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Usdjpyanalysis

USDJPY: Anticipating a bearish trend.Hello traders, The current situation in USDJPY pair is getting clearer. I expect a correction in the form of a zigzag, with wave b still in progress. However, wave b seems to be getting more complicated, possibly taking the shape of a converging horizontal triangle. To finish it, I need to see two more small waves, one going up and the other down. After that, the price is likely to go up again, forming wave c of the zigzag. At the same time, the completion of corrective wave (ii) suggests that the price might soon start a significant downward move. Given this, it's not advisable to open any trading positions until the correction is completed. Until then, I will remain on the sideline watching. Cheers and happy trading!
by Samuel124
1
USDJPY → On the way to 152.000? Let's Maximize Profits!USDJPY is on its third leg up in this bull trend and heading toward a Resistance Zone at 149.350. Should we consider shorting the resistance? Or longing a pullback? How do we trade this? 🤔 Longing a pullback is the more probable trade. While we are looking at the third leg up in this bull trend (a situation where we may want to refrain from longing), we do not have any sign of a sell signal in sight. The RSI is over 70.00 near a Resistance Zone which means we should wait for a pullback toward the bull trend line near the 147.500 area and wait for a strong bull response. The Resistance Zone is the result of a high-volume price area; look to the left on the chart to see that data. Once we see a strong bull bar closing on or near its high off of that trend line, it's reasonable to take a long position at a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio. Take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward (149.600) just into the Resistance Zone, move your take profit up to the entry price to lock in profits, then swing the latter half of your position to 151.100 or until you see a sell signal near the previous high of 152.000. The probability of profit weakens as the trend moves into the third and fourth legs and therefore, the position size of this trade should be smaller to reduce our initial risk. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: 148.100 🟥 Stop Loss: 146.600 ✅ Take Profit #1: 149.600 ✅ Take Profit #2: 151.100 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Third leg up in a bull channel 2. Near a Resistance Zone 3. Gap back down to the Bull Trend line 4. RSI at 80.00 and above the moving average, supports a pullback 5. Wait for the price to come back down to the bull trend and bounce to enter a trade 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
1
USDJPY: USD/JPY fluctuated in the 146-150 range, to a greater exMizuho Bank said Japan will tolerate the yen's decline in the near term, expecting it to rise as the bank tightens policy, possibly as early as the second quarter. Additionally, Mizuho Bank said that while the Fed, ECB and BoE have not yet fully acknowledged that a rate cut is imminent, the Bank of Japan wants to avoid making a sudden change as it could could put disproportionate upward pressure on JPY. The reduction in yields and profits will work together to amplify forex moves (yen strength). Therefore, the BoJ will not rush to adjust policy that could be interpreted as tightening and concludes: Some reduction in JPY now may be the necessary balance to avoid a sudden and unwanted spike in JPY later. Expect 146-150 range in the coming months with heightened volatility.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
2
Currency to watch this week: Japanese Yen The three big events of this week will likely be the BoJ, BoC, and ECB interest rate decisions. Even though we aren't expecting to see any rate cuts or rate rises from any bank, we are looking forward to the guidance that each will present alongside their respective decisions. The guidance might be enough to move the yen, Canadian dollar, or euro. The USD/JPY might be the one to watch the closest this week though. In particular, we like watching the tussle in the pair as it approaches 150.000 with bulls having to become a little sheepish as they anticipate BoJ intervention around this level. Is the threat of intervention sometimes more than enough to convince bulls not to take on any more long positions? Coincidently, Japan’s finance minister Shun'ichi Suzuki gave a verbal warning last Friday saying that the government was watching currency moves carefully. Working against the yen is that BoJ guidance at the time of its interest rate decision will likely be as dovish as always, considering last week's domestic inflation data (falling to 2.6% in December 2023 from 2.8% in the prior month). Which is why you might anticipate more upside in the USDJPY. Although anything is possible. The Bank of Japan has shocked markets before.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY I Forecast ahead of BOJ POLICY RATE 💰Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
1
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upExplore the unfolding story of USDJPY in our latest technical analysis! Japan's Current Account growth fell short of expectations, printing at ¥1,925.6 billion in November. Despite markets anticipating ¥2,385.1 billion, the actual figure raised concerns. With expectations of the BoJ maintaining its ultra-dovish stance, we analyze how this might impact the JPY's upside potential. The upcoming week brings Japan's Producer Price Index (PPI) figures for December, adding a layer of anticipation. Meanwhile, across the Pacific, the US Producer Price Index for final demand dipped 0.1% in the last month. This decline, coupled with service prices remaining unchanged, has heightened expectations of lower inflation in the future. Traders are now factoring in a 79% chance of a March rate cut, up from 73% on Thursday, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. USDJPY Technical Analysis: As highlighted in the video, the recent upward pressure is beginning to ease, and the odds of USD pulling back further still exist. However, only persistent trading above 144.800 will validate an uptrend continuation. In this video, we conducted an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current bullish market structure. Our primary focus is within the key zone of 144.000/144.800, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. The key level becomes an area of interest as continued buying pressure above this zone could incite a clear uptrend. The market's reaction around this area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come. Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
1
USD/ JPY !! continue to increase the price trendline⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ USD/ JPY INFORMATION: During the Asian session on Thursday, the Japanese Yen (JPY) has gained ground against the American counterpart, breaking a three-day losing streak. It had previously reached its lowest level since November 28. The JPY's relative safe-haven status is being supported by a generally weaker risk tone and the subdued price action of the US Dollar (USD). However, the upside potential is limited due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will maintain its ultra-dovish stance in response to factors such as a recent earthquake in Japan, declining inflation rates in Tokyo, and weaker wage growth. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: The upward price trendline is still very nice, testrend to then have more BUY power ⭐️ SET UP USD/JPY PRICE: 🔥BUY zone:147.750 - 147.600 SL 147.100 TP1: 148.100 TP2: 148.400 TP3: 148.700 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Long
