DeGRAM | USDJPY pullback from the channel boundaryUSDJPY is trading in the ascending channel, making higher highs and higher closes.
The price broke out of the accumulation range and reached the channel boundary.
We expect a re-test of the support level.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Usdjpyanalysis
USDJPYOn the monthly chart, we have a larger bearish trend. Presently, the price seems to be seeking the unmitigated supply at 156 price handle. Once we have a mitigated supply, we will be looking for sell limit orders targeting the monthly fair value gap and flip zone at 116.5 price handle.
On the weekly charts, upon refinement. we have equal highs at 159 price handle representing a strong liquidity zone in addition to the unmitigated order block at 153 price handle.
On the daily charts, we maintain the same bullish bias in Q2. Thereafter we will be looking for sell orders.
Yen Traders Tread Cautiously as Japan Hints at InterventionAnxiety hangs heavy over the yen market. With the Japanese currency hovering near a 34-year low against the U.S. dollar, traders are wary of potential intervention from Japanese authorities. This comes as Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated the government's concerns about the rapid depreciation of the yen.
The Yen's Slide: A Perfect Storm
The yen's recent decline can be attributed to a confluence of factors:
• Divergent Monetary Policies: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy, keeping interest rates near zero, while central banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve are aggressively raising rates to combat inflation. This widening interest rate differential makes the dollar a more attractive investment compared to the yen.
• Global Risk Aversion: As geopolitical tensions and concerns about a global economic slowdown escalate, investors are seeking refuge in dollar-denominated assets, further weakening the yen.
• Japan's Trade Dependence: Japan relies heavily on imports for essential resources like energy and food. A weaker yen makes these imports more expensive, potentially fueling inflation within Japan.
Verbal Intervention: A Warning Shot
Finance Minister Suzuki's recent statements can be seen as a warning shot to currency markets. He emphasized the government's "deep concern" about the yen's depreciation and hinted at the possibility of intervention if excessive volatility persists.
However, the effectiveness of verbal intervention is debatable. Without concrete action, traders might remain skeptical.
Intervention: A Double-Edged Sword
Direct intervention in the currency market involves the Japanese government selling dollars and buying yen to artificially strengthen the currency. While this can achieve short-term results, it comes with drawbacks:
• Costly Defense: Intervention can be expensive, draining Japan's foreign currency reserves.
• Market Distortion: Heavy intervention can distort market forces and create uncertainty for traders.
• Limited Effectiveness: The effectiveness of intervention depends on the size of the intervention and the broader economic backdrop. If underlying economic fundamentals favoring a weaker yen persist, intervention might have only a temporary impact.
Traders on Edge: Waiting for the Next Move
Yen traders are currently in a wait-and-see mode. They are closely monitoring the Japanese government's actions and statements, along with the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, for any signs that could influence the yen's direction.
The Road Ahead: A Balancing Act
The future path of the yen will be determined by several factors:
• The BOJ's Monetary Policy: Any change in the BOJ's stance, even a hint of a future rate hike, could strengthen the yen. However, the BOJ is expected to remain dovish for the foreseeable future.
• Global Risk Sentiment: If global risk aversion eases, investors might be less inclined to seek refuge in the dollar, potentially aiding the yen.
• The Effectiveness of Intervention: If Japan intervenes in the currency market and does so decisively, it might provide temporary support to the yen.
Conclusion: A Fragile Currency in Uncertain Times
The outlook for the yen remains uncertain. While the Japanese government may intervene to curb its rapid depreciation, the effectiveness of such strategies is limited without addressing the underlying economic factors. The future direction of the yen will likely hinge on global economic developments and the monetary policy decisions of major central banks.
USDJPY 💱 // Pre-April CPI ReportHello Traders.. We are taking a look at a different Pair today. The Monthly timeframe and Weekly timeframe really pushing the highs of the range over here. Will CPI be the catalyst to Spaceship us out of the range finally? Or do we still need some more time to gather liquidity and pullback. We pulled back today, Tuesday April 9th, as buyers got gun shy and Sellers took over.
USDJPY: USD/JPY returns to 152 regardless of intervention threat
The Japanese yen weakened barely on Tuesday, with USDJPY now lower back toward 152 - its maximum stage in view that 1990.
The yen`s weak spot comes whilst Japanese officers time and again warn that they'll reply correctly to hypothesis in opposition to the yen. However, promoting momentum piled at the yen, specially withinside the face of better longer-dated US hobby costs, that have been the principle weight at the Japanese foreign money for almost years.
The yen additionally obtained little assist from the Bank of Japan's first hobby fee hike in 17 years, because the valuable financial institution presented dovish alerts on destiny coverage decisions. .
Dollar steadies on CPI information, recognition on Fed assembly minutes
The greenback index and greenback index futures had been little modified in Asian buying and selling after posting a few in a single day losses. But buyers are nevertheless in large part biased toward the dollar given the numerous alerts on US hobby costs this week.
Consumer Price Index inflation information for March is due out on Wednesday and is extensively anticipated to expose inflation final properly above the Fed's 2% annual target, leaving the valuable financial institution with little Motivation to begin reducing hobby costs soon.
