Get started

Usdjpyanalysis

USDJPY Bank Bearish Robbery PlanMy Dear Robbers / Traders, This is our master plan to Heist USDJPY Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money. Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 4h timeframe Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Short
by Thief_Trader
USD/JPY Bullish Divergence and Key Support AnalysisThe USD/JPY pair has recently exhibited a Bullish Divergence on the 1-hour chart. This technical pattern is a significant indicator suggesting potential upward price movement. The price action has also received a strong rejection at a key support level, which coincides with a 4-hour trendline and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. These factors collectively reinforce our bullish outlook. Technical Confluences: Bullish Divergence: A bullish divergence on the 1-hour chart indicates potential reversal and strength in the upward momentum. Key Support Level: The price rejection at the key support level confirms the market's recognition of this zone as a significant barrier to downward movement. 4-Hour Trendline: Alignment with a long-term trendline adds to the credibility of the support level, indicating sustained bullish sentiment. 61.8% Fibonacci Level: The confluence with the Fibonacci retracement level further solidifies the support area, often seen as a critical point for trend reversals. Entry and Risk Management: Entry Point: 158.520 Stop Loss: 157.300 The chosen entry point at 158.520 is strategically placed just above the key support level, ensuring minimal risk while maximizing potential gains. The stop loss at 157.300 is set conservatively below the support level to protect against unexpected volatility. Take Profit Levels: To effectively manage profits, the following take profit levels have been identified based on technical analysis and historical price action: TP-1: 159.740 TP-2: 160.960 TP-3: 162.180 These levels are determined to capture gains at various stages of the anticipated upward movement, allowing for flexible exit strategies based on market conditions. Conclusion: The USD/JPY pair demonstrates a strong bullish potential supported by multiple technical indicators and confluences. Traders are advised to enter at 158.520 with a stop loss at 157.300 to manage risk effectively. The outlined take-profit levels offer strategic exit points to maximize gains while adapting to market movements. Recommendation: Monitor the price action closely and adjust positions to align with evolving market conditions and protect against potential reversals.
Long
by trading_jupiter
2
USDJPY → Huge Fall from 162.000! Heading for 155.000?USD/JPY trickled it's way just shy of 162.000 where it formed a double top reversal pattern on the Daily chart and fell hard to 157.500. Should we still be long? Or is it time to get short? How do we trade this? 🤔 As mentioned in my previous analysis from May 7th after the massive sell-off from 160.200 back down to 152.000, we should be looking for confirmation of a short before entering one. We now have a nice sell signal, the double top reversal, right after three strong pushes up in a trend. USD/JPY has been in a bull run since 2021 on the higher timeframes such as the weekly and monthly, getting short needs to be taken with extreme caution and careful planning. It is reasonable to expect the USD/JPY price to retest the 160.000 area after such a fall. The bears are going to be skittish in a bull market, the bulls are going to try and long again to get that 50% pullback to the high side. But once the price goes 200 pips to the upside after the 400 pip drop, will we see another sell-off? Or a run back to 162.000 and beyond? That's what we need to wait for, the confirmation sell candle closing on or near it's low to confirm more downside movement. It is reasonable to short this, but I would do it on the 4HR timeframe and wait for a long entry on the Daily timeframe. We should expect some support at 155.000, this trade waits for that second leg in the pullback from 162.000 to hit 155.000, give us a strong bull signal and confirmation candle to confirm a long entry around 156.000. Place the stop loss below 155.000 at 154.050, take profit #1 at 157.950 then move stop loss up to entry price, take profit #2 at 159.900, just before the key resistance of 160.000 which is also a psychological resistance. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: 156.000 🟥 Stop Loss: 154.050 ✅ Take Profit #1: 157.950 ✅ Take Profit #2: 159.900 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three pushes up after the 152.000 support confirmation to the key level of 162.000 2. Double top reversal at 162.000 followed by a 400 pip drop; sell signal 3. Look for 50% pullback toward 160.000 and a rejection at that key level to manifest the second leg down to the 155.000 area. 4. Enter a 1:2 Risk/Reward long trade up to 159.900. 5. RSI near 41.00 and far below the Moving Average, supports pullback to the upside before another fall. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades and start looking for reversals. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
