DeGRAM | USDJPY long opportunityUSDJPY is consolidating following a bullish move on the D chart.
Price completed the AB=CD pattern.
The market made a bullish move from the the support. Look left
We expect a retest of the resistance level and channel border since the major trend is bullish.
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Usdjpyanalysis
USDJPY: How to trade more downside from the double topIf the double top on the weekly chart is going to hold, then there should be a good amount more downside in USD/JPY. If it doesn't - we'll exit this trade.
149 was a key breakdown area - in case of a rebound we can enter short.
A close above 149 probably nullifies this trade.
145 is the key target.
USDJPY: November CPI data in the Tokyo area exceeded the BoJ's 2Recent data shows inflation has eased since October:
CPI (excluding fresh food and energy): 3.7%
Total CPI: 3%
Inflation in Tokyo, although exceeding 2%, is still slightly lower than forecast
FX Update: USD/JPY edged 15bp higher to around 147.25 after this data
USDJPY I Fed expectations soft thus more potential downsideWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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USDJPY Longs from 145.000 up to 148.300This week, the current position of USDJPY appears favorable, positioned near two promising Points of Interest (POIs). We are inclined towards buying opportunities as the price has recently responded to a supply zone, and we anticipate a slowdown and accumulation.
Upon the completion of Wyckoff accumulation within our designated zone, we will seek buy positions for a short-term trade, aiming to reach the nearest significant supply. This counter-trend trade will serve as a retracement, acknowledging the temporary bearish trend.
Confluences for USDJPY Longs are as follows:
- To sustain its bearish trend, the price must respond to a demand level, prompting a retracement.
- The price is nearing a crucial demand level on the 13-hour chart that has broken the structure to the upside.
- There are remaining equal highs and imbalances above, which needs to get mitigated.
The Dollar Index (DXY) is poised for an upward retracement, aligning with this bias.
- The overall market trend on higher time frames, such as the monthly chart, remains generally bullish.
- Price has taken some significant liquidity like asian lows so price might be due for a correction.
P.S. Upon the price reaching our 4-hour supply zone, we will patiently await a form of redistribution to align ourselves with the bearish trend. Currently, our focus is on the anticipation of a slowdown and pullback, which we expect to occur in response to the 13-hour demand.
USDJPY BUY ON DIPS !!! HELLO TRADERS
As i can see this pair has reached at support zone !!!! and i am trying to scalp some pips on this trade charts are crystal clear on Risk Reward ratio % have look on other newly updated trades so u can judge market next moves its just and trade idea share ur thoughts with us we appreciate ur love and comments and happy to answer you
USDJPY - Long active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from higher timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs. I expect bullish price action from here as price took sell side liquidity from old low, filled the imbalance and rejected from bullish order block.
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USDJPY I Wait for pullback to structure high
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USDJPY Analysis. SHORT SWING SIGNAL!!!Hello Everyone i want share my idea about USDJPY.
Japan currency is dead, its coming downside clear and beautiful but in this week we had some rejection from buyers and this rejection was strong.
In my opinion dollar will start strong bearish movement for that i will try to catch movement, at the chart we have some good rejection from sellers which broke range and gave us new high after strong downside movement. i think this fall will continue to daily support which is at 144.9.
Open short position - 149.6
Stop loss - 151.1
Take Profit - N/A
ALWAYS MAKE YOUR OWN RESEARCH!!!
USDJPY: Asian foreign exchange increased, USD hit 3-month lowMost Asian currencies rose on Tuesday, pushing the dollar to a three-month low as confidence grew that the U.S. Federal Reserve is done raising interest rates.
However, gains for most regional currencies were limited this week as traders remained cautious on a number of key economic indicators. This week, all eyes will be on the PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure.
The Japanese yen had a particularly strong day, rising 0.3% on the day, as traders said they expect the Bank of Japan to exit its ultra-easy stance in 2024. Japan's stable inflation figures released last week further support this assumption. Thanks to the Fed's reassurance, the yen continued to recover from the 150 yen level. The immediate focus will be on Japan's industrial production and retail sales figures, which will be released later in the day. week.
USDJPY Shorts from 149.500 down towards 147.500My bias for USDJPY is bearish due to the fact that price has reacted off the last supply from the whole chart, and has now given a CHOCH and BOS's on the higher time frame. Price has also took all the liquidity that was left above leaving price to now melt downwards and target all the asian lows, trend lines, equal lows, and imbalances that was left previously.
