USD/JPY Finding Support at Key Fibonacci Level - Will it Hold?USD/JPY pair has been trending lower in a well-defined descending channel, respecting its upper and lower boundaries. Price action recently tested the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (146.95), where a mild rebound is now taking shape.
Despite this, the 50-day SMA (152.84) and 200-day SMA (152.01) remain above price, acting as resistance levels should a reversal attempt materialize. The MACD remains in negative territory, confirming bearish momentum, while the RSI at 39.79 suggests the pair is approaching oversold conditions but hasn't confirmed a bullish shift yet.
Key Levels to Watch:
📉 Support: 146.95 (Fib 61.8%), 143.71 (Fib 78.6%)
📈 Resistance: 152.00 (200-day SMA), 152.84 (50-day SMA)
A break above the descending channel could suggest a reversal attempt, while continued rejection at the upper trendline favors further downside.
-MW
USDJPY
USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 148.76
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 147.83
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY Channel Down to make an important decision.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the January 10 High. During that time it technically got rejection upon every 4H MA100 (green trend-line) contact or close contact into a new Bearish Leg.
Three out of those four Bearish Legs have been -3.16% so even if a rejection does happen at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down, you can still be expecting 145.350 as a Target.
If however the 4H RSI Bullish Divergence on Higher Lows prevails and causes the price to break above the Channel Down, we will accept the small loss on the short and go long instead, targeting the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 156.000. A lower Target in that scenario can also be Resistance 2 (154.800).
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USDJPY and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Yen Slips Against USD as Tariff Concerns Increase the DollarThe yen fell below 148 per dollar on Friday, reversing gains as trade tensions increased the dollar. Trump reaffirmed plans for reciprocal tariffs starting April 2. Despite this drop, the yen remains near a five-month high, backed by expectations of BOJ rate hikes. Japanese firms agreed to wage increases for a third year, aiming to offset inflation and labor shortages. Higher wages may spur spending and inflation, giving the BOJ room for future hikes. While rates are expected to remain unchanged next week, policymakers may pursue hikes later this year.
Key resistance is at 149.20, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
Potential bullish rise?USD/JPY has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 148.14
1st Support: 147.58
1st Resistance: 149.25
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USD/JPY Bearish Outlook: Key Support Levels to WatchUSD/JPY 4-hour chart is showing a clear downtrend, with price forming lower highs and lower lows. A recent retracement has tested a previous support-turned-resistance zone (148.240 - 148.262), and rejection from this level indicates the potential for further downside movement.
Bearish Confirmation & Entry:
The price is currently testing the 148.240 - 148.262 resistance zone.
A strong rejection from this level would confirm a sell setup.
The trade setup suggests a move towards the next key support zones if momentum continues downward.
Target Levels:
First Take Profit (TP1): 146.543 (Recent low & strong support level)
Second Take Profit (TP2): 145.807 (Key demand zone)
Final Take Profit (TP3): 142.960 (Major psychological support)
Risk Management:
Stop-loss placement: Above the 148.262 resistance zone, ensuring protection against unexpected bullish reversals.
The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, with a structured trade setup providing a high-probability short opportunity.
USD/JPY at a Key Level: Is a New Trend Emerging?USD/JPY is currently in the D1 discount zone and approaching a D1 FVG, where a potential reaction may occur. The price is moving within a downtrend channel for now.
If a reaction happens at this level, we should wait for a channel breakout. A trade opportunity arises either on the breakout retest or immediately after the breakout, confirming bullish momentum and increasing the probability of an upward move.
Risk Management Strategy:
To secure profits and manage risk effectively, consider scaling out at key levels:
• Target 1: Close 25% of the position to secure initial profits.
• Target 2: Close 50% of the position to lock in more gains.
• Target 3: Close 100% of the remaining position for full take profit.
Risk Reward 1.3
Monitoring price action closely at this level is crucial.
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 147.31
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 146.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 148.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY Is Going Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 147.816.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 146.645 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Usdjpy analysis This chart represents a technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe from TradingView, outlining potential price movements based on key support and resistance levels.
Support Level: Marked around 147.175, this level is expected to act as a strong demand zone where buyers might step in if the price retraces.
Current Price: USD/JPY is trading around 148.262, showing signs of bullish momentum.
Potential Price Movement: The chart suggests a possible pullback toward the support level before resuming an uptrend.
First Target: Positioned at approximately 149.678, this is the next key resistance level where price action might encounter selling pressure.
Second Target: Identified near 151.002, indicating further bullish continuation if the first target is broken.
Outlook:
The analysis suggests a bullish bias, but a retracement to support may occur before a potential breakout. Traders may look for confirmation signals before entering positions. The volume profile on the right shows strong activity around these levels, reinforcing the importance of these key zones.
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is approaching our buy entry at 148.01, which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 148.94, which is a pullback resistance
The stop loss will be placed at 147.13, an overlap support.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bunce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 148.03
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 149.23
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with he 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 149.23
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY INTRADAY Key Trading LevelsThe USD/JPY price action sentiment appears bearish, aligned with the prevailing long-term downtrend. Recent price movements suggest potential for continued downward pressure, with a key resistance level in focus.
Key Levels and Price Action
The critical trading level to watch is 150.60, which marks the current intraday swing high and the falling resistance trendline. A corrective oversold rally towards this level, followed by a bearish rejection, could indicate continued downside momentum. In this scenario, the next downside targets would be 148.75, followed by 147.25 and 146.30 over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 150.60, supported by a daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish outlook. Such a breakout could open the door for further rallies higher, with potential resistance levels at 151.46 and 153.00.
Conclusion
The sentiment remains bearish as long as the 150.60 resistance level holds, with potential downside targets at 148.75, 147.25, and 146.30. A breakout above 150.60 would shift the outlook to bullish, suggesting a move towards 151.46 and 153.00. Traders should carefully monitor price action and daily closes around the 150.60 level to assess any sentiment shifts.
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