USDJPY - SHORT USDJPY breaks out of an ascending channel on the 1h TF which is bearish flag on the higher TF. Anticipating a continuation of the drop.
Don't focus on the pattern, focus on the nature.
Usdjpyanalysis
USDJPY: USDJPY fell below the 143 mark in anticipation of risingThe Japanese Cabinet Office has forecast that CPI consumer inflation will increase to 3%.
Early tomorrow morning, the market will receive CPI inflation data that has been higher than the BoJ's 2% target for more than a year, boosting expectations that the BoJ will pivot and support the rise of JPY.
USD-JPY - PREPARE YOUR SHORT!USD-JPY - PREPARE YOUR SHORT!
These are my keylevels for USDJPY on daily tf.
Major downtrend that holds good supportCan we break this downtrend or will we see a continuation on it. Lets wait and see, be patient. I think that the dollar is quite weak at this point and that we can see it fall further down, but first i think it can come to test the major downwards trendline before it weakens. At this point we have a good support at the fib level 0.618
USDJPY Looking BearishIf you anticipate a bearish trend in USDJPY and decide to sell, it's crucial to ensure that your decision is in line with your overall trading strategy. Evaluate the risk-reward ratios carefully and establish suitable stop-loss levels to mitigate potential losses.
When considering increasing your position size, exercise caution to effectively manage potential risks. Stay well-informed about market developments and be prepared to adapt your trading strategy as necessary in response to changing conditions. It's essential to remain vigilant and proactive in monitoring the market to make informed decisions and protect your investments.
USDJPY Update : Perfect entryAwesome profits on USDJPY. +90 Pips with very low drawdown. I personally close half here and holding rest with stop at entry. USDJPY could bounce now, that's the reason for taking some profits, considering that 142.800/143.300 is support area. I will check for longs if i see a good reversal pattern
USDJPY: Dollar fluctuates as views of interest rate cuts grow; TThe US dollar is experiencing volatility against most major currencies today, with market sentiment affected by predictions that the US Federal Reserve may start cutting interest rates. The Japanese yen remains an exception, maintaining its position against the dollar following the Bank of Japan's decision to continue its expansionary monetary policy.
Federal Reserve officials tried to manage market expectations after a Federal Open Market Committee meeting last week, which hinted at the possibility of interest rate cuts in 2024. This outlook has led to a surge in financial markets, with current forecasts suggesting a 67.5% chance of a rate cut at the Fed's March meeting, based on the CME FedWatch tool.
Senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com, Kyle Rodda, commented on the situation, saying that the Federal Reserve must now decide whether to match market expectations or counter them, potentially causing market instability.
Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic on Tuesday reiterated his forecast for two interest rate cuts in the second half of the year, but emphasized that immediate action was not necessary. At the same time, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin noted that the central bank's ability to lower interest rates will depend on the trajectory of the economy.
The dollar index, which compares the US dollar to a basket of other currencies, remained relatively unchanged at 102.20 after falling more than 0.3% earlier. Last week, the index hit a four-month low at 101.76. Rodda also mentioned that upcoming economic data will be important in determining the direction of the dollar, as it will indicate whether the expected interest rate cuts for next year are justified.
Investors are now awaiting the release of the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, which could shed light on whether inflation is slowing enough to justify easing. policy next year or not.
In Japan, the yen traded lower at 143.78 yen against the dollar, having weakened after comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, which did not suggest a change was imminent from negative interest rates. According to National Australia Bank senior foreign exchange strategist Rodrigo Catril, expectations are now set for a policy change no sooner than April.
USDJPY:Sell Position Hello friends . According to the yen chart, we can see that the price has been created for a sell position at some point and will probably go down to the designated area.
Is the downward trend of the Japanese currency coming to an end?It seems that if the USDJPY currency pair does not cross 145 strongly, the price of the dollar will decline
USDJPY - Short active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for short. I expect bearish price action from here as price almost filled the imbalance and reacted from institutional big figure 145.000.
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USDJPY H1 / TARGET TAKEN ✅ LOOKING FOR A SHORT ENTRY 📉Hello Traders!
The target for UADJPY H1 was hit. Now I see a good opportunity to execute a short entry, taking into consideration the retracement from the resistance level, and the fact that DXY at the moment is weak.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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USDJPY - H4USDJPY
H4 - The price has approached the upper border of the downward channel. There are 2 scenarios possible: a rebound from the border and continued movement towards updating local minima.
If it fixes behind the trend line, the price may continue its corrective growth from the higher timeframe.
To consider an entry, it is better to expect the formation of a 3-wave structure for sales; for purchases, it is better to expect fixation and retest behind the trend line
What can you expect?
Waiting for a 3-wave structure and considering selling; if you are considering entering from these levels, reduce your risk so as not to fall into a continuation of the upward movement.
Short
Target 143.417 - 142.482 - 140.925 - 140.144
GBPJPY and EURJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY Falling Resistance Ahead!USD-JPY went up from the
Lows but now the pair is
About to retest the falling
Long-term falling resistance
Line while being oversold
So I will be expecting a
Local bearish correction !
USDJPY H1 / A LONG TRADE OPPORTUNITY 📈Hello Traders!