Currently, price has reacted nicely off an 8hr supply which we can enter imminent sells to target the (8hr) demand below at 147.500. I am expecting the 8hr demand to cause a retracement back up but from there we can take short term buys up to a premium supply around 150.500. As Wyckoff distribution has been completed we can look for the asian high to get swept in order to enter our sell positions because a CHOCH has already been presented to us on the 15min.
My confluences for USDJPY Shorts are as follows:
- Price has taken all the magnets that lies above and reacted off the last supply of the chart.
- Price has CHOCH'd and BOS on the higher time frame confirming a bearish trend.
- Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of trend line liquidity, asian lows, EQLs and IMB's
- Wyckoff distribution has been completed on the Higher time frame and now melting.
- A re accumulation has been presented inside our current 8hr supply in which we have got a clean reaction from.
- Dollar (DXY) is also temporarily bearish for me so it matches with my sell bias for this market.
P.S. even though we are bearish I would also be interested in buying from 147.500 up towards 150.500 or higher to then eventually sell again. For now, we will see if price reaches that demand below as short term buys will be interesting there. Remember being adaptive is very crucial and because I am a day trader, I can counter trend trade up to better POI's to then enter pro trend trades.
USD/JPY Eyes Bullish Impulse on Japan's Economic SignalsUSD/JPY Eyes Bullish Impulse on Japan's Economic Signals
Recent data from Japan indicates progress in achieving sustained inflation, sparking speculation of a possible shift in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) ultra-dovish policy in the early months of 2024. This contrasts with the belief among investors that the Federal Reserve (Fed) has concluded its rate hikes and might initiate a policy easing as early as March 2024.
In line with our analysis from yesterday, the USD/JPY appears to be leveraging a new bullish impulse, particularly given its negative correlation with the EUR/USD, which is currently facing bearish pressure. During the Asian session, the price retraced to the 61.8% Fibonacci level from the recent low, creating a potential setup for a new bullish movement in the pair.
Our Preference:
Above 147.500 look for further upside with 150.30 & 151.50 as targets.
USDJPY - D1\MNUSDJPY
MN - The price may push off from the level, a potential rebound to the values of 127.111
D1 - The price has left the ascending trend channel, a potential retest is now forming (which forms a potentially 3-wave structure) and a continuation of the downward movement from a strong level on the MN timeframe.
H4 - The price has broken through the triangle line, which may indicate a continuation of the fall.
Goals for this position can be taken from levels on D1.
What can you expect?
You can consider entering from the level of 141.018 with further movement to the target of 139.550. Cancellation of the idea so as not to take increased risk on the idea levels beyond the end of the 2nd wave - 149.910 or 1st wave - 152.015
Short
Targets 146.150 - 144.197 - 142.417 - 139.550
USDJPY Navigating Retracement&Identifying Short Opportunities!Introduction:
The USD/JPY pair has experienced a dynamic week marked by a double top pattern, providing insightful clues for traders. While recent days showcased a retracement and an apparent uptrend tendency, the most recent price action is signaling a potential shift.
Retracement Dynamics:
The past week witnessed a retracement in the intense and continuous bearish flow of USD/JPY. The retracement is characterized by an uptrend tendency line, suggesting a temporary shift in market sentiment. However, recent hours are indicating a potential reversal, prompting a closer examination of key technical levels.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, the current movement aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, centered around the price of 0.750.700. This level serves as a critical reference point, providing insights into potential reversal zones.
Bearish Order Block on Lower Timeframes:
Detailed analysis on smaller timeframes, specifically the 1-hour and 30-minute charts, reveals the formation of a Bearish Order Block. This is a crucial technical pattern signaling a Short Position opportunity. The identified price range of 0.750.600 becomes significant for traders considering a short entry.
Break of Uptrend Tendency Line:
A pivotal moment in this analysis is the recent break of the uptrend tendency line. The breach of this trendline, coupled with a reaction around the strong high of 0.750, suggests a potential re-establishment of the bearish sentiment.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the USD/JPY pair has undergone a retracement in the past week, challenging the prevailing bearish flow. However, with the recent break of the uptrend tendency line and the formation of a Bearish Order Block on lower timeframes, there is a compelling case for a short position opportunity. Traders are encouraged to closely monitor the price action around the 0.750.600 range, as it may serve as a key entry point for those anticipating a continuation of the bearish trend. As always, risk management and vigilant monitoring of price dynamics are essential for traders navigating these evolving market conditions.
