USDJPY
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 154.300 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 154.300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Yen Strengthens, Awaits BOJ Himino's CommentsThe Japanese yen strengthened past 154.5 per dollar on Thursday, marking a second straight gain as investors awaited BOJ Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino’s remarks. Earlier this month, Himino signaled the January 24 rate hike, fueling speculation of a continued hawkish stance. The BOJ raised rates and upgraded inflation forecasts in January but remains cautious, with future decisions depending on inflation, wages, and global risks. Meanwhile, the Fed paused its rate cuts, noting inflation remains “somewhat elevated.”
Key resistance is at 155.60, with targets at 158.70 and 160.00. Support stands at 153.80, followed by 151.90 and 149.20.
Yen Slips to 155.6 as Markets Await Fed Policy DecisionThe yen trades around 155.6 per dollar, slipping after Tuesday’s loss as investors await the Fed’s policy decision. The central bank is expected to hold rates steady despite Trump’s calls for immediate cuts.
Trump’s escalating tariff threats added pressure, while safe-haven demand linked to a low-cost Chinese AI model faded. BOJ minutes showed a cautious stance on policy adjustments, though January’s rate hike and inflation forecast revisions signal potential further increases.
The key resistance level appears to be 158.60, with a break above it potentially targeting 160.00 and 161.00. On the downside, 154.90 is the first major support, followed by 153.80 and 151.90 if the price moves lower.
USD/JPY: Will the Fed or BoJ Dominate the Tug of War?The USD/JPY exchange rate has shown both resilience and vulnerability in recent trading sessions, shaped by competing factors from monetary policy shifts to global economic developments. On the positive side, the U.S. dollar remains underpinned by Federal Reserve rate decisions, with market expectations of steady rates in the near term supporting its strength. Tariff threats from the U.S. administration further bolster the dollar’s safe-haven appeal, particularly as external economic pressures persist. Additionally, the pair has demonstrated an ability to recover from lower levels, such as rebounding to 155.50 during Tuesday's Asian trading, aided by softer Japanese service-sector inflation data. However, the Japanese yen has also gained momentum due to the Bank of Japan’s recent 25 basis point rate hike, which reflects a confident stance on inflation and wage growth trends. This decision has increased the yen’s attractiveness as a safe-haven asset, exacerbating pressure on the USD/JPY pair, particularly as global uncertainties and shifts in risk sentiment encourage investors to diversify into safe havens like the yen and the Swiss franc. Market sentiment surrounding U.S. economic vulnerabilities, including concerns over tariffs and a potential dovish shift by the Federal Reserve, has further weighed on the dollar. Traders are now pricing in a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed later this year, a factor that could erode the dollar’s appeal if realized. Overall, while USD/JPY has displayed moments of strength, the competing influences of U.S. dollar dynamics, Japanese yen strength, and global market sentiment create a volatile environment where traders must remain vigilant of economic data and central bank decisions.
Dollar Index Bullish to $111.350 (UPDATE)The Dollar has melted down to our second POI, down to $107 & so far has bounced back up. It is possible that price might still drop a little lower, but overall I expect the Dollar to turn bullish again.
We've seen Wave 4 correction complete, followed by a 'BOS' above Wave 3 high confirming the bull run will continue. Retest of supply zone completed, now time for the move up to continue📈
USDJPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 154.29 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 153.64
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 155.59
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USD/JPY Hits Target Again! Massive 500 Pips Move! What's Next?By analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that the price has dropped precisely from the 156.75 zone, as anticipated in our analysis, and has hit the 154 target! The key demand zone is between 153 and 154.3, while the significant supply zones are 155.40, 157 to 158.2, and 158.8, respectively. The total return from this analysis has exceeded 500 pips so far! With your support, this analysis will be updated soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The Latest Analysis :
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Fundamental Market Analysis for January 28, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) weakened during the Asian session on Tuesday, moving away from the six-week high recorded earlier against the US dollar (USD). The weakening was driven by investor concerns over the impact of US President Donald Trump's trade policy. Tougher rhetoric on trade tariffs, in particular statements about new duties, undermined the yen's position as a defensive asset. An additional pressure factor was the rise in US Treasury bond yields, which attracted capital flows into dollar assets.
Amid the recovery of the US dollar, which reached the lowest level since 18 December, the USD/JPY pair approached 155.00. Despite the current weakness of the yen, analysts believe that its significant decline is unlikely. This is due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates, supporting the national currency.
On the other hand, the US Federal Reserve (Fed), according to forecasts, may cut interest rates twice in 2025, which will put pressure on the dollar. A rate cut could reduce the attractiveness of US assets and hamper further growth of the USD/JPY pair.
Investors will closely follow macroeconomic data and speeches of central bankers. USD/JPY is expected to remain in the range of 154.50-155.50, but any change of rhetoric from the Fed or BoJ can significantly affect the market dynamics.
Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 155.00, trading mainly with Sell orders
EURJPY | 1 HOUR | PULLBACK THEN BULLHi everyone, Please don't forget to press the like button to receive updates of this analysis. 🚀
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY EURJPY ( FX:EURJPY ) | 162,309 , 162,221
🟢TP1: 162,500
🟢TP2: 163,100
🟢TP3: 163,950
🔴SL: 160,908
Stop Loss RR ratio - 1,32
Thanks to everyone who supported my analysis with likes 🙏🏻
Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 156.60
1st Support: 154.22
1st Resistance: 158.16
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USD/JPY -H1- Bearish FlagThe USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 154.30
2nd Support – 153.52
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USDJPY BEARISH PROJECTIONUSD/JPY experienced a strong decline, breaking below key hourly support and a significant trend line. The pair has since recovered from its lows, holding near the 50% retracement level and a support zone identified on the left after filling a crucial fair value gap. However, downside momentum still appears likely once the market settles from the current pullback, as the price has fallen below a critical resistance zone. We anticipate further downside movement, with potential retests of the lows at 151.6 and 149.3.
USDJPY H4 | Bearish fallBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 155.88, which aligns with a strong resistance level. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup.
Our take profit is set at 154.142, an overlap support zone where price may find buying interest.
The stop loss is placed at 156.894, above the previous swing high, providing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid.
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USD/JPY Market Update: Support Holds and Resistance Levels AheadUSD/JPY has held firm at the support level and is now returning to a buy zone. Currently, the market is at 156.500, with the next resistance level set at 159.000.
I’ve explained the market clearly in my chart analysis for easier understanding.
If anyone has questions, feel free to ask in the comments or send me a message in my inbox.
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[b]USDJPY 2D:[/b] [i]Technical AnalysisTREND OVERVIEW
Downtrend with moderate confidence (38.1%)
Trend Score: -80 = entering a downtrend
Key resistance at 160.84 (PIVOT HIGH)
RESISTANCE:
161.95 (Stop-loss Zone)
160.84 (PIVOT HIGH)
158.60 (Supply Zone)
SUPPORT:
154.34 (TP 1)
150.76 (TP 2 / MID PIVOT)
148.12 (TP 3)
144.05 (TP 4)
Critical Support: 140.55
139.57 (PIVOT LOW / BUY STOPLOSS)
PRICE ACTION
A close below 154.34 confirms bearish continuation.
Supply Zones at 160.84 and 158.60 holds firm, limiting upside potential.
Bearish momentum aligns with the trend, targeting TP levels.
TRADE PLAN
Enter short positions targeting TP 1–4.
Stop-loss: 161.95 (Above key resistance).
Monitor 140.55 for possible bullish reversal.