by Nova-Scalper
16
USDJPY I Potential short from resistance Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
2
USD/JPY: Retests to kill momentum? USD/JPY: Retests to kill momentum? The USD/JPY experienced a notable surge from 144.50 as the week commenced, surpassing the 61.8% retracement level from the November-December downturn. It breached its 100-day MA, demonstrating a one-way move that resulted in a gain of 400 pips. Since the beginning of the year, the yen has incurred a loss exceeding 4%. Presently, the currency pair stands at a six-week high, propelled by a rally in the dollar following comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller. His remarks tempered expectations of a rate cut in March. The immediate obstacle to further upward movement lies in a retest of 149.700, followed by the crucial threshold of 150.00. Today's release of consumer inflation data from Japan is anticipated to provide additional indications of easing price pressures and will be crucial in determining how well the pair performs against the noted resistance levels that are in its sights, or how well the 100-day MA holds up as a level of support.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY SELL | Setup Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis. Short after the BULL RUN. GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Short
by TheGrove
3
USD/JPY: The Trend is still bullish in mid term....Hi everybody! On weekly Chart the trend is bullish , but although the pair formed a nice impulsive rally, at the moment, I still consider the main trend as a big corrective pattern (ABC Pattern). Even though the price rejected from 149.25 area (wave C), the wave was very steep and I don't rule out its transformation into an impulsive wave (12345). If this happens an ABCDE Pattern ( Flat Correction ) is possible. One aspect that should not be underestimated is the BoJ's changing of the guard. Kazuo Ueda is set to become the next governor of the Bank of Japan, succeeding current central bank chief Governor Haruhiko Kuroda. Both houses of Japan’s parliament now need to approve Ueda’s nomination. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s ruling coalition has a majority in both chambers. Parliamentary hearings are likely to take place on Feb. 24, Nikkei reported. Kishida recently emphasized the need for the next central bank governor to have “global communication skills” and be able to coordinate closely with global peers , Reuters reported, citing his comments in parliament... ...Current governor Kuroda was first appointed in March 2013. He has led the central bank’s ultra-dovish monetary policy , including maintaining a negative interest rate since 2016 – even as global peers have been hiking to tackle inflation . His current five-year term will end on April 8. Bank of America Global Research expects gradual policy normalization under the central bank’s new leadership instead of an abrupt change, according to the firm’s economists led by Izumi Devalier. The team said in a report that completely removing the central bank’s yield curve control – a policy of maintaining 10-year Japanese government bond yields within a 50-basis-point range of 0% – won’t happen any time soon. “We continue to think a change in the BoJ’s policy framework (including abandoning YCC and negative interest rates) will be delayed until mid-2024,” the economists said, adding that they expect to see “flexibility” in changing the current policy instead. The economists added that it’s “only a matter of time” before the Bank of Japan tweaks its yield curve control policy, and that they expect to see changes within the first half of 2023. Japan’s government also reportedly announced its nominees for other central bank roles including Shinichi Uchida, currently the central bank’s executive director, and Ryozo Himino, the former chief of Japan’s Financial Services Agency. “The government’s reported deputy governor picks are also well-suited to address the challenge of streamlining and winding down the BoJ’s expansive easing program, in our view,” the BofA economists said in their report ahead of the announcement. On trading side, technically speaking, if the trend is bullish , it should be correct to try to take Long position on any pullback or corrective structure above 132 area. Trade with care! 👍 ...and if you think that my analysis is useful, please..."Like, Share and Comment" ...thank you! 💖 Cheers! N.B.: Updates will follow below
Long
by TheAnonymousBanker
12
USDJPY → Bull Trend 1st Leg Complete! Long Again? Let's Answer.USD/JPY broke out of its descending wedge last week in a fantastic move toward the Resistance Zone (Now the Support Zone). We capitalized on that trade, you can find the details in the chart below. Are we ready for another long? USDJPY Trade - Last Week: How do we trade this? 🤔 We finished last week with a wild doji candle (one bar trading range) just above the 30EMA. That may have completed the first leg up in this new bull trend which has yet to be determined if it's a pullback on the macro bear trend or the start of another push up to higher highs. If it's a pullback in the bear trend, then we should expect no more than two legs to the upside before the price falls down again. If this is another run toward 152.000, then we should expect at least three legs to the upside. We do have justification to long on the Daily or 4HR. The Daily chart shows weakness above the 30EMA, the 4HR chart shows us stuck just below the 200EMA as shown in the following chart: USDJPY 4HR Chart: Both RSI's call for a pullback; the 4HR is high and below the Moving Average, and the Daily is around 50.00 but has a gap back down to the Moving Average. We need to wait for a pullback to happen which will likely bring the price toward the bottom of the Support Range around 143.800. At that price area, we need to look for a strong buy signal telling us we're going up for a second leg. Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for more price action and an optimal entry. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: 144.350 🟥 Stop Loss: 143.100 ✅ Take Profit: 146.850 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Breakout from Descending Wedge 2. 1st Leg up Potentially Complete 3. Wait for Pullback to Bottom of Support Zone Area. 4. Look for Bull Confirmation near the 143.800 Area to Long. 5. RSI at 52.00 and above Moving Average. Bias to Long, but wait for Gap to Close. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 Traders often get trapped trying to trade the end of a second leg thinking a third leg is coming. Pullbacks often have two legs and when the third leg fails, it's in part because the traders stop loss is hit, causing the price to go the opposite direction of their trade and continuing the macro trend. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Long
by TraderEngineering