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Usdjpyanalysis

USDJPY Trading StrategyUSDJPY is looking to break the resistance zone of 147,000. The current bullish force of USDJPY is too strong, so jumping in to catch the top at the present time will be quite risky. If you want a SELL signal, you must wait for the confirmation of the sellers jumping into the market by the confirmation of the red closing m30 candle. There will be a beautiful SELL signal if the h4 candle shrinks its wick below 147,000. If it closes above the SELL point, you must wait for 148,100, or if you want to BUY, wait for the retest and create a beautiful bullish wave in the small time frame. On the other hand, if the currency pair declines back to the support zone of 146,000 and 145,200, it will give us a long-term BUY signal. Support 146,000-145,200 Resistance 117,100-148,100
Long
by VHT_Trader
4
USD/JPY Breaks Higher – Bullish Momentum Targets 148.40FX:USDJPY CMCMARKETS:USDJPY USD/JPY continues to climb, extending gains above the key 146.00 breakout level, supported by Fed–BoJ policy divergence and rising geopolitical tensions. Despite Japan’s strong CPI and PMI prints, the BoJ maintains a dovish tone, while tariff concerns continue to cap yen sentiment. The Middle East conflict further fuels demand for the USD as a safe haven. Technically, the pair confirmed a bullish breakout, with price hugging the upper Bollinger Band – a sign of sustained upside pressure. As long as 146.00 holds, bulls may aim for the 148.40 monthly resistance. Key Levels : Resistance : 146.75 / 148.40 Support : 146.00 / 145.25 ⚠️ Momentum favours the upside while above 146.00. Break below may trigger short-term pullback toward 145.25.
Long
by ATFX_Global
USD/JPY Long Trade Setup – Key Support Rebound Targeting 148.674Entry Point: Price: 143.373 The chart suggests initiating a long (buy) position at this level, which is just slightly below the current market price. Stop Loss: Price: 141.707 Positioned below a strong support zone. This level protects the trade from excessive downside risk if the price breaks down. Target Point: Price: 148.674 The target is clearly defined, indicating a potential gain of approximately 5.991 points, or 4.20% from the entry. 🟪 Support/Resistance Zones The purple boxes indicate demand (support) and supply (resistance) zones. The lower zone (entry/stop area) shows a historically significant support range that has been tested multiple times (indicated with orange circles). The upper purple zone marks the take-profit area, which coincides with previous resistance. 📊 Moving Averages Blue Line: 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) – acting as dynamic resistance. Red Line: 50 EMA – price is currently trading below it, indicating bearish short-term pressure but potential for reversal. 🧠 Trade Idea Summary Bias: Bullish (long position) Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable Risk: ~1.67 points (from 143.373 to 141.707) Reward: ~5.3 points (from 143.373 to 148.674) Approx. R:R = 1:3.17 Validation: The setup relies on the price holding the key support zone and bouncing higher, targeting the next major resistance. ⚠️ Considerations Monitor for bullish candlestick patterns near the entry zone. Keep an eye on macroeconomic news (like BoJ or Fed updates) that could cause volatility in USD/JPY. Confirm momentum shift with RSI or MACD if using indicators.
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
19
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal Trade Setup – Key Support Test at 145.2Entry Point: 145.273 (highlighted in blue) Stop Loss: ~144.817–145.260 (purple zone) Target Point (TP): 148.133 (upper resistance zone) 📉 Recent Price Action: Price peaked near 148.05 before reversing sharply and breaking the trendline. The market is currently testing the support zone (near the 145.273 entry level). Moving averages (red = short-term, blue = long-term) show a crossover to the downside, suggesting short-term bearish momentum. 📈 Trade Setup: Strategy Type: Long (Buy) Setup Risk/Reward: Favorable, approximately 1:2+ Entry Zone: The current price is close to the entry level at 145.273, making this a timely area to watch for a bounce or confirmation. ⚠️ Risk Factors: If price breaks below 144.817, the setup becomes invalid. Short-term momentum is still bearish; confirmation (like a bullish engulfing candle or support hold) is important before entering. ✅ Confirmation Triggers for Entry: Strong bullish candlestick pattern near entry zone. RSI or MACD bullish divergence (not shown but useful to check). Volume spike on bounce from support.
