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Usdjpyanalysis

USDJPY Looking for correction ??The USD/JPY pair has completed the impulsive wave sequence labeled as 1-2-3-4-5 and is now entering a corrective phase, typically labeled as A-B-C. The price has already formed waves A and B and is currently progressing towards wave C, which is expected to extend to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level. Additionally, the formation of a head and shoulders pattern suggests a potential reversal or a downward correction in the price. Here’s a written summary of the analysis: USD/JPY Technical Analysis: - Impulsive Waves: Completed (1-2-3-4-5) - Corrective Waves: In progress (A-B-C) - Wave A: Completed - Wave B: Completed - Wave C: Targeting 1.618 Fibonacci extension Pattern Analysis: - Head and Shoulders pattern observed, indicating a potential reversal or correction.
Short
by joestar95
1
Timing the BOJ's next intervention? We have seen 2 interventions from the BOJ over the past 2 weeks. The first came when the USDJPY hit between 158.000 and 160.000 and the second when it hit almost 158.000. With the BOJ warning that it is ready and willing to step in again, how smart is it to try to catch the ride down if or when the BOJ steps in again? Finance Minister Shunich Suzuki reiterated the authorities' readiness to counter excessive foreign exchange fluctuations. At the same time, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed intent to assess yen movements' impact on inflation for guiding policy decisions. "Foreign exchange rates make a significant impact on the economy and inflation,” Ueda underscored in response to questions in parliament yesterday. But this is perhaps a slightly different story, but still, something for traders to consider. Last week, BOJ data suggested it had spent $60 billion to defend the yen. But all this has done, according to some analysts, is buy the Japanese authorities time, with the USDJPY steadily climbing back to intervention levels (given the substantial interest rate difference between Japan and the US). But can we expect the BOJ to intervene again and again? US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen emphasized interventions should be infrequent and ideally coordinated with the broader central banking community, or at least signaled in advance. So, the BOJ will be wary of its international reputation too.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY → Huge Fall from 160.000 Heading for 148.000!?USD/JPY raced to test 160.000 last week and as expected, had a massive sell-off that ended Friday just below the 152.000 breakout area. Should we still be long? Or is it time to get short? How do we trade this? 🤔 The question in my last analysis was are we in for a hard sell-off? And should we buy these pullbacks? The conditions we see today change the perspective on buying the pullbacks. That wasn't just any sell-off, that was a hard rejection and reversal pattern. The sell-off from 160.200 dropped nearly 600 pips in 8 hours. This was followed by a meandering pullback toward the previous candle close high of around 158.400, which ended in another massive drop to 153.100. We then had a final bear push just below the breakout level of 152.000. We can read this a couple of ways, the first is that this is our re-test of the breakout area as I expected two analyses ago where I expected a confirmation of the 152.000 area as support before making it to 160.000: However, we never tested 152.000, we went to 160.000 in rapid fashion first. Such volatility is a sign of a reversal or at least, a push below the breakout level. We have a rough double-top from the initial sell-off, then its follow-up, followed by a third push to the breakout point. We're three pushes up after the 152.000 breakout, a massive sell signal and follow-through at the 1990 Key Resistance Level of 160.400, and we've closed below the 4HR 200EMA. A similar pattern played out in October 2022 with some slight differences as seen here: October 2022 Pattern: This was the first time we touched 152.000 and had a massive sell-off, followed by the same meandering pullback to the 4HR 30EMA, which acted as a rough head-and-shoulders reversal pattern. However, the close was below the 4HR 30EMA on the pullback and above the 200EMA on the first bounce. This time, the pullback went above the 4HR 30EMA to touch the channel top and then closed below the 4HR 200EMA. That last point is a key difference. Both instances are clear reversal signals with follow-through, but the 160.000 rejection was much stronger with a close below the 4HR 200EMA. If the price comes back up to test that 200EMA and gets rejected, that's our signal to short. I would then be targeting levels below 152.000, where the price previously met resistance, which will now likely act as support. Those levels are 150.800 and 148.800. It's very possible we fall much further. But I recommend waiting for that rejection from the 4HR 200EMA and then short 1:2 Risk/Reward to those two key levels. It would be reasonable to swing 25%-50% of your position to lower levels if the price action warrants it. If the price does not get rejected at the 4HR 200EMA, we need to wait and see if the bullish pressure resumes and adjust our bias accordingly. We are still in the channel, the confirmed break below is what we need to justify getting short. