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Usdjpyanalysis

USDJPY: The 10-year Japanese government bond yield could reach 2CEO of asset management fund Eurizon SLJ Capital, Mr. Stephen Jen, said that the USDJPY exchange rate could fall to 1 USD for 130 Yen by the end of this year, while the yield on Japanese government bonds with a term of 10 year is likely to increase by 1.5% - 2%. USDJPY traded around 148.10 and the 10-year bond yield was at 0.71% on January 29. According to Stephen Jen, the father of the Laughing Dollar theory, Governor Kazuo Ueda's focus in the near future is to reset monetary policy "to allow the BoJ to act without bursting the government bond bubble (JGB )”.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upUSD/JPY appears to encounter resistance around 148.80 over the last three days, with fading bets on a Fed rate cut. While bullish sentiments persist, the bulls take a breather, gearing up for potential momentum next week, pending the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) monetary policy hints. On the USD front, resilience continues fueled by recovering US yields and positive University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment data, providing the Greenback an additional boost. Eyes are on December's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) figures, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation, influencing market bets for upcoming decisions. Despite some easing in dovish expectations this week, the odds of cuts in March and May, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, remain at around 50% and 45%, respectively. USDJPY Technical Analysis: As discussed in the video, the recent upward momentum is showing signs of easing, leaving room for a possible USD pullback. However, for a confirmed uptrend continuation, we need to see sustained trading above 148.800. Our detailed technical analysis focused on the current bullish market structure, with particular attention to the crucial level of 148.800, set as a pivotal point for the upcoming week. This level gains significance as a potential catalyst for a clear uptrend if buying pressure persists. The market's response to this level at the beginning of the new week will strongly influence the direction of price action in the days ahead. Join me in exploring potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Stay connected to my channel, follow updates, and actively participate in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you success as you navigate the USDJPY market this week! #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
6
USDJPY: The foreign exchange market is quiet, the USD is stable Most Asian currencies stayed narrow on Wednesday, while the dollar steadied near a six-week high as markets awaited further signals on when the Federal Reserve might start cutting interest rates. The Australian dollar fell 0.1%, even as January PMI data showed some improvement in manufacturing and services activity. The Aussie, often seen as an indicator of broader risk appetite for Asian markets, is also trading near a seven-week low. USD steadies near 6-week high with econ. data, Fed meeting underway The dollar index and dollar index futures both fell 0.1% in Asian trading after rising to their highest since early December in the previous session. The greenback marked a strong start to 2024 as strong inflation and labor market data showed traders had largely tempered expectations for an early Fed rate cut. This perception has been exacerbated by a series of hawkish comments from Fed officials over the past week. The focus now turns to fourth-quarter gross domestic product data, due on Thursday, and PCE price index data - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - due on Friday. Any sign of recovery in economic growth and inflation gives the Fed more incentive to keep interest rates higher for longer. The readings also come just days before the Fed's first meeting of 2024, where the bank is widely expected to maintain interest rates at a 23-year high. But the Fed is still expected to start cutting interest rates this year, which will keep traders watching for any such signals from the meeting.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
1
USDJPY major pullback or reversal?4H TF - trendline broken, waiting on retest - FVG intersection with said trendline - 50% fib level confluent with both of above - previous breaker block confluent with all of above - LL created 1H TF - FVG overlapping 4H FVG 15M TF - 5 touches just below target entry (LIQUIDITY SWEEP?) - FVG inside of both HTF FVGS. ALL of the above intersect within the same PRICE RANGE. Highly probable that a retest and a rejection of all will allow the BEARS to takeover and create a new LH - Entering the start of a potential downtrend if enough liquidity.
Short
by SLouise96
USDJPY: Anticipating a bearish trend.Hello traders, The current situation in USDJPY pair is getting clearer. I expect a correction in the form of a zigzag, with wave b still in progress. However, wave b seems to be getting more complicated, possibly taking the shape of a converging horizontal triangle. To finish it, I need to see two more small waves, one going up and the other down. After that, the price is likely to go up again, forming wave c of the zigzag. At the same time, the completion of corrective wave (ii) suggests that the price might soon start a significant downward move. Given this, it's not advisable to open any trading positions until the correction is completed. Until then, I will remain on the sideline watching. Cheers and happy trading!