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
Long - the final move up before moving to the downsideMy macro bias for USDJPY is bearish.   However, I opened a long position today. Reasons for a long trade: Weekly chart: 1)  Both MACD and RSI are in the bear territory, however, both MACD and RSI lines are starting to cross and move to the upside.    2)  The price has been moving sideways for weeks, however, weekly candle has been forming higher low since late April (subtle move). 3) There is a major support line at 140.50 area and weekly EMA200 is also sitting right below it.   Although the price has been moving to the downside, it will require strong momentum to pierce through the major support zone that has been holding since July 2023.  Daily chart:  1)  EMA9 > EMA14 > EMA 21 -  bullish trend  2)  Yesterday's daily candle retested EMA 9/14/21 and closed above all of them. 3) MACD has entered the bull zone. 4) RSI has entered the bull zone. 5) There is an unmitigated fair value gap in the Fib 0.618-0.786 area.   (see blue rectangular box in the chart). As I said above, it will take strong momentum for the price to break below the major support line.   It makes sense for the price to retrace to the unmitigated fair value gap area to take out all the liquidity to fuel the momentum to the downside.  My trade setup is below: Entry: 145 Stop/Loss: 144.25  (just under yesterday's candle wick)Target: 147.12  Risk:Rewards  1:1.78
Long
by EbonyFalcon
buy is coming on USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair recently experienced a bearish movement, which is largely influenced by heightened concerns surrounding the ongoing trade and tariff tensions between the U.S. and its global counterparts. This risk-off sentiment triggered a flight to safe-haven assets, weighing on the pair. However, price action has now approached a key trendline support zone, which has held firmly in previous sessions. Technical indicators like RSI are also beginning to show signs of bullish divergence, suggesting a potential reversal. If this trendline continues to act as strong support, we may see a bullish bounce from the current level, aligning with the overall ascending trend structure but if the trade break these support zones, then the bearish movement might continues for now we will be watching for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns or a break above near-term resistance levels to validate the upward movement.
Long
by Adhemola
USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Ahead?📈 USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Ahead? 🚀💹 The USD/JPY pair is currently approaching a critical resistance zone (145.800 - 146.000), which has acted as a strong supply area in the past. The price has shown bullish momentum as it builds higher lows and heads toward this resistance. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔵 Resistance Zone: Clearly marked and tested multiple times. A breakout above this level could trigger a bullish continuation. 📊 Bullish Structure: The pair is forming a strong uptrend with higher highs and higher lows on the 4H timeframe. 🔄 Retest Scenario: Chart suggests a potential breakout above the resistance, followed by a bullish retest before continuing toward the target zone at ~148.900. 🟢 Upside Target: 148.900 (Previous swing high) – a potential gain of over 300 pips from breakout point. 📌 Trading Outlook: ✅ A confirmed breakout and retest of the resistance zone could offer a high-probability long setup. ❌ A failure to break and hold above the resistance may result in short-term consolidation or reversal. 📅 Watch Levels: Resistance: 145.800 – 146.000 Support (breakout retest): 145.200 – 145.500 Bullish Target: 148.900 📢 Conclusion: Bulls are in control as long as price sustains above the resistance zone. A clean breakout followed by a retest could offer an attractive buying opportunity with a well-defined risk-to-reward setup. 🔥📊
Long
by VikingFx-Community
2
USD/JPY 4-Hour Forex Chart (June 20, 2025)4-hour candlestick chart from FOREX.com displays the USD/JPY currency pair's performance, showing a current value of 145.328 with a slight decrease of 0.112 (-0.08%). The chart highlights a recent downward trend following a peak near 145.950, with a shaded area indicating a potential resistance zone around 145.500-145.950. The time frame spans from early June to the present date, with key levels marked at 145.000, 144.478, and higher resistance points.