USDJPY → Falling to 1.46? Or Rocket to 1.52? Lets Answer That.USDJPY fell below the 30EMA to my previously predicted area of 147.100 then immediately bounced back to 150.000 only to stall and leave us wondering what the next move will be.
How do we trade this?
We're in a bull channel which should put us in a bias to long. But we have a double top reversal signal at a key level of resistance (the previous Weekly high of 152.000 staring us in the face. We need to see what happens here at the 30EMA. If we get a strong bear bar closing on or near its low, shorting to the bull channel bottom around 146.300 or even the previous high of 145.000 is reasonable. The protective stop should be just above the 30EMA.
You can also wait for a long at the bull channel support or previous high support, looking for a bull channel signal bar and confirmation closing on or near its high. Protective stop just below those levels with a take profit at the 30EMA and then the previous high of 152.000.
Key Takeaways
1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long.
2. Double Top Reversal Signal. Close the Gap to Bull Channel Support.
3. Fell below 30EMA, Gap to Bull Channel Support
4. Previous Channel High of 145.000 Final Target.
5. Wait for Bear Signal Bar for Confirmation to Short.
6. RSI at 47.00, below Moving Average. Supports Short.
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7 Dimension Analysis For USDJPY 🕛 TOPDOWN - Navigating Breakouts and Corrections
Overview: This currency pair broke a 25-year resistance level last year, displaying a fakeout. This year, a robust flow confirms the breakout, with potential for a yearly closing above this level. There's also proximity to breaking a multi-year head and shoulders pattern, accompanied by substantial multi-year buy volume. On the monthly chart, a cup and handle formation is observed, potentially forming a twizzer top for a last pullback. The weekly chart indicates a pre-breakout buildup, with the last week's liquidity sweep candle hinting at further upward movement, especially given its location above the yearly CIP levels.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bullish
🟢 Structure Behavior/BoS: Break of Structure
🟢 Swing Move: Corrective, but a classic bullish pinbar signals the end of correction and a valid high. The upcoming FVG area may guide the final decision based on potential rejection.
🟢 Inducement: Done; the next unmitigated order block is crucial if prices decline further.
🟢 1st Pullback: Possibly deep; internal structure is bearish corrective. Noteworthy is the liquidity sweep indicating potential fakeouts or continuations on the buy side.
🟢 Resistance/Support Areas: Resistance, supply, and trendline broken, yet resistance is yet to be broken. Buildup and pre-breakout QC suggest cautious optimism.
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS
Reversal
Rounding Patterns, Double Top.
Consolidation
Rectangle signaling a bearish breakout.
Raising Wedge with bearish breakout.
Shakeout Continuation, favorable for bulls.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS
Key Observations:
Long wicks: Hammer at yearly CIP.
Momentum candles: Engulfing/Fakeout/FOMO favor bulls.
Inside: Narrow Range 4, anticipating breakout direction.
Tower top/bottom signals climax players favoring bullish FOMO.
3️⃣ Volume: Average volume observed, necessitating observation during corrections and cycles.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 Momentum State: Sideways yet.
🟢 Range Shift: From super bullish to sideways.
🟢 Divergence: Back-to-back bearish divergence suggests a potential correction.
🟢 Grandfather-Father-Son Entries: Strongest buy area post-correction.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Middle Band Trend: Bullish; crossing for buy signals.
🟢 Headfake: Lower line head fake signifies a strong buy signal.
6️⃣ Strength - ROC Values: JPY is the weakest against all currencies currently.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: Two areas for buy consideration - Daily (144.555) and Hourly (149.49).
✅ Entry TF Structure:
☑️ Current Move:
✔ Support/Resistance Base:
☑️ Candles Behavior: RSC, Longwicks, Doji, Inside, Momentum.
☑️ FIB Trigger Event
☑️ Trend Line Breakout
☑️ Final Comments:
💡 Decision:
🚀 Entry:
✋ Stop Loss:
🎯 Take Profit: 2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO.
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio:
🕛 Expected Duration:
SUMMARY: The analysis showcases a bullish scenario with a breakout from a significant resistance level. While corrections are anticipated, the structure remains bullish, with potential buy entries on both daily and hourly time frames. Divergence signals caution, and key candle patterns, volume analysis, and strength indicators contribute to a comprehensive strategy for navigating this intricate market situation.
I will update this idea further with coming market condition and also update all tp and stop level