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Short Entry: 153.550 🟥 Stop Loss: 155.800 ✅ Take Profit: 149.050 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three pushes up after the 152.000 breakout to the key level of 160.400 2. Strong rejection and follow-through back down to the 152.000 level 3. This strong volatility at the end of a trend is a sign of a reversal 4. Enter a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade down to 149.050. Potentially swing some of your position lower. 5. RSI at 35.00 and below the Moving Average, supports pullback before fall. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades and start looking for reversals. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Short
by TraderEngineering
3
USDJPY: Japanese Yen reverses some gains, USDJPY risesThe Japanese yen USDJPY rose 0.6% on Monday, although trading volumes in the currency were limited due to a market holiday in Japan. The rate is inversely linked to the strength of the yen, which has fallen sharply from a 34-year high of more than 160 yen last week amid signs of repeated government intervention in currency markets. But given that the fundamentals behind the yen's weakness - primarily the wide gap between US and domestic interest rates - remain, the yen's decline continues.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
1
USD/JPY Bearish Scalping Money heist planMy Dear Robbers / Traders, This is our master plan to Heist Bearish side of USD/JPY based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan i have mentioned with target in the chart focus on Short entry, Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous area market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend change / Strong Pullback happens at the level Bear Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. when market break the dynamic support it will continue to go down down. Loot and escape at the target🎯. support our robbery plan we can make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday.
Short
by Thief_Trader
USDJPY: The Japanese yen rose suddenly amid intervention speculaThe Japanese yen experienced a notable rise on Monday, which analysts interpreted as a potential sign of intervention by Japanese authorities in the foreign exchange market. The move comes after a significant depreciation of the yen, which has fallen nearly 11% against the dollar this year and 35% over the past three decades, recently hitting a 34-year low. Monday's operation follows months of warnings from Japan that it may intervene in foreign exchange markets. The Japanese government's most recent intervention took place in September and October 2022, with an estimated 9.2 trillion yen ($60.78 billion) spent to support the currency. This is not the first case of intervention; During the 1998 Asian financial crisis, the yen fell nearly 25% in 14 months, prompting the United States to join Japan in a successful intervention effort.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
#USDJPY: Still Bullish, Next Target 163.00| SetupsFX_ |Dear Traders, Hope you are doing great, right here we have an excellent opportunity of buying USDJPY, JPY plummeted few days ago as BOJ kept the interest rate as the same and decided not to change. Leading a heavy sell off on YEN. However, price did make strong correction right after the sell off, though we think it was temporary correction. Right now price is at perfect buying area from which it can rebound strongly. Like and Comment if you like or agree with our idea! :)
Long
by Setupsfx_
USDJPY LOOKING FOR 160 ZONEHELLO FIRENDS As we can see USDJPY holding the bullish trend strongly and looking for these design levels if they will not break our Stop loss zone, we are expecting these move incoming days or weeks on weekly based chart there is a clear view that why we are looking for more higher high and let the chart makes a double top on these levels let's see what market bring ahead FOMC meeting and Interest rates coming out Stay Tuned with us it's a trade idea share your thoughts with us it help many traders
Long
by APEX_TRADING_ACADMEY