Minutes from the Fed's March assembly can also be launched on Wednesday and are available amid developing doubts approximately whether or not the valuable financial institution will begin reducing hobby costs in June.
A string of Fed officers warned that difficult inflation could maintain the Fed from reducing hobby costs early this year.
USD/JPY back in a strong resistance zone - SHORT from 151.90I'm SHORT USD/JPY for the following reasons:
a). Price is back at a confirmed area of resistance last hit on 3rd April and 27th March
b). The Andean Oscillator on 15m time frame has seen a rise of the red SELL line and is now reading .0082 having been at .0027 previous candle and .0010 candle before that having been reading zero for several bars.
c). Andean Oscillator has just signalled a BUY trade on EUR/USD, GBP/USD suggesting the USD is losing support.
d). Andean Oscillator is suggesting a SELL on USD/CAD confirming that the USD is coming under SELLING pressure.
e). Price has broken the 20 EMA on 15M and is pushing through the 50 EMA
f). MACD is signalling SELL as the fast MA has croseed south under the slow MA.
g). RSI has been decling for the last 4 bars having reached the resistance zone.
Taken all together this looks a decent SELL trade though we do not have as many confirmations as we would like but as there's a natural STOP just above the recent high and this STOP is just 10 pips above our entry then the reward for this trade should the selling pressure on USD increase is potentially very good as our initial target would be WPP mid pivot/200 EMA at 151.48.
There is an absense of news this week until Wednesday when US CPI numbers are printed so the market will drive the price over the next several sessions.
USDJPY Positional Analysis Employing a meticulous approach centered on the daily timeframe, I conduct thorough analysis, currently focusing on USDJPY ensconced within a sideways consolidation phase. My methodology hinges on precise identification of buy and sell zones, underpinned by strategic delineation of entry and exit points. By adhering to a disciplined risk management strategy, I implement tight stop losses in anticipation of substantial market movements. Rest assured, I commit to promptly updating as prices converge with the specified zones, facilitating informed decision-making for all stakeholders. Welcome to a realm where professionalism meets precision in trading analysis.
"The EUR is poised for a reversal."The signal of trend reversal convergence will appear when the downtrend turns into an uptrend. At that point, in a downtrend, the subsequent lows will be lower than the previous lows.
However, oscillating indicators behave differently, as they show that the subsequent lows are higher than the previous lows, indicating that the momentum of the downtrend is weakening. This forms a convergence signal.
We can look for opportunities to enter trades at this position with reliable candlestick patterns.
However, it is also worth noting that this is bottom-fishing behavior, and we are trading against the current trend, so caution is necessary because not all signals are 100% accurate.
USDJPY: Big Trade Loading at least 1000 pips! What you think?Dear Traders,
USDJPY currently trading at extreme seller zone, though daily timeframe has not show strong intention from seller. However, in upcoming weeks we may see strong sellers pressure coming in the market. Please use accurate risk management.
❌we will soon have a correction❌It is very likely that we will soon have a correction to the targets of 149.420 and 148.000 in this currency pair. Pay attention that this analysis is in the daily time frame and the trigger to enter the trade is the breaking of the 150.00 level down in the 1-hour time frame.
Don't miss this USDJPYI am pretty sure you will come to check my chart when will be too late. USDJPY is about to drop more than 200 pips, and i am pretty sure you will enter too late (or much worst, you will long USDJPY). $152.000 is a huge and multi year resistance for UJ, and considering the actual political situation, and the incredible raise for gold, Dollar will make a glorious dump. Help me and put a like It's free, but this drop will get you money
USDJPY Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe USDJPY currency pair has recently exhibited a bullish trend. However, it has been consolidating sideways for an extended period, lacking a clear directional bias. In our video analysis, we explore a couple of scenarios and provide detailed insights regarding price action considerations. Notably, we look for heightened volatility as liquidity is tested both above and below the current range. We anticipate a trend to emerge at some point. Currently, we are examining a 15-minute chart for potential trade opportunities, as discussed in the video. As always, this information is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
USDJPY SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗
Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
USD JPY 1HRUSD JPY 1 hour timeframe outlook.
On The one-hour timeframe, the market is currently consolidating on that resistance level, we need to see a break out to the downside and a retest to get an entry for SELL.
On the other hand, if the market breaks above the resistance level to the upside we need to see a retest of the broken resistance turn support to get a BUY entry ⏰
USDJPY COMMUNITY TRADESThis trade opportunity is shared on my community, Yes it is. Almost 400+pips being made with 30+ pips stoploss.
you heard it from me. Last friday NFP with the positive results on a dollar, I'm expecting price could manipulate the previous high at a higher context for most swing traders. This idea is base on trendline on Daily Timeframe, But on Daily EMA 13&48 closed break . I will be watching on that zone 149 zone if price decline.
This is not a financial advice. Follow for more.
This is not a signal or trade to be made by any other. this idea already being shared.
Congrats who follow me since then, Now my followers skyrocket. almost 600 followers.
Well Thanks to all fellow traders.
For better trading follow your stoploss.