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Usdjpyanalysis

USD/JPY looks set for 155 - but will the BOJ allow a breakout?At the beginning of April, Japan's ex-FX diplomat Watanabe said that the BOJ were unlikely to intervene with USD/JPY below 155. Well now the pair trade less than 80 pips beneath this key level (and less than a day's trade by recent standards), 155 is certainly the level to watch today. The strength of the bullish 1-hour trend makes it seem that USD/JPY has little choice by to at least try and retest 155. Prices are now consolidating after a mild pullback, RSI (2) is nearing oversold during an uptrend and the daily pivot point is nearby for dip buyers to consider longs. Should momentum turn higher from here, bulls could simply target 155. As for how it behaves if it meets that level remains to be seen. Yet prior attempts at key levels usually sees momentum either slow down ahead of it, or a volatile breakout is followed by a shakeout before prices revert beneath the key level. The only exception in recent history was IS CPI data which saw prices smash through 152 with apparent ease. But today we suspect market forces alone can drive prices higher without US data. The question remains as to whether the BOJ will remain quiet and allow the rally to flourish further.
Long
by CityIndex
USDJPY → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Short
by TheGrove
9
USDJPY: Japan resolves currency concerns with the USThe US greenback has visible wide appreciation this year, in large part because of expectancies of a put off withinside the Federal Reserve`s circulate to reduce hobby rates. However, the yen and received have weakened appreciably towards the greenback in comparison to maximum different currencies. Following the joint statement, the yen noticed a healing as markets predicted feasible intervention, even as the received additionally stabilized. The communicate included loads of topics, together with cooperation towards "monetary coercion and overcapacity in key sectors" with the aid of using different countries, a message simply aimed toward Beijing. Still, the forex difficulty has attracted good sized marketplace interest and is a political victory for Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, who's grappling with low approval rankings because the price of residing rises. High. In Japan, actual wages fell for 23 consecutive months thru February, regardless of large groups supplying pay increases. A vulnerable yen worsens the state of affairs for a rustic that is based closely on imports including gas and food.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
2
UsdJpy is pressing and pressing and pressing. 155 next?Since March 20th, when FX:USDJPY once again reached the 151.50 zone, marking a decades-high for this pair, the price has been fluctuating within an extremely tight range. However, upon closer observation of the price action, it becomes evident that USDJPY is pressing against this resistance level, with dips being consistently bought. Even during Friday's NFP release, when USD was being sold, USDJPY experienced a quick reversal. These signs indicate a potential upward breakout, with 155 being the next target in such a scenario. I maintain a bullish outlook on this pair as long as the price remains above 150, and in my opinion, buying dips is the preferred strategy.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
1
SHORT USD/JPY from 153.91Since the open last night USD/JPY has pushed stronlgy higher, so much so that the price has already reached the WR1 weekly pivot. Its a never ending mystery to me why everyone doesn't use weekly pivots as they are lines of interest on the charts known at the start of the week and when price reaches weekly support (WS1) or weekly resistance (WR1) there's a high chance buerrs ar sellers will be lying in wait. Usually price hits these pivot levels during the week and its unusual to see the price reached before lunch on Monday (if you're in the UK). Its not a hard and fast rule that price will always reverse when it hits WR1 or WS1 (we'd all be millionaires if it did) so we need other confirming signs that the price may reverse. ON this pair: a). we have a pinbar followed by 3 dogi indecision candles on H1. b). RSI has been over 70 for the last 6 hours and is beginnign to decline. c). The fast MA on MACD is weakenig and heading south (we haven't crossed the slow MA so its not certain we are heaed lower d). The R/R is massive as we can get a STOP on this trade just above the WR1 pivot at 154.05 (14 pips). e) Target could be anything and will depend on what happens in 40 minutes when get Core Retail Sales, Retail Sales and Empire State numbers but initial target is the 200 EMA on H1 at 152.42 (+149 pips) e). The green BUY line of the Andean Oscillator has crossed south over the signal line and the red SELL line has risen from zero. f). The entire structure is an M-Top on the 15m time frame. With luck I can get this trade at b/e before the news at 13:30. If the news comes out in green numbers then this trade is doomed but if the print misses then we should see USD/JP decline by 100 pips at least over the next 24 hours.
