering near the 20-period BMA (144.384) and OXIDA level (141.784), suggesting a potential inflection point.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 144.500, 145.000, 145.500.
Strong Resistance: 146.000, 146.530, 147.000 (profit target).
Immediate Support: 144.000, 143.850 (double-bottom level), 143.500.
Strong Support: 144.270 (near current price), 143.850 (critical).
Technical Indicators:
BMA (20-period): The price is slightly above the BMA at 144.384, indicating neutral momentum.
OXIDA: The OXIDA level at 141.784 is far below, acting as a long-term support.
Market Sentiment:
The downtrend is mild (-0.588%), but the proximity to key support (143.850-144.000) suggests potential consolidation or reversal if buyers step in.
A break below 143.500 could signal further downside, while a rebound above 145.000 may target 146.000-147.000.
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Scenario: If price holds above 144.000, consider longs with targets at 145.000, 145.500, and 146.000. Stop loss below 143.850.
Bearish Scenario: A break below 143.850 could lead to a test of 143.500. Shorts may target 143.000 with a stop above 144.270.
Conclusion:
The pair is in a short-term downtrend but near critical support. Watch for reactions at 144.000-144.500 to determine the next directional move. Risk management is key given the tight range.