USDJPY Bullish Breakout Setup – Retest at Key Demand ZoneUSDJPY is respecting a clean bullish structure after rebounding from the 140.100 base. Price made a higher high near 148.650, followed by a pullback into the previous demand zone around 145.000.
Technical Breakdown:
Market Structure: Higher highs and higher lows indicate a strong uptrend.
Demand Zone: Clean reaction from the 145.000 zone, which previously acted as resistance-turned-support.
Target Zones:
First TP: 147.900 (previous swing high)
Final TP: 150.600 (key resistance level)
Invalidation Level : Close below 144.800 could invalidate this bullish scenario.
If price sustains above 145.000, the bullish trend is likely to continue.
As always, manage risk carefully.
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USDJPY
USD_JPY RISKY SHORT|
✅USD_JPY made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 146.133 which is a
Resistance now and the pair
Is now making a pullback
But as we are bearish biased
We will be expecting a move
Down after the pair retests
The new resistance
SHORT🔥
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USDJPY and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Yen Strengthens Despite Japan’s Q1 ContractionThe Japanese yen strengthened toward 145 per dollar, extending its rally for a fourth straight day, despite Japan’s economy shrinking by 0.2% in the first quarter, worse than forecasts. While the Bank of Japan acknowledged the risks posed by U.S. trade policies, it remains confident that rising wages and prices will support eventual policy normalization. Investors are closely watching U.S.-Japan trade negotiations, with Japan insisting that any deal must include the auto sector and that the 25% U.S. tariff on Japanese cars be removed.
Resistance is noted at 148.60, with further barriers at 149.80 and 151.20. Major support levels lie at 139.70, 137.00, and 135.00.
USDJPY Repriced for a Better Short OpportunityIn my initial trade shared during the Asian session, USDJPY swept the sell-side liquidity and formed a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG). Price action has now provided a refined entry point for a continuation short setup.
The recent liquidity sweep, followed by displacement, suggests that the market may aim for the recent low — with the potential to push even further if bearish momentum continues. My short position is now aligned with this structure, and I’ll be watching closely for signs of continuation or rejection near key support levels.
USD/JPY H4 | Overlap resistance at 23.6% Fibonacci retracementUSD/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 145.82 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 147.11 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 144.16 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
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Bearish USD/JPY — Yen Strength FavoredCMCMARKETS:USDJPY Bearish Factors (USD Negative / JPY Positive):
Hawkish BoJ Expectations:
Despite Japan’s weaker Q1 GDP, BoJ officials—particularly Deputy Governor Uchida—have signalled openness to resuming rate hikes in 2025. A Reuters survey suggests a potential 25bps hike before year-end. This divergence from the Fed’s stance supports JPY strength.
Dovish Fed Outlook Intensifies:
Weak U.S. April PPI and retail sales figures reinforce expectations for multiple rate cuts this year. Falling Treasury yields and soft inflation readings weigh heavily on the dollar.
Resistance : 146.75 , 145.87
Support : 144.91 , 143.52
$JPGDBQQ -Japan's GDP Shrinks More than Expected (Q1/2025)$JPGDBQQ
Q1/2025
source: Cabinet Office, Japan
- Japan's GDP shrank 0.2% qoq in Q1 of 2025, compared with forecasts of a 0.1% fall and after a 0.6% growth in Q4, flash data showed.
It was the first GDP contraction in a year, amid worries over the impact of US trade policy under President Donald Trump.
On an annualized basis, the economy contracted 0.7%, worse than consensus of a 0.2% drop and a reversal from an upwardly revised 2.4% gain in Q4.
USD/JPY - Trendline Breakout (14.05.2025)The USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 145.34
2nd Support – 143.81
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USDJPY: FVG Then Bullish Overflow?It has been a significant week for USD/JPY. Following a break of structure (BOS) on the 4-hour timeframe, price moved away from equilibrium, leaving behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG). As the new week begins, we may observe a false move designed to induce traders into premature short positions before a potential bullish reversal—or vice versa. Additionally, given the recent BOS, price may temporarily stall to facilitate order accumulation. Next week will be pivotal in determining the pair’s next direction.