Short
by forextraplaces
USDJPY → At 152.000 Resistance! Will it break to 160.000?USD/JPY has been bullish since January 2021 and is currently in an ascending triangle pattern, indicating a potential push through the 152.000 resistance level. Is this the moment to long? How do we trade this? 🤔 We need to wait for a confirmed breakout of 152.000. The probability of a breakout is high, but we need the confirmation of support at 152.000 to justify a long entry. Once we see a strong bull candle off of support, a 1:2 Risk/Reward on the Weekly timeframe is a straightforward trade to take. The RSI is around 60.00 and above the Moving Average, providing enough headroom for a move to the upside. It's also reasonable to take a long trade on the Daily timeframe which will allow you to get an earlier entry and a better Risk/Reward, but the Weekly timeframe provides us with a clearer picture of the situation. When Take Profit #1 is hit, half of the position should be sold, the stop loss should be moved to the entry price, and the second half of the position should go to Take Profit #2. This locks in profits after the first take profit which is at 1:1 Risk/Reward. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: 153.570 🟥 Stop Loss: 150.900 ✅ Take Profit #1: $156.400 ✅ Take Profit #2: $158.900 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Ascending Triangle at 152.000 Resistance level, a bullish pattern. 2. 30EMA providing key support above the ascending support band. 3. Wait for a breakout of 152.000 resistance and confirmation of support to long 4. Enter a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade taking half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward. 5. RSI at 60.00 and above the Moving Average, supports long bias. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
USDJPYOn the monthly chart, we have a larger bearish trend. Presently, the price seems to be seeking the unmitigated supply at 156 price handle. Once we have a mitigated supply, we will be looking for sell limit orders targeting the monthly fair value gap and flip zone at 116.5 price handle. On the weekly charts, upon refinement. we have equal highs at 159 price handle representing a strong liquidity zone in addition to the unmitigated order block at 153 price handle. On the daily charts, we maintain the same bullish bias in Q2. Thereafter we will be looking for sell orders.
by morrisgitau
Yen Traders Tread Cautiously as Japan Hints at InterventionAnxiety hangs heavy over the yen market. With the Japanese currency hovering near a 34-year low against the U.S. dollar, traders are wary of potential intervention from Japanese authorities. This comes as Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated the government's concerns about the rapid depreciation of the yen. The Yen's Slide: A Perfect Storm The yen's recent decline can be attributed to a confluence of factors: • Divergent Monetary Policies: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy, keeping interest rates near zero, while central banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve are aggressively raising rates to combat inflation. This widening interest rate differential makes the dollar a more attractive investment compared to the yen. • Global Risk Aversion: As geopolitical tensions and concerns about a global economic slowdown escalate, investors are seeking refuge in dollar-denominated assets, further weakening the yen. • Japan's Trade Dependence: Japan relies heavily on imports for essential resources like energy and food. A weaker yen makes these imports more expensive, potentially fueling inflation within Japan. Verbal Intervention: A Warning Shot Finance Minister Suzuki's recent statements can be seen as a warning shot to currency markets. He emphasized the government's "deep concern" about the yen's depreciation and hinted at the possibility of intervention if excessive volatility persists. However, the effectiveness of verbal intervention is debatable. Without concrete action, traders might remain skeptical. Intervention: A Double-Edged Sword Direct intervention in the currency market involves the Japanese government selling dollars and buying yen to artificially strengthen the currency. While this can achieve short-term results, it comes with drawbacks: • Costly Defense: Intervention can be expensive, draining Japan's foreign currency reserves. • Market Distortion: Heavy intervention can distort market forces and create uncertainty for traders. • Limited Effectiveness: The effectiveness of intervention depends on the size of the intervention and the