USDJPY → Aiming for 176.500!? Let's Dig In.USD/JPY broke ascending triangle pattern at the 152.00 Resistance level per my last analysis. Since then, we have seen the completion of the measured move to 154.500 followed by a third leg up to 158.350! Is this the moment to long? Or are we in for a hard sell-off? Previous Analysis: How do we trade this? 🤔 I would not long the market open. After a strong Friday push, traders are far more likely to take profits, likely pulling the price down to the 156.000-157.000 range with the possibility of a hard wick to the 153.000-154.000 area. That being said, we should remain long-biased and buy these pullbacks, as USD/JPY has been on this bull trend since January 2021. This trade pertains to the Weekly timeframe. I would drill into the 4HR and Daily to find more precise entries. It's reasonable to assume the pullback at this level, so we should look for a bounce at one of the key areas mentioned and enter a long position. On the Weekly, aim for a first take profit of 169.500 where half the position is taken off the table, then move the stop loss up to the entry price. The second take profit should be taken just before the 1978 key level of 176.900. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: 156.700 🟥 Stop Loss: 150.300 ✅ Take Profit #1: 169.500 ✅ Take Profit #2: 175.900 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Breakout of key 152.000 price level 2. Strong bullish price action completing the measured move to 154.500 3. Third leg to 158.350 complete, wait for a pullback 4. Enter a 1:3 Risk/Reward trade taking half profits at 1:2 Risk/Reward. 5. RSI at 74.00 and above the Moving Average, supports pullback. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
1
USDJPY Cup & Handle Pattern Indicates Bullish Breakout PotentialInstrument: USD/JPY Pattern Formation: Cup and Handle Current Situation: Near Key Resistance Level Analysis: The USD/JPY currency pair has been exhibiting a compelling technical setup, characterized by the formation of a Cup and Handle pattern near a crucial resistance level. This pattern suggests a potential bullish continuation in the prevailing uptrend. The Cup and Handle pattern typically signifies a period of consolidation followed by a breakout to the upside. As such, we anticipate a bullish breakout in the near term, indicating favorable trading opportunities for market participants. Trade Recommendation: - Entry Point: Initiate long positions upon a re-test of the price near 151.900, ideally confirming the bullish momentum. - Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order at 150.180 to mitigate potential downside risk and preserve capital in the event of adverse price movements. - Take Profit Targets: - TP-1: Set the first take-profit target at 153.650, reflecting a conservative projection of the upward price movement. - TP-2: Aim for a secondary take-profit level at 155.400 to capitalize on extended bullish momentum, considering the potential for further upside. Risk Management: It is crucial to adhere to proper risk management practices, including position sizing and stop-loss placement, to safeguard against unexpected market fluctuations. Traders should also remain vigilant and adjust their positions accordingly based on evolving market conditions. Conclusion: In summary, the technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook for the USD/JPY currency pair, with the formation of a Cup and Handle pattern near a key resistance level. Traders may consider implementing long positions, with defined entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels, to capitalize on the anticipated upward breakout. Note: This analysis is based solely on technical factors and does not account for fundamental or external market influences. Traders should conduct their own research and exercise discretion before entering any trades.
Long
by trading_jupiter
1
USD/JPY looks set for 155 - but will the BOJ allow a breakout?At the beginning of April, Japan's ex-FX diplomat Watanabe said that the BOJ were unlikely to intervene with USD/JPY below 155. Well now the pair trade less than 80 pips beneath this key level (and less than a day's trade by recent standards), 155 is certainly the level to watch today. The strength of the bullish 1-hour trend makes it seem that USD/JPY has little choice by to at least try and retest 155. Prices are now consolidating after a mild pullback, RSI (2) is nearing oversold during an uptrend and the daily pivot point is nearby for dip buyers to consider longs. Should momentum turn higher from here, bulls could simply target 155. As for how it behaves if it meets that level remains to be seen. Yet prior attempts at key levels usually sees momentum either slow down ahead of it, or a volatile breakout is followed by a shakeout before prices revert beneath the key level. The only exception in recent history was IS CPI data which saw prices smash through 152 with apparent ease. But today we suspect market forces alone can drive prices higher without US data. The question remains as to whether the BOJ will remain quiet and allow the rally to flourish further.
Long
by CityIndex