Watch out for the key levels
USOIL Temporary Drop seems inevitableYesterday's analysis perfectly predicted today's market movement. The USD/JPY rebounded from the low of 140.00, recovered from the downtrend channel, and then encountered resistance and pulled back at 148.65. Sellers are currently testing the support level of 146. If this level is broken, it may decline further to the round - number levels of 145.00 and 143.50. If 146 holds, buyers will attempt to break through the resistance level of 148.65 and further aim for the 200 - day moving average at 149.60.
Today, the released U.S. retail sales and PPI inflation data will provide clues about the consumer situation and the wholesale inflation landscape. The market expects that after a 1.5% increase in March, U.S. retail sales will be flat at 0% in April. Meanwhile, the PPI is projected to rise 0.2% after a 0.4% decline in March. The USD/JPY rebounded from the low of 140.00, recovered from the downtrend channel, and then encountered resistance and pulled back at 148.65. Sellers are currently testing the support level of 146. If this level is broken, it may decline further to the round - number levels of 145.00 and 143.50.
Federal Reserve Chair Powell will also give a speech, likely reiterating the Fed's stance that it will not be hasty to cut interest rates again until the impact of Trump's tariffs on the economy becomes clearer.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
USD/JPY : More Bullish Move Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price moved exactly as expected — first correcting down to the 142.5 area, and then rallying strongly to hit the 146.2 target. Currently, this pair is trading around 145.2, and if the price can hold above 145, we can still expect further upside movement on USDJPY. The next potential targets are 148.7 and 150 respectively. This analysis will be updated. The total return of this analysis so far has been over 720 pips!
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USDJPY INTRADAY downtrend continuation below 147.00USD/JPY remains in a bearish trend, as the longer-term downtrend continues to dominate market sentiment.
The key level to watch is 147.00, which marks the recent swing high and a strong resistance area. If the pair rises toward this level and gets rejected, it could resume its downward move toward support at 144.60, with further downside targets at 143.00 and 142.35 over time.
However, if the price breaks above 147.00 and posts a daily close above it, this would challenge the bearish outlook. In that case, the pair may continue higher, aiming for 147.60 and then possibly 148.50.
Conclusion:
The trend for USD/JPY is still bearish. A rejection at 147.00 could lead to more downside. But if the pair breaks and closes above 147.00, it may shift to a bullish move in the short term. Traders should watch how the price reacts around the 147.00 level for clues on the next direction.
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USDJPY and GBPJPY Further drop?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Potential Breakdown or Reversal
**USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Potential Breakdown or Reversal**
**Technical Summary:**
The chart shows USD/JPY trading within a rising channel, with recent price action indicating a possible bearish shift. Liquidity above a recent high has been taken, followed by a **change of character (CHoCH)** suggesting potential bearish intent.
**Key Highlights:**
* **Liquidity Grab:** Price swept prior highs, likely triggering buy-side liquidity.
* **CHoCH Identified:** Structure broke to the downside, indicating a bearish shift in market sentiment.
* **Critical Level:** A **4H close below 144.802** is crucial for confirmation of further downside movement.
* **Channel Support:** Price is currently testing the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
* **Scenarios:**
* **Bullish Case:** If the price respects the channel and pushes higher, targets near **150.000** could come into play.
* **Bearish Case:** A confirmed breakdown below **144.802** opens the path toward the **139.000 demand zone**.
**Outlook:**
* Monitor for 4H candle close below 144.802 for bearish confirmation.
* Alternatively, bullish continuation is valid if support holds and structure shifts upward again.
**Disclaimer:** This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
USDJPY Setup: Weak Highs, Smart Money Buys Liquidity!!📊 USDJPY is showing signs of a Smart Money reversal from the discount zone.
This 30-minute chart reveals institutional intentions hiding in plain sight — with clear signs of engineered liquidity grabs and the potential for a strong bullish continuation.