1
USDJPY! PPI not as friendly The Dow Industrial Average average can't close at a record but closes just above 40,000 The 2-10 year yield rises to -27.3 basis points. A close here will be highest since Jan 29 Crude oil futures settle at $82.21 Stock earnings for the quarter were kicked off. What's on tap for next week? What happens after the first rate cut. Recession? Stocks move lower? A number of currency pairs stretched to key target levels including the NZDUSD. What next? Keep an eye on China's Third Plenum meeting next week Japan's Kanda: Won't say whether intervention was conducted or not House Democratic leader Jeffries met with Biden yesterday. The read-out isn't glowing UMich July consumer sentiment 66.0 vs 68.5 expected Kickstart the FX trading day for July 12 w/a technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY & GBPUSD
Short
by FXBANkthe8055
USDJPY → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone USDJPY moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level.. We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
1
Japanese Yen dropped to its lowest level in nearly 4 decadesAll data supports LONG usdjpy ---- According to Nikkei, till now, Japanese institutional traders have now no longer poured capital into overseas markets on any such big scale. Banks offered simplest a internet 220.7 billion yen of overseas property withinside the first 1/2 of of this 12 months. Meanwhile, pension price range bought a internet of 9.forty three trillion yen withinside the identical period. The using pressure using the float of cash into foreign places property is the organization of retail traders who're changing their financial savings into investments to deal with inflation. Core CPI in Japan has always multiplied extra than 2% every month given that fall 2022. May CPI multiplied 2.1%, better than the BOJ`s goal of 2%. Currently, only a few monetary merchandise in Japan generate returns better than 2%. One-12 months deposits of as a minimum three million yen had hobby costs of simply beneathneath 0.1% in June. Japanese authorities bonds bought to retail traders had hobby costs of much less than 1% this month. The predicted dividend yield of Japanese shares in keeping with the Nikkei Stock Average is simplest 1.75%, nevertheless decrease than inflation. “Investment cash has a tendency to float to Western nations and elsewhere, in which monetary and company boom expectancies are high,” stated Soichiro Tateishi, an economist on the Japan Research Institute. When Japanese traders purchase shares or bonds denominated in USD via mutual price range with out a foreign money hedging strategy, they'll ought to promote yen to shop for USD. Accordingly, multiplied funding sports via NISA positioned even extra strain at the yen. Investors chickening out capital will assist the yen appreciate. However, NISA is a software primarily based totally on lengthy-time period investments, so the yen will now no longer be capable of get hold of momentum from here. Meanwhile, Japan's change deficit has lengthy been taken into consideration a structural issue inflicting the yen to fall. As an electricity importer, Japan has visible a change deficit for the reason that 2011 earthquake and tsunami, which pressured the u . s . to import extra electricity because of the closure of nuclear strength plants. From January to May 2024, Japan's change deficit stood at three.forty five trillion yen. This discern will boom to three.eighty three trillion yen while facts via mid-June are included. Some professionals have warned approximately the capital flight of retail traders. Meanwhile, the yen is buying and selling at a hundred and sixty for 1 USD, whilst at the start of the 12 months it became 140. One manner to show the scenario round is to boom the splendor of the Japanese inventory marketplace and different monetary merchandise. According to Shingo Ide, leader monetary engineer at NLI Research Institute, Japanese businesses “are beginning to make efforts to enhance profitability and capital efficiency.” However, Nikkei stated, any essential exalternate to the contemporary fashion will take a protracted time.
