GBPJPY and USDJPY Bullish bounce?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY
USDJPY - Technical Analysis Favors Dollar Strength AheadBased on the USD/JPY chart, we're seeing a promising bullish setup after the pair rebounded from support around 142.00. The price has formed a higher low and appears to be establishing a potential uptrend, having recently broken above the 145.00 resistance level. With the current price action showing resilience and momentum shifting to the upside, there's a higher probability of continued strength toward potential targets near the previous highs around 148.00. The formation of consecutive bullish candles above key support zones reinforces this positive outlook, suggesting buyers are regaining control after the April decline.
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USDJPY WEEKLYHello Traders. This is my analysis for USDJPY. If it breaks out of the trend line, we can expect a significant drop. Let's hope it will make a false breakout from the trend line and continue bullish.
I am not a professional and I would be happy if you share your opinion in the comments.
USDJPY Set to Rise as Support Holds and Dollar Finds TailwindsUSDJPY looks poised for further upside following a period of consolidation and a successful retest of strong support around the 140.50 level. The weekly chart reveals a clear triple bottom pattern, reinforcing the strength of this support zone and suggesting renewed bullish momentum.
The US Dollar is starting to regain strength after a period of weakness, supported by improving U.S. economic data, sticky inflation, and a less dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. In contrast, Japan is unlikely to change its ultra-loose monetary policy in the near term, keeping rate differentials wide and favoring a stronger Dollar.
With the Bank of Japan expected to hold rates steady for the foreseeable future, capital is likely to continue flowing out of the yen. Carry trade flows remain intact, adding to the upward pressure on USDJPY.
Momentum indicators are turning higher, and price action is forming a steady base for another leg up. The market could target the 150 zone in the coming weeks, where the 50-week moving average may act as initial resistance.
As long as 140.50 holds, dips could offer attractive buying opportunities. A sustained move above 145.00 could trigger fresh bullish momentum and accelerate gains.
USDJPY Will Move Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 142.756.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 144.697.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USD/JPY Trendline Resistance - 145.00 SupportUSD/JPY has been tricky this year as the pair has brewed several bear traps and there's even been some bull traps along the way. Trading breakouts in a market like that can be even more frustrating than usual, as a case in point the 140.00 test from a few weeks ago was a brutal false breakout that then led to a 500+ pip reversal.
Last week's Bank of Japan meeting was followed by this week's FOMC meeting and the net result of the two was a stronger USD/JPY, and for the second consecutive week the pair found resistance on the underside of a trendline projection.
But perhaps more notably, the same 145.00 level that bulls could not hold above a week ago showed up as support into the end of this week. I wouldn't want to call the weekly bar as a purely bullish item, however, as it has more of a spinning top/indecisive type of nature. But - given that it closed green for a third week in a row and held above 145, we have to give bulls some credit here, and the door would remain open for a deeper run towards the 146.75 prior swing low. - js
USDJPY Smart Money Short Setup | 30m OB + FVG Reaction🧠 USDJPY 30m SMC Setup | May 9, 2025
We’ve got a high-probability short brewing as price taps the premium zone and aligns with multiple Smart Money Concepts. A clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) is sitting inside a bearish Order Block, with price aggressively wicking into it — right where institutions unload.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
🧱 Bearish Order Block rejection in premium
⚡ Fair Value Gap filled at 145.910
💰 Risk-to-Reward ~1:4+, targeting discounted zone
🧲 Liquidity sweep + FVG fill = SM distribution trigger
⏳ Entry timing aligned with NY session reaction
📊 Setup Specs:
Pair: USDJPY
Timeframe: 30 min
Entry: 145.910 (after FVG fill)
SL: ~146.246
TP: ~144.440
RR: Approx. 1:4.5
💡 Smart Money Logic:
Price filled a clean imbalance zone, ran liquidity from earlier highs, and instantly showed distribution behavior. If momentum confirms with a bearish break, this becomes a high-conviction short.
📈 Chart Ninja Note:
“FVG + OB is where the banks sell while the crowd buys… don’t be the crowd.”
EUR/USD: Bearish Structure Intact — Lower Lows Ahead? (READ)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.136. If the price manages to stay below the 1.1414 level, we can expect further downside from this pair. The possible bearish targets are 1.128, 1.11480, and 1.10 respectively.
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDJPY Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 145.311.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 140.353.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Yen Falls Past 145 as Dollar StrengthensThe Japanese yen weakened past 145 per dollar, hovering near a one-month low as the U.S. dollar strengthened with improving global trade sentiment and diminishing expectations of near-term U.S. rate cuts. The greenback gained momentum after President Trump announced a preliminary trade deal with the UK, the first since broad U.S. tariffs were introduced last month. He also signaled that tariffs on China could be eased, depending on the outcome of high-level trade talks set for this weekend in Switzerland.
Adding pressure on the yen, Fed Chair Powell dismissed the idea of a preemptive rate cut, citing persistent inflation risks and labor market concerns. In Japan, personal spending rose more than expected in March, suggesting resilience in consumption, though a third straight monthly drop in real wages highlighted broader economic challenges.
Resistance stands at 145.90, with further levels at 146.75 and 149.80. Support is found at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
USD/JPY Faces FVG ResistanceThe USD/JPY 1-hour chart shows a clear bearish setup forming after a recent rejection from the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone around 145.923, indicating potential distribution and the start of a corrective move. The price is trading below the upper boundary of the ascending channel and has started to show bearish intent after multiple rejections from the FVG resistance zone.