🧠 What’s Happening on the Chart:
✅ Price has swept sell-side liquidity below the recent lows
✅ Retraced cleanly to the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 146.26, a classic Smart Money entry zone
✅ The current price is hovering around the 50% retracement, forming a potential higher low structure
📈 Bullish Confluence:
Price is rebounding from a discount zone (golden ratio: 61.8% Fib)
There’s a clearly defined "weak high" marked around 147.00 — Smart Money typically targets these areas
Above that, there are two stacked buy-side liquidity levels:
147.670
148.282
Final target? The liquidity pool near 148.654 — a clean magnet for price
🎯 Trade Idea:
Long Bias from 146.26–146.43 zone (Smart Money re-entry)
Targets:
TP1: 147.00 (Weak High)
TP2: 147.670 (Buy Side Liquidity)
TP3: 148.282 – 148.654 (Full Liquidity Sweep)
Invalidation: Clean break below 146.20 with strong bearish volume
📌 Why This Setup Works:
This setup uses Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
Weak Highs often signal institutional targets
Fair Value Gap (FVG) + Fib confluence adds strong bullish probability
Retail shorts get trapped, thinking the rally was a pullback — while institutions accumulate at discount
🧠 Pro Tip:
Watch for confirmation with a bullish engulfing candle or break of short-term structure before full entry.
Front-running the Smart Money leads to losses. Let them move first.
💬 Comment "USDJPY MOVE" if you're planning to trade this setup
💾 Save this chart for later — this is how the big players trade FX.
Short I opened a short position yesterday at the price of 147.50.
Currently the price is 146.18. The price has dropped quite a bit but I think it still has a good short entry opportunity with a reasonable risk reward.
Reasons for short trade:
The price has reached the major support level around 149 on the 22nd April. Since then, the price has moved up to the fair value gap area between 149.2 and 148.2 (blue rectangular box), and also the order block.
That area is also the Fib 0786 area. I look at Fib 0.786 as the last line of defence and it is usually a hard line to break.
The price hit the area and started to move to the downside. Momentum indicators are still in the bull territory but the lines have crossed and clearly moving to the downside.
My macro bias for USD is bearish and the current price set up support my bias. The risk reward is good enough for me to enter.
My trade set up:
Entry: 147.51Stop: 148.95Target: 142.478 (Fib 0.236)
Risk:Reward= 1:3.5
Currently the price is 146.17. It just broked below Fib 0.618. Entry now can give you 1:1.5 risk reward.
Potential bullish bounce?USD/JPY has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 145.89
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 144.44
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 148.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY 4H BULLISH ZONEBased on the USD/JPY 4-hour chart we provided, the market is currently in an ascending channel. A recent dip from the upper boundary of the channel suggests a possible retracement before a bounce back up. The chart indicates a bullish continuation pattern with a projected move toward the top of the channel and a marked target around 148.725–148.855.
Suggested Buy Trade Setup:
Entry Zone (Buy Limit):
Near the mid-channel or support trendline: 145.50–145.80
Take Profit Levels (TPs):
1. TP1: 147.00 – conservative target (near recent highs)
2. TP2: 148.00 – key resistance and psychological level
3. TP3: 148.725 – top of the channel
4. TP4: 148.855 – potential breakout level or final target
Stop Loss (SL):
Below channel support: 144.80–145.00, depending on risk appetite
USDJPY: Bearish Trend ContinuesThe exchange rate of the US dollar against the Japanese yen continues its downward trend, further retreating from the 148.65 area (the highest level since April 3) touched earlier this week. During the European trading session, driven by multiple factors, the exchange rate dropped below 146.00. The daily chart of the US dollar against the Japanese yen shows that the exchange rate is in a downward channel. Currently, the price is retesting the important support area of 145.230, which has served as a resistance level on many occasions before. From the perspective of the Bollinger Bands indicator, the exchange rate has declined from the upper band (147.848) and is currently hovering near the middle band, indicating that the short - term downward pressure still exists.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
GBPJPY breaking the F.V.G?GBPJPY after breakout of the monthly long term trend line has got rejected for potential retest of the support. As the market has left a gap untested at 193.50 level, there is a high probability for the price to drop and retest and fill that gap. Currently price is approaching a fair value gap.
As first trade closed in profit, looking for another sell entry at 1h candle close!
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.