Long
by TheLeader_WOLF
UsdJpy- Don't p..s against the wind!If there has been a clear trend in the past two years, it has been the devaluation of the JPY. Despite some corrections, even very deep ones, the trend has always resumed, leading to new lows for the JPY. One of these deeper corrections occurred at the end of last year, triggered, as always, by JPY repatriation. However, as shown on the chart, the beginning of 2024 saw the resumption of the upward move. Only the BoJ intervention at the end of April and beginning of May at the 160 level stopped the ascent. The chart shows that the pair has been acting very technically since then, with the drop stopping and reversing precisely at the horizontal support that was previously resistance. Since then, USD/JPY has started making higher lows again and is now trading around 160. Only time will tell if the BoJ will be determined to defend this level but, in my personal opinion, it is better to look to buy on dips (around 158) rather than sell at this resistance, hoping for another intervention.
by Mihai_Iacob
USDJPY on 4-hr Timeframe (downtrend channel) (short for now)I have plotted out the key levels for resistance and support. Nearest Resistance: 160.82-160.87 Nearest Support: 160.26-160.30 Resistance Turned Support: 159.83-159.91 Major Support: 157.70-157.98 Scenario 1 ======== If Bullish Candlestick formed above 161.20 (Bull Flag Breakout), a continuation of Higher High will be around 162.70. Scenario 2 ======== If Bearish Candlestick Formed below 160.26, price will continue to correct to 159.83-159.91. Scenario 3 ======== Major Correction towards to 157.70-157.98 (probably takes 2-3 weeks to reach there).
Short
by PeterGHL
USDJPY seems reaching its peak. Time for Yen to shine?Last month, the US unemployment rate rose to 4.1%. High current interest rates may assist in controlling inflation. However, if rates persist at 5.5% for an extended period, businesses may lack the funds needed to hire more employees, thereby failing to improve domestic employment rates. Consequently, the current high interest rates are unlikely to endure for long. Once the Fed decides to lower rates, a significant short in the US dollar is anticipated, benefiting other non-US dollar asset classes.
by Ch-artwork
1
USD/JPY - Bullish Trend ContinuationThis morning, the focus is on the Dollar-Yen pair. The bullish trend is evident across all timeframes. Yesterday, we observed a strong break of the reversal structure at 161.269 after reaching a momentum high of 161.95. This break is crucial for the continuation of the bullish trend. Following the break, a bullish pattern has formed, and the price has moved into the Fibonacci buy zones of the initial move. Given this setup, the high probability action is to buy or do nothing above 161.57. Stop Loss: 161.14 Target 1: 162.35 Always think in probabilities.
Long
by Charts247TradingAcademy
Mega Analysis on USDJPY outrageous Levels so this analysis is based on high time frame weekly 1) so i identified a CUP & HANDLE pattern, the range for the cup size is from 127.50 to 151.946 2) Handle range from 140.188 to 151.946 so the target projected based on size of pattern 1st target = 163.513 2nd target = 176.392 last three weeks has a price action of three soldiers which has left behind bullish fvg at 159.778 and 158.258 so, if you dont have any position this area could be offer fair value and if you already holding some position then we can trail the stop loss just below the fvg we have marked note - market is based on buyer and seller and ups and downs so short term pullbacks are considerable leave your comment on my analysis and lets have trading related deep talks !!