The structure appears to be forming a corrective ABC wave or the beginning of a deeper Wave 4 correction within a larger Elliott Wave count. Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent low at 142.405 to the high at 145.923 have been plotted to identify potential support zones.
Target 1: 144.726
Target 2: 144.283
Stop loss: 145.850
USDJPY with Price ActionPrice has broken above the key pivot zone around 145.00, which previously acted as resistance and may now flip into support. We’re currently seeing a minor pullback near the 145.60–146.00 zone after a strong bullish impulse. This red-circled area highlights hesitation, but as long as the price holds above the pivot, I’m maintaining a bullish bias.
The market structure remains clean with higher highs and higher lows. The volume spiked during the move up and has decreased on the pullback—exactly what I want to see in a healthy retracement. I'm watching for a bullish reaction at or slightly above 145.00 to confirm continuation.
If we get a strong bounce from the pivot zone, I’m targeting 147.00 as the first level and 148.50 as the extended target. However, if price breaks and closes below 145.00 with momentum, I’ll reassess—downside support could be around 143.50–144.00.
Next steps: Waiting for a confirmation entry signal (bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick) near the pivot. Key risk to this setup is upcoming USD news and any BoJ commentary that could trigger volatility.
Staying patient—will update if the pivot holds or fails.
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 9, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY:
The Japanese yen (JPY) rises against its US counterpart during the Asian session on Thursday and reverses part of the previous day's correction from a one-week high. Minutes from the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) March meeting showed that the central bank remains open to further tightening if the economic and price outlook persists. This, along with a rebound in safe-haven demand, is lending support to the Japanese Yen, which, along with the emergence of fresh US Dollar (USD) selling, is keeping the USD/JPY pair below the 144.00 round figure.
Optimism over the start of trade talks between the US and China, which will take place this week in Switzerland, is fading rather quickly amid uncertainty over how a new deal between the world's two largest economies might be structured. In addition, US President Donald Trump has denied that he will reduce tariffs against China, dampening hopes of a speedy resolution to the trade war between the world's two largest economies. In addition, persistent geopolitical risks kept investors on edge and proved to be the key factor that influenced the yen's growth amid the general weakening of the dollar.
Trading recommendation: SELL 145.80, SL 146.00, TP 144.90
USD_JPY WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅USD_JPY will be retesting a
Resistance level soon around 147.500
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/JPY H4 | Approaching a swing-high resistanceThe hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve and the market's optimistic sentiment regarding a potential Sino-US trade agreement have driven the overall strength of the US dollar. The Federal Reserve's suspension of interest rate cuts and the absence of hints of near-term rate cuts have enhanced the attractiveness of the US dollar, providing support for the upward movement of the USD/JPY exchange rate. On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator has reversed downward from the zero line, which coincides with the reversal on the daily chart, forming a strong reversal pattern. The price is testing the support of the MACD line and the key level of 143.45. If the daily candlestick closes below the 143.45 level, it will open the path for a decline towards 141.70 and even the lower boundary of the price channel near 139.50. If the closing price is higher than yesterday's high of 144.00, it is likely to rise towards 144.75, with a long-term target of 145.91. Considering the actual closing price of 145.0930, the upward scenario has been activated. In addition, the MACD indicator shows that the bullish momentum has been somewhat restored, but it is still in the initial stage of the rebound. The RSI indicator remains above 45 and has not entered the strong area, indicating that the current exchange rate is in the stage of consolidation and accumulation of momentum. Although there has been a certain upward movement in the short term, the overall strength of the bulls and bears has not reached an obviously strong state.
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Weekly Forecasts UPDATES! ALL Markets Analyzed! Stocks & FOREXIn this Weekly Forecast UPDATE, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Metals futures, and the FOREX Majors for Thursday, May 8th.
The targets set in last weekend's forecasts are still in play! Trade accordingly.
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USD/JPY H4 | Approaching a swing-high resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 145.87 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 148.38 which is a level that sits above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 142.41 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDJPY and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Yen Firms with BoJ CautionThe Japanese yen strengthened to around 143.6 per dollar on Thursday, recovering as rising global trade uncertainty stimulated demand for gold. The move followed President Trump’s announcement of a deal with a “big” country, reportedly the UK, and his refusal to cut tariffs on China ahead of U.S.-China talks in Switzerland. U.S.-Japan negotiations continue, with Tokyo aiming to finalize a bilateral deal by June. Meanwhile, BoJ minutes showed policymakers remain open to rate hikes if inflation targets are met, though they flagged external risks from U.S. trade policy.
Resistance stands at 145.90, with further levels at 146.75 and 149.80. Support is found at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
USD/JPY: Ready for a Rally or a False Recovery?USD/JPY is at a crucial stage, with the price hovering around 143.900. After a bearish move, the market is attempting to recover, aiming for the resistance zone between 149.000 and 151.000.
COT Insight:
COT data shows a slight increase in long positions among speculative traders (+397), while commercials are increasing their short coverage (+539), indicating caution.
Seasonality:
Historically, May has been a slightly bullish month for USD/JPY (+0.42% over the last 10 years), but the trend has been negative in the last 5 years (-0.57%), indicating uncertainty.
Retail Sentiment:
65% of retail traders are long, which could indicate potential bearish pressure in case of opposite moves, given the risk of position liquidation.
Conclusion:
Carefully monitor the price reaction around 144.000. A breakout towards 149.000 could signal a significant move, but the long retail pressure might represent an obstacle.