USDJPY - SHORT - 27/01/25 (after) This is an after to the trade idea posted 22/01/25. On that analysis, the trade was supposed to be taken on the order block but when price reached that area, it violated the initial setup.
However, a new idea formed based on these same concepts:
Price swept a high and closed below it.
Change in character to the downside.
Return to Order Block
Now looking for long opportunities.
USDJPY
USD/JPY Ready For Sell To Give Us 250 Pips In The Next Days !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USDJPY and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY H4 | Potential bullish bounceUSD/JPY is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 155.09 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 154.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 157.10 which is a pullback resistance.
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[b]USD/JPY 1H TECHNICAL OUTLOOK[/b]Market Overview
The pair shows an uptrend (Moderate, 28.6% Confidence) , supported by higher lows and a bullish slope on the moving averages. Current Trend Score of 0.60 suggests mild upward momentum with room for potential continuation. Focus on price behavior around these pivots. A confirmed breakout or sustained rejection at key resistance will shape the next intraday move. Adjust stops and targets accordingly to manage risk in a moderate-confidence uptrend.
Key Levels
Support: 155.41
Pivot Low: 154.98
Stoploss: 154.77
Resistance: 156.82750 (Mid Pivot)
Buy TP 3: 157.31208
Sell Order:158.26643
MAs: Upward sloping on 1H, reinforcing short-term bullish structure.
Potential Scenarios
Buy on Pullbacks: Look for entries near 155.41–154.980
Target: 156.82 and 157.31
Breakout Attempt: A strong rally through 158.20 could extend gains toward 159.00.
Reversal Risk: A move below 154.77500 would invalidate this bullish bias.
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 26.01.2025After this week's huge pump, I do believe Gold will be hitting $2,800+ soon. There's 2 ways in which it'll happen;
Option 1: Price consolidates around CMP, trapping in new sellers before it shoots up.
Option 2: We see a downwards retracement towards $2,720 before price recovers up again in February.
NZDJPY - 2025 Plan. Make It Your Best Year Yet!Here we have the 2 Day chart for NZDJPY.
We've seen a massive impulse mid 2024. We are now in an ABC correction.
We are currently in wave B of the correction, subwave B. Expecting subwave C to complete wave B.
We're looking for a rejection of the fib zone and a drop of over 700pips.
Trade idea:
- Watch for rejection of fib zone
- Once rejection appears, enter with stops above the highs
- Targets: 86 (350pips), 83 (700pips)
Once we've completed this move down, we'll be looking for longs. We'll update this setup if there's enough engagement.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
$JPINTR -Japan's Interest Rate (December/2024)ECONOMICS:JPINTR 3.6%
(December/2024)
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- The annual inflation rate in Japan jumped to 3.6% in December 2024 from 2.9% in the prior month, marking the highest reading since January 2023.
Food prices rose at the steepest pace in a year (6.4% vs 4.8% in November), with fresh vegetables and fresh food contributing the most to the upturn.
Further, electricity prices (18.7% vs 9.9%) and gas cost (5.6% vs 3.5%) increased at the fastest rate in four months with the absence of energy subsidies since May.
Additional upward pressure also came from housing (0.8% vs 0.9%), clothing (2.9% vs 2.6%), transport (1.1% vs 0.9%), furniture and household utensils (3.0% vs 3.7%), healthcare (1.7% vs 1.6%), recreation (4.0% vs 4.5%), and miscellaneous items (1.1% vs 1.1%).
In contrast, prices continued to fall for communication (-2.1% vs -3.0%) and education (-1.0% vs -1.0%).
The core inflation rate rose to a 16-month high of 3.0%, up from 2.7% in November and matching consensus. Monthly, the CPI increased by 0.6%, the highest figure in 14 months.
USDJPY_4HUSDJPY_4H BULLISH
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Weekly FOREX Forecast Jan 27 - 31stThis is an outlook for the week of Jan 27-31th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The USD is retracing from the M+W TF Supply Zone. The sellers are in control... for now. The macro view is that the bullish up trend is not broken. Be mindful of this. For now, selling the USD is in order, and buying the EUR, GBP, NZD, AUD, CAD, CHF, are the best moves. Keep and eye on an indecisive JPY, and wait for a break of the consolidation.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
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All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Gold has pushed up extremely bullish today, so far 320 PIPS. It has stayed below the last ATH of $2,790 keeping the market structure valid so far. BUT, it has surpassed the important price point of $2,780 which makes market structure very difficult to navigate right now.
I'm waiting on the weekly candle closure to get a better idea of what Gold could possibly do next. The next few trading days should develop price action & make future direction more clear. Being patient right now.