Long
by Jimmy_Rebello
Japan's efforts to protect the yen exchange rate fell into vain"ALL THE PROBLEM IS WITH THE FED" On Wednesday`s buying and selling consultation, the yen fell to 160.88 yen for 1 USD, the bottom degree due to the fact that 1986. Early this morning (June 27) withinside the Asian marketplace, the yen rebounded slightly. 160.sixty three yen to at least one USD. The yen has depreciated approximately 2% this June and fallen 12% due to the fact that the start of the yr as compared to the USD, withinside the context of a regular growth withinside the USD alternate price due to the fact expectancies approximately whilst the Fed will begin decreasing hobby prices are constantly driven back. . The Dollar Index, which measures the power of the USD in opposition to a basket of six different predominant currencies, has accelerated 1.25% this month and is up 4.sixty three% due to the fact that the start of the yr - consistent with facts from MarketWatch. On Wednesday consultation, Dollar Index handed 106 points, the very best in 2 months. The predominant motive of the yen devaluation as compared to the USD is the hobby price distinction among americaA and Japan. The Fed's short-time period hobby price is five.25-five.five% and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is 0-0.1%, making the yen an appealing investment foreign money. in hobby price differential transactions (bring trade). According to Bloomberg, international traders recognize that the yen will face downward stress so long as USD hobby prices stay high. In the worldwide foreign money marketplace with a transaction fee of 7.five trillion USD according to day, the non-stop devaluation of the yen is a clearer proof of US affect withinside the economic sector. “The hassle is all with the Fed. Higher and longer hobby prices withinside the US are attracting cash to americaA and making the USD robust," stated leader bond funding strategist of NatAlliance Securities LLC, Mr. Andrew Brenner. Mr. Brenner stated that for Japan, that is a challenge. Wednesday's buying and selling consultation completely contemplated America's dominant function in international economic markets. The Dollar Index's 0.4% growth this consultation positioned downward stress on nearly all different currencies withinside the world. The US inventory marketplace is on course to finish some other area of robust gains, whilst the Ministry of Finance without difficulty bought all 70 billion USD of Treasury bonds withinside the public sale at the equal day. For the yen, the tale is absolutely different. At an alternate price of almost 161 yen to at least one USD, the foreign money has depreciated past the factor in which Japanese government intervened withinside the forex marketplace in past due April and early May. This manner efforts Spending greater than 60 billion USD to defend Tokyo's yen alternate price has "failed", however happily it handiest bogged down the price of devaluation of the yen.
Long
by TheLeader_WOLF
1
Usd Jpy Intervention shortAnalysis of USD/JPY Short Signal Based on Potential Bank of Japan Intervention The BOJ has a history of intervening in the currency market to stabilize the yen, especially when rapid depreciation threatens economic stability. Previous interventions have led to sharp, albeit sometimes short-lived, reversals in the USD/JPY pair. Current Economic Conditions: Japan: Inflation remains low, and economic growth is sluggish. The BOJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy, but any signs of overheating in the exchange rate might prompt intervention. United States: The Federal Reserve has been relatively hawkish, focusing on controlling inflation through interest rate hikes. This policy divergence has contributed to the USD strength against the JPY. Market Sentiment: Recent movements have seen the USD/JPY testing higher levels, potentially triggering concerns for the BOJ about excessive yen weakness. Speculation of intervention can often lead to preemptive market adjustments. Technical Analysis Resistance Levels: The pair may face resistance around historically significant highs, which could act as a trigger point for BOJ intervention. Support Levels: Key support levels will be watched to assess potential downside targets if intervention occurs. Sustainability of BOJ Actions: The effectiveness of BOJ interventions in reversing long-term trends is historically mixed. Given the potential for BOJ intervention to correct an overextended yen depreciation, a short position in USD/JPY could be strategic. However, traders should closely monitor key economic indicators, BOJ communications, and technical resistance levels. Proper risk management, including stop-loss orders, is essential to navigate the inherent uncertainties and volatility associated with such interventions.
Short
by realtrademaster
3
Forex Price analysis - GU, AU, UC, UJ and CJWelcome to this week's Forex Price Analysis for the week starting June 30, 2024. We're analysing GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD, USDJPY, and CADJPY. GBPUSD: The bullish wave structure is broken. High probability sell at 1.2654 targeting 1.2612. AUDUSD: A bearish wave suggests a buy at the low. A strong rally on Friday. Prefer buying after a correction to the 0.6640 buy zone. USDCAD: A bearish move on Friday indicates a revisit to 1.3734. Expect lower prices to 1.3627 before buying. USDJPY: Strong uptrend last week. Bullish wave failed; trend change pattern with a corrective wave in Fibonacci sell-zone. Trade below 160.70 suggests further decline. A break above 160.96 negates selling. CADJPY: Similar to USDJPY. Potential downside after Thursday's high. A strong break of the high on Friday suggests an uptrend continuation. A break below 117.43 indicates a selling opportunity after a pullback.