This is my perspective for USDJPY H1. I see a very strong descendant trend, and I expect a Bullish move until the price of 145.000. At the same level, the liquidity gap will be closed. In case of confirmation, I expect to see a strong Bearish move until the price of 142.500.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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USDJPY Shorts from 145.200 down towards 140.000USDJPY continues to display a strong bearish outlook as the price has once again broken structure to the downside, affirming a long-term bearish trajectory. Regarding potential opportunities around the current price, my strategy involves awaiting a price retracement to the nearest supply, identified on the 15-hour time frame. This scenario represents the next potential phase for the price to initiate a downward movement.
At present, I'm in a wait-and-see mode, anticipating the price to fill in the imbalance and undergo redistribution. This would serve as an indication that bullish pressure is diminishing, signaling the potential for another impulsive downward move. If the price proceeds further downward, I'm also prepared for a potential buying opportunity around the 7-hour demand zone near 140.000.
Confluences for USDJPY Sells are as follows:
- Price broke structure to the downside confirming a long term bearish trajectory.
- Dollar (DXY) looks like its going to continue a bearish trend which acts as a positive correlation for this pair.
- Lots of liquidity below that hasn't been taken on higher timeframes like trend lines etc.
- In order for price to continue in its bearish course it must retrace back to a major supply so it can create another impulsive move to the downside.
P.S. Being decidedly bearish on this pair, I am eager to observe the response from the 7-hour demand zone, situated at a significant psychological level of 140.000. Furthermore, the zone has initiated a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, providing an additional positive confluence that suggests the potential temporary holding of this zone. Feel free to share your thoughts on the USDJPY market in the comments below.
USDJPY → Bear Run Complete! Bounce back to 152.000? Let's AnswerUSDJPY has officially broken out of the bull channel it's been in since February 2023 and fell hard into the Weekly 200EMA! The final Daily bear candle closed with a large wick over 1/3 the total size and the following Daily candle closed with a long tail as well. Does that mean we're going up?
How do we trade this? 🤔
A bear breakout on a bull channel after the double top reversal is usually a signal that we're about to enter a trading range (sideways price action). We have a good show of Support at the 200EMA and possibly up to the previous high in the bull channel between 143.850 and 144.850, but we need confirmation to ensure that this Support zone is real which includes a strong bull followthrough candle on the Daily chart.
Look to long toward the bottom of the trading range after it's been established, an entry around the 145.000 area is reasonable looking for a 1:1 scalp or 1:2 swing on a lower timeframe.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 145.500
🟥 Stop Loss: 143.200
✅ Take Profit: 150.100
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Bear Breakout of Bull Channel, Entering Trading Range.
2. Three Legs Down to Daily 200EMA.
3. Two Large Wicks on 200EMA, Look for Confirmation.
4. Trend Change, Establishing Trading Range between 145.000 and 152.000.
5. RSI at 35.00 and below Moving Average. Wait for Confirmation to Long.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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USDJPY: Goldman Sachs: Reduced 12-month USD/JPY forecast to 140 Goldman Sachs Data reported on December 18 that Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast for next year's exchange rate and expects the US dollar to weaken further.
“The biggest revisions to our forecasts are on exchange-sensitive currencies like the Japanese yen,” strategists including Danny Suwanapruti and Michael Cahill wrote in a Dec. 15 report. , the Swedish krona and the Indonesian rupiah, these currencies will struggle under a 'keep interest rates higher for longer' regime. "
Goldman Sachs forecasts USD/JPY three-month target at 145, six-month target at 142 and 12-month target at 140; previous forecasts for the same period were 155, 155 and 150 respectively.
USDJPY (Short Idea)MERRY CHRISTMAS!!
USDJPY has broken a major trend
Retested the Trend w/ a Daily Evening Star Pattern
Starting the week looking for a retracement into the sell side FVG
Price Point 144.756-144.357
USDJPY MAJOR DOWNTRENDThis idea is monthly, Patiently waiting at 143.6-142 zone.
THis is not a financial advice,
if this idea works then we might go lower for the end of the year.
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USDJPYHey Everyone,
While many traders believe that UJ will reverse and drop significantly, but, what we think price will continue the bullish trend as it is very unlikely that JPY will gain its strength back. UJ will at least move up 500+ pips before it may drop significantly. For this year, USDJPY remain too bullish in our opinion.
what do you all think about it?
USDJPY: Japan's ruling party proposes to reduce income taxReuters reported:
The tax reform council of Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party has agreed to reduce income taxes to compensate households suffering from soaring prices and support a change in the deflationary mindset that has pervaded the country. past decades
The move is also intended to encourage a healthy growth cycle driven by private sector demand, with tax policymakers increasing tax breaks for businesses planning to increase wages.
The draft of tax breaks under the framework of tax reform in fiscal year 2024 will be finalized on Thursday
USDJPY Trendline Break Re-TestHi Traders!
USDJPY is on a pullback and re-testing the trendline break, which opens up opportunities for short entries on the market's pullbacks.
Here are the details:
The market recently broke both the support trendline and the descending channel. Our plan is to sell rallies by looking for an entry near the 20 EMA and a target exit near the monthly low.
Preferred Direction: Sell
Entry Level: 146.750
Stop Level: 148.598
Target Level: 142.862
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
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Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