Short
by Alee_Gold_Trader
USD/JPY 2-Hour Forex Chart2-hour candlestick chart from FOREX.com displays the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). The current rate is 145.513, with a slight increase of +0.074 (+0.05%). The chart shows price movements over the past 2-hour period, with a notable upward trend followed by a recent decline, as highlighted by the shaded area indicating a potential resistance or reversal zone. Key levels such as 145.701 and 145.106 are marked, along with the current time of 04:00.
Short
by Alee_Gold_Trader
USD/JPY) Bearish reversal analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY 3-hour chart suggests a bearish reversal setup, based on smart money concepts (SMC), resistance rejection, and price action structure. Here's a full breakdown: Technical Breakdown – USD/JPY Big Resistance Zone (~145.800–146.300): Price has tapped into a major resistance zone (yellow box) twice (highlighted with red arrows). Both rejections indicate strong seller interest. The latest candle structure shows clear rejection wick, signaling weakness at resistance. --- Bearish Bias Confirmation: Bearish structure forming after the second rejection. Break of the rising trendline could accelerate selling pressure. A measured move projection (-2.58%) aligns the downside target with the support level at ~142.144. --- Support Zone (~141.800–142.400): Marked as the likely target zone. Historically acted as a strong bounce area (visible from late May to early June). Completion of ABC bearish structure aligns here. --- Indicators & Tools: 200 EMA (144.419): Price currently slightly above it — watching for a close below to strengthen bearish view. RSI (14): Shows signs of bearish divergence and cooling off from overbought (was above 70 previously). Volume spike during the rejection suggests institutional selling. Mr SMC Trading point --- Forecast Summary: Bias: Bearish toward 142.144 Entry Idea: Look for confirmation of breakdown below trendline (~145.00) Invalidation: Strong bullish close above 146.300 would break this idea. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
6
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Recovers Above 145.00Market Analysis: USD/JPY Recovers Above 145.00 USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 145.50 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today - USD/JPY climbed higher above the 144.00 and 145.00 levels. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 144.80 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/JPY Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh upward move from the 142.80 zone. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 143.40 against the Japanese Yen. It even cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and 144.00. The pair climbed above 145.00 and traded as high as 145.43 before there was a downside correction. It is now moving lower toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 142.79 swing low to the 145.40 high. The current price action above the 144.50 level is positive. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at 144.80. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 145.40. The first major resistance is near 146.20. If there is a close above the 146.20 level and the RSI moves above 60, the pair could rise toward 147.50. The next major resistance is near 148.00, above which the pair could test 148.80 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is 144.80 and the trend line. The next major support is visible near the 144.40 level. If there is a close below 144.40, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 143.40 support zone and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 142.79 swing low to the 145.40 high. The next stop for the bears may perhaps be near the 142.80 region. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
USD/JPY: Yen Continues to Lose Ground Against the U.S. DollarOver the past three trading sessions, USD/JPY has risen by more than 1%, favoring the U.S. dollar, as the yen continues to weaken steadily. The bullish bias has persisted, supported by a rebound in dollar strength. The DXY index, which measures the dollar's performance against other major currencies, has been climbing in the short term and is once again approaching the 100-point mark, signaling growing confidence in the dollar’s movements. If this dollar strength persists, buying pressure in USD/JPY may become increasingly dominant. Consistent Downtrend Since early January of this year, USD/JPY has been consolidating consistent downward movements, shaping a solid bearish trend that has lasted through recent months. Currently, price action is once again testing a resistance zone, aligned with the downtrend line, but buying momentum has not been strong enough to break through. As a result, the dominant trend remains bearish, unless a significant bullish breakout manages to disrupt the pattern. Neutrality in Indicators At the moment, the RSI line is oscillating near the 50 level, while the MACD histogram remains close to the zero line. These patterns suggest a state of equilibrium between buying and selling pressure, which has led to a series of neutral movements. As long as both indicators remain in this range, it reflects a lack of dominance by either market force in the short term. Key Levels to Watch: 145.470 – Short-Term Barrier: A level where potential bearish corrections could emerge, especially as price remains near the downtrend line under conditions of neutrality. 