by Charts247TradingAcademy
The chart is a battleground, revealing who got crushed!In the early days of exchange trading, there was no technical possibility to visualize market quote movements, and traders analyzed ticker tapes. The real hype and massive interest in exchange speculation owe it to the technical possibility of displaying exchange information in the form of charts with ticks, bars, candles, and other more exotic ways of displaying price movements (Renko, Kagi). This led to a rapid growth of various schools of technical and graphical analysis. Just Google it, and you'll be overwhelmed by the sheer amount of info out there. It's like, every chart can be interpreted in a million ways, and three analysts will give you four different opinions on the same chart. It's crazy! But after 15+ years of trading, I've come to realize that the essence of graphical analysis is all about finding the "suffering" market participants. Classic patterns make it easy to spot areas of market activity and where traders are piling in. I'll give you some examples, backed by data from open sources, that'll show you just how predictable retail traders can be. Now, I know some experienced traders might say, "Patterns don't work, and this knowledge isn't enough." But I call BS - patterns do work, and the real question is who's extracting the most value from them? Of course, interpreting market patterns is just one piece of the puzzle. Here's an analogy: think of experienced hunters preparing for a hunt. They don't just wander around looking for prey; they identify the habitats, study the location, and track the animal's migration paths. They have a plan, limited time, and the right gear to get the job done. It's the same with pro traders with really big money. They plan and execute their strategy, using the behavior of less-informed participants in certain "hotspots" that attract retail traders like magnets. It's simple: a a newbie sees a market situation that looks just like one from a technical analysis book, and they're like, "Ah, I've got this!" Alright, let's take a look at the current situation with the Euro. I've got a screenshot with the average long and short positions of retail traders marked on the chart. It's a 1-hour time frame, which is probably the most popular one, right? Think about it, why is this time frame so popular? The data is from an open source, as of Friday evening. Take a minute to study this chart. What catches your eye? Let's zoom in and add some lines and arrows. Voilà! What do we see? The average long and short positions of participants (from the open source) almost perfectly match the breakouts of local highs and lows. This is what's called "trading the breakout" in the books. We can make an intermediate conclusion: the "bulls" were encouraged to open positions and got stuck in a losing zone, while the "bears" are celebrating their victory, as the market is favoring them and they're in a small profit. In other words, the market sentiment is bearish. Woohoo, case closed, let's go to short the Euro now! And yes, and no! The Euro quotes have been below the average short position of traders since June 14th, for two whole weeks, inviting everyone to start shorting. Even a blind "bull" can see it's time to switch sides). Here are some more numbers from the open source: short positions on the Euro decreased by 11.55% last week , while bearish positions grew by 8.55% . These are broker-aggregated data, no insider info here. You can find them yourself if you put in some time and effort. These numbers, as you understand, confirm our hypothesis that this "shorting invitation" didn't go unnoticed. Now, in the context of this article, think about it: "Will the 'Hunters' take advantage of this situation?" Or will the market take us all for a profitable ride? Oh boy... Let's look at the current situation with the Yen. It's a 1-hour chart with opened buys and sell levels marked. What can we conclude: a massive bearish candle clearly encouraged a lot of short positions to open, while the "bulls" opened at the upper range boundary during its test, and the market is favoring them, while the bears are suffering. But what's even more important, they're not just suffering, but also reversing the market. According to open data, the number of open short positions grew by 14.09% last week . Good luck to them in this tough business! However we should remember that short positions are closed at a stop-loss by "market buy" orders, which gives an impulse for further growth. What do I want to convey with this article, what do I want to share with you, mates? Evaluate market sentiment through the prism of "suffering" participants - that's, in my opinion, the best indicator! Usefully utilize information from open sources about retail positioning, there's a lot of value in it. Try to look at the chart with the eyes of a "hunter", search for traps set. Make such analysis a necessary part of your strategy to gain an edge, without which trading on markets is like playing "roulette". It's a journey, folks. Some get it earlier, some later, but eventually, most traders come to realize they need to "dig deeper", learn more about market mechanics, and improve their strategies. It's a painful process, but it's worth it. So, don't give up! Get back on your feet, and try again. As 50 Cent said: Get rich or die trying!
Education
by ClashChartsTeam