BoJ hikes rates, yen pares gainsThe Japanese yen gained as much as 0.8% earlier today but has failed to consolidate these gains. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.03, dwon 0.02% on the day.
The Bank of Japan hiked its policy rate by 25 basis points earlier today, as expected. This brings the policy rate to 0.5%, its highest level since October 2008, during the global financial crisis. The Japanese yen climbed sharply after the decision but was unable to consolidate these gains.
The BoJ has been signaling that it planned to raise rates at today's meeting, although the BoJ tends to surprise the markets and a rate hike, while expected, was not a given. The BoJ statement expressed hope that this year's wage negotiations would result in strong wage increases, as was the case last year. Governor Ueda has said in the past that he would raise rates provided that inflation was driven by higher wages, which would show that inflation was sustainable. Wage growth has been moving higher and this resulted in today's rate hike.
Japan's inflation rate has been moving higher and the December inflation report, which came out today, showed core CPI climbed to 3%, up from 2.7% in November and in line with the market estimate. The core rate has hovered above the BoJ's 2% target for 2.5 years and at today's meeting, the BoJ upgraded its inflation outlook to above 2% until 2026.
Predictably, Governor Ueda didn't provide a timeline for the next rate hike at his post-meeting press conference, but a May rate hike is on the table if the wage negotiations result in higher wages and inflation does not weaken unexpectedly. Another key factor in the timing of the next rate hike will be President Trump's trade policy. Trump had promised to levy tariffs on US trading partners on his first day in office but has delayed the tariffs until at least Feb. 1. The BoJ will want to see which direction Trump's trade policy is going before raising rates again.
There is support at 154.78 and 153.27
156.49 and 158.00 are the next resistance lines
Gold Hits $2,770 Target – Will It Break Historical Highs Today?Analyzing the 4-hour chart of gold, we observe that the price reacted to the expected levels of $2,755, $2,757, and $2,759 yesterday, followed by a strong breakout to hit our anticipated target of $2,770. Currently trading at $2,777, gold shows no signs of rejection or a significant pullback.
As the final trading day of the week unfolds, the big question remains: will gold surpass its previous historical high of $2,790? With today's growth reaching $2,780, it's just 100 pips away from breaking that record. The opening of New York markets could provide the decisive momentum.
A new historical high and even targets beyond $2,800 seem within reach! Stay tuned for updates, and don't forget to support this analysis with your reactions to keep the momentum going.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Bank of Japan Raises Rates, Yen StrengthensBank of Japan Raises Rates, Yen Strengthens
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has raised short-term interest rates to 0.5%, the highest level in 17 years. While this move was anticipated, the currency market responded with a significant strengthening of the yen, with USD/JPY falling by approximately 0.6%.
At a press conference, BOJ Governor Ueda stated that there is no predetermined course for future rate adjustments. Meanwhile, media reports cite analysts’ opinions suggesting that the rate could be raised again before the end of 2025.
Technical analysis of the USD/JPY chart shows the formation of a descending channel (highlighted in red) at the start of 2025. The news of the rate hike enabled bears to launch another attack on the psychological level of 155 yen per dollar—a level that had previously served as support earlier this month. As of the morning of 24 January, bulls are managing to defend this level, but how long can they hold out if bearish pressure persists?
Key points to note:
→ The USD/JPY trend resembles a rounding-top pattern.
→ The yen's strength is also supported by the dollar’s weakness, influenced by some uncertainty surrounding the introduction of international trade tariffs promised by US President Trump.
Today, at 17:45 GMT+3, the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) figures will be released, potentially triggering heightened volatility in financial markets.
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Trump, BOJ could be the ideal divergent theme for USD/JPY bearsWe've just seen the BOJ deliver a hawkish hike, where they upgraded their inflation forecasts and cited rising wage pressures. This leaves the door open for further hikes this year. Meanwhile, Trump is now trying to strongarm the Fed and global central banks to lower interest rates immediately. Together, this is the ideal divergent theme currency traders crave. And the icing on the cake for USD/JPY bears would be if Trump begins his attack on a strong USD (which I think he will).
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
$JPIRYY -Japan Inflation Rate Highest in Near 2 YearsECONOMICS:JPIRYY 3.6%
(December/2024)
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- The annual inflation rate in Japan jumped to 3.6% in December 2024 from 2.9% in November,
marking the highest reading since January 2023 as food prices rose the most in a year.
Meanwhile, the core inflation rate climbed to a 16-month peak of 3%, in line with estimates.
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 156.59
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 158.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 154.74
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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USDJPY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 156.100 area, USDJPY was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 156.100 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.