148.012 – Major Resistance: This corresponds to the recent multi-month highs. Sustained buying above this level could threaten the prevailing bearish trend. 142.367 – Critical Support: A level aligned with the lowest prices of recent months, which has been repeatedly respected, increasing its strength in the short term. A breakdown here could trigger a renewed bearish bias, reinforcing the ongoing downward trend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst Follow him at: @julianpineda25
by FOREXcom
USDJPY Bearish BreakdownChart Overview The USDJPY pair on the 2-hour chart is currently forming a descending triangle pattern — a typical bearish continuation setup. --- Key Observations: Resistance Line (Upper Trendline): Price is repeatedly rejected from lower highs. Support Line (Lower Horizontal): Price maintains support around the 144.00–144.20 region. Bearish Bias: The red arrow projection suggests a breakdown from the triangle, with a potential move toward 140.00 if the lower support fails. --- Potential Bearish Scenario: 1. Break below ~144.00 confirms the triangle breakdown. 2. First target around 142.00, second target near 140.00. 3. Stop-loss ideally above 145.00 if entering short. --- Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Short
by Forex_Int
Bank of Japan Leaves Interest Rate UnchangedBank of Japan Leaves Interest Rate Unchanged This morning, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) released its interest rate decision, keeping the rate unchanged as widely expected. According to Forex Factory, the BOJ Policy Rate remains at 0.5%. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda noted the following: → Japan’s economy is recovering moderately. → The Bank will continue raising rates if economic and inflationary conditions improve. → The situation surrounding trade tariffs remains highly uncertain. The fact that the decision was anticipated by markets is reflected in price action on the charts. Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart A brief spike in volatility occurred on the USD/JPY chart this morning, but it did not significantly alter the broader structure of price movements, which in June have formed a contracting triangle pattern. In recent days, the pair has been climbing from the lower boundary of the triangle toward the upper edge, forming a short-term ascending channel (highlighted in blue). However, in the near term, this bullish momentum may weaken as the USD/JPY rate approaches the upper boundary of the triangle, which coincides with the psychologically significant level of 145 yen to the dollar (indicated by arrows). From a medium-term perspective, traders should watch for a potential breakout from the triangle pattern, which could trigger a meaningful trend. One possible catalyst could be news of a trade agreement between the United States and Japan. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
USD/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update Technical analysis iUSD/JPY on the 30-minute timeframe, showing a rejection from resistance zones and a potential move toward lower support levels. --- Analysis Breakdown Technical Components: 1. Resistance Zones: Primary Resistance: Near 145.500 (upper yellow box), which has previously been rejected multiple times (red arrows). FVG (Fair Value Gap) Resistance Level: Around 144.400, also acting as strong resistance, especially near the EMA 200. 2. Downtrend Line: The price is moving below a downward trendline, respecting bearish structure. Last rejection from both the trendline and FVG zone confirms selling pressure. 3. EMA 200 (144.075): Price is hovering around this level, showing indecision. Bearish bias remains unless price breaks and holds above it. 4. Target Zone: A clearly marked support level around 142.543, shown as the bearish target. Includes multiple event markers (potential news catalysts or key dates), suggesting added volatility. 