by Samuel124
1
USDJPY → On the way to 152.000? Let's Maximize Profits!USDJPY is on its third leg up in this bull trend and heading toward a Resistance Zone at 149.350. Should we consider shorting the resistance? Or longing a pullback? How do we trade this? 🤔 Longing a pullback is the more probable trade. While we are looking at the third leg up in this bull trend (a situation where we may want to refrain from longing), we do not have any sign of a sell signal in sight. The RSI is over 70.00 near a Resistance Zone which means we should wait for a pullback toward the bull trend line near the 147.500 area and wait for a strong bull response. The Resistance Zone is the result of a high-volume price area; look to the left on the chart to see that data. Once we see a strong bull bar closing on or near its high off of that trend line, it's reasonable to take a long position at a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio. Take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward (149.600) just into the Resistance Zone, move your take profit up to the entry price to lock in profits, then swing the latter half of your position to 151.100 or until you see a sell signal near the previous high of 152.000. The probability of profit weakens as the trend moves into the third and fourth legs and therefore, the position size of this trade should be smaller to reduce our initial risk. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: 148.100 🟥 Stop Loss: 146.600 ✅ Take Profit #1: 149.600 ✅ Take Profit #2: 151.100 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Third leg up in a bull channel 2. Near a Resistance Zone 3. Gap back down to the Bull Trend line 4. RSI at 80.00 and above the moving average, supports a pullback 5. Wait for the price to come back down to the bull trend and bounce to enter a trade 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
1
USDJPY: USD/JPY fluctuated in the 146-150 range, to a greater exMizuho Bank said Japan will tolerate the yen's decline in the near term, expecting it to rise as the bank tightens policy, possibly as early as the second quarter. Additionally, Mizuho Bank said that while the Fed, ECB and BoE have not yet fully acknowledged that a rate cut is imminent, the Bank of Japan wants to avoid making a sudden change as it could could put disproportionate upward pressure on JPY. The reduction in yields and profits will work together to amplify forex moves (yen strength). Therefore, the BoJ will not rush to adjust policy that could be interpreted as tightening and concludes: Some reduction in JPY now may be the necessary balance to avoid a sudden and unwanted spike in JPY later. Expect 146-150 range in the coming months with heightened volatility.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
2
Currency to watch this week: Japanese Yen The three big events of this week will likely be the BoJ, BoC, and ECB interest rate decisions. Even though we aren't expecting to see any rate cuts or rate rises from any bank, we are looking forward to the guidance that each will present alongside their respective decisions. The guidance might be enough to move the yen, Canadian dollar, or euro. The USD/JPY might be the one to watch the closest this week though. In particular, we like watching the tussle in the pair as it approaches 150.000 with bulls having to become a little sheepish as they anticipate BoJ intervention around this level. Is the threat of intervention sometimes more than enough to convince bulls not to take on any more long positions? Coincidently, Japan’s finance minister Shun'ichi Suzuki gave a verbal warning last Friday saying that the government was watching currency moves carefully. Working against the yen is that BoJ guidance at the time of its interest rate decision will likely be as dovish as always, considering last week's domestic inflation data (falling to 2.6% in December 2023 from 2.8% in the prior month). Which is why you might anticipate more upside in the USDJPY. Although anything is possible. The Bank of Japan has shocked markets before.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY I Forecast ahead of BOJ POLICY RATE 💰Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
1
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upExplore the unfolding story of USDJPY in our latest technical analysis! Japan's Current Account growth fell short of expectations, printing at ¥1,925.6 billion in November. Despite markets anticipating ¥2,385.1 billion, the actual figure raised concerns. With expectations of the BoJ maintaining its ultra-dovish stance, we analyze how this might impact the JPY's upside potential. The upcoming week brings Japan's Producer Price Index (PPI) figures for December, adding a layer of anticipation. Meanwhile, across the Pacific, the US Producer Price Index for final demand dipped 0.1% in the last month. This decline, coupled with service prices remaining unchanged, has heightened expectations of lower inflation in the future. Traders are now factoring in a 79% chance of a March rate cut, up from 73% on Thursday, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. USDJPY Technical Analysis: As highlighted in the video, the recent upward pressure is beginning to ease, and the odds of USD pulling back further still exist. However, only persistent trading above 144.800 will validate an uptrend continuation. In this video, we conducted an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current bullish market structure. Our primary focus is within the key zone of 144.000/144.800, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. The key level becomes an area of interest as continued buying pressure above this zone could incite a clear uptrend. The market's reaction around this area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come. Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
1
USD/ JPY !! continue to increase the price trendline⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ USD/ JPY INFORMATION: During the Asian session on Thursday, the Japanese Yen (JPY) has gained ground against the American counterpart, breaking a three-day losing streak. It had previously reached its lowest level since November 28. The JPY's relative safe-haven status is being supported by a generally weaker risk tone and the subdued price action of the US Dollar (USD). However, the upside potential is limited due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will maintain its ultra-dovish stance in response to factors such as a recent earthquake in Japan, declining inflation rates in Tokyo, and weaker wage growth. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: The upward price trendline is still very nice, testrend to then have more BUY power ⭐️ SET UP USD/JPY PRICE: 🔥BUY zone:147.750 - 147.600 SL 147.100 TP1: 148.100 TP2: 148.400 TP3: 148.700 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Long
by Nova-Scalper
16
USDJPY I Potential short from resistance Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
2