broader economic backdrop. If underlying economic fundamentals favoring a weaker yen persist, intervention might have only a temporary impact. Traders on Edge: Waiting for the Next Move Yen traders are currently in a wait-and-see mode. They are closely monitoring the Japanese government's actions and statements, along with the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, for any signs that could influence the yen's direction. The Road Ahead: A Balancing Act The future path of the yen will be determined by several factors: • The BOJ's Monetary Policy: Any change in the BOJ's stance, even a hint of a future rate hike, could strengthen the yen. However, the BOJ is expected to remain dovish for the foreseeable future. • Global Risk Sentiment: If global risk aversion eases, investors might be less inclined to seek refuge in the dollar, potentially aiding the yen. • The Effectiveness of Intervention: If Japan intervenes in the currency market and does so decisively, it might provide temporary support to the yen. Conclusion: A Fragile Currency in Uncertain Times The outlook for the yen remains uncertain. While the Japanese government may intervene to curb its rapid depreciation, the effectiveness of such strategies is limited without addressing the underlying economic factors. The future direction of the yen will likely hinge on global economic developments and the monetary policy decisions of major central banks.
by bryandowningqln
4
USDJPY: USD/JPY returns to 152 regardless of intervention threat The Japanese yen weakened barely on Tuesday, with USDJPY now lower back toward 152 - its maximum stage in view that 1990. The yen`s weak spot comes whilst Japanese officers time and again warn that they'll reply correctly to hypothesis in opposition to the yen. However, promoting momentum piled at the yen, specially withinside the face of better longer-dated US hobby costs, that have been the principle weight at the Japanese foreign money for almost years. The yen additionally obtained little assist from the Bank of Japan's first hobby fee hike in 17 years, because the valuable financial institution presented dovish alerts on destiny coverage decisions. . Dollar steadies on CPI information, recognition on Fed assembly minutes The greenback index and greenback index futures had been little modified in Asian buying and selling after posting a few in a single day losses. But buyers are nevertheless in large part biased toward the dollar given the numerous alerts on US hobby costs this week. Consumer Price Index inflation information for March is due out on Wednesday and is extensively anticipated to expose inflation final properly above the Fed's 2% annual target, leaving the valuable financial institution with little Motivation to begin reducing hobby costs soon. Minutes from the Fed's March assembly can also be launched on Wednesday and are available amid developing doubts approximately whether or not the valuable financial institution will begin reducing hobby costs in June. A string of Fed officers warned that difficult inflation could maintain the Fed from reducing hobby costs early this year.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
2
USD/JPY back in a strong resistance zone - SHORT from 151.90I'm SHORT USD/JPY for the following reasons: a). Price is back at a confirmed area of resistance last hit on 3rd April and 27th March b). The Andean Oscillator on 15m time frame has seen a rise of the red SELL line and is now reading .0082 having been at .0027 previous candle and .0010 candle before that having been reading zero for several bars. c). Andean Oscillator has just signalled a BUY trade on EUR/USD, GBP/USD suggesting the USD is losing support. d). Andean Oscillator is suggesting a SELL on USD/CAD confirming that the USD is coming under SELLING pressure. e). Price has broken the 20 EMA on 15M and is pushing through the 50 EMA f). MACD is signalling SELL as the fast MA has croseed south under the slow MA. g). RSI has been decling for the last 4 bars having reached the resistance zone. Taken all together this looks a decent SELL trade though we do not have as many confirmations as we would like but as there's a natural STOP just above the recent high and this STOP is just 10 pips above our entry then the reward for this trade should the selling pressure on USD increase is potentially very good as our initial target would be WPP mid pivot/200 EMA at 151.48. There is an absense of news this week until Wednesday when US CPI numbers are printed so the market will drive the price over the next several sessions.
Short
by forextraplaces