5. RSI (14): Currently near 55.23, with a prior rejection from higher RSI levels. Bearish divergence not clear, but no overbought conditions. --- Bearish Idea Summary: Thesis: Rejection from resistance zones + trendline + EMA suggests continuation to downside. Expecting: Price to either: Retest the upper resistance zone (around 145.000–145.500) and reject again, or Break below current levels and continue lower toward 142.543. --- Trade Idea Concept: Entry Option 1: Sell on confirmed rejection from FVG zone or upper resistance. Entry Option 2: Sell on break and retest below 144.000. Target: 142.543 (support zone). Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone or trendline (e.g., >145.600). Mr SMC Trading point Risks to Watch: Invalidation: Clean break and close above 145.500 would invalidate the bearish setup. News Impact: Note the icons near the target zone – monitor economic releases around that time. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
12
USDJPY Trading RangeUSDJPY saw some corrections late on Friday. Overall, the pair remains sideways in a wide range of 143,000-145,100 and has yet to establish a clear continuation trend. The wider band in the sideways trend is extended at 146,000 and 142,000. The trading strategy will be based on the band that is touched. Pay attention to the breakout as it may continue the strong trend and avoid trading against the trend when breaking. Support: 143,000, 142,000 Resistance: 145,000, 146,000
by VHT_Trader
The US dollar retreats as the Japanese yen stages a resurgence.The USD/JPY has continued to decline, hitting a low of around 143.50 during the European session, marking a new weekly low. In terms of exchange rate dynamics, the key support level lies at 142.500, which has withstood multiple tests recently without being breached. A valid break below this level would open up further downward space, with the next support to be monitored at 141.78 (lower Bollinger Band). On the upside, resistance is seen near 145.500, a level that has repeatedly formed phased highs and suppressed price rebounds. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Short
by Ashbur
USD/JPY) bearish Technical Analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs. Japanese Yen) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: --- Trend & Price Action The chart shows a descending trendline connecting recent lower highs, indicating a downtrend. Current price: 143.548 Price has recently rejected off the trendline and started to fall, suggesting continued bearish momentum. A red arrow marks the rejection point, emphasizing a key resistance area. --- Technical Indicators EMA 200 (Exponential Moving Average): At 144.459 — the price is currently below the EMA, reinforcing the bearish outlook. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI (14) values: around 35.45, which is near the oversold threshold (30) but not quite there yet. Indicates increasing bearish momentum but no reversal signal yet. --- Support Levels Identified 1. Support Level (Target 1): ~142.280 First target point for bears. Likely to see some reaction or consolidation here. 2. Big Support Level (Target 2): ~140.382 A stronger, more significant support zone and a deeper bearish target if the first support breaks. --- Bearish Target Scenario The projected path (in black lines) suggests: A further drop into the 142.280 zone. If that breaks, a continuation toward the 140.382 level. This suggests a swing trade setup favoring short positions if the price respects the current rejection zone. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion Bias: Bearish Resistance Confirmed: Rejection from descending trendline and below EMA200. Bearish Targets: Short-term: 142.280 Medium-term: 140.382 Risk Management: Watch RSI for potential bullish divergence near the second support zone, which could indicate reversal or consolidation. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
USD/JPY Gearing Up for Breakout ? Watch 145.20...USD/JPY Technical Setup – Bullish Continuation in Play? USD/JPY is currently respecting a short-term ascending trendline, indicating sustained buying interest. The price consolidates just below a key resistance zone around 145.20, suggesting a potential breakout setup. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: * 📈 Trendline Support: Price has consistently respected this ascending trendline, forming higher lows—a strong bullish signal. * 🔲 Resistance Zone: The 145.15–145.20 level has acted as a rejection zone previously. A breakout above this could invite momentum buying. * 🕐 Consolidation Range: The market is coiling tightly just below resistance—watch for a volatility expansion. * 🔮 Projection : If the price holds above the trendline and breaks 145.20 convincingly, we could see a bullish move towards 145.60+. ⚠️ Invalidation: A clean break below the trendline and 144.80 could shift the short-term bias back to neutral or bearish.
by Kartik_Elkunchwar